8 research outputs found

    Treatment with tocilizumab or corticosteroids for COVID-19 patients with hyperinflammatory state: a multicentre cohort study (SAM-COVID-19)

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    Objectives: The objective of this study was to estimate the association between tocilizumab or corticosteroids and the risk of intubation or death in patients with coronavirus disease 19 (COVID-19) with a hyperinflammatory state according to clinical and laboratory parameters. Methods: A cohort study was performed in 60 Spanish hospitals including 778 patients with COVID-19 and clinical and laboratory data indicative of a hyperinflammatory state. Treatment was mainly with tocilizumab, an intermediate-high dose of corticosteroids (IHDC), a pulse dose of corticosteroids (PDC), combination therapy, or no treatment. Primary outcome was intubation or death; follow-up was 21 days. Propensity score-adjusted estimations using Cox regression (logistic regression if needed) were calculated. Propensity scores were used as confounders, matching variables and for the inverse probability of treatment weights (IPTWs). Results: In all, 88, 117, 78 and 151 patients treated with tocilizumab, IHDC, PDC, and combination therapy, respectively, were compared with 344 untreated patients. The primary endpoint occurred in 10 (11.4%), 27 (23.1%), 12 (15.4%), 40 (25.6%) and 69 (21.1%), respectively. The IPTW-based hazard ratios (odds ratio for combination therapy) for the primary endpoint were 0.32 (95%CI 0.22-0.47; p < 0.001) for tocilizumab, 0.82 (0.71-1.30; p 0.82) for IHDC, 0.61 (0.43-0.86; p 0.006) for PDC, and 1.17 (0.86-1.58; p 0.30) for combination therapy. Other applications of the propensity score provided similar results, but were not significant for PDC. Tocilizumab was also associated with lower hazard of death alone in IPTW analysis (0.07; 0.02-0.17; p < 0.001). Conclusions: Tocilizumab might be useful in COVID-19 patients with a hyperinflammatory state and should be prioritized for randomized trials in this situatio

    Dating the Earliest Pleistocene alluvial terrace of the Alcanadre River (Ebro Basin, NE Spain): Insights into the landscape evolution and involved processes

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    This work presents the results of a multi-approach study of the extensive highest terrace (Qt1) of the Alcanadre River system (Ebro Basin, Spain). The timing of the earliest morphosedimentary fluvial archives in the Ebro Basin (NE Spain) under exorheic conditions is provided from ESR dating techniques applied to optically bleached quartz grains and complemented by palaeomagnetic data and morphopedosedimentary features. A mean ESR age estimate of 1276 ± 104 ka based on the Ti-centre provides the oldest numerical age obtained for a Quaternary terrace in the Iberian Peninsula. The polarity determined by palaeomagnetic analysis is normal, although it must be contained within the Matuyama reversed period. Therefore, Cobb Mt is the more suitable chron, although Jaramillo cannot be fully ruled out. This age is consistent with the last stretch of the Matuyama reversed Chron deduced from palaeomagnetism. Relevant consequences concerning the palaeogeographical setting, palaeoclimatic context and fluvial incision rates are discussed to elucidate the landscape evolution of NE Iberia.MD is currently the recipient of an International Outgoing Fellowship from the People Program (Marie Curie Actions) of the European Union's Seventh Framework Program (FP7/2007e2013) under REA grant agreement PIOF-GA-2013-626474.Peer Reviewe

    Evaluación de la peligrosidad de las crecidas extraordinarias del río Duero en Zamora: hidrología histórica, hidráulica y patrimonio histórico

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    Trabajo presentado en la XV Reunión Nacional de Geomorfología: Geomorfología del “Antropoceno”: Efectos del cambio global sobre los procesos geomorfológicos, celebrada en Palma, Mallorca (España) del 11 al 14 de septiembre de 2018The present study aims at the appraisal and latter development of a comprehensive methodology that enables a better assessment of extraordinary river Duero floods impact on infrastructures in general and on historical heritage areas in particular. Due to the long-­‐lasting historical and sedimentary records of the area, estimations and evaluations integrate different data sources and time scales. Flood data for the Douro River at Zamora have been compiled (760 years). During this period a total of 11 catastrophic floods were identified (e.g. 1739 and 1860), as well as over 30 extreme floods (e.g. 1636). Documentary data provided information on: 1) flood levels; 2) classification of events according to flood water level and damage. Temporal changes in the magnitude and frequency of floods have a strong correlation with climatic variations. Flood frequency analysis using gauged and historical floods shows differences in the discharge figures calculated by the Water Authority in Zamora.Este trabajo ha sido financiado por la Fundación Biodiversidad (MITEC) proyecto "Información regional sobre cambio climático y las inundaciones para la adaptación del diseño y análisis de seguridad de infraestructuras sensibles”.Peer reviewe

    Geospatial artificial intelligence (GeoAI) in the integrated hydrological and fluvial systems modeling:review of current applications and trends

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    Abstract This paper reviews the current GeoAI and machine learning applications in hydrological and hydraulic modeling, hydrological optimization problems, water quality modeling, and fluvial geomorphic and morphodynamic mapping. GeoAI effectively harnesses the vast amount of spatial and non-spatial data collected with the new automatic technologies. The fast development of GeoAI provides multiple methods and techniques, although it also makes comparisons between different methods challenging. Overall, selecting a particular GeoAI method depends on the application’s objective, data availability, and user expertise. GeoAI has shown advantages in non-linear modeling, computational efficiency, integration of multiple data sources, high accurate prediction capability, and the unraveling of new hydrological patterns and processes. A major drawback in most GeoAI models is the adequate model setting and low physical interpretability, explainability, and model generalization. The most recent research on hydrological GeoAI has focused on integrating the physical-based models’ principles with the GeoAI methods and on the progress towards autonomous prediction and forecasting systems

    Aproximación multidisciplinar al estudio del impacto del cambio climático en las inundaciones para la adaptación del diseño y análisis de seguridad de presas

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    Trabajo presentado en la XV Reunión Nacional de Geomorfología: Geomorfología del “Antropoceno”: Efectos del cambio global sobre los procesos geomorfológicos, celebrada en Palma, Mallorca (España) del 11 al 14 de septiembre de 2018This paper discusses the advances in the development of new data and methods that allow the reconstruction of long series of extreme flood data, and the application of flood analysis tools in conditions of climatic variability (past records and future projections). The work focuses on one case studies located in the Rambla de la Viuda (Maria Cristina Dam), with Mediterranean climate.The aim is to compare the effects of climate change on future extreme floods, with changes in flood frequency laws determined from paleo-­‐grazed and historical data. This methodology aims to improve the impact of climate change on hydrological extremes and their application to the design of sensitive infrastructures, with emphasis on dams. Hydro-­‐ climatic indicators will be estimated using historical, instrumental and climate series data projected with CMIP5 models.Este trabajo ha sido financiado por Fundación Biodiversidad (MAPAMA) a través del proyecto Adaptapresa, y por la CICYT Proyectos FLOOD-­‐ MED (CGL2008-­‐06474-­‐C02-­‐01), TETIS-­‐MED (CGL2008-­‐06474-­‐C02-­‐02) y EPHIMED (CGL2017-­‐ 86839-­‐C3-­‐1-­‐R).Peer reviewe

    Paleofloods and historical floods during warming trends on climate in Spain

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    Resumen del trabajo presentado al Floods WG Workshop: 'Floods in a warmer world: insights from paleohydrology' organizado por PAGES' Floods Working Group, celebrado en Geneva (Suiza) el 11 de noviembre de 2019

    Characteristics and predictors of death among 4035 consecutively hospitalized patients with COVID-19 in Spain

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