10 research outputs found
Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022–2050: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
- Author
- Ababneh Hazim S
- Abate Yohannes Habtegiorgis
- Abbafati Cristiana
- Abbasgholizadeh Rouzbeh
- Abbasian Mohammadreza
- Abbastabar Hedayat
- Abd Al Magied Abdallah H A
- Abd ElHafeez Samar
- Abd-Elsalam Sherief
- Abdelkader Atef
- Abdelmasseh Michael
- Abdi Parsa
- Abdollahi Mohammad
- Abdoun Meriem
- Abdullahi Auwal
- Abebe Mesfin
- Abiodun Olumide
- Aboagye Richard Gyan
- Abolhassani Hassan
- Abouzid Mohamed
- Aboye Girma Beressa
- Abreu Lucas Guimarães
- Absalan Abdorrahim
- Abualruz Hasan
- Abubakar Bilyaminu
- Abukhadijah Hana Jihad Jihad
- Addolorato Giovanni
- Adekanmbi Victor
- Adetunji Charles Oluwaseun
- Adetunji Juliana Bunmi
- Adeyeoluwa Temitayo Esther
- Adha Rishan
- Adhikary Ripon Kumar
- Adnani Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah
- Adzigbli Leticia Akua
- Afrashteh Fatemeh
- Afzal Muhammad Sohail
- Afzal Saira
- Agbozo Faith
- Agodi Antonella
- Agrawal Anurag
- Agyemang-Duah Williams
- Ahinkorah Bright Opoku
- Ahlstrom Austin J
- Ahmad Aqeel
- Ahmad Firdos
- Ahmad Muayyad M
- Ahmad Sajjad
- Ahmad Shahzaib
- Ahmed Anisuddin
- Ahmed Ayman
- Ahmed Haroon
- Ahmed Safoora
- Ahmed Syed Anees
- Akinosoglou Karolina
- Akkaif Mohammed Ahmed
- Akrami Ashley E
- Akter Ema
- Al Awaidy Salah
- Al Hasan Syed Mahfuz
- Al Mosa Amjad S
- Al Ta'ani Omar
- Al Zaabi Omar Ali Mohammed
- Al-Ajlouni Yazan
- Al-Aly Ziyad
- Al-amer Rasmieh Mustafa
- Al-Gheethi Adel Ali Saeed
- Al-Hanawi Mohammed Khaled
- Al-Ibraheem Akram
- Al-Mekhlafi Hesham M
- Al-Sabah Salman Khalifah
- Al-Tammemi Ala'a B.
- Al-Tawfiq Jaffar A
- Al-Wardat Mohammad Sami
- Al-Worafi Yaser Mohammed
- Al-Zyoud Walid
- Alahdab Fares
- Alajlani Muaaz M
- Alalalmeh Samer O
- Alam Khurshid
- Alam Noore
- Alam Tahiya
- Alam Zufishan
- Alanezi Fahad Mashhour
- Alanzi Turki M
- Albakri Almaza
- Aldhaleei Wafa A
- Aldridge Robert W
- Alemohammad Seyedeh Yasaman
- Alemu Yihun Mulugeta
- Ali Abid
- Ali Amjad
- Ali Iman
- Ali Mohammed Usman
- Ali Rafat
- Ali Syed Shujait Shujait
- Ali Victor Ekoche
- Ali Waad
- Alicandro Gianfranco
- Alif Sheikh Mohammad
- Aljunid Syed Mohamed
- Alla François
- Almazan Joseph Uy
- Alqutaibi Ahmed Yaseen
- Alrawashdeh Ahmad
- Alrousan Sahel Majed
- Alsabri Mohammed A
- Altaany Zaid
- Altirkawi Khalid A
- Aluh Deborah Oyine
- Alvis-Guzman Nelson
- Aly Hany
- Alyahya Mohammad Sharif
- Alzoubi Karem H
- Amani Reza
- Ameyaw Edward Kwabena
- Amin Tarek Tawfik
- Amindarolzarbi Alireza
- Amiri Sohrab
- Amirzade-Iranaq Mohammad Hosein
- Amu Hubert
- Amugsi Dickson A
- Ancuceanu Robert
- Anderlini Deanna
- Anderson David B
- Andrade Pedro Prata
- Andrei Catalina Liliana
- Andrei Tudorel
- Andrews Erick Adrian
- Anil Abhishek
- Anil Sneha
- Anoushiravani Amir
- Antony Catherine M
- Antriyandarti Ernoiz
- Anuoluwa Boluwatife Stephen
- Anvari Saeid
- Anyasodor Anayochukwu Edward
- Appiah Francis
- Aquilano Michele
- Arab Juan Pablo
- Arabloo Jalal
- Arafa Elshaimaa A
- Arafat Mosab
- Aravkin Aleksandr Y
- Ardekani Ali
- Areda Demelash
- Aregawi Brhane Berhe
- Aremu Abdulfatai
- Ariffin Hany
- Arkew Mesay
- Armani Keivan
- Artamonov Anton A
- Arumugam Ashokan
- Asghari-Jafarabadi Mohammad
- Ashbaugh Charlie
- Astell-Burt Thomas
- Athari Seyyed Shamsadin
- Atorkey Prince
- Atout Maha Moh'd Wahbi
- Aujayeb Avinash
- Ausloos Marcel
- Awad Hamzeh
- Awotidebe Adedapo Wasiu
- Ayatollahi Haleh
- Ayuso-Mateos Jose L
- Azadnajafabad Sina
- Azeez Fahad Khan
- Azevedo Rui M S
- Badar Muhammad
- Baghdadi Soroush
- Bagheri Mahboube
- Bagheri Nasser
- Bai Ruhai
- Baker Jennifer L
- Bako Abdulaziz T
- Balakrishnan Senthilkumar
- Balcha Wondu Feyisa
- Baltatu Ovidiu Constantin
- Barchitta Martina
- Bardideh Erfan
- Barker-Collo Suzanne Lyn
- Barqawi Hiba Jawdat
- Barteit Sandra
- Basiru Afisu
- Basso João Diogo
- Bastan Mohammad-Mahdi
- Basu Sanjay
- Bauckneht Matteo
- Baune Bernhard T
- Bayati Mohsen
- Bayileyegn Nebiyou Simegnew
- Bärnighausen Till Winfried
- Behnoush Amir Hossein
- Behzadi Payam
- Beiranvand Maryam
- Bello Olorunjuwon Omolaja
- Belo Luis
- Beloukas Apostolos
- Bemanalizadeh Maryam
- Bensenor Isabela M
- Benzian Habib
- Beran Azizullah
- Berezvai Zombor
- Bernstein Robert S
- Bettencourt Paulo J G
- Beyene Kebede A
- Beyene Melak Gedamu
- Bhagat Devidas S
- Bhagavathula Akshaya Srikanth
- Bhala Neeraj
- Bhandari Dinesh
- Bharadwaj Ravi
- Bhardwaj Nikha
- Bhardwaj Pankaj
- Bhargava Ashish
- Bhaskar Sonu
- Bhat Vivek
- Bhattacharjee Natalia V
- Bhatti Gurjit Kaur
- Bhatti Jasvinder Singh
- Bhatti Manpreet S
- Bhuiyan Mohiuddin Ahmed
- Bisignano Catherine
- Biswas Bijit
- Bjørge Tone
- Bodolica Virginia
- Bodunrin Aadam Olalekan
- Bonakdar Hashemi Milad
- Bora Basara Berrak
- Borhany Hamed
- Bosoka Samuel Adolf
- Botero Carvajal Alejandro
- Bouaoud Souad
- Boufous Soufiane
- Boxe Christopher
- Boyko Edward J
- Brady Oliver J
- Braithwaite Dejana
- Brauer Michael
- Brazo-Sayavera Javier
- Brenner Hermann
- Brown Colin Stewart
- Browne Annie J
- Brugha Traolach
- Bryazka Dana
- Bulamu Norma B
- Buonsenso Danilo
- Burkart Katrin
- Burns Richard A
- Busse Reinhard
- Bustanji Yasser
- Butt Zahid A
- Caetano dos Santos Florentino Luciano
- Calina Daniela
- Campos Luciana Aparecida
- Cao Shujin
- Capodici Angelo
- Carreras Giulia
- Carugno Andrea
- Carvalho Márcia
- Castaldelli-Maia Joao Mauricio
- Castelpietra Giulio
- Cattaruzza Maria Sofia
- Caye Arthur
- Cárdenas Rosario
- Cegolon Luca
- Cembranel Francieli
- Cenko Edina
- Cerin Ester
- Chadban Steven J
- Chadwick Joshua
- Chakraborty Chiranjib
- Chakraborty Sandip
- Chalek Julian
- Chan Jeffrey Shi Kai
- Chandika Rama Mohan
- Chandy Sara
- Charan Jaykaran
- Chaudhary Anis Ahmad
- Chaurasia Akhilanand
- Chen An-Tian
- Chen Haowei
- Chen Meng Xuan
- Chen Simiao
- Cherbuin Nicolas
- Chi Gerald
- Chichagi Fatemeh
- Chimed-Ochir Odgerel
- Chimoriya Ritesh
- Ching Patrick R
- Chirinos-Caceres Jesus Lorenzo
- Chitheer Abdulaal
- Cho Daniel Youngwhan
- Cho William C S
- Choi Dong-Woo
- Chong Bryan
- Chong Chean Lin
- Chopra Hitesh
- Chu Dinh-Toi
- Chung Eric
- Chutiyami Muhammad
- Clayton Justin T
- Cogen Rebecca M
- Cohen Aaron J
- Columbus Alyssa
- Comfort Haley
- Conde Joao
- Connolly Jon T
- Cooper Ezra E K
- Cortese Samuele
- Cruz-Martins Natália
- Çakmak Barsbay Mehtap
- D'Oria Mario
- da Silva Alanna Gomes
- Dadras Omid
- Dai Xiaochen
- Dai Zhaoli
- Dalton Bronte E
- Damiani Giovanni
- Dandona Lalit
- Dandona Rakhi
- Das Jai K
- Das Saswati
- Das Subasish
- Dash Nihar Ranjan
- Davletov Kairat
- De la Hoz Fernando Pio
- De Leo Diego
- Debopadhaya Shayom
- Delgado-Enciso Ivan
- Denova-Gutiérrez Edgar
- Dervenis Nikolaos
- Desai Hardik Dineshbhai
- Devanbu Vinoth Gnana Chellaiyan
- Dewan Syed Masudur Rahman
- Dhama Kuldeep
- Dhane Amol S
- Dhingra Sameer
- Dias da Silva Diana
- Diaz Daniel
- Diaz Luis Antonio
- Diaz Michael J
- Dima Adriana
- Ding Delaney D
- do Prado Camila Bruneli
- Do Thao Huynh Phuong
- Dodangeh Masoud
- Dodangeh Milad
- Doegah Phidelia Theresa
- Dohare Sushil
- Dong Wanyue
- Doshi Rajkumar
- Dowou Robert Kokou
- Dsouza Haneil Larson
- Dsouza Viola
- Dube John
- Dumith Samuel C
- Duncan Bruce B
- Duraes Andre Rodrigues
- Duraisamy Senbagam
- Durojaiye Oyewole Christopher
- Dushpanova Anar
- Dutta Sulagna
- Dzianach Paulina Agnieszka
- Dziedzic Arkadiusz Marian
- Eboreime Ejemai
- Ebrahimi Kalan Mohammad
- Ebrahimi Alireza
- Edinur Hisham Atan
- Efendi Ferry
- Eikemo Terje Andreas
- Eini Ebrahim
- Ekundayo Temitope Cyrus
- El Arab Rabie Adel
- El Sayed Iman
- Elamin Osman
- Elemam Noha Mousaad
- ElGohary Ghada Metwally Tawfik
- Elhadi Muhammed
- Elmeligy Omar Abdelsadek Abdou
- Elmoselhi Adel B
- Elshaer Mohammed
- Elsohaby Ibrahim
- Eltahir Mohd. Elmagzoub
- Emeto Theophilus I
- Eshrati Babak
- Eslami Majid
- Esmaeili Zahra
- Fabin Natalia
- Fagbamigbe Adeniyi Francis
- Fagbule Omotayo Francis
- Falzone Luca
- Fareed Mohammad
- Farinha Carla Sofia e Sá
- Faris MoezAlIslam Ezzat Mahmoud
- Faro Andre
- Fasihi Kiana
- Fatehizadeh Ali
- Fauk Nelsensius Klau
- Fazylov Timur
- Feigin Valery L
- Fekadu Ginenus
- Feng Xiaoqi
- Fereshtehnejad Seyed-Mohammad
- Ferrara Pietro
- Ferreira Nuno
- Firew Belete Sewasew
- Fischer Florian
- Fitriana Ida
- Flavel Joanne
- Flor Luisa S
- Folayan Morenike Oluwatoyin
- Foley Kristen Marie
- Fonzo Marco
- Force Lisa M
- Foschi Matteo
- Freitas Alberto
- Fridayani Ni Kadek Yuni
- Fukutaki Kai Glenn
- Furtado João M
- Fux Blima
- Gaal Peter Andras
- Gadanya Muktar A
- Gallus Silvano
- Ganesan Balasankar
- Ganiyani Mohammad Arfat
- Gautam Rupesh K
- Gebi Tilaye Gebru
- Gebregergis Miglas W
- Gebrehiwot Mesfin
- Getacher Lemma
- Getahun Genanew K A
- Gething Peter W
- Ghadimi Delaram J
- Ghadirian Fataneh
- Ghafarian Sadegh
- Ghailan Khalid Yaser
- Ghasemi MohammadReza
- Ghasempour Dabaghi Ghazal
- Ghazy Ramy Mohamed
- Ghoba Sama
- Gholami Ehsan
- Gholamrezanezhad Ali
- Gholizadeh Nasim
- Ghorbani Vajargah Pooyan
- Ghorbani Mahsa
- Ghotbi Elena
- Gil Artyom Urievich
- Gill Tiffany K
- Girmay Alem
- Glasbey James C
- Glushkova Ekaterina Vladimirovna
- Gnedovskaya Elena V
- Goldust Mohamad
- Goleij Pouya
- Golinelli Davide
- Gopalani Sameer Vali
- Goulart Alessandra C
- Gouravani Mahdi
- Goyal Anmol
- Göbölös Laszlo
- Grivna Michal
- Grosso Giuseppe
- Guarducci Giovanni
- Gubari Mohammed Ibrahim Mohialdeen
- Guicciardi Stefano
- Guimarães Rafael Alves
- Gulati Snigdha
- Gulisashvili David
- Gunawardane Damitha Asanga
- Guo Cui
- Gupta Anish Kumar
- Gupta Rahul
- Gupta Rajeev
- Gupta Renu
- Gupta Sapna
- Gupta Vijai Kumar
- Haakenstad Annie
- Hadi Najah R
- Haep Nils
- Hafiz Abdul
- Haghmorad Dariush
- Haile Demewoz
- Haj-Mirzaian Arvin
- Hajj Ali Adel
- Hajj Ali Ali
- Halboub Esam S
- Haller Sebastian
- Halwani Rabih
- Hamagharib Abdullah Kanaan
- Hamdy Nadia M
- Hamoudi Rifat
- Hanifi Nasrin
- Hankey Graeme J
- Haq Zaim Anan
- Haque Md Rabiul
- Harapan Harapan
- Hargono Arief
- Haro Josep Maria
- Hasaballah Ahmed I
- Hasan S. M. Mahmudul
- Hasanian Mohammad
- Hasnain Md Saquib
- Hassan Amr
- Haubold Johannes
- Hay Simon I
- Hebert Jeffrey J
- Hegazi Omar E
- Heidari Mohammad
- Hemmati Mehdi
- Henson Claire A
- Herrera-Serna Brenda Yuliana
- Herteliu Claudiu
- Heydari Majid
- Hezam Kamal
- Hidayana Irma
- Hiraike Yuta
- Hoan Nguyen Quoc
- Holla Ramesh
- Hoogar Praveen
- Horita Nobuyuki
- Hossain Md Mahbub
- Hosseinzadeh Hassan
- Hosseinzadeh Mehdi
- Hostiuc Mihaela
- Hostiuc Sorin
- Hu Chengxi
- Huang Junjie
- Hultström Michael
- Hundie Tsegaye Gebreyes
- Hunt Aliza J
- Hushmandi Kiavash
- Hussain Javid
- Hussain M. Azhar
- Hussein Nawfal R
- Huynh Hong-Han
- Hwang Bing-Fang
- Ibitoye Segun Emmanuel
- Iftikhar Pulwasha Maria
- Ikiroma Adalia I
- Ikwegbue Paul Chukwudi
- Ilic Irena M
- Ilic Milena D
- Immurana Mustapha
- Isa Mustafa Alhaji
- Islam Md. Rabiul
- Islam Sheikh Mohammed Shariful
- Ismail Faisal
- Ismail Nahlah Elkudssiah
- Isola Gaetano
- Iwagami Masao
- Iyamu Ihoghosa Osamuyi
- Jacob Louis
- Jacobsen Kathryn H
- Jafarinia Morteza
- Jahankhani Kasra
- Jahanmehr Nader
- Jain Nityanand
- Jairoun Ammar Abdulrahman
- Jakhmola Mani Dr Ruchi
- Jamil Safayet
- Jamora Roland Dominic G
- Jatau Abubakar Ibrahim
- Javadov Sabzali
- Javaheri Tahereh
- Jayaram Shubha
- Jee Sun Ha
- Jeganathan Jayakumar
- Jiang Heng
- Jokar Mohammad
- Jonas Jost B
- Joseph Nitin
- Joshua Charity Ehimwenma
- Jürisson Mikk
- K Vaishali
- Kabir Ali
- Kabir Zubair
- Kadashetti Vidya
- Kalankesh Laleh R
- Kalra Sanjay
- Kamath Ashwin
- Kamath Rajesh
- Kamireddy Arun
- Kanaan Mona
- Kanchan Tanuj
- Kanmiki Edmund Wedam
- Kanmodi Kehinde Kazeem
- Kansal Sushil Kumar
- Karim Asima
- Karkhah Samad
- Kashoo Faizan Zaffar
- Kasraei Hengameh
- Kassel Molly B
- Katikireddi Srinivasa Vittal
- Kauppila Joonas H
- Kaur Harkiran
- Kayode Gbenga A
- Kazemi Foad
- Kazemian Sina
- Kebede Fassikaw
- Kendal Evie Shoshannah
- Kesse-Guyot Emmanuelle
- Khademvatan Shahram
- Khajuria Himanshu
- Khalaji Amirmohammad
- Khalid Asaad
- Khalid Nauman
- Khalilian Alireza
- Khamesipour Faham
- Khan Fayaz
- Khan Mohammad Jobair
- Khan Moien AB
- Khanmohammadi Shaghayegh
- Khatab Khaled
- Khatatbeh Haitham
- Khatatbeh Moawiah Mohammad
- Khatib Mahalaqua Nazli
- Khayat Kashani Hamid Reza
- Kheirallah Khalid A
- Khokhar Manoj
- Khormali Moein
- Khorrami Zahra
- Khosla Atulya Aman
- Khosravi Majid
- Khosrowjerdi Mahmood
- Khubchandani Jagdish
- Kifle Zemene Demelash
- Kim Grace
- Kim Julie Sojin
- Kim Min Seo
- Kim Yun Jin
- Kimokoti Ruth W
- Kisa Adnan
- Kisa Sezer
- Knibbs Luke D
- Knudsen Ann Kristin Skrindo
- Kochhar Sonali
- Kolahi Ali-Asghar
- Kompani Farzad
- Koren Gerbrand
- Korzh Oleksii
- Krishan Kewal
- Krishna Varun
- Krishnamoorthy Vijay
- Kucuk Bicer Burcu
- Kuddus Md Abdul
- Kuddus Mohammed
- Kuitunen Ilari
- Kujan Omar
- Kulimbet Mukhtar
- Kulkarni Vishnutheertha
- Kumar G Anil
- Kumar Harish
- Kumar Nithin
- Kumar Rakesh
- Kumar Vijay
- Kundu Amartya
- Kusuma Dian
- Kyei-Arthur Frank
- Kytö Ville
- Kyu Hmwe Hmwe
- La Vecchia Carlo
- Lacey Ben
- Ladan Muhammad Awwal
- Laflamme Lucie
- Lahariya Chandrakant
- Lai Daphne Teck Ching
- Lalloo Ratilal
- Lallukka Tea
- Lan Qing
- Lan Tuo
- Landires Iván
- Lanfranchi Francesco
- Langguth Berthold
- Lansingh Van Charles
- Laplante-Lévesque Ariane
- Larijani Bagher
- Larsson Anders O
- Lasrado Savita
- Lauriola Paolo
- Lawlor Hilary R
- Lám Judit
- Le Huu-Hoai
- Le Long Khanh Dao
- Le Nhi Huu Hanh
- Le Thao Thi Thu
- Le Trang Diep Thanh
- Leasher Janet L
- Lee Doo Woong
- Lee Munjae
- Lee Paul H
- Lee Sang-woong
- Lee Seung Won
- Lee Shaun Wen Huey
- Lee Yo Han
- Leigh James
- Leong Elvynna
- Li Ming-Chieh
- Libra Massimo
- Ligade Virendra S
- Lim Lee-Ling
- Lim Stephen S
- Limenh Liknaw Workie
- Lindholm Daniel
- Lindstedt Paulina A
- Listl Stefan
- Liu Gang
- Liu Shiwei
- Liu Shuke
- Liu Xiaofeng
- Liu Xuefeng
- Llanaj Erand
- Loreche Arianna Maever
- Lotufo Paulo A
- Lozano Rafael
- López-Bueno Rubén
- López-Gil José Francisco
- Lubinda Jailos
- Lucchetti Giancarlo
- Luo Lisha
- Lusk Jay B
- Lv Lei
- M Amin Hawraz Ibrahim
- Ma Zheng Feei
- Maass Kelsey Lynn
- Machairas Nikolaos
- Machoy Monika
- Madureira-Carvalho Áurea M
- Magdy Abd El Razek Hassan
- Maghazachi Azzam A
- Mahadeshwara Prasad D. R.
- Mahalleh Mehrdad
- Mahasha Phetole Walter
- Mahmoud Mansour Adam
- Mahmoudi Elham
- Mahmoudvand Golnaz
- Makama Maureen
- Malakan Rad Elaheh
- Malhotra Kashish
- Malik Ahmad Azam
- Malta Deborah Carvalho
- Manla Yosef
- Mansour Ali
- Mansouri Mohammad Hadi
- Mansouri Pejman
- Mansouri Vahid
- Mansourian Marjan
- Mansournia Mohammad Ali
- Marasini Bishnu P
- Marateb Hamid Reza
- Maravilla Joemer C
- Mardi Parham
- Marjani Abdoljalal
- Markazi Moghadam Hamed
- Marrugo Arnedo Carlos Alberto
- Martinez Gabriel
- Martinez-Piedra Ramon
- Martins-Melo Francisco Rogerlândio
- Martorell Miquel
- Marx Wolfgang
- Marzo Roy Rillera
- Masoudi Sahar
- Mathangasinghe Yasith
- Mathioudakis Alexander G
- Mathur Medha
- Mathur Navgeet
- Mathur Neeta
- Matozinhos Fernanda Penido
- Mattumpuram Jishanth
- Maude Richard James
- Maugeri Andrea
- Mayeli Mahsa
- Mazidi Mohsen
- Mazzotti Antonio
- McGrath John J
- McKee Martin
- McKowen Anna Laura W
- McPhail Michael A
- McPhail Steven M
- Mehmood Asim
- Mehrabani-Zeinabad Kamran
- Mehravar Sepideh
- Mekene Meto Tesfahun
- Melese Endalkachew Belayneh
- Mendez-Lopez Max Alberto Mendez
- Mendoza Walter
- Menezes Ritesh G
- Mensah George A
- Mensah Laverne G
- Mentis Alexios-Fotios A
- Meo Sultan Ayoub
- Meretoja Atte
- Meretoja Tuomo J
- Mersha Abera M
- Mestrovic Tomislav
- Mettananda Kukulege Chamila Dinushi
- Mettananda Sachith
- Mhlanga Adquate
- Mhlanga Laurette
- Miazgowski Tomasz
- Michalek Irmina Maria
- Micheletti Gomide Nogueira de Sá Ana Carolina
- Miller Ted R
- Minh Le Huu Nhat
- Mirahmadi Alireza
- Mirijello Antonio
- Mirrakhimov Erkin M
- Mirzaei Roya
- Mitchell Philip B
- Mittal Chaitanya
- Moberg Madeline E
- Moghadam Fard Atousa
- Mohajelin Seyedehfatemeh
- Mohamadkhani Ashraf
- Mohamed Ahmed Ismail
- Mohamed Jama
- Mohamed Mouhand F H
- Mohamed Nouh Saad
- Mohammad Ameen Mosa
- Mohammadi Soheil
- Mohammed Hussen
- Mohammed Mustapha
- Mohammed Shafiu
- Mokdad Ali H
- Molokhia Mariam
- Momani Shaher Mohammad
- Momtazmanesh Sara
- Monasta Lorenzo
- Mondello Stefania
- Moni Mohammad Ali
- Montazeri Fateme
- Moodi Ghalibaf AmirAli
- Moradi Maryam
- Moradi Yousef
- Moraga Paula
- Morawska Lidia
- Moreira Rafael Silveira
- Morovatdar Negar
- Morrison Shane Douglas
- Mosapour Abbas
- Mosser Jonathan F
- Mossialos Elias
- Motappa Rohith
- Mougin Vincent
- Mousavi Parsa
- Mrejen Matías
- Mubarik Sumaira
- Mueller Ulrich Otto
- Mulita Francesk
- Munjal Kavita
- Murillo-Zamora Efrén
- Murray Christopher J L
- Musallam Khaled M
- Musina Ana-Maria
- Mustafa Ghulam
- Myung Woojae
- Nafei Ayoub
- Nagarajan Ahamarshan Jayaraman
- Naghavi Pirouz
- Naik Ganesh R
- Naik Gurudatta
- Nainu Firzan
- Najdaghi Soroush
- Nakhostin Ansari Noureddin
- Nangia Vinay
- Narasimha Swamy Sreenivas
- Nargus Shumaila
- Narimani Davani Delaram
- Nascimento Bruno Ramos
- Nascimento Gustavo G
- Naser Abdallah Y
- Nashwan Abdulqadir J
- Natto Zuhair S
- Nauman Javaid
- Navaratna Samidi N K
- Naveed Muhammad
- Nawsherwan null
- Nayak Biswa Prakash
- Nayak Vinod C
- Negash Hadush
- Negoi Ionut
- Negoi Ruxandra Irina
- Nejadghaderi Seyed Aria
- Nejjari Chakib
- Nematollahi Soroush
- Netsere Henok Biresaw
- Ng Marie
- Nguefack-Tsague Georges
- Ngunjiri Josephine W
- Nguyen Tran Minh Duc
- Nguyen Anh Hoang
- Nguyen Dang H
- Nguyen Duc Hoang
- Nguyen Hau Thi Hien
- Nguyen Nhan
- Nguyen Nhien Ngoc Y
- Nguyen Phat Tuan
- Nguyen QuynhAnh P
- Nguyen Van Thanh
- Niazi Robina Khan
- Nigatu Yeshambel T
- Niknam Mahdieh
- Nikoobar Ali
- Nikpoor Amin Reza
- Nikravangolsefid Nasrin
- Noman Efaq Ali
- Nomura Shuhei
- Noor Syed Toukir Ahmed
- Noroozi Nafise
- Nouri Mehran
- Nozari Majid
- Nri-Ezedi Chisom Adaobi
- Ntaios George
- Nunemo Mengistu H
- Nurrika Dieta
- Nutor Jerry John
- Nzoputam Chimezie Igwegbe
- Nzoputam Ogochukwu Janet
- Oancea Bogdan
- Obamiro Kehinde O
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- Okonji Osaretin Christabel
- Olagunju Andrew T
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- Olusanya Bolajoko Olubukunola
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- P A Mahesh Padukudru
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- Raimondo Diego
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- Ramteke Pramod W
- Rana Kritika
- Rana Rishabh Kumar
- Ranabhat Chhabi Lal
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- Roever Leonardo
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- Roshandel Gholamreza
- Rotimi Kunle
- Rout Himanshu Sekhar
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- Rubagotti Enrico
- Ruela Guilherme de Andrade
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- Saeb Mohammad Reza
- Saeed Umar
- Safi Sher Zaman
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- Sahebkar Amirhossein
- Sahoo Pragyan Monalisa
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- Sayeed Abu
- Scarmeas Nikolaos
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- Schinckus Christophe
- Schuermans Art
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- Schwendicke Falk
- Selvaraj Siddharthan
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- Senapati Sabyasachi
- Sengupta Pallav
- Senthilkumaran Subramanian
- Serban Dragos
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- Shahid Wajeehah
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- Shahwan Moyad Jamal
- Shaikh Masood Ali
- Shalash Ali S
- Shamekh Ali
- Shamim Muhammad Aaqib
- Shanawaz Mohd
- Shankar Abhishek
- Shannawaz Mohammed
- Sharath Medha
- Sharfaei Sadaf
- Sharifan Amin
- Sharifi-Rad Javad
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- Sharma Manoj
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- Shrestha Sunil
- Shuval Kerem
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- Sidhu Jaspreet Kaur
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- Silva Luís Manuel Lopes Rodrigues
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- Singh Abhinav
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- Tiruye Tenaw Yimer
- Tiwari Krishna
- Tomo Sojit
- Tonelli Marcello
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- Touvier Mathilde
- Tovani-Palone Marcos Roberto
- Tran An Thien
- Tran Jasmine T
- Tran Nghia Minh
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- Truyen Thien Tan Tri Tai
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- Tsermpini Evangelia Eirini
- Tumurkhuu Munkhtuya
- Turnock Steven T
- Udoh Arit
- Ullah Atta
- Ullah Saeed
- Ullah Sana
- Umakanthan Srikanth
- Umar Muhammad
- Umar Shehu Salihu
- Unim Brigid
- Unnikrishnan Bhaskaran
- Upadhyay Era
- Usman Jibrin Sammani
- Vahdati Sanaz
- Vaithinathan Asokan Govindaraj
- Vakili Omid
- Valizadeh Rohollah
- Van den Eynde Jef
- Vart Priya
- Varthya Shoban Babu
- Vasankari Tommi Juhani
- Vasic Milena
- Venketasubramanian Narayanaswamy
- Veroux Massimiliano
- Verras Georgios-Ioannis
- Vervoort Dominique
- Vijayageetha Mathavaswami
- Villafañe Jorge Hugo
- Vinayak Manish
- Violante Francesco S
- Vladimirov Sergey Konstantinovitch
- Vlassov Vasily
- Vo Bay
- Vohra Karn
- Vollset Stein Emil
- Vos Theo
- Wadood Abdul Wadood
- Waheed Yasir
- Wang Fang
- Wang Shaopan
- Wang Shu
- Wang Yanqing
- Wang Yanzhong
- Wang Yuan-Pang
- Wanjau Mary Njeri
- Waqas Muhammad
- Ward Paul
- Waris Abdul
- Wassie Emebet Gashaw
- Watson Stefanie
- Weaver Marcia R
- Weerakoon Kosala Gayan
- Weintraub Robert G
- Weldetinsaa Haftom Legese Legese
- Wells Katherine M
- Wen Yi Feng
- Westerman Ronny
- Wiangkham Taweewat
- Wickramasinghe Dakshitha Praneeth
- Widowati Evi
- Wojewodzic Marcin W
- Woldeyes Dawit Habte
- Wolf Axel Walter
- Wolfe Charles D A
- Wu Chenkai
- Wu Dongze
- Wu Felicia
- Wu Jiayuan
- Wu Zenghong
- Wulf Hanson Sarah
- Xiao Hong
- Xu Suowen
- Yadav Rakesh
- Yamagishi Kazumasa
- Yang Danting
- Yano Yuichiro
- Yarahmadi Amir
- Yazdani Nia Iman
- Ye Pengpeng
- Yesodharan Renjulal
- Yesuf Subah Abderehim
- Yezli Saber
- Yigzaw Zeamanuel Anteneh
- Yiğit Arzu
- Yiğit Vahit
- Yin Dehui
- Yip Paul
- Yonemoto Naohiro
- You Yuyi
- Younis Mustafa Z
- Yu Chuanhua
- Yu Elaine A
- Yu Yong
- Yuan Chun-Wei
- Yusuf Hadiza
- Zafar Uzma
- Zafari Nima
- Zahid Mondal Hasan
- Zakham Fathiah
- Zaki Nazar
- Zerfu Taddese Alemu
- Zhang Haijun
- Zhang Jingya
- Zhang Liqun
- Zhang Yunquan
- Zhang Zhiqiang
- Zhao Xiu-Ju George
- Zhao Yang
- Zhao Zhongyi
- Zhong Chenwen
- Zhou Bolun
- Zhou Juexiao
- Zhou Shangcheng
- Zhu Bin
- Zhumagaliuly Abzal
- Zielińska Magdalena
- Zoghi Ghazal
- Zumla Alimuddin
- Zyoud Sa'ed H
- Zyoud Samer H
- Publication venue
- Publication date
- 01/01/2024
- Field of study
Background: Future trends in disease burden and drivers of health are of great interest to policy makers and the public at large. This information can be used for policy and long-term health investment, planning, and prioritisation. We have expanded and improved upon previous forecasts produced as part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) and provide a reference forecast (the most likely future), and alternative scenarios assessing disease burden trajectories if selected sets of risk factors were eliminated from current levels by 2050. Methods: Using forecasts of major drivers of health such as the Socio-demographic Index (SDI; a composite measure of lag-distributed income per capita, mean years of education, and total fertility under 25 years of age) and the full set of risk factor exposures captured by GBD, we provide cause-specific forecasts of mortality, years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) by age and sex from 2022 to 2050 for 204 countries and territories, 21 GBD regions, seven super-regions, and the world. All analyses were done at the cause-specific level so that only risk factors deemed causal by the GBD comparative risk assessment influenced future trajectories of mortality for each disease. Cause-specific mortality was modelled using mixed-effects models with SDI and time as the main covariates, and the combined impact of causal risk factors as an offset in the model. At the all-cause mortality level, we captured unexplained variation by modelling residuals with an autoregressive integrated moving average model with drift attenuation. These all-cause forecasts constrained the cause-specific forecasts at successively deeper levels of the GBD cause hierarchy using cascading mortality models, thus ensuring a robust estimate of cause-specific mortality. For non-fatal measures (eg, low back pain), incidence and prevalence were forecasted from mixed-effects models with SDI as the main covariate, and YLDs were computed from the resulting prevalence forecasts and average disability weights from GBD. Alternative future scenarios were constructed by replacing appropriate reference trajectories for risk factors with hypothetical trajectories of gradual elimination of risk factor exposure from current levels to 2050. The scenarios were constructed from various sets of risk factors: environmental risks (Safer Environment scenario), risks associated with communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional diseases (CMNNs; Improved Childhood Nutrition and Vaccination scenario), risks associated with major non-communicable diseases (NCDs; Improved Behavioural and Metabolic Risks scenario), and the combined effects of these three scenarios. Using the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways climate scenarios SSP2-4.5 as reference and SSP1-1.9 as an optimistic alternative in the Safer Environment scenario, we accounted for climate change impact on health by using the most recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change temperature forecasts and published trajectories of ambient air pollution for the same two scenarios. Life expectancy and healthy life expectancy were computed using standard methods. The forecasting framework includes computing the age-sex-specific future population for each location and separately for each scenario. 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) for each individual future estimate were derived from the 2·5th and 97·5th percentiles of distributions generated from propagating 500 draws through the multistage computational pipeline. Findings: In the reference scenario forecast, global and super-regional life expectancy increased from 2022 to 2050, but improvement was at a slower pace than in the three decades preceding the COVID-19 pandemic (beginning in 2020). Gains in future life expectancy were forecasted to be greatest in super-regions with comparatively low life expectancies (such as sub-Saharan Africa) compared with super-regions with higher life expectancies (such as the high-income super-region), leading to a trend towards convergence in life expectancy across locations between now and 2050. At the super-region level, forecasted healthy life expectancy patterns were similar to those of life expectancies. Forecasts for the reference scenario found that health will improve in the coming decades, with all-cause age-standardised DALY rates decreasing in every GBD super-region. The total DALY burden measured in counts, however, will increase in every super-region, largely a function of population ageing and growth. We also forecasted that both DALY counts and age-standardised DALY rates will continue to shift from CMNNs to NCDs, with the most pronounced shifts occurring in sub-Saharan Africa (60·1% [95% UI 56·8–63·1] of DALYs were from CMNNs in 2022 compared with 35·8% [31·0–45·0] in 2050) and south Asia (31·7% [29·2–34·1] to 15·5% [13·7–17·5]). This shift is reflected in the leading global causes of DALYs, with the top four causes in 2050 being ischaemic heart disease, stroke, diabetes, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, compared with 2022, with ischaemic heart disease, neonatal disorders, stroke, and lower respiratory infections at the top. The global proportion of DALYs due to YLDs likewise increased from 33·8% (27·4–40·3) to 41·1% (33·9–48·1) from 2022 to 2050, demonstrating an important shift in overall disease burden towards morbidity and away from premature death. The largest shift of this kind was forecasted for sub-Saharan Africa, from 20·1% (15·6–25·3) of DALYs due to YLDs in 2022 to 35·6% (26·5–43·0) in 2050. In the assessment of alternative future scenarios, the combined effects of the scenarios (Safer Environment, Improved Childhood Nutrition and Vaccination, and Improved Behavioural and Metabolic Risks scenarios) demonstrated an important decrease in the global burden of DALYs in 2050 of 15·4% (13·5–17·5) compared with the reference scenario, with decreases across super-regions ranging from 10·4% (9·7–11·3) in the high-income super-region to 23·9% (20·7–27·3) in north Africa and the Middle East. The Safer Environment scenario had its largest decrease in sub-Saharan Africa (5·2% [3·5–6·8]), the Improved Behavioural and Metabolic Risks scenario in north Africa and the Middle East (23·2% [20·2–26·5]), and the Improved Nutrition and Vaccination scenario in sub-Saharan Africa (2·0% [–0·6 to 3·6]). Interpretation: Globally, life expectancy and age-standardised disease burden were forecasted to improve between 2022 and 2050, with the majority of the burden continuing to shift from CMNNs to NCDs. That said, continued progress on reducing the CMNN disease burden will be dependent on maintaining investment in and policy emphasis on CMNN disease prevention and treatment. Mostly due to growth and ageing of populations, the number of deaths and DALYs due to all causes combined will generally increase. By constructing alternative future scenarios wherein certain risk exposures are eliminated by 2050, we have shown that opportunities exist to substantially improve health outcomes in the future through concerted efforts to prevent exposure to well established risk factors and to expand access to key health interventions
Catalytic wet air oxidation of toxic nitrogen containing compounds (pyridine) from wastewater
- Publication venue
- 'CSIRO Publishing'
- Publication date
- 01/09/2006
- Field of study
757-759Cu-Co/C (heterogeneous) and CuSO4 (homogeneous) were used as catalysts for wet air oxidation to remove nitrogen containing toxic organic compounds from wastewater. For this purpose, a model compound, pyridine, was treated in a high-pressure batch autoclave at mild conditions of temperature and pressure. Copper and cobalt are relatively inexpensive catalytic material and have shown higher conversion efficiencies. Both CuSO4 and Cu-Co/C have optimum activity at an initial pH 4 of the pyridine solution. After 2 h of reaction time, % conversion with CuSO4 (75.1 %) was more in comparison to Cu-Co/C (71.8 %) using 5 mg/l catalyst concentration at 160 oC and 9 bar total pressure
Swift-BAT GUANO follow-up of gravitational-wave triggers in the third LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA observing run
- Author
- Abac A.G
- Abbott R
- Abe H
- Abouelfettouh I
- Acernese F
- Ackley K
- Adamcewicz C
- Adhicary S
- Adhikari N
- Adhikari R.X
- Adkins V.K
- Adya V.B
- Affeldt C
- Agarwal D
- Agathos M
- Aguiar O.D
- Aguilar I
- Aiello L
- Ain A
- Akutsu T
- Al-Jodah A
- Al-Shammari S
- Albanesi S
- Alfaidi R.A
- Allocca A
- Alléné C
- Altin P.A
- Alvarez-Lopez S
- Amato A
- Ambrosi Elena
- Amez-Droz L
- Amorosi A
- Amra C
- Anand S
- Ananyeva A
- Anderson S.B
- Anderson W.G
- Andia M
- Ando M
- Andrade T
- Andres N
- Andrić T
- Andrés-Carcasona M
- Anglin J
- Ansoldi S
- Antelis J.M
- Antier S
- Aoumi M
- Appavuravther E.Z
- Appert S
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- Araya A
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- Areeda J.S
- Arellano F.E. Peña
- Argianas L. Granda
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- Armato F
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- Aronson S.M
- Ashton G
- Aso Y
- Assiduo M
- Aston S.M
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- Avallone G
- Babak S
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- Badger C
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- Bagnasco S
- Bagui E
- Bai Y
- Baier J.G
- Bajpai R
- Baka T
- Ball M
- Ballardin G
- Ballmer S.W
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- Bankar D
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- Barish B.C
- Barker D
- Barneo P
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- Barta D
- Barthelmy S.D
- Barton M.A
- Bartos I
- Basak S
- Basalaev A
- Bassiri R
- Basti A
- Bawaj M
- Baxi P
- Bayley J.C
- Baylor A.C
- Bazzan M
- Bedakihale V.M
- Beirnaert F
- Bejger M
- Belardinelli D
- Bell A.S
- Benedetto V
- Beniwal D
- Benoit W
- Bentley J.D
- Bera S
- Berbel M
- Bergamin F
- Berger B.K
- Bernardini Maria Grazia
- Bernuzzi S
- Beroiz M
- Berry C.P.L
- Bersanetti D
- Bertolini A
- Betzwieser J
- Beveridge D
- Bevins N
- Bhandare R
- Bhardwaj U
- Bhatt R
- Bhattacharjee D
- Bhaumik S
- Bhowmick S
- Bianchi A
- Bilenko I.A
- Billingsley G
- Binetti A
- Bini S
- Birnholtz O
- Biscoveanu S
- Bisht A
- Bitossi M
- Bizouard M.-A
- Blackburn J.K
- Blair C.D
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- Bolingbroke G.N
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- Bonilla M.S
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- Boschi V
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- Bossilkov V
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- Boumerdassi A
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- Bradaschia C
- Brady P.R
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- Briant T
- Brillet A
- Brinkmann M
- Brockill P
- Brockmueller E
- Brooks A.F
- Brown D.D
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- Chang R.-J
- Chanial P
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- Yadav N
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- Yarbrough Z
- Yeh S.-W
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- Yeung S.M.C
- Yin X
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- Yokozawa T
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- Yu H
- Yuzurihara H
- Zadrożny A
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- Zeeshan M
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- Zhao Yue
- Zhao Yuhang
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- Zhu Z.-H
- Zimmerman A.B
- Zucker M.E
- Zweizig J
- Publication venue
- HAL CCSD
- Publication date
- 10/09/2024
- Field of study
International audienceWe present results from a search for X-ray/gamma-ray counterparts of gravitational-wave (GW) candidates from the third observing run (O3) of the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA (LVK) network using the Swift Burst Alert Telescope (Swift-BAT). The search includes 636 GW candidates received in low latency, 86 of which have been confirmed by the offline analysis and included in the third cumulative Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalogs (GWTC-3). Targeted searches were carried out on the entire GW sample using the maximum--likelihood NITRATES pipeline on the BAT data made available via the GUANO infrastructure. We do not detect any significant electromagnetic emission that is temporally and spatially coincident with any of the GW candidates. We report flux upper limits in the 15-350 keV band as a function of sky position for all the catalog candidates. For GW candidates where the Swift-BAT false alarm rate is less than 10−3 Hz, we compute the GW--BAT joint false alarm rate. Finally, the derived Swift-BAT upper limits are used to infer constraints on the putative electromagnetic emission associated with binary black hole mergers
Swift-BAT GUANO follow-up of gravitational-wave triggers in the third LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA observing run
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- Zhong S
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- Zhu Z.-H
- Zimmerman A.B
- Zucker M.E
- Zweizig J
- Publication venue
- HAL CCSD
- Publication date
- 10/09/2024
- Field of study
International audienceWe present results from a search for X-ray/gamma-ray counterparts of gravitational-wave (GW) candidates from the third observing run (O3) of the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA (LVK) network using the Swift Burst Alert Telescope (Swift-BAT). The search includes 636 GW candidates received in low latency, 86 of which have been confirmed by the offline analysis and included in the third cumulative Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalogs (GWTC-3). Targeted searches were carried out on the entire GW sample using the maximum--likelihood NITRATES pipeline on the BAT data made available via the GUANO infrastructure. We do not detect any significant electromagnetic emission that is temporally and spatially coincident with any of the GW candidates. We report flux upper limits in the 15-350 keV band as a function of sky position for all the catalog candidates. For GW candidates where the Swift-BAT false alarm rate is less than 10−3 Hz, we compute the GW--BAT joint false alarm rate. Finally, the derived Swift-BAT upper limits are used to infer constraints on the putative electromagnetic emission associated with binary black hole mergers
Swift-BAT GUANO follow-up of gravitational-wave triggers in the third LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA observing run
- Author
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- Yadav N
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- Yamamoto T.S
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- Yarbrough Z
- Yeh S.-W
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- Yeung S.M.C
- Yin X
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- Yokozawa T
- Yoo J
- Yu H
- Yuzurihara H
- Zadrożny A
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- Zeeshan M
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- Zhu Z.-H
- Zimmerman A.B
- Zucker M.E
- Zweizig J
- Publication venue
- HAL CCSD
- Publication date
- 10/09/2024
- Field of study
International audienceWe present results from a search for X-ray/gamma-ray counterparts of gravitational-wave (GW) candidates from the third observing run (O3) of the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA (LVK) network using the Swift Burst Alert Telescope (Swift-BAT). The search includes 636 GW candidates received in low latency, 86 of which have been confirmed by the offline analysis and included in the third cumulative Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalogs (GWTC-3). Targeted searches were carried out on the entire GW sample using the maximum--likelihood NITRATES pipeline on the BAT data made available via the GUANO infrastructure. We do not detect any significant electromagnetic emission that is temporally and spatially coincident with any of the GW candidates. We report flux upper limits in the 15-350 keV band as a function of sky position for all the catalog candidates. For GW candidates where the Swift-BAT false alarm rate is less than 10−3 Hz, we compute the GW--BAT joint false alarm rate. Finally, the derived Swift-BAT upper limits are used to infer constraints on the putative electromagnetic emission associated with binary black hole mergers
Swift-BAT GUANO follow-up of gravitational-wave triggers in the third LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA observing run
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- Xu V.A
- Xu Y
- Yaala M. Ben
- Yadav N
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- Yamamoto K
- Yamamoto M
- Yamamoto T
- Yamamoto T.S
- Yamamura S
- Yamazaki R
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- Yang K.Z
- Yang L.-C
- Yang Y
- Yarbrough Z
- Yeh S.-W
- Yelikar A.B
- Yeung S.M.C
- Yin X
- Yokoyama J
- Yokozawa T
- Yoo J
- Yu H
- Yuzurihara H
- Zadrożny A
- Zannelli A.J
- Zanolin M
- Zeeshan M
- Zelenova T
- Zendri J.-P
- Zeoli M
- Zerrad M
- Zevin M
- Zhang A.C
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- Zhang L
- Zhang R
- Zhang T
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- Zhao C
- Zhao Yue
- Zhao Yuhang
- Zheng Y
- Zhong H
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- Zhou R
- Zhu Z.-H
- Zimmerman A.B
- Zucker M.E
- Zweizig J
- Publication venue
- HAL CCSD
- Publication date
- 10/09/2024
- Field of study
International audienceWe present results from a search for X-ray/gamma-ray counterparts of gravitational-wave (GW) candidates from the third observing run (O3) of the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA (LVK) network using the Swift Burst Alert Telescope (Swift-BAT). The search includes 636 GW candidates received in low latency, 86 of which have been confirmed by the offline analysis and included in the third cumulative Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalogs (GWTC-3). Targeted searches were carried out on the entire GW sample using the maximum--likelihood NITRATES pipeline on the BAT data made available via the GUANO infrastructure. We do not detect any significant electromagnetic emission that is temporally and spatially coincident with any of the GW candidates. We report flux upper limits in the 15-350 keV band as a function of sky position for all the catalog candidates. For GW candidates where the Swift-BAT false alarm rate is less than 10−3 Hz, we compute the GW--BAT joint false alarm rate. Finally, the derived Swift-BAT upper limits are used to infer constraints on the putative electromagnetic emission associated with binary black hole mergers
Swift-BAT GUANO follow-up of gravitational-wave triggers in the third LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA observing run
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- Xu Y
- Yaala M. Ben
- Yadav N
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- Yamamoto T.S
- Yamamura S
- Yamazaki R
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- Yarbrough Z
- Yeh S.-W
- Yelikar A.B
- Yeung S.M.C
- Yin X
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- Yokozawa T
- Yoo J
- Yu H
- Yuzurihara H
- Zadrożny A
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- Zanolin M
- Zeeshan M
- Zelenova T
- Zendri J.-P
- Zeoli M
- Zerrad M
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- Zhang A.C
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- Zhao Yue
- Zhao Yuhang
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- Zhu Z.-H
- Zimmerman A.B
- Zucker M.E
- Zweizig J
- Publication venue
- HAL CCSD
- Publication date
- 10/09/2024
- Field of study
International audienceWe present results from a search for X-ray/gamma-ray counterparts of gravitational-wave (GW) candidates from the third observing run (O3) of the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA (LVK) network using the Swift Burst Alert Telescope (Swift-BAT). The search includes 636 GW candidates received in low latency, 86 of which have been confirmed by the offline analysis and included in the third cumulative Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalogs (GWTC-3). Targeted searches were carried out on the entire GW sample using the maximum--likelihood NITRATES pipeline on the BAT data made available via the GUANO infrastructure. We do not detect any significant electromagnetic emission that is temporally and spatially coincident with any of the GW candidates. We report flux upper limits in the 15-350 keV band as a function of sky position for all the catalog candidates. For GW candidates where the Swift-BAT false alarm rate is less than 10−3 Hz, we compute the GW--BAT joint false alarm rate. Finally, the derived Swift-BAT upper limits are used to infer constraints on the putative electromagnetic emission associated with binary black hole mergers
Swift-BAT GUANO follow-up of gravitational-wave triggers in the third LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA observing run
- Author
- Abac A.G
- Abbott R
- Abe H
- Abouelfettouh I
- Acernese F
- Ackley K
- Adamcewicz C
- Adhicary S
- Adhikari N
- Adhikari R.X
- Adkins V.K
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- Affeldt C
- Agarwal D
- Agathos M
- Aguiar O.D
- Aguilar I
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- Akutsu T
- Al-Jodah A
- Al-Shammari S
- Albanesi S
- Alfaidi R.A
- Allocca A
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- Ambrosi Elena
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- Yarbrough Z
- Yeh S.-W
- Yelikar A.B
- Yeung S.M.C
- Yin X
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- Yokozawa T
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- Yu H
- Yuzurihara H
- Zadrożny A
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- Zeeshan M
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- Zhao Yuhang
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- Zhu Z.-H
- Zimmerman A.B
- Zucker M.E
- Zweizig J
- Publication venue
- HAL CCSD
- Publication date
- 10/09/2024
- Field of study
International audienceWe present results from a search for X-ray/gamma-ray counterparts of gravitational-wave (GW) candidates from the third observing run (O3) of the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA (LVK) network using the Swift Burst Alert Telescope (Swift-BAT). The search includes 636 GW candidates received in low latency, 86 of which have been confirmed by the offline analysis and included in the third cumulative Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalogs (GWTC-3). Targeted searches were carried out on the entire GW sample using the maximum--likelihood NITRATES pipeline on the BAT data made available via the GUANO infrastructure. We do not detect any significant electromagnetic emission that is temporally and spatially coincident with any of the GW candidates. We report flux upper limits in the 15-350 keV band as a function of sky position for all the catalog candidates. For GW candidates where the Swift-BAT false alarm rate is less than 10−3 Hz, we compute the GW--BAT joint false alarm rate. Finally, the derived Swift-BAT upper limits are used to infer constraints on the putative electromagnetic emission associated with binary black hole mergers
Swift-BAT GUANO follow-up of gravitational-wave triggers in the third LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA observing run
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- Xiao L
- Xu V.A
- Xu Y
- Yaala M. Ben
- Yadav N
- Yamamoto H
- Yamamoto K
- Yamamoto M
- Yamamoto T
- Yamamoto T.S
- Yamamura S
- Yamazaki R
- Yan S
- Yan T
- Yang F
- Yang F.W
- Yang K.Z
- Yang L.-C
- Yang Y
- Yarbrough Z
- Yeh S.-W
- Yelikar A.B
- Yeung S.M.C
- Yin X
- Yokoyama J
- Yokozawa T
- Yoo J
- Yu H
- Yuzurihara H
- Zadrożny A
- Zannelli A.J
- Zanolin M
- Zeeshan M
- Zelenova T
- Zendri J.-P
- Zeoli M
- Zerrad M
- Zevin M
- Zhang A.C
- Zhang J
- Zhang L
- Zhang R
- Zhang T
- Zhang Y
- Zhao C
- Zhao Yue
- Zhao Yuhang
- Zheng Y
- Zhong H
- Zhong S
- Zhou R
- Zhu Z.-H
- Zimmerman A.B
- Zucker M.E
- Zweizig J
- Publication venue
- HAL CCSD
- Publication date
- 10/09/2024
- Field of study
International audienceWe present results from a search for X-ray/gamma-ray counterparts of gravitational-wave (GW) candidates from the third observing run (O3) of the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA (LVK) network using the Swift Burst Alert Telescope (Swift-BAT). The search includes 636 GW candidates received in low latency, 86 of which have been confirmed by the offline analysis and included in the third cumulative Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalogs (GWTC-3). Targeted searches were carried out on the entire GW sample using the maximum--likelihood NITRATES pipeline on the BAT data made available via the GUANO infrastructure. We do not detect any significant electromagnetic emission that is temporally and spatially coincident with any of the GW candidates. We report flux upper limits in the 15-350 keV band as a function of sky position for all the catalog candidates. For GW candidates where the Swift-BAT false alarm rate is less than 10−3 Hz, we compute the GW--BAT joint false alarm rate. Finally, the derived Swift-BAT upper limits are used to infer constraints on the putative electromagnetic emission associated with binary black hole mergers
Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022–2050: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
- Author
- Aadam Olalekan Bodunrin (18346572)
- Aanuoluwa James Salemcity (18803035)
- Aaron J Cohen (8673585)
- Abbas Mosapour (9154247)
- Abdallah HA Abd Al Magied (18802573)
- Abdallah M Samy (8383428)
- Abdallah Y Naser (18347016)
- Abdelghani Tbakhi (12229742)
- Abdoljalal Marjani (18346929)
- Abdorrahim Absalan (18578551)
- Abdul Hafiz (89029)
- Abdul Wadood Wadood (18803098)
- Abdul Waris (712246)
- Abdulaal Chitheer (8673570)
- Abdulahi Opejin Opejin (18802957)
- Abdulaziz T Bako (18346515)
- Abdulfatai Aremu (9536881)
- Abdulqadir J Nashwan (17991280)
- Abera M Mersha (12150669)
- Abhinav Singh (358909)
- Abhishek Anil (17937800)
- Abhishek Shankar (18207631)
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- Abiola Ogunkoya (17255770)
- Abu Sayeed (195793)
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- Publication venue
- Publication date
- 16/05/2024
- Field of study
BackgroundFuture trends in disease burden and drivers of health are of great interest to policy makers and the public at large. This information can be used for policy and long-term health investment, planning, and prioritisation. We have expanded and improved upon previous forecasts produced as part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) and provide a reference forecast (the most likely future), and alternative scenarios assessing disease burden trajectories if selected sets of risk factors were eliminated from current levels by 2050.MethodsUsing forecasts of major drivers of health such as the Socio-demographic Index (SDI; a composite measure of lag-distributed income per capita, mean years of education, and total fertility under 25 years of age) and the full set of risk factor exposures captured by GBD, we provide cause-specific forecasts of mortality, years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) by age and sex from 2022 to 2050 for 204 countries and territories, 21 GBD regions, seven super-regions, and the world. All analyses were done at the cause-specific level so that only risk factors deemed causal by the GBD comparative risk assessment influenced future trajectories of mortality for each disease. Cause-specific mortality was modelled using mixed-effects models with SDI and time as the main covariates, and the combined impact of causal risk factors as an offset in the model. At the all-cause mortality level, we captured unexplained variation by modelling residuals with an autoregressive integrated moving average model with drift attenuation. These all-cause forecasts constrained the cause-specific forecasts at successively deeper levels of the GBD cause hierarchy using cascading mortality models, thus ensuring a robust estimate of cause-specific mortality. For non-fatal measures (eg, low back pain), incidence and prevalence were forecasted from mixed-effects models with SDI as the main covariate, and YLDs were computed from the resulting prevalence forecasts and average disability weights from GBD. Alternative future scenarios were constructed by replacing appropriate reference trajectories for risk factors with hypothetical trajectories of gradual elimination of risk factor exposure from current levels to 2050. The scenarios were constructed from various sets of risk factors: environmental risks (Safer Environment scenario), risks associated with communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional diseases (CMNNs; Improved Childhood Nutrition and Vaccination scenario), risks associated with major non-communicable diseases (NCDs; Improved Behavioural and Metabolic Risks scenario), and the combined effects of these three scenarios. Using the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways climate scenarios SSP2-4.5 as reference and SSP1-1.9 as an optimistic alternative in the Safer Environment scenario, we accounted for climate change impact on health by using the most recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change temperature forecasts and published trajectories of ambient air pollution for the same two scenarios. Life expectancy and healthy life expectancy were computed using standard methods. The forecasting framework includes computing the age-sex-specific future population for each location and separately for each scenario. 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) for each individual future estimate were derived from the 2·5th and 97·5th percentiles of distributions generated from propagating 500 draws through the multistage computational pipeline.FindingsIn the reference scenario forecast, global and super-regional life expectancy increased from 2022 to 2050, but improvement was at a slower pace than in the three decades preceding the COVID-19 pandemic (beginning in 2020). Gains in future life expectancy were forecasted to be greatest in super-regions with comparatively low life expectancies (such as sub-Saharan Africa) compared with super-regions with higher life expectancies (such as the high-income super-region), leading to a trend towards convergence in life expectancy across locations between now and 2050. At the super-region level, forecasted healthy life expectancy patterns were similar to those of life expectancies. Forecasts for the reference scenario found that health will improve in the coming decades, with all-cause age-standardised DALY rates decreasing in every GBD super-region. The total DALY burden measured in counts, however, will increase in every super-region, largely a function of population ageing and growth. We also forecasted that both DALY counts and age-standardised DALY rates will continue to shift from CMNNs to NCDs, with the most pronounced shifts occurring in sub-Saharan Africa (60·1% [95% UI 56·8–63·1] of DALYs were from CMNNs in 2022 compared with 35·8% [31·0–45·0] in 2050) and south Asia (31·7% [29·2–34·1] to 15·5% [13·7–17·5]). This shift is reflected in the leading global causes of DALYs, with the top four causes in 2050 being ischaemic heart disease, stroke, diabetes, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, compared with 2022, with ischaemic heart disease, neonatal disorders, stroke, and lower respiratory infections at the top. The global proportion of DALYs due to YLDs likewise increased from 33·8% (27·4–40·3) to 41·1% (33·9–48·1) from 2022 to 2050, demonstrating an important shift in overall disease burden towards morbidity and away from premature death. The largest shift of this kind was forecasted for sub-Saharan Africa, from 20·1% (15·6–25·3) of DALYs due to YLDs in 2022 to 35·6% (26·5–43·0) in 2050. In the assessment of alternative future scenarios, the combined effects of the scenarios (Safer Environment, Improved Childhood Nutrition and Vaccination, and Improved Behavioural and Metabolic Risks scenarios) demonstrated an important decrease in the global burden of DALYs in 2050 of 15·4% (13·5–17·5) compared with the reference scenario, with decreases across super-regions ranging from 10·4% (9·7–11·3) in the high-income super-region to 23·9% (20·7–27·3) in north Africa and the Middle East. The Safer Environment scenario had its largest decrease in sub-Saharan Africa (5·2% [3·5–6·8]), the Improved Behavioural and Metabolic Risks scenario in north Africa and the Middle East (23·2% [20·2–26·5]), and the Improved Nutrition and Vaccination scenario in sub-Saharan Africa (2·0% [–0·6 to 3·6]).InterpretationGlobally, life expectancy and age-standardised disease burden were forecasted to improve between 2022 and 2050, with the majority of the burden continuing to shift from CMNNs to NCDs. That said, continued progress on reducing the CMNN disease burden will be dependent on maintaining investment in and policy emphasis on CMNN disease prevention and treatment. Mostly due to growth and ageing of populations, the number of deaths and DALYs due to all causes combined will generally increase. By constructing alternative future scenarios wherein certain risk exposures are eliminated by 2050, we have shown that opportunities exist to substantially improve health outcomes in the future through concerted efforts to prevent exposure to well established risk factors and to expand access to key health interventions.FundingBill & Melinda Gates Foundation.</p