113 research outputs found

    The implications of transporting architecture on human health

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    This is the author accepted manuscript.Where modern buildings are unable to maintain the internal environment to within comfort levels they often rely on mechanical systems to become habitable. This could be due to bad design or putting the building in an environment for which it is not suited. Due to climate change it is likely that all buildings will in effect and time be moved to an environment for which it is not suited. In this work the effects of changes in climate on the internal environment will be explored and an index to define how moveable a construction might be, will be developed.The authors would like to thank the EPSRC for their support [grant ref: EP/J002380/1

    A comparison between Gaussian Process emulation and Genetic Algorithms for optimising energy use of buildings

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    Computing speed has increased greatly over recent years. Building designers can now simulate complex building models in a short time. However, even with short simulation times, building optimisation routines can still take too long for some applications. In this paper, we compare how well genetic algorithms (GAs) and Gaussian process emulation with sequential optimisation (GPESO) optimise a building to minimise the energy use. The GA approach performs a GA routine on an EnergyPlus model and the GPESO technique creates a Gaussian Process emulator (GPE) also based on the EnergyPlus model. The GPESO uses an expected improvement algorithm to sequentially improve the GPE. The results show that the GPESO technique outperforms the GA in terms of minimising the number of simulations required and the solution obtained.This work was supported by the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council [EPSRC grant number EP/J002380/1]

    Emulating computer models with step-discontinuous outputs using Gaussian processes

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    In many real-world applications, we are interested in approximating functions that are analytically unknown. An emulator provides a "fast" approximation of such functions relying on a limited number of evaluations. Gaussian processes (GPs) are commonplace emulators due to their properties such as the ability to quantify uncertainty. GPs are essentially developed to emulate smooth, continuous functions. However, the assumptions of continuity and smoothness is unwarranted in many situations. For example, in computer models where bifurcation, tipping points occur in their systems of equations, the outputs can be discontinuous. This paper examines the capacity of GPs for emulating step-discontinuous functions using two approaches. The first approach is based on choosing covariance functions/kernels, namely neural network and Gibbs, that are most appropriate for modelling discontinuities. The predictive performance of these two kernels is illustrated using several examples. The results show that they have superior performance to standard covariance functions, such as the Mat\'ern family, in capturing sharp jumps. The second approach is to transform the input space such that in the new space a GP with a standard kernel is able to predict the function well. A parametric transformation function is used whose parameters are estimated by maximum likelihood.Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC

    Future proofing a building design using history matching inspired level‐set techniques

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    This is the final version. Available on open access from Wiley via the DOI in this record. How can one design a building that will be sufficiently protected against overheating and sufficiently energy efficient, whilst considering the expected increases in temperature due to climate change? We successfully manage to address this question—greatly reducing a large set of initial candidate building designs down to a small set of acceptable buildings. We do this using a complex computer model, statistical models of said computer model (emulators), and a modification to the history matching calibration technique. This modification tackles the problem of level‐set estimation (rather than calibration), where the goal is to find input settings which lead to the simulated output being below some threshold. The entire procedure allows us to present a practitioner with a set of acceptable building designs, with the final design chosen based on other requirements (subjective or otherwise).Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC

    Creating granular climate zones for future-proof building design in the UK

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    This is the final version. Available on open access from Elsevier via the DOI in this recordData availability: Datasets related to this article can be found at https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk, hosted at the CEDA archive.Climate zones play an important role in promoting climate responsive building design and implementing climate-specific prescriptions in national building standards and regulations. The existing studies on climate zoning are subject to several limitations, i.e. the incapability of distinguishing microclimates and the lack of consideration of climate change. In this research, we propose a two-tiered ensemble clustering method for the identification of granular climate zones using the projections of future climate. The first tier identifies primary climate zones using a combination of climatic features and geographical locations, whereas the second tier identifies distinct local variations within each primary climate zone using the temperature related features. The proposed ensemble clustering model is applied to the UK to create a mapping of granular climate zones for future proofing building design. The method identified 14 distinct primary zones and distinguished microclimates at a range of scales from large urban areas, such as the Greater London Area, to national parks, such as Dartmoor and the Pennines. The identified mapping resolves two major obstacles in the creation and usage of weather data for building performance assessment in the UK, i.e. the lack of guidance for selecting weather files, and the absence of scientific rationale for representing the UK climate using the current 14 locations.Innovate U

    La pobreza en Cartagena: un análisis por barrios

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    En el presente documento se hace un análisis descriptivo de la pobreza urbana enCartagena. El tema se aborda desde dos perspectivas. En la primera, se analiza lapobreza desagregada por los barrios que conforman la cabecera municipal deCartagena. En la segunda, se realiza una comparación de la situaciónsocioeconómica de los habitantes de Cartagena con la de las principales ciudades deColombia. Vale la pena mencionar que este trabajo es pionero no sólo en Cartagenasino en Colombia, en cuanto al nivel de división por barrios al que se analizanindicadores socioeconómicos, tales como la pobreza, el ingreso, los logroseducativos, la migración y el autorreconocimiento racial. Dentro de los principalesresultados se comprobó una focalización espacial de la pobreza en sectoresespecíficos de la ciudad, tales como las laderas del Cerro de la Popa y los barriosaledaños a la Ciénaga de la Virgen. En estas zonas de la ciudad se concentra no sólola población más pobre sino la de menores logros educativos. Otro resultadointeresante, y que está acorde con la literatura internacional, es que en los barrioscartageneros de mayor pobreza existe también una alta proporción de habitantes quese autorreconocen de raza negra.Pobreza urbana, Cartagena, economía regional y urbana

    Continuous Structural Parameterization: A Proposed Method for Representing Different Model Parameterizations Within One Structure Demonstrated for Atmospheric Convection

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    Continuous structural parameterization (CSP) is a proposed method for approximating different numerical model parameterizations of the same process as functions of the same grid‐scale variables. This allows systematic comparison of parameterizations with each other and observations or resolved simulations of the same process. Using the example of two convection schemes running in the Met Office Unified Model (UM), we show that a CSP is able to capture concisely the broad behavior of the two schemes, and differences between the parameterizations and resolved convection simulated by a high resolution simulation. When the original convection schemes are replaced with their CSP emulators within the UM, basic features of the original model climate and some features of climate change are reproduced, demonstrating that CSP can capture much of the important behavior of the schemes. Our results open the possibility that future work will estimate uncertainty in model projections of climate change from estimates of uncertainty in simulation of the relevant physical processes. Plain Language Summary Numerical models are used to provide estimates of future weather and climate change. The models contain “parameterizations,” which are algorithms that simulate the effect of processes too small or poorly understood to represent using physical equations. Although they are based as much as possible on physics, parameterizations are a large source of modeling uncertainty because there can be large disagreements on how to best represent a given process. The method and even the variables used by two different parameterizations may differ. It is therefore very difficult to know how different parameterizations cause numerical models to produce different results and whether the parameterizations we have are adequate and span the range of uncertainty concerning our knowledge of the processes they represent. Using the example of small‐scale atmospheric convection linked to rain and thunderstorms, this paper describes a mathematical method for expressing different parameterizations within the same framework. This allows easy but formal mathematical comparison of different parameterizations and gives future work the potential to understand whether our parameterizations perform as they should in conjunction with future observations

    What do measures of patient satisfaction with the doctor tell us?

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    Objective: To gain an understanding of how patient satisfaction (PS) with the doctor (PSD) is conceptualized through an empirical review of how it is currently being measured. The content of PS questionnaire items was examined to (a) determine the primary domains underlying PSD, and (b) summarize the specific doctor-related characteristics and behaviors, and patient-related perceptions, composing each domain. Methods: A scoping review of empirical articles that assessed PSD published from 2000 to November 2013. MEDLINE and PsycINFO databases were searched. Results: The literature search yielded 1726 articles, 316 of which fulfilled study inclusion criteria. PSD was realized in one of four health contexts, with questions being embedded in a larger questionnaire that assessed PS with either: (1) overall healthcare, (2) a specific medical encounter, or (3) the healthcare team. In the fourth context, PSD was the questionnaire's sole focus. Five broad domains underlying PSD were revealed: (1) Communication Attributes; (2) Relational Conduct; (3) Technical Skill/Knowledge; (4) Personal Qualities; and (5) Availability/Accessibility. Conclusions: Careful consideration of measurement goals and purposes is necessary when selecting a PSD measure. Practice implications: The five emergent domains underlying PSD point to potential key areas of physician training and foci for quality assessment
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