75 research outputs found

    Predictors of the first cardiovascular event in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus - a prospective cohort study

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    Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE) is an autoimmune, inflammatory disease that mainly affects women. The prognosis of SLE has improved dramatically, but mortality rates are still higher than in the general population. With the improved general prognosis, cardiovascular disease (CVD) has emerged as a major cause of morbidity and mortality among SLE patients. Previous studies have demonstrated that the development of atherosclerosis is accelerated in SLE, and have identified a set of traditional and nontraditional risk factors that characterize SLE patients with CVD. Nevertheless, many unsolved issues with respect to SLE related CVD remain. The general aim of this thesis was to investigate risk factors for manifest CVD and for cardiovascular mortality (CVM) in SLE, with special focus on traditional risk factors, lupus phenotype, inflammatory and endothelial biomarkers, autoantibodies and genetic predisposition. In the first paper, we prospectively studied traditional and non-traditional risk factors for the development of the first cardiovascular event (CVE) in 182 SLE patients with a follow-up time of 8 years. 24(13%) patients had a first event. We demonstrated that of the traditional risk factors, only age and smoking predicted the first CVE. Additionally, antiphospholipid antibodies (aPL), endothelial biomarkers, represented by soluble vascular cell adhesion molecule 1(sVCAM-1), and absence of thrombocytopenia were independent predictors of CVE. Thus, activation of the endothelium and the coagulation system are important features in SLE-related CVD and the importance to advocate smoking cessation among SLE patients is underscored In the second paper, we prospectively investigated causes of mortality and risk factors for overall mortality and CVM in a cohort of 208 SLE patients, with a follow-up time of 12 years. We also evaluated Systematic coronary risk evaluation (SCORE, tool for evaluating the 10 year risk for cardiovascular death in the age span 40-65 years, based on traditional risk factors) in this population. Cystatin C, a sensitive measure of renal function, in addition to traditional and non-traditional risk factors, were evaluated as risk factors. 42 patients died, 48 % of which were due to CVM. Age, previous arterial events and high cystatin C levels were the strongest predictors for overall mortality and for CVM. After adjusting for these three variables, smoking, sVCAM-1 and high sensitiviy C-reactive protein (hsCRP) predicted CVM. SCORE estimated 4 but we observed 9 cases of CVM, a non-significant difference. We conclude that except for smoking, traditional risk factors are less important than cystatin C, endothelial and inflammatory biomarkers as predictors of CVM in SLE patients. In the third paper, we investigated whether a risk allele for SLE in the signal transducer and activator of transcription factor 4 gene (STAT4) was associated with vascular events or presence of antiphospholipid antibodies (aPL). A total of 578 unrelated SLE patients (424 from mid-Sweden and 154 from southern-Sweden) were included in a cross-sectional design. Occurrence of previous cardiovascular events and aPL were tabulated. Matched controls (N=651) were genotyped as a comparison. The results demonstrate that the STAT4 risk allele was associated with ischemic cerebrovascular disease (ICVD), with a dose-dependent relationship between ICVD and number of risk alleles. The risk allele was furthermore associated with the presence of two or more aPLs, also in a dose-dependent manner. The association remained after adjustment for known traditional risk factors. We conclude that patients with the STAT4 risk allele have an increased risk of ICVD. Our results imply that genetic predisposition is an important risk factor for ICVD in SLE patients, and that aPL may be one underlying mechanism. In the fourth paper, we evaluated the potential association between smoking and aPL. 367 SLE patients were investigated in a cross-sectional study. Occurrence of aPL (anticardiolipin (aCL) IgG and IgM, anti-β2 glycoprotein-1 IgG (aβ2GP1 IgG), lupus anticoagulant (LAC)) and smoking habits (never, ever, former, current) were tabulated. Never smoking was used as reference in all calculations. In multivariable models, adjusted for age, sex and age at disease onset, aCL and aβ2GP1 of the IgG isotype and LAC were associated with ever smoking, this association seemed to be driven mainly by the former smoking group. Our results demonstrate that smoking is associated with pro-thrombotic aPL in SLE patients, though we can not from this study draw firm conclusions about the temporal relationship between exposure to smoking and occurrence of aPL. Further studies are warranted to investigate the mechanisms behind these observations. In prospective studies we have demonstrated that in particular smoking, systemic inflammation, endothelial activation and aPL are major risk factors for SLE related CVD and CVM. Furthermore, genetic predisposition, in our studies represented by a STAT4 SLE risk allele, contributes to the high risk of ICVD and to the occurrence of aPL, a possible underlying pathogenic mechanism. Finally we demonstrate that smoking, known to have unfavorable effects on the immune system and to significantly increase cardiovascular risk in SLE patients, is also associated with pro-thrombotic aPL in patients with SLE. Thus in SLE smoking stands out as the most important of the traditional risk factors with potential influence also on lupus related risk factors such as aPL

    The public health response during and after the Lac-Mégantic train derailment tragedy: a case study

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    On July 6th 2013, a train derailment occurred in the small town of Lac-Mégantic, Quebec, Canada, causing a major human and environmental disaster. In this case study, we comprehensively describe and analyze actions taken by the Public Health Department of the Eastern Townships, in close collaboration with community-based organizations, during both the impact phase emergency response and the post-impact recovery operations that continued for months. Due to the complexity of the event, public health actions needed to be broadly diversified. Preventive measures targeted chemical, physical, biological, and psychosocial hazards in the short-, medium- and long-term. Our analyses yielded valuable lessons that will improve and inform our response to future events while serving as a basis for developing a conceptual framework for public health emergency preparedness

    dendrometeR : analyzing the pulse of trees in R

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    Dendrometers are measurement devices proven to be useful to analyze tree water relations and growth responses in relation to environmental variability. To analyze dendrometer data, two analytical methods prevail: (1) daily approaches that calculate or extract single values per day, and (2) stem-cycle approaches that separate high-resolution dendrometer records into distinct phases of contraction, expansion and stem-radius increment. Especially the stem-cycle approach requires complex algorithms to disentangle cyclic phases. Here, we present an R package, named dendrometeR, that facilitates the analysis of dendrometer data using both analytical methods. By making the package freely available, we make a first step towards comparable and reproducible methods to analyze dendrometer data. The package contains customizable functions to prepare, verify, process and plot dendrometer series, as well as functions that facilitate the analysis of dendrometer data (i.e. daily statistics or extracted phases) in relation to environmental data. The functionality of dendrometeR is illustrated in this note

    Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 79 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks, 1990-2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015

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    Forouzanfar MH, Afshin A, Alexander LT, et al. Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 79 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks, 1990-2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. LANCET. 2016;388(10053):1659-1724.Background The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2015 provides an up-to-date synthesis of the evidence for risk factor exposure and the attributable burden of disease. By providing national and subnational assessments spanning the past 25 years, this study can inform debates on the importance of addressing risks in context. Methods We used the comparative risk assessment framework developed for previous iterations of the Global Burden of Disease Study to estimate attributable deaths, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and trends in exposure by age group, sex, year, and geography for 79 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks from 1990 to 2015. This study included 388 risk-outcome pairs that met World Cancer Research Fund-defined criteria for convincing or probable evidence. We extracted relative risk and exposure estimates from randomised controlled trials, cohorts, pooled cohorts, household surveys, census data, satellite data, and other sources. We used statistical models to pool data, adjust for bias, and incorporate covariates. We developed a metric that allows comparisons of exposure across risk factors-the summary exposure value. Using the counterfactual scenario of theoretical minimum risk level, we estimated the portion of deaths and DALYs that could be attributed to a given risk. We decomposed trends in attributable burden into contributions from population growth, population age structure, risk exposure, and risk-deleted cause-specific DALY rates. We characterised risk exposure in relation to a Socio-demographic Index (SDI). Findings Between 1990 and 2015, global exposure to unsafe sanitation, household air pollution, childhood underweight, childhood stunting, and smoking each decreased by more than 25%. Global exposure for several occupational risks, high body-mass index (BMI), and drug use increased by more than 25% over the same period. All risks jointly evaluated in 2015 accounted for 57.8% (95% CI 56.6-58.8) of global deaths and 41.2% (39.8-42.8) of DALYs. In 2015, the ten largest contributors to global DALYs among Level 3 risks were high systolic blood pressure (211.8 million [192.7 million to 231.1 million] global DALYs), smoking (148.6 million [134.2 million to 163.1 million]), high fasting plasma glucose (143.1 million [125.1 million to 163.5 million]), high BMI (120.1 million [83.8 million to 158.4 million]), childhood undernutrition (113.3 million [103.9 million to 123.4 million]), ambient particulate matter (103.1 million [90.8 million to 115.1 million]), high total cholesterol (88.7 million [74.6 million to 105.7 million]), household air pollution (85.6 million [66.7 million to 106.1 million]), alcohol use (85.0 million [77.2 million to 93.0 million]), and diets high in sodium (83.0 million [49.3 million to 127.5 million]). From 1990 to 2015, attributable DALYs declined for micronutrient deficiencies, childhood undernutrition, unsafe sanitation and water, and household air pollution; reductions in risk-deleted DALY rates rather than reductions in exposure drove these declines. Rising exposure contributed to notable increases in attributable DALYs from high BMI, high fasting plasma glucose, occupational carcinogens, and drug use. Environmental risks and childhood undernutrition declined steadily with SDI; low physical activity, high BMI, and high fasting plasma glucose increased with SDI. In 119 countries, metabolic risks, such as high BMI and fasting plasma glucose, contributed the most attributable DALYs in 2015. Regionally, smoking still ranked among the leading five risk factors for attributable DALYs in 109 countries; childhood underweight and unsafe sex remained primary drivers of early death and disability in much of sub-Saharan Africa. Interpretation Declines in some key environmental risks have contributed to declines in critical infectious diseases. Some risks appear to be invariant to SDI. Increasing risks, including high BMI, high fasting plasma glucose, drug use, and some occupational exposures, contribute to rising burden from some conditions, but also provide opportunities for intervention. Some highly preventable risks, such as smoking, remain major causes of attributable DALYs, even as exposure is declining. Public policy makers need to pay attention to the risks that are increasingly major contributors to global burden. Copyright (C) The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd

    Search for single production of vector-like quarks decaying into Wb in pp collisions at s=8\sqrt{s} = 8 TeV with the ATLAS detector

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    Measurement of the charge asymmetry in top-quark pair production in the lepton-plus-jets final state in pp collision data at s=8TeV\sqrt{s}=8\,\mathrm TeV{} with the ATLAS detector

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    Charged-particle distributions at low transverse momentum in s=13\sqrt{s} = 13 TeV pppp interactions measured with the ATLAS detector at the LHC

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    Search for dark matter in association with a Higgs boson decaying to bb-quarks in pppp collisions at s=13\sqrt s=13 TeV with the ATLAS detector

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    ATLAS Run 1 searches for direct pair production of third-generation squarks at the Large Hadron Collider

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