Spatio-temporal variability of the North Sea cod recruitment in relation to temperature and zooplankton

The North Sea cod (Gadus morhua, L.) stock has continuously declined over the past four decades linked with overfishing and climate change. Changes in stock structure due to overfishing have made the stock largely dependent on its recruitment success, which greatly relies on environmental conditions. Here we focus on the spatio-temporal variability of cod recruitment in an effort to detect changes during the critical early life stages. Using International Bottom Trawl Survey (IBTS) data from 1974 to 2011, a major spatio-temporal change in the distribution of cod recruits was identified in the late 1990s, characterized by a pronounced decrease in the central and southeastern North Sea stock. Other minor spatial changes were also recorded in the mid-1980s and early 1990s. We tested whether the observed changes in recruits distribution could be related with direct (i.e. temperature) and/or indirect (i.e. changes in the quantity and quality of zooplankton prey) effects of climate variability. The analyses were based on spatially-resolved time series, i.e. sea surface temperature (SST) from the Hadley Center and zooplankton records from the Continuous Plankton Recorder Survey. We showed that spring SST increase was the main driver for the most recent decrease in cod recruitment. The late 1990s were also characterized by relatively low total zooplankton biomass, particularly of energy-rich zooplankton such as the copepod Calanus finmarchicus , which have further contributed to the decline of North Sea cod recruitment. Long-term spatially- resolved observations were used to produce regional distribution models that could further be used to predict the abundance of North Sea cod recruits based on temperature and zooplankton food availability.Publicado

The Role of Sublimational Cooling in a Late-Season Midwestern Snow Event

Analysis is provided of a surprise late-season snow event over eastern Missouri and western Illinois. While snow totals failed to exceed 15 cm (6 in.) at any single location, the system was noteworthy because of the poor performance of public, private, and media forecasts in anticipating the event. Using observed data and a successful simulation with a mesoscale numerical model, the event is scrutinized to determine the forcing mechanisms for the precipitation over a small area. A region of enhanced frontogenesis is diagnosed over the region both in the observed data as well as the model output. That the precipitation fell as snow is shown to be the result of a dry layer of air between the surface and the cloud base that saturated and cooled due largely to snow sublimation–evaporation in just a few hours to permit the fall of snow uninhibited from the cloud base to the ground

SIMULATIONS AND MEASUREMENTS OF THE PRE-ARCING TIMES IN HBC FUSES UNDER TYPICAL ELECTRIC FAULTS

International audienceThis work deals with the comparison between calculations and measurements of pre-arcing times in High Breaking Capacity fuses under typical fault current conditions. This paper also describes the temperature evolution and the Joule energy dissipated in a fuse element during the pre-arcing time. By varying typical electrical parameters, namely the closing angle and the power factor, we show that various prospective currents such as those observed in industrial case can be fairly simulated. The pre-arcing time and then the clearing of the fault current are shown to be deeply dependent on these electrical characteristics. We exhibit simulated results of prospective current and supply voltage waves for given closing angles under two typical power factors which are compared with the experimental ones. A comparison between simulated pre-arcing times with experimental ones shows some discrepancies and a discussion on the numerical assumptions is made

Assessing Upper Tropospheric Jet Streak Proximity Using the Rossby Radius of Deformation

The Rossby radius of deformation is a parameter that describes the relative role of buoyant and inertial forces for atmospheric phenomena in a flow regime. It will be demonstrated that it can also be used to determine whether or not forcing for vertical motions in the region between upper level tropospheric jet streaks overlaps or interacts. Using predefined points in the entrance and exit regions of neighboring upper level jet streaks, the distance between them is calculated for each event. If they are closer than twice the Rossby radius of deformation, the resulting region affected by both streaks is termed the Rossby Radius of Deformation Overlap Zone (RRDOZ). Plan-view and cross-sectional analysis shows that ageostrophic transverse circulations within the RRDOZ led to enhanced upward vertical velocities as predicted in prior research. Lastly, a short-term climatology for overlap events in North America is derived, and these are classified according to three proposed archetypes

Radial basis functions mesh morphing for the analysis of cracks propagation

Abstract Damage tolerant design requires the implementation of effective tools for fracture mechanics analysis suitable for complex shaped components. FEM methods are very well consolidated in this field and reliable procedures for the strength assessment of cracked parts are daily used in many industrial fields. Nevertheless the generation of the computational grid of the cracked part and its update after a certain evolution are still a challenging part of the computational workflow. Mesh morphing, that consists in the repositioning of nodal locations without changing the topology of the mesh, can be a meaningful answer to this problem as it allows the mesh updating without the need of rebuilding it from scratch. Fast Radial Basis Functions (RBF) can be used as an effective tool for enabling mesh morphing on very large meshes that are typically used in advanced industrial applications (many millions of nodes). The applicability of this concept is demonstrated in this paper exploiting state of the art tools for FEA (ANSYS Mechanical) and for advanced mesh morphing (RBF Morph ACT Extension). Proposed method is benchmarked using as a reference a circular notched bar with a surface defect. Reliability of fracture parameter extraction on the morphed mesh is first verified using as a reference literature data and ANSYS Mechanical tools based on re-meshing: different crack shapes are achieved using the new geometry as a morphing target. Crack propagation workflow is then demonstrated showing the computed shape evolution for different size and shape of the initial crack

In situ multi-frequency measurements of magnetic susceptibility as an indicator of planetary regolith maturity

Space weathering is now generally accepted to modify the optical and magnetic properties of airless planetary regoliths such as those on the Moon and Mercury. Under micrometeorite and ion bombardment, ferrous iron in such surfaces is reduced to metallic iron spheres, found in amorphous coatings on almost all exposed regolith grains. The size and number distribution of these particles and their location in the regolith all determine the nature and extent of the optical and magnetic changes. These parameters in turn reflect the formation mechanisms, temperatures, and durations involved in the evolution of the regolith. Studying them in situ is of intrinsic value to understanding the weathering process, and useful for determining the maturity of the regolith and providing supporting data for interpreting remotely sensed mineralogy. Fine-grained metallic iron has a number of properties that make it amenable to magnetic techniques, of which magnetic susceptibility is the simplest and most robust. The magnetic properties of the lunar regolith and laboratory regolith analogues are therefore reviewed and the theoretical basis for the frequency dependence of magnetic susceptibility presented. Proposed here is then an instrument concept using multi-frequency measurements of magnetic susceptibility to confirm the presence of fine grained magnetic material and attempt to infer its quantity and size distribution. Such an instrument would be invaluable on a future mission to an asteroid, the Moon, Mercury or other airless rocky Solar System body