78 research outputs found

    Minimal Impact of Late‐Season Melt Events on Greenland Ice Sheet Annual Motion

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    Extreme melt and rainfall events can induce temporary acceleration of Greenland Ice Sheet motion, leading to increased advection of ice to lower elevations where melt rates are higher. In a warmer climate, these events are likely to become more frequent. In September 2022, seasonally unprecedented air temperatures caused multiple melt events over the Greenland Ice Sheet, generating the highest melt rates of the year. The scale and timing of the largest event overwhelmed the subglacial drainage system, enhancing basal sliding and increasing ice velocities by up to ∼240% relative to pre-event velocities. However, ice motion returned rapidly to pre-event levels, and the speed-ups caused a regional increase in annual ice discharge of only ∼2% compared to when the effects of the speed-ups were excluded. Therefore, although late melt-season events are forecast to become more frequent and drive significant runoff, their impact on net mass loss via ice discharge is minimal

    Greenland ice sheet annual motion insensitive to spatial variations in subglacial hydraulic structure

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    We present ice velocities observed with global positioning systems and TerraSAR-X/TanDEM-Xin a land-terminating region of the southwest Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) during the melt year 2012–2013, toexamine the spatial pattern of seasonal and annual ice motion. We find that while spatial variability in theconfiguration of the subglacial drainage system controls ice motion at short timescales, this configurationhas negligible impact on the spatial pattern of the proportion of annual motion which occurs duringsummer. While absolute annual velocities vary substantially, the proportional contribution of summermotion to annual motion does not. These observations suggest that in land-terminating margins of the GrIS,subglacial hydrology does not significantly influence spatial variations in net summer speedup.Furthermore, our findings imply that not every feature of the subglacial drainage system needs to beresolved in ice sheet models

    Quantifying the impact of variability in railway bridge asset management

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    Bridge asset management is often a challenging and complicated task due to the diversity, multitude and variation of bridge configurations. Much research has been carried out in the field of asset management which has resulted in a wealth of models to help with the decision making process. However, often these models oversimplify the process, resulting in a decision making tool that trivialises the complexity of the decisions. The purpose of this study was to ascertain what the main sources of variability are in the process and then quantify the impact of them in terms of the Whole Life-Cycle Cost (WLCC). The study focuses on human-induced variability to ensure the results are directly influenceable by bridge portfolio managers. The sources of variability identified include misdiagnoses of defects as well as imperfect repairs and variability in costs, all of which are aspects that bridge portfolio managers are exposed to. The sources of variability are quantified and then incorporated into an existing railway bridge WLCC model, established in a previous study, which uses a flexible Petri-Net (PN) approach which is able to incorporate the complex logic and probabilistic aspects. The model itself is able to replicate some of the more complicated decisions which have to be made in bridge asset management, especially those which influence the decisions around rehabilitation. The resulting model, enhanced with the probabilistic variability, is able to reveal the impact of variability on the asset condition, WLCC and even understand where operational complexities are occurring within the system. Incorporating human-induced variability into any model will inevitably increase the financial and operational burden predicted by the model, however, recognising and modelling these aspects is a crucial step in providing bridge portfolio managers a more robust and accurate decision making tool which can more accurately replicate the real world system

    The effectiveness of interventions to change six health behaviours: a review of reviews

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    Background: Several World Health Organisation reports over recent years have highlighted the high incidence of chronic diseases such as diabetes, coronary heart disease and cancer. Contributory factors include unhealthy diets, alcohol and tobacco use and sedentary lifestyles. This paper reports the findings of a review of reviews of behavioural change interventions to reduce unhealthy behaviours or promote healthy behaviours. We included six different health-related behaviours in the review: healthy eating, physical exercise, smoking, alcohol misuse, sexual risk taking (in young people) and illicit drug use. We excluded reviews which focussed on pharmacological treatments or those which required intensive treatments (e. g. for drug or alcohol dependency). Methods: The Cochrane Library, Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effectiveness (DARE) and several Ovid databases were searched for systematic reviews of interventions for the six behaviours (updated search 2008). Two reviewers applied the inclusion criteria, extracted data and assessed the quality of the reviews. The results were discussed in a narrative synthesis. Results: We included 103 reviews published between 1995 and 2008. The focus of interventions varied, but those targeting specific individuals were generally designed to change an existing behaviour (e. g. cigarette smoking, alcohol misuse), whilst those aimed at the general population or groups such as school children were designed to promote positive behaviours (e. g. healthy eating). Almost 50% (n = 48) of the reviews focussed on smoking (either prevention or cessation). Interventions that were most effective across a range of health behaviours included physician advice or individual counselling, and workplace- and school-based activities. Mass media campaigns and legislative interventions also showed small to moderate effects in changing health behaviours. Generally, the evidence related to short-term effects rather than sustained/longer-term impact and there was a relative lack of evidence on how best to address inequalities. Conclusions: Despite limitations of the review of reviews approach, it is encouraging that there are interventions that are effective in achieving behavioural change. Further emphasis in both primary studies and secondary analysis (e.g. systematic reviews) should be placed on assessing the differential effectiveness of interventions across different population subgroups to ensure that health inequalities are addressed.</p

    Feasibility and acceptability of a motivational interviewing breastfeeding peer support intervention

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    An uncontrolled study with process evaluation was conducted in three U.K. community maternity sites to establish the feasibility and acceptability of delivering a novel breastfeeding peer-support intervention informed by motivational interviewing (MI; Mam-Kind). Peer-supporters were trained to deliver the Mam-Kind intervention that provided intensive one-to-one peer-support, including (a) antenatal contact, (b) face-to-face contact within 48 hr of birth, (c) proactive (peer-supporter led) alternate day contact for 2 weeks after birth, and (d) mother-led contact for a further 6 weeks. Peer-supporters completed structured diaries and audio-recorded face-to-face sessions with mothers. Semistructured interviews were conducted with a purposive sample of mothers, health professionals, and all peer-supporters. Interview data were analysed thematically to assess intervention acceptability. Audio-recorded peer-support sessions were assessed for intervention fidelity and the use of MI techniques, using the MITI 4.2 tool. Eight peer-supporters delivered the Mam-Kind intervention to 70 mothers in three National Health Service maternity services. Qualitative interviews with mothers (n = 28), peer-supporters (n = 8), and health professionals (n = 12) indicated that the intervention was acceptable, and health professionals felt it could be integrated with existing services. There was high fidelity to intervention content; 93% of intervention objectives were met during sessions. However, peer-supporters reported difficulties in adapting from an expert-by-experience role to a collaborative role. We have established the feasibility and acceptability of providing breastfeeding peer-support using a MI-informed approach. Refinement of the intervention is needed to further develop peer-supporters' skills in providing mother-centred support. The refined intervention should be tested for effectiveness in a randomised controlled trial

    Mineral phosphorus drives glacier algal blooms on the Greenland Ice Sheet

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    Melting of the Greenland Ice Sheet is a leading cause of land-ice mass loss and cryosphere-attributed sea level rise. Blooms of pigmented glacier ice algae lower ice albedo and accelerate surface melting in the ice sheet’s southwest sector. Although glacier ice algae cause up to 13% of the surface melting in this region, the controls on bloom development remain poorly understood. Here we show a direct link between mineral phosphorus in surface ice and glacier ice algae biomass through the quantification of solid and fluid phase phosphorus reservoirs in surface habitats across the southwest ablation zone of the ice sheet. We demonstrate that nutrients from mineral dust likely drive glacier ice algal growth, and thereby identify mineral dust as a secondary control on ice sheet melting.SCOPUS: ar.jinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishe

    Protocol for a systematic review of screening tools for fear of recurrent illness in common life threatening diseases

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    This is the authors' accepted version of an article published in Systematic Reviews, 2015.A myocardial infarction (MI) (‘heart attack’) can be intensely stressful, and the impact of this event can leave patients with clinically significant post-MI stress symptoms. Untreated stress can make heart disease worse. Few tools are available that screen for specific thoughts or beliefs that can trigger post-MI stress responses. In other life-threatening illnesses, fear of recurrence (FoR) of illness has been identified as a key stressor, and screening tools have been developed to identify this. The aim of this review is to identify FoR screening tools used in other common life-threatening diseases that report on the development of the tool, to assess if there are any that can be adapted for use in MI survivors so that those with high levels of FoR can be identified and helped

    Association between infection early in life and mental disorders among youth in the community: a cross-sectional study

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    <p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>The objective of this study was to examine the association between infection early in life and mental disorders among youth in the community.</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>Data were drawn from the MECA (Methods in Epidemiology of Child and Adolescent psychopathology), a community-based study of 1,285 youth in the United States conducted in 1992. Multiple logistic regression analyses were used to investigate the association between parent/caregiver-reported infection early in life and DSM/DISC diagnoses of mental disorders at ages 9-17.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>Infection early in life was associated with a significantly increased odds of major depression (OR = 3.9), social phobia (OR = 5.8), overanxious disorder (OR = 6.1), panic disorder (OR = 12.1), and oppositional defiant disorder (OR = 3.7).</p> <p>Conclusions</p> <p>These findings are consistent with and extend previous results by providing new evidence suggesting a link between infection early in life and increased risk of depression and anxiety disorders among youth. These results should be considered preliminary. Replication of these findings with longitudinal epidemiologic data is needed. Possible mechanisms are discussed.</p
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