Seasonal Correction of Offshore Wind Energy Potential due to Air Density: Case of the Iberian Peninsula

A constant value of air density based on its annual average value at a given location is commonly used for the computation of the annual energy production in wind industry. Thus, the correction required in the estimation of daily, monthly or seasonal wind energy production, due to the use of air density, is ordinarily omitted in existing literature. The general method, based on the implementation of the wind speed’s Weibull distribution over the power curve of the turbine, omits it if the power curve is not corrected according to the air density of the site. In this study, the seasonal variation of air density was shown to be highly relevant for the computation of offshore wind energy potential around the Iberian Peninsula. If the temperature, pressure, and moisture are taken into account, the wind power density and turbine capacity factor corrections derived from these variations are also significant. In order to demonstrate this, the advanced Weather Research and Forecasting mesoscale Model (WRF) using data assimilation was executed in the study area to obtain a spatial representation of these corrections. According to the results, the wind power density, estimated by taking into account the air density correction, exhibits a difference of 8% between summer and winter, compared with that estimated without the density correction. This implies that seasonal capacity factor estimation corrections of up to 1% in percentage points are necessary for wind turbines mainly for summer and winter, due to air density changes.This work has been funded by the Spanish Government’s MINECO project CGL2016-76561-R (AEI/FEDER EU) and the University of the Basque Country (UPV/EHU funded project GIU17/02). The ECMWF ERA-Interim data used in this study have been obtained from the ECMWF-MARS Data Server. The authors wish to express their gratitude to the Spanish Port Authorities (Puertos del Estado) for being kind enough to provide data for this study. The computational resources used in the project were provided by I2BASQUE. The authors thank the creators of the WRF/ARW and WRFDA systems for making them freely available to the community. NOAA_OI_SST_V2 data provided by the NOAA/OAR/ESRL PSD, Boulder, Colorado, USA, through their web-site at http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/ were used in this paper. National Centres for Environmental Prediction/National Weather Service/NOAA/U.S. Department of Commerce. 2008, updated daily. NCEP ADP Global Upper Air and Surface Weather Observations (PREPBUFR format), May 1997—continuing. Research Data Archive at the National Centre for Atmospheric Research, Computational and Information Systems Laboratory. http://rda.ucar.edu/datasets/ds337.0/ were used. All the calculations have been carried out in the framework of R Core Team (2016). R: A language and environment for statistical computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria. https://www.R-project.org

Using 3DVAR data assimilation to measure offshore wind energy potential at different turbine heights in the West Mediterranean

In this article, offshore wind energy potential is measured around the Iberian Mediterranean coast and the Balearic Islands using the WRF meteorological model without 3DVAR data assimilation (the N simulation) and with 3DVAR data assimilation (the D simulation). Both simulations have been checked against the observations of six buoys and a spatially distributed analysis of wind based on satellite data (second version of Cross-Calibrated Multi-Platform, CCMPv2), and compared with ERA-Interim (ERAI). Three statistical indicators have been used: Pearson’s correlation, root mean square error and the ratio of standard deviations. The simulation with data assimilation provides the best fit, and it is as good as ERAI, in many cases at a 95% confidence level. Although ERAI is the best model, in the spatially distributed evaluation versus CCMPv2 the D simulation has more consistent indicators than ERAI near the buoys. Additionally, our simulation’s spatial resolution is five times higher than ERAI. Finally, regarding the estimation of wind energy potential, we have represented the annual and seasonal capacity factor maps over the study area, and our results have identified two areas of high potential to the north of Menorca and at Cabo Begur, where the wind energy potential has been estimated for three turbines at different heights according to the simulation with data assimilation.This work has been funded by the Spanish Government’s MINECO project CGL2016-76561-R (MINECO/FEDER EU), the University of theBasque Country (project GIU14/03) and the Basque Government (Elkartek 2017 INFORMAR project). SJGR is supported by a FPIPredoctoral Research Grant (MINECO, BES-2014-069977). The ECMWFERA-Interim data used in this study have been obtained from the ECMWF-MARS Data Server thanks to agreements with ECMWF and AEMET. The authors would like to express their gratitude to the Spanish Port Authorities (Puertos del Estado) for kindly providing data for thisstudy. The computational resources used in the project were providedby I2BASQUE. The authors thank the creators of the WRF/ARW and WRFDA systems for making them freely available to the community. NOAA_OI_SST_V2 data provided by the NOAA/OAR/ESRL PSD,Boulder, Colorado, USA, through their web-site athttp://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/was used in this paper. National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Weather Service/NOAA/U.S.Department of Commerce. 2008, updated daily. NCEP ADP GlobalUpper Air and Surface Weather Observations (PREPBUFR format), May1997–Continuing. Research Data Archive at the National Center for Atmospheric Research, Computational and Information Systems Laboratory.http://rda.ucar.edu/datasets/ds337.0/were used. All thecalculations have been carried out in the framework of R Core Team(2016). R: A language and environment for statistical computing. RFoundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria. URLhttps://www.R-project.org/

Global estimations of wind energy potential considering seasonal air density changes

The literature typically considers constant annual average air density when computing the wind energy potential of a given location. In this work, the recent reanalysis ERA5 is used to obtain global seasonal estimates of wind energy production that include seasonally varying air density. Thus, errors due to the use of a constant air density are quantified. First, seasonal air density changes are studied at the global scale. Then, wind power density errors due to seasonal air density changes are computed. Finally, winter and summer energy production errors due to neglecting the changes in air density are computed by implementing the power curve of the National Renewable Energy Laboratorys 5 MW turbine. Results show relevant deviations for three variables (air density, wind power density, and energy production), mainly in the middle-high latitudes (Hudson Bay, Siberia, Patagonia, Australia, etc.). Locations with variations from −6% to 6% are identified from summers to winters in the Northern Hemisphere. Additionally, simulations with the aeroelastic code FAST for the studied turbine show that instantaneous power production can be affected by greater than 20% below the rated wind speed if a day with realistically high or low air density values is compared for the same turbulent wind speed.This work was funded by the Spanish Government's MINECO project CGL2016-76561-R (AEI/FEDER EU) and the University of the Basque Country (UPV/EHU-funded project GIU17/02). The ECMWFERA-5 data used in this study were obtained from the Copernicus Climate Data Store. All the calculations were carried out in the framework of R Core Team (2016). More can be learnt about R, alanguage and an environment for statistical computing, at the website of the R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna,Austria (https://www.R-project.org/)

Innovation in Commercial Supersonic Aircraft with Candidate Engine for Next Generation Supersonic Aircraft

The objective of this design study and competition - Next Generation Supersonic Candidate Engine and Aircraft Design, is a response to a proposal and is motivated by NASA’s National Research Announcement in 2006. The requirements of this design study are provided by AIAA (American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics). The aircraft designed is a private business class. The aircraft engine performs at a maximum speed of Mach 1.8 and supersonic cruise speed of Mach 1.6 at 55,000 feet and a range of 4000 nmi. A generated mission profile through considerations in flight regime will drive the design involved in the development of aircraft characteristics. Interior cabin configurations are expected to support seating for up to 100 passengers. Using parametric cycle analysis, computational fluid dynamics, and system modeling/experimentation, a refined aircraft and engine design will be produced. Detailed analyses to meet the baseline requirements involve interpretation of trends of current generation aircraft engines are considered for the finalized design. The performance of the aircraft engine will involve calculations on wave drag, supersonic turbulent flow, and integrated methods of design of the nacelle enveloped within the aircraft fuselage. Through these various iterative methods, considerations in supersonic aircraft propulsion and aircraft design are presented. Projected technical specifications are to be implemented for the next generation of supersonic aircraft expected to be debuted in 2025. A robust composition of advanced material composites, methods of manufacturing, and forecasted advancements in technology are utilized to develop a proposal for the next generation of supersonic aircraft

Ciudadanía, elecciones y movilización política en Cuba durante el Trienio Liberal (1820-1823)

La puesta en marcha del sistema representativo en Cuba durante el Trienio Liberal estuvo marcada por la agitación y la movilización casi permanente de la ciudadanía. Tanto en La Habana como en el resto de poblaciones de la isla, el calendario electoral se vio alterado por sucesivas anulaciones totales o parciales de los resultados, lo cual generó un ambiente de crispación política que inquietó a las élites y autoridades. Este trabajo busca reconstruir ese proceso, casi desconocido por la historiografía, a través de diversas fuentes electorales

La Iglesia y los sacerdotes cubanos ante el régimen constitucional gaditano (1812-1814 y 1820-1823)

La Constitución gaditana se aplicó en todo el territorio cubano en los dos períodos en que estuvo vigente, 1812-1814 y 1820-1823, al quedar libre la isla de las convulsiones de las guerras de independencia. En este trabajo se analiza la participación del estamento eclesiástico cubano en ese proceso. Como revelan las fuentes, el clero cubano, alentado por el prelado de La Habana, se caracterizó por su implicación a nivel local en la erección del sistema representativo, en su doble papel de ciudadanos y representantes del nuevo Estado, pero también en defensa de los intereses locales frente a otras autoridades, a pesar de las críticas que recibió desde la facción más colonialista y reaccionaria, especialmente durante el Trienio liberal.The Constitution of Cadiz was applied throughout Cuban territory in the two periods in which it was in force, 1812-1814 and 1820-1823, when the island was free from the convulsions of the wars of independence. This paper analyzes the participation of the Cuban ecclesiastical establishment in this process. As the sources reveal, the Cuban clergy, encouraged by the bishop of Havana, was characterized by its involvement at the local level in establishing the representative system. The clergy had a dual role as citizens and representatives of the new State, but were also vocal in defense of local interests against other authorities, and resisted the criticism of the most pro-colonial reactionary faction, especially during the Liberal Triennium

Crustal evolution between 2.0 and 3.5 Ga in the southern Gaviao block (Umburanas-Brumado-Aracatu region), Sao Francisco Craton, Brazil: A 3.5-3.8 Ga photo-crust in the Gaviao block?

The main evolution of the Gavião block in the Umburanas-Brumado-Aracatu region, in the state of Bahia, is defined by several sets of tonalitic-trondhjemitic and granodioritic gneisses emplaced during the Paleoarchean. The juvenile Bernada gneisses are e

The Sailor diagram – A new diagram for the verification of two-dimensional vector data from multiple models

A new diagram is proposed for the verification of vector quantities generated by multiple models against a set of observations. It has been designed with the objective, as in the Taylor diagram, of providing a visual diagnostic tool which allows an easy comparison of simulations by multiple models against a reference dataset. However, the Sailor diagram extends this ability to two-dimensional quantities such as currents, wind, horizontal fluxes of water vapour and other geophysical variables by adding features which allow us to evaluate directional properties of the data as well. The diagram is based on the analysis of the two-dimensional structure of the mean squared error matrix between model and observations. This matrix is separated in a part corresponding to the bias and the relative rotation of the two orthogonal directions (empirical orthogonal functions; EOFs) which best describe the vector data. Since there is no truncation of the retained EOFs, these orthogonal directions explain the total variability of the original dataset. We test the performance of this new diagram to identify the differences amongst the reference dataset and a series of model outputs by using some synthetic datasets and real-world examples with time series of variables such as wind, current and vertically integrated moisture transport. An alternative setup for spatially varying time-fixed fields is shown in the last examples, in which the spatial average of surface wind in the Northern and Southern Hemisphere according to different reanalyses and realizations from ensembles of CMIP5 models are compared. The Sailor diagrams presented here show that it is a tool which helps in identifying errors due to the bias or the orientation of the simulated vector time series or fields. The R implementation of the diagram presented together with this paper allows us also to easily retrieve the individual diagnostics of the different components of the mean squared error and additional diagnostics which can be presented in tabular form.This research has been supported by the Spanish Government’s MINECO grant and ERDF (grant no. CGL2016- 76561-R) and the UPV/EHU (grant no. GIU17/02)

The XMM-LSS survey. Survey design and first results

We have designed a medium deep large area X-ray survey with XMM - the XMM Large Scale Structure survey, XMM-LSS - with the scope of extending the cosmological tests attempted using ROSAT cluster samples to two redshift bins between 0<z<1 while maintaining the precision of earlier studies. Two main goals have constrained the survey design: the evolutionary study of the cluster-cluster correlation function and of the cluster number density. The results are promising and, so far, in accordance with our predictions as to the survey sensitivity and cluster number density. The feasibility of the programme is demonstrated and further X-ray coverage is awaited in order to proceed with a truly significant statistical analysis. (Abridged)Comment: Published in Journal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physic

A new experiment for the determination of the 18F(p,alpha) reaction rate at nova temperatures

The 18F(p,alpha) reaction was recognized as one of the most important for gamma ray astronomy in novae as it governs the early 511 keV emission. However, its rate remains largely uncertain at nova temperatures. A direct measurement of the cross section over the full range of nova energies is impossible because of its vanishing value at low energy and of the short 18F lifetime. Therefore, in order to better constrain this reaction rate, we have performed an indirect experiment taking advantage of the availability of a high purity and intense radioactive 18F beam at the Louvain La Neuve RIB facility. We present here the first results of the data analysis and discuss the consequences.Comment: Contribution to the Classical Novae Explosions conference, Sitges, Spain, 20-24 May 2002, 5 pages, 3 figure