All Politics is Local: The Renminbi's Prospects as a Future Global Currency

Recent years have seen a heated discussion over Chinese capital account liberalization and internationalization of China’s currency, the renminbi (RMB). Against the backdrop of a weak U.S. economy and China’s growing international economic clout, there has been speculation about the RMB replacing the U.S. dollar as the world’s leading currency. Subramanian (2011: 1), for instance, maintains that “the renminbi could become the premier reserve currency by the end of this decade, or early next decade.” Much of the current discourse recalls past discussions when other currencies, especially the Japanese yen (Burstein 1988; Kwan 1994; Taguchi 1994) and the Euro (Chinn and Frankel 2007), were seen as candidates to “dethrone” the dollar

State-owned enterprises, exporting and productivity in China:a stochastic dominance approach

A popular explanation for China's rapid economic growth in recent years has been the dramatic increase in the number of private domestic and foreign-owned firms and a decline in the state-owned sector. However, recent evidence suggest that China's state-owned enterprise (SOEs) are in fact stronger than ever. In this paper we examine over 78,000 manufacturing firms between 2002 and 2006 to investigate the relationship between ownership structure and the degree of firm-level exposure to export markets and firm-level productivity. Using a conditional stochastic dominance approach we reveal that although our results largely adhere to prior expectations, the performance of state-owned enterprises differs markedly between those that export and those that supply the domestic market only. It appears that China's internationally focused SOEs have become formidable global competitors