30 Jahre Heimatforscherfortbildung in Niedersachsen. Bilanz und Ausblick

Regionale Forschung, besonders historische oder kulturhistorische Regionalforschung, wird häufig von sogenannten „Heimatforschern“ betrieben. In Niedersachsen geschieht dies in einer Vielzahl von unterschiedlichen Vereinen. Oftmals kennen die „Heimatforscher“ die Bestände von Archiven, haben Einblick in die private Überlieferung vor Ort und ein großes thematisches Fachwissen. Trotzdem gestaltet sich der Austausch sowohl von Seiten dieser versierten Laien als auch der universitären Regionalhistoriker oft als schwierig. Regional- und Lokalhistorisches Wissen geht dadurch zwangsläufig verloren. In Niedersachsen gibt es aber auch Erfahrungen anderer Art. Dort führte der Niedersächsische Heimatbund ab 1983 systematisch Fortbildungen für Heimatforscher durch. Sie führten von 1984–1995 zu einer Qualifizierung der Ehrenamtlichen und zu einem Austausch mit der universitären Wissenschaft. Neue Formate versuchen, an diese Arbeit anzuknüpfen, Wissenschaftler für die Bedeutung dieser Aufgabe zu sensibilisieren und neue, auch jüngere Zielgruppen für die Heimatforschung zu erschließen, die heute in Anbetracht sinkender Fördermittel wichtiger erscheinen denn je.There is a multitude of different non-profit associations in Lower Saxony that engage in researching local history. This large number of associations and the differences in their approaches towards local history renders collaboration of associations, individual private researchers and professional historians difficult. Without a systematic exchange of professional and non-professional research, local knowledge is eventually lost. Workshops and seminars for non-professional researchers addressed this issue between 1984 and 1995 in order to establish closer collaboration of Universities and private researchers and a more fruitful exchange of knowledge between the two. New formats of collaboration are now reviving this endeavour to sensitize scientists of the importance of this task and to develop new and younger audiences for local history since in the light of declining funding opportunities for this research field new citizen scientists seem to be more important than ever

The First Complaint: An Approach to the Admission of Child-Hearsay Statements Under the Alaska Rules of Evidence

The Swedish Transport Agency has for a long time collected data on a monthly basis for different variables that are used to make predictions, short projections as well as longer projections. They have used SAS for producing statistical models in air transport. The model with the largest value of coefficient of determination is the method that has been used for a long time. The Swedish Transport Agency felt it was time for an evaluation of their models and methods of how projections is estimated, they would also explore the possibilities to use different, completely new models for forecasting air travel. This Bachelor thesis examines how the Holt-Winters method does compare with SARIMA, error terms such as RMSE, MAPE, R2, AIC and BIC  will be compared between the methods.  The results which have been produced showing that there may be a risk that the Holt-Winters models adepts a bit too well in a few variables in which Holt-Winters method has been adapted. But overall the Holt-Winters method generates better forecasts .Avbryt / Spara utkast</p