Differences in breast cancer risk after benign breast disease by type of screening diagnosis

Neoplàsies de mama; Detecció precoç del càncer; Factors de riscNeoplasias de mama; Detección precoz del cáncer; Factores de riesgoBreast neoplasms; Early cancer detection; Risk factorsIntroduction: We aimed to assess differences in breast cancer risk across benign breast disease diagnosed at prevalent or incident screens. Materials and methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study with data from 629,087 women participating in a long-standing population-based breast cancer screening program in Spain. Each benign breast disease was classified as non-proliferative, proliferative without atypia, or roliferative with atypia, and whether it was diagnosed in a prevalent or incident screen. We used partly conditional Cox hazard regression to estimate the adjusted hazard ratios of the risk of breast cancer. Results: Compared with women without benign breast disease, the risk of breast cancer was significantly higher (p-value ¼ 0.005) in women with benign breast disease diagnosed in an incident screen (aHR, 2.67; 95%CI: 2.24e3.19) than in those with benign breast disease diagnosed in a prevalent screen (aHR, 1.87; 95%CI: 1.57e2.24). The highest risk was found in women with a proliferative benign breast disease with atypia (aHR, 4.35; 95%CI: 2.09e9.08, and 3.35; 95%CI: 1.51e7.40 for those diagnosed at incident and prevalent screens, respectively), while the lowest was found in women with non-proliferative benign breast disease (aHR, 2.39; 95%CI: 1.95e2.93, and 1.63; 95%CI: 1.32e2.02 for those diagnosed at incident and prevalent screens, respectively). Conclusion: Our study showed that the risk of breast cancer conferred by a benign breast disease differed according to type of screen (prevalent or incident). To our knowledge, this is the first study to analyse the impact of the screening type on benign breast disease prognosisThis study was supported by grants from Instituto de Salud Carlos III FEDER (grant numbers: PI15/00098 and PI17/00047), and by the Research Network on Health Services in Chronic Diseases (RD12/0001/0015

Personalized Breast Cancer Screening: A Risk Prediction Model Based on Women Attending BreastScreen Norway

Background: We aimed to develop and validate a model predicting breast cancer risk for women targeted by breast cancer screening. Method: This retrospective cohort study included 57,411 women screened at least once in BreastScreen Norway during the period from 2007 to 2019. The prediction model included information about age, mammographic density, family history of breast cancer, body mass index, age at menarche, alcohol consumption, exercise, pregnancy, hormone replacement therapy, and benign breast disease. We calculated a 4-year absolute breast cancer risk estimates for women and in risk groups by quartiles. The Bootstrap resampling method was used for internal validation of the model (E/O ratio). The area under the curve (AUC) was estimated with a 95% confidence interval (CI). Results: The 4-year predicted risk of breast cancer ranged from 0.22–7.33%, while 95% of the population had a risk of 0.55–2.31%. The thresholds for the quartiles of the risk groups, with 25% of the population in each group, were 0.82%, 1.10%, and 1.47%. Overall, the model slightly overestimated the risk with an E/O ratio of 1.10 (95% CI: 1.09–1.11) and the AUC was 62.6% (95% CI: 60.5–65.0%). Conclusions: This 4-year risk prediction model showed differences in the risk of breast cancer, supporting personalized screening for breast cancer in women aged 50–69 years

Developing and validating an individualized breast cancer risk prediction model for women attending breast cancer screening

Several studies have proposed personalized strategies based on women's individual breast cancer risk to improve the effectiveness of breast cancer screening. We designed and internally validated an individualized risk prediction model for women eligible for mammography screening. Retrospective cohort study of 121,969 women aged 50 to 69 years, screened at the long-standing population-based screening program in Spain between 1995 and 2015 and followed up until 2017. We used partly conditional Cox proportional hazards regression to estimate the adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) and individual risks for age, family history of breast cancer, previous benign breast disease, and previous mammographic features. We internally validated our model with the expected-to-observed ratio and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. During a mean follow-up of 7.5 years, 2,058 women were diagnosed with breast cancer. All three risk factors were strongly associated with breast cancer risk, with the highest risk being found among women with family history of breast cancer (aHR: 1.67), a proliferative benign breast disease (aHR: 3.02) and previous calcifications (aHR: 2.52). The model was well calibrated overall (expected-to-observed ratio ranging from 0.99 at 2 years to 1.02 at 20 years) but slightly overestimated the risk in women with proliferative benign breast disease. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve ranged from 58.7% to 64.7%, depending of the time horizon selected. We developed a risk prediction model to estimate the short- and long-term risk of breast cancer in women eligible for mammography screening using information routinely reported at screening participation. The model could help to guiding individualized screening strategies aimed at improving the risk-benefit balance of mammography screening programs

Attitudes and perceptions about clinical guidelines: a qualitative study with Spanish physicians

Estudio cuyo objetivo es la evaluación de las actitudes y percepciones los médicos españoles con relación las Guías de práctica clínica. Spanish physicians towards CGs

The Future of Cities

This report is an initiative of the Joint Research Centre (JRC), the science and knowledge service of the European Commission (EC), and supported by the Commission's Directorate-General for Regional and Urban Policy (DG REGIO). It highlights drivers shaping the urban future, identifying both the key challenges cities will have to address and the strengths they can capitalise on to proactively build their desired futures. The main aim of this report is to raise open questions and steer discussions on what the future of cities can, and should be, both within the science and policymaker communities. While addressing mainly European cities, examples from other world regions are also given since many challenges and solutions have a global relevance. The report is particularly novel in two ways. First, it was developed in an inclusive manner – close collaboration with the EC’s Community of Practice on Cities (CoP-CITIES) provided insights from the broader research community and city networks, including individual municipalities, as well as Commission services and international organisations. It was also extensively reviewed by an Editorial Board. Secondly, the report is supported by an online ‘living’ platform which will host future updates, including additional analyses, discussions, case studies, comments and interactive maps that go beyond the scope of the current version of the report. Steered by the JRC, the platform will offer a permanent virtual space to the research, practice and policymaking community for sharing and accumulating knowledge on the future of cities. This report is produced in the framework of the EC Knowledge Centre for Territorial Policies and is part of a wider series of flagship Science for Policy reports by the JRC, investigating future perspectives concerning Artificial Intelligence, the Future of Road Transport, Resilience, Cybersecurity and Fairness Interactive online platform : https://urban.jrc.ec.europa.eu/thefutureofcitiesJRC.B.3-Territorial Developmen

Individualized breast cancer risk prediction models applied to population-based screening mammography

Introducció: S'ha demostrat que el cribratge mamogràfic redueix la mortalitat per càncer de mama. Seguint les recomanacions de la Comissió Europea, els països europeus han establert programes poblacionals de cribratge que ofereixen mamografies biennals a dones d'entre 50 i 69 anys d'edat. No obstant això, el cribratge de càncer de mama no està lliure de controvèrsia ja que existeix un debat en relació a l'equilibri entre la reducció de la mortalitat i els efectes adversos. Per a millorar aquest equilibri, l'evidència científica actual dóna suport al cribratge personalitzat. Els estudis de modelització han demostrat que modificar l'interval de cribratge, la prova de cribratge o el rang d'edat de la població objectiu en funció del risc individual de les dones produeix un major benefici que les estratègies convencionals. Per tant, és necessari ampliar la informació actual sobre els factors de risc d'aquesta malaltia i crear models de predicció del risc individual mitjançant l'anàlisi de grans bases de dades poblacionals. Objectiu: L'objectiu general d'aquesta tesi és aprofundir en l'anàlisi del cribratge poblacional del càncer de mama. En concret, aquesta tesi pretén avaluar diferents factors de risc de càncer de mama per a desenvolupar i validar un model de predicció de risc individual d'aquesta malaltia. Es va analitzar com la densitat mamària afecta als diferents indicadors del cribratge en el context de la mamografia digital. A continuació, es van avaluar les diferències en el risc de càncer de mama en funció de si una lesió benigna de mama es va diagnosticar en un cribratge prevalent o un cribratge incident. També es va analitzar la interacció entre la densitat mamària i les lesions benignes en el risc de desenvolupar càncer de mama. Posteriorment, es va realitzar una revisió sistemàtica per a actualitzar l'evidència existent, dur a terme una valoració crítica i una avaluació del risc de biaix i resumir els resultats dels models de risc individualitzats que s'utilitzen per a estimar el risc de càncer de mama en les dones de la població general. Finalment, es va dissenyar un model de predicció individual del risc de càncer de mama i es va validar internament, a partir d'informació fàcilment accessible en un episodi de cribratge. Conclusions: i) Els diferents indicadors de cribratge es veuen afectats negativament per la densitat mamària, disminuint la sensibilitat i el valor predictiu positiu de la prova a mesura que augmenta la densitat mamària. ii) El risc de càncer de mama conferit per una lesió benigna difereix segons la mena de cribratge (prevalent o incident). Fins on sabem, aquest és el primer estudi que analitza l'impacte del tipus de cribratge en el pronòstic de la lesió benigna. iii) El risc de càncer de mama augmenta de manera independent amb la presència d'una lesió benigna i amb una major densitat mamària i es manté elevat durant més de 15 anys. iv) Els models de predicció són eines prometedores per a implementar polítiques de cribratge basades en el risc individualitzat. No obstant això, és un repte recomanar qualsevol d'ells per a la personalització del cribratge ja que necessiten millorar la seva qualitat i capacitat discriminatòria. v) Es va dissenyar i validar internament un model de predicció de risc capaç d'estimar el risc de càncer de mama a curt i llarg termini utilitzant la informació recollida de manera rutinària en el cribratge mamogràfic. El model inclou edat, antecedents familiars de càncer de mama, antecedents de lesió benigna i patrons mamogràfics previs, que van resultar estar relacionats amb un augment del risc de càncer de mama. El model ha de ser validat externament i actualitzat amb noves variables.Introducción: Se ha demostrado que el cribado mamográfico reduce la mortalidad por cáncer de mama. Siguiendo las recomendaciones de la Comisión Europea, los países europeos han establecido programas poblacionales de cribado que ofrecen mamografías bienales a mujeres de entre 50 y 69 años de edad. Sin embargo, el cribado de cáncer de mama no está libre de controversia ya que existe un debate en cuanto al equilibrio entre la reducción de la mortalidad y los efectos adversos. Para mejorar este equilibrio, la evidencia científica actual apoya el cribado personalizado. Los estudios de modelización han demostrado que modificar el intervalo de cribado, la prueba de cribado o el rango de edad de la población objetivo en función del riesgo individual de las mujeres produce un mayor beneficio que las estrategias convencionales. Por lo tanto, es necesario ampliar la información actual sobre los factores de riesgo de esta enfermedad y crear modelos de predicción del riesgo individual mediante el análisis de grandes bases de datos poblacionales. Objetivo: El objetivo general de esta tesis es profundizar en el análisis del cribado poblacional del cáncer de mama. En concreto, esta tesis pretende evaluar diferentes factores de riesgo de cáncer de mama para desarrollar y validar un modelo de predicción de riesgo individual de esta enfermedad. Se analizó cómo la densidad mamaria afecta a los distintos indicadores de cribado en el contexto de la mamografía digital. A continuación, se evaluaron las diferencias en el riesgo de cáncer de mama en función de si una lesión benigna de mama se diagnosticó en un cribado prevalente o un cribado incidente. También se analizó la interacción entre la densidad mamaria y las lesiones benignas en el riesgo de cáncer de mama. Posteriormente, se realizó una revisión sistemática para actualizar la evidencia existente, llevar a cabo una valoración crítica y una evaluación del riesgo de sesgo y resumir los resultados de los modelos de riesgo individualizados que se utilizan para estimar el riesgo de cáncer de mama en las mujeres de la población general. Por último, se diseñó un modelo de predicción individual del riesgo de cáncer de mama y se validó internamente, basado en información fácilmente accesible en un episodio de cribado. Conclusiones: i) Los distintos indicadores de cribado se ven afectados negativamente por la densidad mamaria, disminuyendo la sensibilidad y el valor predictivo positivo de la prueba a medida que aumenta la densidad mamaria. ii) El riesgo de cáncer de mama conferido por una lesión benigna difiere según el tipo de cribado (prevalente o incidente). Hasta donde sabemos, este es el primer estudio que analiza el impacto del tipo de cribado en el pronóstico de la lesión benigna. iii) El riesgo de cáncer de mama aumenta de forma independiente con la presencia de una lesión benigna y con una mayor densidad mamaria y se mantiene elevado durante más de 15 años. iv) Los modelos de predicción son herramientas prometedoras para implementar políticas de cribado basadas en el riesgo individualizado. Sin embargo, es un reto recomendar cualquiera de ellos para la personalización del cribado ya que necesitan mejorar su calidad y capacidad discriminatoria. v) Diseñamos y validamos internamente un modelo de predicción de riesgo capaz de estimar el riesgo de cáncer de mama a corto y largo plazo utilizando la información recogida de forma rutinaria en el cribado mamográfico. El modelo incluye edad, antecedentes familiares de cáncer de mama, antecedentes de lesión benigna y patrones mamográficos previos, que resultaron estar relacionados con un aumento del riesgo de cáncer de mama. El modelo debe ser validado externamente y actualizado con nuevas variables.Background: Mammographic screening has been shown to reduce mortality from breast cancer. Following the recommendations of the European Council, European countries have started population-based screening programs that offer biennial mammograms to women aged between 50 and 69 years. The results of the effectiveness of population-based screening are controversial in terms of the balance between mortality reduction and adverse effects. To improve this balance, current evidence supports personalized screening. Modeling studies have shown that modifying the screening interval, screening modality, or age range of the target population based on women's individual risk yields a greater benefit than conventional standard strategies. Several risk models have been designed to estimate women's individual breast cancer risk based on their personal characteristics. However, most of these models have not been specifically developed to estimate the risk of women targeted for breast cancer screening. There is therefore a need to broaden current information on risk factors for breast cancer and the estimation of individual risk prediction models through the analysis of large population-based databases. Aims: The general objective of the thesis is to deepen the analysis of population-based breast cancer screening. Specifically, the aim of this thesis is to assess different breast cancer risk factors in order to develop and validate an individualized breast cancer risk prediction model. We evaluated how breast density affects screening performance indicators in a digital mammography context. Then, we assessed differences in breast cancer risk across benign breast disease diagnosed at prevalent or incident screens. To our knowledge, this is the first time that such an approach has been used. We also evaluated the interaction between breast density and benign breast disease. Subsequently, we performed a systematic review to update the existing evidence, conduct a critical appraisal and risk of bias assessment and summarize the results of the individualized risk models that are used to estimate the risk of breast cancer in women in the general population. Finally, a breast cancer risk prediction model was designed and internally validated, based on information easily accessible at screening. Conclusions: i) Performance screening measures are negatively affected by breast density, with sensitivity and positive predictive value decreasing as breast density increases. ii) The risk of breast cancer conferred by benign breast disease differed according to type of screen (prevalent or incident). To our knowledge, this is the first study to analyze the impact of screening type on the prognosis of benign breast disease. iii) The risk of breast cancer independently increased with the presence of benign breast disease and with greater breast density and remained elevated for over 15 years. iv) Individualized risk prediction models are promising tools for implementing risk-based screening policies. However, it is a challenge to recommend any of them since they need further improvement in their quality and discriminatory capacity. v) We designed and internally validated a risk prediction model able to estimate short- and long-term breast cancer risk using information routinely reported at screening participation. The model included age, family history of breast cancer, benign breast disease and previous mammographic findings, which were found to be related to an increase in breast cancer risk. The model should be externally validated and updated with new variables

Discrete event simulation applied to prediction of future demand of colonoscopies

Discrete event simulation was used to model a population-based colorectal cancer screening program. The demand of colonoscopies, including colonoscopies after a positive fecal-occult blood test and surveillance colonoscopies after a premalignant finding, were estimated, with a special focus on sensitivity analysis on the main factors affecting colonosocopy demand and territorial predictions according to the incoming extension of the Program in all regions of Catalonia. Results of the sensitivity analysis showed that FIT positivity is far the most sensitive variable. Territorial results were calculated for each endoscopic unit of Catalonia and an interactive and user-friendly application was developed to make results available to decision-makers. The model predicts a relevant increase in future demand of colonoscopies and, thus, raises the need of careful planning of healthcare resources

Discrete event simulation applied to prediction of future demand of colonoscopies

Discrete event simulation was used to model a population-based colorectal cancer screening program. The demand of colonoscopies, including colonoscopies after a positive fecal-occult blood test and surveillance colonoscopies after a premalignant finding, were estimated, with a special focus on sensitivity analysis on the main factors affecting colonosocopy demand and territorial predictions according to the incoming extension of the Program in all regions of Catalonia. Results of the sensitivity analysis showed that FIT positivity is far the most sensitive variable. Territorial results were calculated for each endoscopic unit of Catalonia and an interactive and user-friendly application was developed to make results available to decision-makers. The model predicts a relevant increase in future demand of colonoscopies and, thus, raises the need of careful planning of healthcare resources

L-cysteine/hydrogen Sulfide Pathway Induces cGMP-dependent Relaxation of Corpus Cavernosum and Penile Arteries From Patients With Erectile Dysfunction and Improves Arterial Vasodilation Induced by PDE5 Inhibition

The aim was to evaluate and characterize H2S-induced relaxation of human corpus cavernosum (HCC) and penile resistance arteries (HPRA) from patients with erectile dysfunction (ED). HCC and HPRA were obtained from men with ED at the time of penile prosthesis insertion. H2S-mediated relaxations were evaluated by exposing these tissues to the stable analogue, NaHS, and to the precursor of H2S, L-cysteine (CYS). The effects of NaHS and CYS were also evaluated on cGMP accumulation in HCC and on acetylcholine- and sildenafil-mediated relaxations in HCC and HPRA. NaHS consistently relaxed HPRA and HCC and more potently than human prostate and bladder. NaHS-induced relaxations in HCC and HPRA were unaffected by the ATP-sensitive K+-channel blocker, glibenclamide or the NO synthase inhibitor, L-NAME, slightly reduced by the Ca2+-activated K+-channel blocker, tetraethylammonium, and markedly inhibited by the soluble guanylyl cyclase inhibitor, ODQ. NaHS caused a cGMP increase in HCC that was inhibited by ODQ. CYS produced relaxations of HCC and HPRA that were sensitive to ODQ and to inhibition of the H2S synthesizing enzymes, cystathionine γ-lyase (CSE) and cystathionine β-synthase (CBS). CYS also increased cGMP in HCC. In contrast to NaHS, CYS-induced relaxations were prevented by endothelium removal in HPRA. Only in HPRA, treatment with CYS (30 μM) potentiated acetylcholine- and sildenafil-induced relaxations. This effect was prevented by CSE/CBS inhibition and by removing the endothelium. Exogenous and endogenous H2S relaxes HCC and HPRA from ED patients through cGMP accumulation and potentiates vasodilatory capacity of PDE5 inhibition, supporting the therapeutic potential of modulating H2S pathway.info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersio