Military Power: Explaining Victory and Defeat in Modern Battle

Streaming audio requires RealPlayer.The University Archives has determined that this item is of continuing value to OSU's history.Dr. Stephen D. Biddle is Associate Professor of National Security Studies at the U.S. Army War College Strategic Studies Institute (SSI).Ohio State University. Mershon Center for International Security StudiesEvent webpage, streaming audi

Afghanistan and the Future of Warfare: Implications for Army and Defense Policy

America\u27s novel use of special forces, precision weapons, and indigenous allies has attracted widespread attention since its debut in Northern Afghanistan last fall. It has proven both influential and controversial. Many think it caused the Taliban\u27s sudden collapse. For them, this Afghan Model represents warfare\u27s future, and should become the new template for US defense planning. Critics, however, see Afghanistan as an anomaly - a non-repeatable product of local conditions. This briefing examines the Afghan Model\u27s actual role in the fall of the Taliban using evidence collected from a combination of 45 participant interviews, terrain inspection in Afghanistan, and written documentation from both official and unofficial sources. The results suggest that neither of the main current interpretations is sound: Afghanistan offers important clues to warfare\u27s future, but not the ones most people think. The campaign of 2001-2 was a surprisingly orthodox air-ground theater campaign in which heavy fire support decided a contest between two significant land armies. Of course, some elements were quite new. Precision firepower was available in unprecedented quantity and proved crucial for success; special operations forces served as the main effort in a theater of war. In an important sense, though, the differences were less salient than the continuities: the key to success in both Afghanistan and traditional joint warfare was the close interaction of fire and maneuver, neither of which was sufficient alone and neither of which could succeed without sizeable ground forces trained and equipped at least as well as their opponents. In Afghanistan, our allies provided these ground forces for us; where others can do so, the Afghan Model can be expected to prevail. Hence Afghanistan is not unique. But not all future allies have armies trained and equipped to their enemies\u27 standards. Without this, neither the bravery of our special forces nor the sophistication of our PGMs can ensure an Afghan-like collapse in a resolute opponent—and this implies a very different set of policies for the armed forces and the Nation than many of those now prominent in the public debate on the war.https://press.armywarcollege.edu/monographs/1808/thumbnail.jp

Estimating the Economic Impacts of Gull Lake View Golf Club and Resort

Gull Lake View Golf Club and Resort, located in Augusta, Michigan, operates several golf courses in the greater Kalamazoo region. A significant portion of its clients is not only from outside the region, but also outside the state of Michigan. Along with golf operations, Gull Lake View offers lodging, spa services, eating and drinking establishments, and meetings, weddings, and other events. The Resort wanted to better understand from where outside the region its patrons come and the economic impact resulting from the activities generated by these patrons

Modelling the Reallocation of Time Spent Sitting into Physical Activity: Isotemporal Substitution vs. Compositional Isotemporal Substitution.

Isotemporal substitution modelling (ISM) and compositional isotemporal modelling (CISM) are statistical approaches used in epidemiology to model the associations of replacing time in one physical behaviour with time in another. This study's aim was to use both ISM and CISM to examine and compare associations of reallocating 60 min of sitting into standing or stepping with markers of cardiometabolic health. Cross-sectional data collected during three randomised control trials (RCTs) were utilised. All participants (n = 1554) were identified as being at high risk of developing type 2 diabetes. Reallocating 60 min from sitting to standing and to stepping was associated with a lower BMI, waist circumference, and triglycerides and higher high-density lipoprotein cholesterol using both ISM and CISM (p < 0.05). The direction and magnitude of significant associations were consistent across methods. No associations were observed for hemoglobin A1c, total cholesterol, or low-density lipoprotein cholesterol for either method. Results of both ISM and CISM were broadly similar, allowing for the interpretation of previous research, and should enable future research in order to make informed methodological, data-driven decisions

Assessing Community Needs: City of Toledo and Lucas County, Ohio

At the core of issues in Lucas County and, in particular, the City of Toledo is poverty. While this does not necessarily provide an “Aha!” moment, current conditions that contribute to being economically disadvantaged in many areas of the city and county affect not only current residents but will also affect future residents—without meaningful and targeted interventions. It is beyond the scope of the Toledo Community Foundation, or any single institution for that matter, to unilaterally address the range of issues presented in this study. Remedying these issues must be accomplished through the coordination and leveraging of resources, including public, private, personal, and not-for-profit resources

Office workers’ experiences of attempts to reduce sitting-time: An exploratory, mixed-methods uncontrolled intervention pilot study

Background. Office workers typically sit for most of the workday, which has been linked to physical and mental ill-health and premature death. This mixed-methods study sought to identify barriers and facilitators to reducing sitting and increasing standing among office workers who received an intervention prototype (the ‘ReSiT [Reducing Sitting Time] Study’). The intervention comprised a sit-stand workstation and tailored advice to enhance motivation, capability and opportunity to displace sitting with standing. Methods. Twenty-nine UK university office workers (aged ≥18y, working ≥3 days per week, most time spent at a seated desk) participated in a 13-week uncontrolled study. They were initially monitored for one-week. In a subsequent face-to-face consultation, participants received sitting time feedback from a prior one-week monitoring period, and selected from a set of tailored sitting-reduction techniques. Quantitative data comprising sitting, standing and stepping time, which were objectively monitored for 7 consecutive days across three post-intervention timepoints, were descriptively analysed. Qualitative data, from semi-structured interviews conducted at 1, 6 and 12-weeks post-intervention, were thematically analysed. Results. Compared to baseline, mean sitting time decreased at weeks 1, 6 and 12 by 49.7mins, 118.2mins, and 109.7mins respectively. Despite prior concerns about colleagues’ reactions to standing, many reported encouragement from others, and standing could be equally conducive to social interaction or creating private, personal space. Some perceived less cognitively-demanding tasks to be more conducive to standing, though some found standing offered a valued break from challenging tasks. Participants prioritised workload over sitting reduction and were more likely to stand after rather than during work task completion. Temporary context changes, such as holidays, threatened to derail newfound routines. Conclusions. Our findings emphasise the importance of understanding workers’ mental representations of their work, and the social functions of sitting and standing in the workplace. Workplace intervention developers should incorporate a pre-intervention sitting time monitoring period, encourage workers to identify personally meaningful tasks and cues for standing, and build organisational support for sitting-reduction. We will use these insights to refine our intervention for self-administered delivery

Warm ice giant GJ 3470b - II. Revised planetary and stellar parameters from optical to near-infrared transit photometry

It is important to explore the diversity of characteristics of low-mass, low-density planets to understand the nature and evolution of this class of planets. We present a homogeneous analysis of 12 new and 9 previously published broad-band photometric observations of the Uranus-sized extrasolar planet GJ 3470b, which belongs to the growing sample of sub-Jovian bodies orbiting M dwarfs. The consistency of our analysis explains some of the discrepancies between previously published results and provides updated constraints on the planetary parameters. Our data are also consistent with previous transit observations of this system. The physical properties of the transiting system can only be constrained as well as the host star is characterized, so we provide new spectroscopic measurements of GJ 3470 from 0.33 to 2.42 μm to aid our analysis. We find R* = 0.48 ± 0.04 R⊙, M* = 0.51 ± 0.06 M⊙, and T_(eff) = 3652 ± 50K for GJ 3470, along with a rotation period of 20.70 ± 0.15 d and an R-band amplitude of 0.01 mag, which is small enough that current transit measurements should not be strongly affected by stellar variability. However, to report definitively whether stellar activity has a significant effect on the light curves, this requires future multiwavelength, multi-epoch studies of GJ 3470. We also present the most precise orbital ephemeris for this system: To = 2455983.70472 ± 0.00021BJD_(TDB), P = 3.336 6487^(+0.0000043)_(−0.0000033)  d, and we see no evidence for transit timing variations greater than 1 min. Our reported planet to star radius ratio is 0.076 42 ± 0.000 37. The physical parameters of this planet are R_p = 3.88 ± 0.32 R⊕ and M_p = 13.73 ± 1.61 M⊕. Because of our revised stellar parameters, the planetary radius we present is smaller than previously reported values. We also perform a second analysis of the transmission spectrum of the entire ensemble of transit observations to date, supporting the existence of an H_2-dominated atmosphere exhibiting a strong Rayleigh scattering slope

Towards enhancing national capacity for evidence informed policy and practice in falls management: a role for a "Translation Task Group"?

There has been a growing interest over recent years, both within Australia and overseas, in enhancing the translation of research into policy and practice. As one mechanism to improve the dissemination and uptake of falls research into policy and practice and to foster the development of policy-appropriate research, a Falls Translation Task Group has formed to facilitate linkage and exchange. There has been a growing interest over recent years, both within Australia and overseas, in enhancing the translation of research into policy and practice. As one mechanism to improve the dissemination and uptake of falls research into policy and practice and to foster the development of policy-appropriate research, a Falls Translation Task Group was formed as part of an NHMRC Population Health Capacity Building grant. This paper reports on the group\u27s first initiative to address issues around the research to policy and practice interface, and identifies a continuing role for such a group. MethodA one day forum brought together falls researchers and decision-makers from across the nation to facilitate linkage and exchange. Observations of the day\u27s proceedings were made by the authors. Participants were asked to complete a questionnaire at the commencement of the forum (to ascertain expectations) and at its completion (to evaluate the event). Observer notes and the questionnaire responses form the basis of analysis. Results: Both researchers and decision-makers have a desire to bridge the gap between research and policy and practice. Significant barriers to research uptake were highlighted and included both health system barriers (for example, a lack of financial and human resources) as well as evidence barriers (such as insufficient economic data and implementation research). Solutions to some of these barriers included the identification of clinical champions within the health sector to enhance evidence uptake, and the sourcing of alternative funding to support implementation research and encourage partnerships between researchers, decision-makers and other stakeholders. Conclusion: Participants sought opportunities for ongoing networking and collaboration. Two activities have been identified as priorities: establishing a policy-sensitive research agenda and partnering researchers and decision-makers in the process; and establishing a National Translation Task Group with a broad membership

A comparison of five surface mixed layer models with a year of observations in the North Atlantic

Five upper ocean mixed layer models driven by ERA-Interim surface forcing are compared with a year of hydrographic observations of the upper 1000 m, taken at the Porcupine Abyssal Plain observatory site using profiling gliders. All the models reproduce sea surface temperature (SST) fairly well, with annual mean warm biases of 0.11  ° C (PWP model), 0.24  ° C (GLS), 0.31  ° C (TKE), 0.91  ° C (KPP) and 0.36  ° C (OSMOSIS). The main exception is that the KPP model has summer SSTs which are higher than the observations by nearly 3 ° . Mixed layer salinity (MLS) is not reproduced well by the models and the biases are large enough to produce a non-trivial density bias in the Eastern North Atlantic Central Water which forms in this region in winter. All the models develop mixed layers which are too deep in winter, with average winter mixed layer depth (MLD) biases between 160 and 228 m. The high variability in winter MLD is reproduced more successfully by model estimates of the depth of active mixing and/or boundary layer depth than by model MLD based on water column properties. After the spring restratification event, biases in MLD are small and do not appear to be related to the preceding winter biases. There is a very clear relationship between MLD and local wind stress in all models and in the observations during spring and summer, with increased wind speeds leading to deepening mixed layers, but this relationship is not present during autumn and winter. We hypothesize that the deepening of the MLD in autumn is so strongly driven by the annual cycle in surface heat flux that the winds are less significant in the autumn. The surface heat flux drives a diurnal cycle in MLD and SST from March onwards, though this effect is much more significant in the models than in the observations. We are unable to identify one model as definitely better than the others. The only clear differences between the models are KPP’s inability to accurately reproduce summer SSTs, and the OSMOSIS model’s more accurate reproduction of MLS