401 research outputs found

    Public health impact and return on investment of Belgium’s pediatric immunization program

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    ObjectiveWe evaluated the public health impact and return on investment of Belgium’s pediatric immunization program (PIP) from both healthcare-sector and societal perspectives.MethodsWe developed a decision analytic model for 6 vaccines routinely administered in Belgium for children aged 0–10 years: DTaP-IPV-HepB-Hib, DTaP-IPV, MMR, PCV, rotavirus, and meningococcal type C. We used separate decision trees to model each of the 11 vaccine-preventable pathogens: diphtheria, tetanus, pertussis, poliomyelitis, Haemophilus influenzae type b, measles, mumps, rubella, Streptococcus pneumoniae, rotavirus, and meningococcal type C; hepatitis B was excluded because of surveillance limitations. The 2018 birth cohort was followed over its lifetime. The model projected and compared health outcomes and costs with and without immunization (based on vaccine-era and pre–vaccine era disease incidence estimates, respectively), assuming that observed reductions in disease incidence were fully attributable to vaccination. For the societal perspective, the model included productivity loss costs associated with immunization and disease in addition to direct medical costs. The model estimated discounted cases averted, disease-related deaths averted, life-years gained, quality-adjusted life-years gained, costs (2020 euros), and an overall benefit–cost ratio. Scenario analyses considered alternate assumptions for key model inputs.ResultsAcross all 11 pathogens, we estimated that the PIP prevented 226,000 cases of infections and 200 deaths, as well as the loss of 7,000 life-years and 8,000 quality-adjusted life-years over the lifetime of a birth cohort of 118,000 children. The PIP was associated with discounted vaccination costs of €91 million from the healthcare-sector perspective and €122 million from the societal perspective. However, vaccination costs were more than fully offset by disease-related costs averted, with the latter amounting to a discounted €126 million and €390 million from the healthcare-sector and societal perspectives, respectively. As a result, pediatric immunization was associated with overall discounted savings of €35 million and €268 million from the healthcare-sector and societal perspectives, respectively; every €1 invested in childhood immunization resulted in approximately €1.4 in disease-related cost savings to the health system and €3.2 in cost savings from a societal perspective for Belgium’s PIP. Estimates of the value of the PIP were most sensitive to changes in input assumptions for disease incidence, productivity losses due to disease-related mortality, and direct medical disease costs.ConclusionBelgium’s PIP, which previously had not been systematically assessed, provides large-scale prevention of disease-related morbidity and premature mortality, and is associated with net savings to health system and society. Continued investment in the PIP is warranted to sustain its positive public health and financial impact

    Malaria and Iron Load at the First Antenatal Visit in the Rural South Kivu, Democratic Republic of the Congo: Is Iron Supplementation Safe or Could It Be Harmful?

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    We investigated the relationship between malaria infection and iron status in 531 pregnant women in South Kivu, Democratic Republic of the Congo. Sociodemographic data, information on morbidity, and clinical data were collected. A blood sample was collected at the first antenatal visit to diagnose malaria and measure serum ferritin (SF), soluble transferrin receptor, C-reactive protein, and α1-acid-glycoprotein. Malaria prevalence was 7.5%. Median (interquartile range) SF (adjusted for inflammation) was significantly higher in malaria-infected (82.9 μg/L [56.3-130.4]) than in non-infected (39.8 μg/L [23.6-60.8]) women (P < 0.001). Similarly, estimated mean body iron store was higher in malaria-infected women (P < 0.001). Malaria was significantly and independently associated with high levels of SF. Efforts to improve malaria prevention while correcting iron deficiency and anemia during pregnancy are warranted

    Estudio comparativo de la detección de SARS CoV-2 por RT-PCR en muestras de hisopado nasofaringeo y saliva un estudio piloto en Bolivia

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    Objetivos: El muestreo de hisopado nasofaríngeo para la detección de SARS CoV-2 es un método estándar para el diagnóstico de COVID-19, pero su recolección generalmente ocasiona incomodidad en el paciente y expone a un mayor riesgo al personal de salud. La muestra de saliva parece ser una buena alternativa con respecto a las muestras de hisopado nasofaringeo, no es invasiva, reduce el riesgo de contaminación del personal sanitario y permite la auto recolección. Este estudio tiene por objetivo comparar la capacidad de detectar al SARS CoV-2 por RT-PCR en un mismo paciente, a partir de muestras de saliva y de hisopado nasofaríngeo para analizar la concordancia de los resultados obtenidos entre ambas muestras. Métodos: Treinta muestras de saliva y de HNF de pacientes con síntomas de COVID-19 que ingresaron al servicio de emergencia del Hospital Clínico Viedma fueron tomadas en paralelo. Ambas muestras fueron analizadas por RT-PCR para la detección de SARS CoV-2. La concordancia de resultados fue calculada por el coeficiente de kappa de Cohen. Resultados: Nuestros resultados muestran que existe una buena concordancia (Índice Kappa 0,730; IC del 95%: 0,486 – 0,974) entre los dos tipos de muestras analizadas. Conclusiones: La saliva parece ser una muestra fiable y efectiva para la detección del SARS CoV-2

    Can we predict forest composition across space and time in Central Africa

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    Background. Predicting the current and future natural distributions of species is challenging, especially in the tropics where large remote areas remain poorly known. Such challenge can only be met with an in-depth understanding of the drivers of species distribution, a well-designed and extensive survey and appropriate statistical models. Method. In this study, we use a large dataset of forest inventories from logging companies, which provides information on the abundance of 123 tree genera, in 140,000 plots spread over four Central African countries. In order to predict the current and future distribution of these tree genera, we use a set of bioclimatic, geological and anthropogenic variables. We rely on a recently published methodology, called Supervised Component Generalized Linear Regression (SCGLR), which identifies the most predictive dimensions among a large set of predictors. Result. Using a calibration and validation scheme, we show that the distribution of most tree genera can be well predicted over the whole study area at the present time. At the community level, the floristic and functional composition of tree genera is also inferred with a good accuracy. Finally, using spatially explicit null models, we show that species-climate association are in most cases not better than chance, thus challenging our ability to predict how forest composition will be affected by climatic changes. Conclusion. Overall, our study shows that tropical tree distributions can be predicted with good accuracy at the present time, offering new perspectives to manage tropical forests at large spatial scales, but that predicting shifts in species distribution under climate change scenarios is challenging. (Texte intégral

    Appropriateness for SARS-CoV-2 vaccination for otolaryngologist and head and neck surgeons in case of pregnancy, breastfeeding, or childbearing potential: Yo-IFOS and CEORL-HNS joint clinical consensus statement

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    Purpose SARS-CoV-2 vaccines are a key step in fighting the pandemic. Nevertheless, their rapid development did not allow for testing among specific population subgroups such as pregnant and breastfeeding women, or elaborating specific guidelines for healthcare personnel working in high infection risk specialties, such as otolaryngology (ORL). This clinical consensus statement (CCS) aims to offer guidance for SARS-CoV-2 vaccination to this high-risk population based on the best evidence available. Methods A multidisciplinary international panel of 33 specialists judged statements through a two-round modified Delphi method survey. Statements were designed to encompass the following topics: risk of SARS-Cov-2 infection and use of protective equipment in ORL; SARS-Cov-2 infection and vaccines and respective risks for the mother/child dyad; and counseling for SARS-CoV-2 vaccination in pregnant, breastfeeding, or fertile healthcare workers (PBFHW). All ORL PBFHW were considered as the target audience. Results Of the 13 statements, 7 reached consensus or strong consensus, 2 reached no consensus, and 2 reached near-consensus. According to the statements with strong consensus otorhinolaryngologists-head and neck surgeons who are pregnant, breastfeeding, or with childbearing potential should have the opportunity to receive SARS-Cov-2 vaccination. Moreover, personal protective equipment (PPE) should still be used even after the vaccination. Conclusion Until prospective evaluations on these topics are available, ORL-HNS must be considered a high infection risk specialty. While the use of PPE remains pivotal, ORL PBFHW should be allowed access to SARS-CoV-2 vaccination provided they receive up-to-date information
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