1,460 research outputs found

    Halfway to doubling of CO2 radiative forcing

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    The “double CO2” experiment has become a standard experiment in climate science, and a convenient way of comparing the sensitivity of different climate models. Double CO2 was first used by Arrhenius in the 19th century and in the classic paper by Manabe and Wetherald, published 50 years ago, which marked the start of the modern era of climate modeling. Doubling CO2 now has an iconic role in climate research. The equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) is defined as the global-mean surface temperature change resulting from a doubling of CO2, which is a headline result in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessments. In its most recent assessment IPCC concluded that the ECS “is likely in the range 1.5 to 4.5oC”. We show that we are now halfway to doubling of CO2 since pre-industrial times in terms of radiative forcing, but not in concentration

    Inferring Absorbing Organic Carbon Content from AERONET Data

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    Black carbon, light-absorbing organic carbon (often called brown carbon) and mineral dust are the major light-absorbing aerosols. Currently the sources and formation of brown carbon aerosol in particular are not well understood. In this study we estimated globally the amount of light absorbing organic carbon and black carbon from AERONET measurements. We find that the columnar absorbing organic carbon (brown carbon) levels in biomass burning regions of South-America and Africa are relatively high (about 15-20 magnesium per square meters during biomass burning season), while the concentrations are significantly lower in urban areas in US and Europe. However, we estimated significant absorbing organic carbon amounts from the data of megacities of newly industrialized countries, particularly in India and China, showing also clear seasonality with peak values up to 30-35 magnesium per square meters during the coldest season, likely caused by the coal and biofuel burning used for heating. We also compared our retrievals with the modeled organic carbon by global Oslo CTM for several sites. Model values are higher in biomass burning regions than AERONET-based retrievals, while opposite is true in urban areas in India and China

    DynaCT during EVAR – A Comparison with Multidetector CT

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    AbstractObjectivesWe have explored the usefulness of an on-table, cross-sectional radiological imaging (DynaCT) in endovascular aortic repair (EVAR). DynaCT images were compared to images from a regular multidetector (16 slice) CT. In the comparison, we tested the accordance of firstly 5 relevant clinical measurements and secondly the visibility of 9 anatomical areas in the two different types of images. This imaging was carried out in addition to the usual angiographic imaging.Design, material and method20 patients with infrarenal abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) were prospectively enrolled in the study. We compared Images from DynaCT with two different doses of contrast medium to MDCT-images in two different ways. Firstly relevant arterial diameters and lengths and secondly, 9 anatomical areas were evaluated regarding visibility which was scored on a 4-point scale.ResultsThere were no significant differences in the measured arterial diameters and lengths. MDCT had a significantly higher visibility score than both DynaCT investigations. However, with the highest contrast medium dose we found acceptable diagnostic quality in 78–94% of the cases for 8 of the 9 investigated anatomical areas.ConclusionOur findings indicate that on-table DynaCT are of sufficient quality to give relevant information of arterial measurements, needed in endovascular repair of infrarenal aortic aneurysms

    Is there a trend in cirrus cloud cover due to aircraft traffic?

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    Trends in cirrus cloud cover have been estimated based on 16 years of data from ISCCP (International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project). The results have been spatially correlated with aircraft density data to determine the changes in cirrus cloud cover due to aircraft traffic. The correlations are only moderate, as many other factors have also contributed to changes in cirrus. Still we regard the results to be indicative of an impact of aircraft on cirrus amount. The main emphasis of our study is on the area covered by the METEOSAT satellite to avoid trends in the ISCCP data resulting from changing satellite viewing geometry. In Europe, which is within the METEOSAT region, we find indications of a trend of about 1-2% cloud cover per decade due to aircraft, in reasonable agreement with previous studies. The positive trend in cirrus in areas of high aircraft traffic contrasts with a general negative trend in cirrus. Extrapolation in time to cover the entire period of aircraft operations and in space to cover the global scale yields a mean estimate of 0.03 Wm<sup>-2</sup> (lower limit 0.01, upper limit 0.08 Wm<sup>-2</sup>) for the radiative forcing due to aircraft induced cirrus. The mean is close to the value given by IPCC (1999) as an upper limit

    Climate Impacts From a Removal of Anthropogenic Aerosol Emissions

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    Limiting global warming to 1.5 or 2.0°C requires strong mitigation of anthropogenic greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Concurrently, emissions of anthropogenic aerosols will decline, due to coemission with GHG, and measures to improve air quality. However, the combined climate effect of GHG and aerosol emissions over the industrial era is poorly constrained. Here we show the climate impacts from removing present-day anthropogenic aerosol emissions and compare them to the impacts from moderate GHG-dominated global warming. Removing aerosols induces a global mean surface heating of 0.5–1.1°C, and precipitation increase of 2.0–4.6%. Extreme weather indices also increase. We find a higher sensitivity of extreme events to aerosol reductions, per degree of surface warming, in particular over the major aerosol emission regions. Under near-term warming, we find that regional climate change will depend strongly on the balance between aerosol and GHG forcing

    Monitoring QI Maturity of Public Health Organizations and Systems in Minnesota: Promising Early Findings and Suggested Next Steps

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    Public health departments and systems are increasing investments in quality improvement. This paper presents methods used to identify a select number of items from a previously validated QI Maturity Tool as the basis for calculating organizational and system-level QI maturity scores that could be followed over time. Findings suggest that the abbreviated tool measures variation in QI maturity across LHDs, and differences in scores among divisions within a state health department. Minnesota has incorporated the abbreviated tool into an annual reporting system for the MN Local Public Health Act, thereby enabling stakeholders to monitor a system median score and distribution of scores every year. Such information will be used by state and local partners to identify opportunities for system-wide improvements
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