Living Rationally Under the Volcano? An Empirical Analysis of Heavy Drinking and Smoking

This study investigates whether models of forward-looking behavior explain the observed patterns of heavy drinking and smoking of men in late middle age in the Health and Retirement Study better than myopic models. We develop and estimate a sequence of nested models which differ by their degree of forward-looking behavior. We also study models which allow for heterogeneity in discounting, and thus test whether certain types of individuals are more likely to show forward-looking behavior than other types. Our empirical findings suggest that forward-looking models with an annual discount factor of approximately 0.78 fit the data the best. These models also dominate other behavioral models based on out-of-sample predictions using data of men aged 70 and over. Myopic models predict rates of smoking and drinking for old individuals which are significantly larger than those found in the data on elderly men.

Living Rationally Under the Volcano? Heavy Drinking and Smoking Among the Elderly

Most rational addiction models focus on how drinking and smoking are made when young. Yet, the costs of drinking and smoking generally come later in life. We focus on the decisions of the elderly where individuals know their propensity for addiction but are uncertain about their future earnings and helath status. Using data from the Health and Retirement Survey, we estimate a dynamic stochastic model of heavy drinking and smoking of the elderly. Individuals make decisions not only based upon the current effects of heavy drinking and smoking, but also the future effects of drinking and smoking on earnings, health, and mortality. We are especially interested in the identification of the discount factor. We show how the likelihood function varies with the discount factor and also how behavior decisions vary from not estimating a dyanmic model. In particular, we find that the dynamic model forecasts more drinking and smoking as well as individuals living longer. This is because individuals know when, and when not to, engage in heavy drinking and smoking behavior.rational addition, dynamic discrete choice, economics of the elderly

A Demonstration of the Infrared Activity of Carbon Dioxide

Before they can talk meaningfully about anthropogenic climate change, students need to grasp basic principles of natural planetary climates, for example, the key role of trace atmospheric gases in setting surface temperature. We describe a dramatic demonstration that scales well for large audiences and that requires as little as ten classroom minutes to show the crucial difference between room air and carbon dioxide gas. Beyond its significance for public policy, the demonstration can serve as a springboard to motivate discussion of important physics concepts such as rotation and vibration spectra

Systematic Review – Final: Does seeding after severe forest fires in western USA mitigate negative impacts on soils and plant communities

Broadcast seeding is one of the most widely used post-wildfire emergency response treatments intended to reduce soil erosion, increase vegetative ground cover, and minimize establishment and spread of non-native plant species. However, seeding treatments can also have negative effects such as competition with recovering native plant communities and inadvertent introduction of invasive species. With the last review occurring in 2004 there is a need to re-examine what is known about the effectiveness and ecological impacts of post-fire seeding specific to forested ecosystems across the western U.S

Radioprotective effect of lidocaine on neurotransmitter agonist-induced secretion in irradiated salivary glands.

Previously we verified the radioprotective effect of lidocaine on the function and ultrastructure of salivary glands in rabbits. However, the underlying mechanism of lidocaine's radioprotective effect is unknown. We hypothesized that lidocaine, as a membrane stabilization agent, has a protective effect on intracellular neuroreceptor-mediated signaling and hence can help preserve the secretory function of salivary glands during radiotherapy. Rabbits were irradiated with or without pretreatment with lidocaine before receiving fractionated radiation to a total dose of 35 Gy. Sialoscintigraphy and saliva total protein assay were performed before radiation and 1 week after the last radiation fraction. Isolated salivary gland acini were stimulated with either carbachol or adrenaline. Ca(2+) influx in response to the stimulation with these agonists was measured using laser scanning confocal microscopy. The uptake of activity and the excretion fraction of the parotid glands were significantly reduced after radiation, but lidocaine had a protective effect. Saliva total protein concentration was not altered after radiation. For isolated acini, Ca(2+) influx in response to stimulation with carbachol, but not adrenaline, was impaired after irradiation; lidocaine pretreatment attenuated this effect. Lidocaine has a radioprotective effect on the capacity of muscarinic agonist-induced water secretion in irradiated salivary glands

Towards an Intelligent Tutor for Mathematical Proofs

Computer-supported learning is an increasingly important form of study since it allows for independent learning and individualized instruction. In this paper, we discuss a novel approach to developing an intelligent tutoring system for teaching textbook-style mathematical proofs. We characterize the particularities of the domain and discuss common ITS design models. Our approach is motivated by phenomena found in a corpus of tutorial dialogs that were collected in a Wizard-of-Oz experiment. We show how an intelligent tutor for textbook-style mathematical proofs can be built on top of an adapted assertion-level proof assistant by reusing representations and proof search strategies originally developed for automated and interactive theorem proving. The resulting prototype was successfully evaluated on a corpus of tutorial dialogs and yields good results.Comment: In Proceedings THedu'11, arXiv:1202.453

Simultaneous Quantification and Visualization of Titanium Dioxide Nanomaterial Uptake at the Single Cell Level in an In Vitro Model of the Human Small Intestine

International audienceUseful properties render titanium dioxide nanomaterials (NMs) to be one of the most commonly used NMs worldwide. TiO2 powder is used as food additives (E171), which may contain up to 36% nanoparticles. Consequently, humans could be exposed to comparatively high amounts of NMs that may induce adverse effects of chronic exposure conditions. Visualization and quantification of cellular NM uptake as well as their interactions with biomolecules within cells are key issues regarding risk assessment. Advanced quantitative imaging tools for NM detection within biological environments are therefore required. A combination of the label-free spatially resolved dosimetric tools, microresolved particle induced X-ray emission and Rutherford backscattering, together with high resolution imaging techniques, such as time-of-flight secondary ion mass spectrometry and transmission electron microscopy, are applied to visualize the cellular translocation pattern of TiO2 NMs and to quantify the NM-load, cellular major, and trace elements in differentiated Caco-2 cells as a function of their surface properties at the single cell level. Internalized NMs are not only able to impair the cellular homeostasis by themselves, but also to induce an intracellular redistribution of metabolically relevant elements such as phosphorus, sulfur, iron, and copper

Colon Capsule Endoscopy compared to Conventional Colonoscopy under routine screening conditions

Colonoscopy (CSPY) for colorectal cancer screening has several limitations. Colon Capsule Endoscopy (PillCam Colon, CCE) was compared to CSPY under routine screening conditions

Effects of Human Respiratory Syncytial Virus, Metapneumovirus, Parainfluenza Virus 3 and Influenza Virus on CD4+ T Cell Activation by Dendritic Cells

BACKGROUND: Human respiratory syncytial virus (HRSV), and to a lesser extent human metapneumovirus (HMPV) and human parainfluenza virus type 3 (HPIV3), re-infect symptomatically throughout life without antigenic change, suggestive of incomplete immunity. One causative factor is thought to be viral interference with dendritic cell (DC)-mediated stimulation of CD4+ T cells. METHODOLOGY, PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: We infected human monocyte-derived DC with purified HRSV, HMPV, HPIV3, or influenza A virus (IAV) and compared their ability to induce activation and proliferation of autologous CD4+ T cells in vitro. IAV was included because symptomatic re-infection without antigenic change is less frequent, suggesting that immune protection is more complete and durable. We examined virus-specific memory responses and superantigen-induced responses by multiparameter flow cytometry. Live virus was more stimulatory than inactivated virus in inducing DC-mediated proliferation of virus-specific memory CD4+ T cells, suggesting a lack of strong suppression by live virus. There were trends of increasing proliferation in the order: HMPV<HRSV<HPIV3<IAV, and greater production of interferon-γ and tumor necrosis factor-α by proliferating cells in response to IAV, but differences were not significant. Exposure of DC to HRSV, HPIV3, or IAV reduced CD4+ T cell proliferation in response to secondary stimulus with superantigen, but the effect was transitory and greatest for IAV. T cell cytokine production was similar, with no evidence of Th2 or Th17 skewing. CONCLUSIONS, SIGNIFICANCE: Understanding the basis for the ability of HRSV in particular to symptomatically re-infect without significant antigenic change is of considerable interest. The present results show that these common respiratory viruses are similar in their ability to induce DC to activate CD4+ T cells. Thus, the results do not support the common model in which viral suppression of CD4+ T cell activation and proliferation by HRSV, HMPV, and HPIV3 is a major factor in the difference in re-infectability compared to IAV

Genome-wide transcriptional response of primary alveolar macrophages following infection with porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome virus

Porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome is a major cause of economic loss for the swine industry worldwide. Porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome virus (PRRSV) triggers weak and atypical innate immune responses, but key genes and mechanisms by which the virus interferes with the host innate immunity have not yet been elucidated. In this study, genes that control the response of the main target of PRRSV, porcine alveolar macrophages (PAMs), were profiled in vitro with a time-course experiment spanning the first round of virus replication. PAMs were obtained from six piglets and challenged with the Lelystad PRRSV strain, and gene expression was investigated using Affymetrix microarrays and real-time PCR. Of the 1409 differentially expressed transcripts identified by analysis of variance, two, five, 25, 16 and 100 differed from controls by a minimum of 1.5-fold at 1, 3, 6, 9 and 12 h post-infection (p.i.), respectively. A PRRSV infection effect was detectable between 3 and 6 h p.i., and was characterized by a consistent downregulation of gene expression, followed by the start of the host innate immune response at 9 h p.i. The expression of beta interferon 1 (IFN-β), but not of IFN-α, was strongly upregulated, whilst few genes commonly expressed in response to viral infections and/or induced by interferons were found to be differentially expressed. A predominance of anti-apoptotic transcripts (e.g. interleukin-10), a shift towards a T-helper cell type 2 response and a weak upregulation of tumour necrosis factor-α expression were observed within 12 h p.i., reinforcing the hypotheses that PRRSV has developed sophisticated mechanisms to escape the host defence