45 research outputs found

    Estimation of conditional laws given an extreme component

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    Let (X,Y)(X,Y) be a bivariate random vector. The estimation of a probability of the form P(YyX>t)P(Y\leq y \mid X >t) is challenging when tt is large, and a fruitful approach consists in studying, if it exists, the limiting conditional distribution of the random vector (X,Y)(X,Y), suitably normalized, given that XX is large. There already exists a wide literature on bivariate models for which this limiting distribution exists. In this paper, a statistical analysis of this problem is done. Estimators of the limiting distribution (which is assumed to exist) and the normalizing functions are provided, as well as an estimator of the conditional quantile function when the conditioning event is extreme. Consistency of the estimators is proved and a functional central limit theorem for the estimator of the limiting distribution is obtained. The small sample behavior of the estimator of the conditional quantile function is illustrated through simulations.Comment: 32 pages, 5 figur

    Determining the phonon DOS from specific heat measurements via maximum entropy methods

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    The maximum entropy and reverse Monte-Carlo methods are applied to the computation of the phonon density of states (DOS) from heat capacity data. The approach is introduced and the formalism is described. Simulated data is used to test the method, and its sensitivity to noise. Heat capacity measurements from diamond are used to demonstrate the use of the method with experimental data. Comparison between maximum entropy and reverse Monte-Carlo results shows the form of the entropy used here is correct, and that results are stable and reliable. Major features of the DOS are picked out, and acoustic and optical phonons can be treated with the same approach. The treatment set out in this paper provides a cost-effective and reliable method for studies of the phonon properties of materials.Comment: Reprint to improve access. 10 pages, 6 figure

    Choosing best practices for managing impacts of trawl fishing on seabed habitats and biota

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    Bottom trawling accounts for almost one quarter of global fish landings but may also have significant and unwanted impacts on seabed habitats and biota. Management measures and voluntary industry actions can reduce these impacts, helping to meet sustainability objectives for fisheries, conservation and environmental management. These include changes in gear design and operation of trawls, spatial controls, impact quotas and effort controls. We review nine different measures and actions and use published studies anda simple conceptual model to evaluate and compare their performance. The risks and benefits of these management measures depend on the extent to which the fishery is already achieving management objectives for target stocks and the characteristics of the management system that is already in place. We offer guidance on identifying best practices for trawl-fisheries management and show that best practices and their likelihood of reducing trawling impacts depend on local, national and regional management objectives and priorities, societal values and resources for implementation. There is no universalbest practice, and multiple management measures and industry actions are required to meet sustainability objectives and improve trade-offs between food production and environmental protection

    Narrow resonances in the continuum of the unbound nucleus 15^{15}F

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    The structure of the unbound 15^{15}F nucleus is investigated using the inverse kinematics resonant scattering of a radioactive 14^{14}O beam impinging on a CH2_2 target. The analysis of 1^{1}H(14^{14}O,p)14^{14}O and 1^{1}H(14^{14}O,2p)13^{13}N reactions allowed the confirmation of the previously observed narrow 1/21/2^{-} resonance, near the two-proton decay threshold, and the identification of two new narrow 5/2^{-} and 3/2^{-} resonances. The newly observed levels decay by 1p emission to the ground of 14^{14}O, and by sequential 2p emission to the ground state (g.s.) of 13^{13}N via the 11^- resonance of 14^{14}O. Gamow shell model (GSM) analysis of the experimental data suggests that the wave functions of the 5/2^{-} and 3/2^{-} resonances may be collectivized by the continuum coupling to nearby 2p- and 1p- decay channels. The observed excitation function 1^{1}H(14^{14}O,p)14^{14}O and resonance spectrum in 15^{15}F are well reproduced in the unified framework of the GSM
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