Age and frailty are independently associated with increased COVID-19 mortality and increased care needs in survivors: results of an international multi-centre study

Introduction: Increased mortality has been demonstrated in older adults with COVID-19, but the effect of frailty has been unclear. Methods: This multi-centre cohort study involved patients aged 18 years and older hospitalised with COVID-19, using routinely collected data. We used Cox regression analysis to assess the impact of age, frailty, and delirium on the risk of inpatient mortality, adjusting for sex, illness severity, inflammation, and co-morbidities. We used ordinal logistic regression analysis to assess the impact of age, Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS), and delirium on risk of increased care requirements on discharge, adjusting for the same variables. Results: Data from 5,711 patients from 55 hospitals in 12 countries were included (median age 74, IQR 54–83; 55.2% male). The risk of death increased independently with increasing age (>80 vs 18–49: HR 3.57, CI 2.54–5.02), frailty (CFS 8 vs 1–3: HR 3.03, CI 2.29–4.00) inflammation, renal disease, cardiovascular disease, and cancer, but not delirium. Age, frailty (CFS 7 vs 1–3: OR 7.00, CI 5.27–9.32), delirium, dementia, and mental health diagnoses were all associated with increased risk of higher care needs on discharge. The likelihood of adverse outcomes increased across all grades of CFS from 4 to 9. Conclusions: Age and frailty are independently associated with adverse outcomes in COVID-19. Risk of increased care needs was also increased in survivors of COVID-19 with frailty or older age

Increasing frailty is associated with higher prevalence and reduced recognition of delirium in older hospitalised inpatients: results of a multi-centre study

Purpose: Delirium is a neuropsychiatric disorder delineated by an acute change in cognition, attention, and consciousness. It is common, particularly in older adults, but poorly recognised. Frailty is the accumulation of deficits conferring an increased risk of adverse outcomes. We set out to determine how severity of frailty, as measured using the CFS, affected delirium rates, and recognition in hospitalised older people in the United Kingdom. Methods: Adults over 65 years were included in an observational multi-centre audit across UK hospitals, two prospective rounds, and one retrospective note review. Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS), delirium status, and 30-day outcomes were recorded. Results: The overall prevalence of delirium was 16.3% (483). Patients with delirium were more frail than patients without delirium (median CFS 6 vs 4). The risk of delirium was greater with increasing frailty [OR 2.9 (1.8–4.6) in CFS 4 vs 1–3; OR 12.4 (6.2–24.5) in CFS 8 vs 1–3]. Higher CFS was associated with reduced recognition of delirium (OR of 0.7 (0.3–1.9) in CFS 4 compared to 0.2 (0.1–0.7) in CFS 8). These risks were both independent of age and dementia. Conclusion: We have demonstrated an incremental increase in risk of delirium with increasing frailty. This has important clinical implications, suggesting that frailty may provide a more nuanced measure of vulnerability to delirium and poor outcomes. However, the most frail patients are least likely to have their delirium diagnosed and there is a significant lack of research into the underlying pathophysiology of both of these common geriatric syndromes

A Prognostic Gene-Expression Signature and Risk Score for Meningioma Recurrence After Resection.

BackgroundPrognostic markers for meningioma are needed to risk-stratify patients and guide postoperative surveillance and adjuvant therapy.ObjectiveTo identify a prognostic gene signature for meningioma recurrence and mortality after resection using targeted gene-expression analysis.MethodsTargeted gene-expression analysis was used to interrogate a discovery cohort of 96 meningiomas and an independent validation cohort of 56 meningiomas with comprehensive clinical follow-up data from separate institutions. Bioinformatic analysis was used to identify prognostic genes and generate a gene-signature risk score between 0 and 1 for local recurrence.ResultsWe identified a 36-gene signature of meningioma recurrence after resection that achieved an area under the curve of 0.86 in identifying tumors at risk for adverse clinical outcomes. The gene-signature risk score compared favorably to World Health Organization (WHO) grade in stratifying cases by local freedom from recurrence (LFFR, P < .001 vs .09, log-rank test), shorter time to failure (TTF, F-test, P < .0001), and overall survival (OS, P < .0001 vs .07) and was independently associated with worse LFFR (relative risk [RR] 1.56, 95% CI 1.30-1.90) and OS (RR 1.32, 95% CI 1.07-1.64), after adjusting for clinical covariates. When tested on an independent validation cohort, the gene-signature risk score remained associated with shorter TTF (F-test, P = .002), compared favorably to WHO grade in stratifying cases by OS (P = .003 vs P = .10), and was significantly associated with worse OS (RR 1.86, 95% CI 1.19-2.88) on multivariate analysis.ConclusionThe prognostic meningioma gene-expression signature and risk score presented may be useful for identifying patients at risk for recurrence