Validation of a model to investigate the effects of modifying cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors on the burden of CVD: The rotterdam ischemic heart disease and stroke computer simulation (RISC) model

Background: We developed a Monte Carlo Markov model designed to investigate the effects of modifying cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors on the burden of CVD. Internal, predictive, and external validity of the model have not yet been established.Methods: The Rotterdam Ischemic Heart Disease and Stroke Computer Simulation (RISC) model was developed using data covering 5 years of follow-up from the Rotterdam Study. To prove 1) internal and 2) predictive validity, the incidences of coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke, CVD death, and non-CVD death simulated by the model over a 13-year period were compared with those recorded for 3,478 participants in the Rotterdam Study with at least 13 years of follow-up. 3) External validity was verified using 10 years of follow-up data from the European Prospective Investigation of Cancer (EPIC)-Norfolk study of 25,492 participants, for whom CVD and non-CVD mortality was compared.Results: At year 5, the observed incidences (with simulated incidences in brackets) of CHD, stroke, and CVD and non-CVD mortality for the 3,478 Rotterdam Study participants were 5.30% (4.68%), 3.60% (3.23%), 4.70% (4.80%), and 7.50% (7.96%), respectively. At year 13, these percentages were 10.60% (10.91%), 9.90% (9.13%), 14.20% (15.12%), and 24.30% (23.42%). After recalibrating the model for the EPIC-Norfolk population, the 10-year observed (simulated) incidences of CVD and non-CVD mortality were 3.70% (4.95%) and 6.50% (6.29%). All observed incidences fell well within the 95% credibility intervals of the simulated incidences.Conclusions: We have confirmed the internal, predictive, and external validity of the RISC model. These findings provide a basis for analyzing the effects of modifying cardiovascular disease risk factors on the burden of CVD with the RISC model

A 3-slice cardiac quantitative native and post-contrast T1 and T2 MRI protocol requiring only four BHs using a 72-channel receive array coil

Introduction: Current practice to obtain left ventricular (LV) native and post-contrast T1 and T2 comprises single-slice readouts with multiple breath-holds (BHs). We propose a multi-slice parallel-imaging approach with a 72-channel receive-array to reduce BHs and demonstrate this in healthy subjects and hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) patients.Methods: A T1/T2 phantom was scanned at 3 T using a 16-channel and a novel 72-channel coil to assess the impact of different coils and acceleration factors on relaxation times. 16-18 healthy participants (8 female, age 28.4 +/- 5.1 years) and 3 HCM patients (3 male, age 55.3 +/- 4.2 years) underwent cardiac-MRI with the 72-channel coil, using a Modified Look-Locker scan with a shared inversion pulse across 3 slices and a Gradient-Spin-Echo scan. Acceleration was done by sensitivity encoding (SENSE) with accelerations 2, 4, and 6. LV T1 and T2 values were analyzed globally, per slice, and in 16 segments, with SENSE = 2 as the reference.Results: The phantom scans revealed no bias between coils and acceleration factors for T1 or T2, except for T2 with SENSE = 2, which resulted in a bias of 8.0 +/- 6.7 ms (p < 0.001) between coils. SENSE = 4 and 6 enabled T1 mapping of three slices in a single BH, and T2 mapping of three slices within two BHs. In healthy subjects, T1 and T2 values varied. We found an average overestimation of T1 in 3 slices of 25 +/- 87 ms for SENSE = 4 and 30 +/- 103 ms using SENSE = 6, as compared to SENSE = 2. Acceleration resulted in decreased signal-to-noise; however, visually insignificant and without increased incidence of SENSE-artifacts. T2 was overestimated by 2.1 +/- 5.0 ms for SENSE = 4 and 6.4 +/- 9.7 ms using SENSE = 6, as compared to SENSE = 2. Native and post-contrast T1 measurements with SENSE = 4 and ECV quantification in HCM patients was successful.Conclusion: The 72-channel receiver-array coil with SENSE = 4 and 6, enabled LV-tissue characterization in three slices. Pre- and post-contrast T1 maps were obtained in a single BH, while T2 required two BHs.Radiolog

Non-invasive stereotactic arrhythmia radiotherapy for ventricular tachycardia: results of the prospective STARNL-1 trial

Aims: Stereotactic arrhythmia radiotherapy (STAR) is suggested as potentially effective and safe treatment for patients with therapy-refractory ventricular tachycardia (VT). However, the current prospective knowledge base and experience with STAR is limited. In this study we aimed to prospectively evaluate the efficacy and safety of STAR. Methods and results: The StereoTactic Arrhythmia Radiotherapy in the Netherlands no.1 was a pre-post intervention study to prospectively evaluate efficacy and safety of STAR. In patients with therapy-refractory VT, the pro-arrhythmic region was treated with a 25 Gy single radiotherapy fraction. The main efficacy measure was a reduction in the number of treated VT-episodes by >= 50%, comparing the 12 months before and after treatment (or end of follow-up, excluding a 6-week blanking period). The study was deemed positive when >= 50% of patients would meet this criterion. Safety evaluation included left ventricular ejection fraction, pulmonary function, and adverse events. Six male patients with an ischaemic cardiomyopathy were enrolled, and median age was 73 years (range 54-83). Median left ventricular ejection fraction was 38% (range 24-52). The median planning target volume was 187 mL (range 93-372). Four (67%) patients completed the 12-month follow-up, and two patients died (not STAR related) during follow-up. The main efficacy measure of >= 50% reduction in treated VT-episodes at the end of follow-up was achieved in four patients (67%). The median number of treated VT-episodes was reduced by 87%. No reduction in left ventricular ejection fraction or pulmonary function was observed. No treatment related serious adverse events occurred. Conclusions: STAR resulted in a >= 50% reduction in treated VT-episodes in 4/6 (67%) patients. No reduction in cardiac and pulmonary function nor treatment-related serious adverse events were observed during follow-up.Biological, physical and clinical aspects of cancer treatment with ionising radiatio

Genetic and In Vitro Inhibition of PCSK9 and Calcific Aortic Valve Stenosis

The authors investigated whether PCSK9 inhibition could represent a therapeutic strategy in calcific aortic valve stenosis (CAVS). A meta-analysis of 10 studies was performed to determine the impact of the PCSK9 R46L variant on CAVS, and the authors found that CAVS was less prevalent in carriers of this variant (odds ratio: 0.80 [95% confidence interval: 0.70 to 0.91]; p = 0.0011) compared with noncarriers. PCSK9 expression was higher in the aortic valves of patients CAVS compared with control patients. In human valve interstitials cells submitted to a pro-osteogenic medium, PCSK9 levels increased and a PCSK9 neutralizing antibody significantly reduced calcium accumulation

Quantification of myocardial creatine and triglyceride content in the human heart: precision and accuracy of in vivo proton magnetic resonance spectroscopy

Background Proton magnetic resonance spectroscopy (H-1-MRS) of the human heart is deemed to be a quantitative method to investigate myocardial metabolite content, but thorough validations of in vivo measurements against invasive techniques are lacking.Purpose To determine measurement precision and accuracy for quantifications of myocardial total creatine and triglyceride content with localized H-1-MRS.Study type Test-retest repeatability and measurement validation study.Subjects Sixteen volunteers and 22 patients scheduled for open-heart aortic valve replacement or septal myectomy.Field Strength/Sequence Prospectively ECG-triggered respiratory-gated free-breathing single-voxel point-resolved spectroscopy (PRESS) sequence at 3 T.Assessment Myocardial total creatine and triglyceride content were quantified relative to the total water content by fitting the H-1-MR spectra. Precision was assessed with measurement repeatability. Accuracy was assessed by validating in vivo H-1-MRS measurements against biochemical assays in myocardial tissue from the same subjects.Statistical Tests Intrasession and intersession repeatability was assessed using Bland-Altman analyses. Agreement between H-1-MRS measurements and biochemical assay was tested with regression analyses.Results The intersession repeatability coefficient for myocardial total creatine content was 41.8% with a mean value of 0.083% +/- 0.020% of the total water signal, and 36.7% for myocardial triglyceride content with a mean value of 0.35% +/- 0.13% of the total water signal. Ex vivo myocardial total creatine concentrations in tissue samples correlated with the in vivo myocardial total creatine content measured with H-1-MRS: n = 22, r = 0.44; P < 0.05. Likewise, ex vivo myocardial triglyceride concentrations correlated with the in vivo myocardial triglyceride content: n = 20, r = 0.50; P < 0.05.Data Conclusion We validated the use of localized H-1-MRS of the human heart at 3 T for quantitative assessments of in vivo myocardial tissue metabolite content by estimating the measurement precision and accuracy.Level of Evidence 2Technical Efficacy Stage 2Cardiovascular Aspects of Radiolog

The necessity of drawing up the annual production plan and the importance of establishment crop structure for next agricultural year

Planning represents establishment and substantiate the objectives, accomplish tasks and necessary resources for appropriate period plan ( of perspective, annual, quarterly, monthly). Drawing up annual production plan into a ferm is required primarily for evolution or involution recorded by economical phenomenes, which directly determines the operation of the farm. After determining the annual production plan can establish structures and cultures for the next agricultural year using modeling and simulation methods. Following the application of modeling and simulation methods in a farm resulting optimal dimensions of business operations with profit maximization in terms of economic efficiency increased

Novel Loci for Adiponectin Levels and Their Influence on Type 2 Diabetes and Metabolic Traits : A Multi-Ethnic Meta-Analysis of 45,891 Individuals

J. Kaprio, S. Ripatti ja M.-L. Lokki työryhmien jäseniä.Peer reviewe