Fault Diagnosis and Failure Prognostics of Lithium-ion Battery based on Least Squares Support Vector Machine and Memory Particle Filter Framework

123456A novel data driven approach is developed for fault diagnosis and remaining useful life (RUL) prognostics for lithium-ion batteries using Least Square Support Vector Machine (LS-SVM) and Memory-Particle Filter (M-PF). Unlike traditional data-driven models for capacity fault diagnosis and failure prognosis, which require multidimensional physical characteristics, the proposed algorithm uses only two variables: Energy Efficiency (EE), and Work Temperature. The aim of this novel framework is to improve the accuracy of incipient and abrupt faults diagnosis and failure prognosis. First, the LSSVM is used to generate residual signal based on capacity fade trends of the Li-ion batteries. Second, adaptive threshold model is developed based on several factors including input, output model error, disturbance, and drift parameter. The adaptive threshold is used to tackle the shortcoming of a fixed threshold. Third, the M-PF is proposed as the new method for failure prognostic to determine Remaining Useful Life (RUL). The M-PF is based on the assumption of the availability of real-time observation and historical data, where the historical failure data can be used instead of the physical failure model within the particle filter. The feasibility of the framework is validated using Li-ion battery prognostic data obtained from the National Aeronautic and Space Administration (NASA) Ames Prognostic Center of Excellence (PCoE). The experimental results show the following: (1) fewer data dimensions for the input data are required compared to traditional empirical models; (2) the proposed diagnostic approach provides an effective way of diagnosing Li-ion battery fault; (3) the proposed prognostic approach can predict the RUL of Li-ion batteries with small error, and has high prediction accuracy; and, (4) the proposed prognostic approach shows that historical failure data can be used instead of a physical failure model in the particle filter

FPGA Implementation of an Ant Colony Optimization Based SVM Algorithm for State of Charge Estimation in Li-Ion Batteries

Monitoring the State of Charge (SoC) in battery cells is necessary to avoid damage and to extend battery life. Support Vector Machine (SVM) algorithms and Machine Learning techniques in general can provide real-time SoC estimation without the need to design a cell model. In this work, an SVM was trained by applying an Ant Colony Optimization method. The obtained trained model was 10-fold cross-validated and then designed in Hardware Description Language to be run on FPGA devices, enabling the design of low-cost and compact hardware. Thanks to the choice of a linear SVM kernel, the implemented architecture resulted in low resource usage (about 1.4% of Xilinx Artix7 XC7A100TFPGAG324C FPGA), allowing multiple instances of the SVM SoC estimator model to monitor multiple battery cells or modules, if needed. The ability of the model to maintain its good performance was further verified when applied to a dataset acquired from different driving cycles to the cycle used in the training phase, achieving a Root Mean Square Error of about 1.4%

Combined classification and queuing system optimization approach for enhanced battery system maintainability, A

2022 Spring.Includes bibliographical references.Battery systems are used as critical power sources in a wide variety of advanced platforms (e.g., ships, submersibles, aircraft). These platforms undergo unique and extreme mission profiles that necessitate high reliability and maintainability. Battery system failures and non-optimal maintenance strategies have a significant impact on total fleet lifecycle costs and operational capability. Previous research has applied various approaches to improve battery system reliability and maintainability. Machine learning methodologies have applied data-driven and physics-based approaches to model battery decay and predict battery state-of-health, estimation of battery state-of-charge, and prediction of future performance. Queuing theory has been used to optimize battery charging resources ensure service and minimize cost. However, these approaches do not focus on pre-acceptance reliability improvements or platform operational requirements. This research introduces a two-faceted approach for enhancing the overall maintainability of platforms with battery systems as critical components. The first facet is the implementation of an advanced inspection and classification methodology for automating the acceptance/rejection decision for batteries prior to entering service. The purpose of this "pre-screening" step is to increase the reliability of batteries in service prior to deployment. The second facet of the proposed approach is the optimization of several critical maintenance plan design attributes for battery systems. Together, the approach seeks to simultaneously enhance both aspects of maintainability (inherent reliability and cost-effectiveness) for battery systems, with the goal of decreasing total lifecycle cost and increasing operational availability

A critical review of online battery remaining useful lifetime prediction methods.

Lithium-ion batteries play an important role in our daily lives. The prediction of the remaining service life of lithium-ion batteries has become an important issue. This article reviews the methods for predicting the remaining service life of lithium-ion batteries from three aspects: machine learning, adaptive filtering, and random processes. The purpose of this study is to review, classify and compare different methods proposed in the literature to predict the remaining service life of lithium-ion batteries. This article first summarizes and classifies various methods for predicting the remaining service life of lithium-ion batteries that have been proposed in recent years. On this basis, by selecting specific criteria to evaluate and compare the accuracy of different models, find the most suitable method. Finally, summarize the development of various methods. According to the research in this article, the average accuracy of machine learning is 32.02% higher than the average of the other two methods, and the prediction cycle is 9.87% shorter than the average of the other two methods

State-of-Charge Estimation of Lithium-Ion Battery Pack Based on Improved RBF Neural Networks

Lithium-ion batteries have been widely used as energy storage systems and in electric vehicles due to their desirable balance of both energy and power densities as well as continual falling price. Accurate estimation of the state-of-charge (SOC) of a battery pack is important in managing the health and safety of battery packs. This paper proposes a compact radial basis function (RBF) neural model to estimate the state-of-charge (SOC) of lithium battery packs. Firstly, a suitable input set strongly correlated with the package SOC is identified from directly measured voltage, current, and temperature signals by a fast recursive algorithm (FRA). Secondly, a RBF neural model for battery pack SOC estimation is constructed using the FRA strategy to prune redundant hidden layer neurons. Then, the particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm is used to optimize the kernel parameters. Finally, a conventional RBF neural network model, an improved RBF neural model using the two stage method, and a least squares support vector machine (LSSVM) model are also used to estimate the battery SOC as a comparative study. Simulation results show that generalization error of SOC estimation using the novel RBF neural network model is less than half of that using other methods. Furthermore, the model training time is much less than the LSSVM method and the improved RBF neural model using the two-stage method

Elbows of internal resistance rise curves in Li-ion cells

The degradation of lithium-ion cells with respect to increases of internal resistance (IR) has negative implications for rapid charging protocols, thermal management and power output of cells. Despite this, IR receives much less attention than capacity degradation in Li-ion cell research. Building on recent developments on ‘knee’ identification for capacity degradation curves, we propose the new concepts of ‘elbow-point’ and ‘elbow-onset’ for IR rise curves, and a robust identification algorithm for those variables. We report on the relations between capacity’s knees, IR’s elbows and end of life for the large dataset of the study. We enhance our discussion with two applications. We use neural network techniques to build independent state of health capacity and IR predictor models achieving a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 0.4% and 1.6%, respectively, and an overall root mean squared error below 0.0061. A relevance vector machine, using the first 50 cycles of life data, is employed for the early prediction of elbow-points and elbow-onsets achieving a MAPE of 11.5% and 14.0%, respectively

Numerical Analysis of Lithium-ion Battery Thermal Management System Towards Fire Safety Improvement

The development of alternative energy sources aims to tackle the energy crisis and climate change. Due to the intermittent nature of renewable energy, energy storage systems find antidotes to the current flaws for ensuring a stable and consistent power supply and reducing our reliance on fossil fuels. Lithium-ion batteries are the most used energy storage unit and have been applied in many fields, such as portable devices, building infrastructure, automotive industries, etc. Nevertheless, there remain significant safety concerns and fire risks. Thus, this has created much interest particularly in developing a comprehensive numerical tool to effectively assess the thermal behaviour and safety performance of battery thermal management systems (BTMs). In this thesis, a modelling framework was built by integrating the artificial neural network model with the computational fluid dynamics analysis. This includes (i) a comparison of natural ventilation and forced air cooling under various ambient pressures; (ii) an analysis of thermal behaviour and cooling performance with different ambient temperatures and ventilation velocities; and (iii) optimisation of battery pack layout for enhancing the cooling efficiency and reducing the risks of thermal runaway and fire outbreak. The optimal battery design achieved a 1.9% decrease in maximum temperature and a 4.5% drop in temperature difference. Moreover, this thesis delivered an overall review of BTMs employing machine learning (ML) techniques and the application of various ML models in battery fire diagnosis and early warning, which brings new insights into BTMs design and anticipates further smart battery systems. In addition, the battery thermal propagation effect under various abnormal heat generation locations was demonstrated to investigate several stipulating thermal propagation scenarios for enhancing battery thermal performances. The results indicated that various abnormal heat locations disperse heat to the surrounding coolant and other cells, affecting the cooling performance of the battery pack. The feasibility of compiling all pertinent information, including battery parameters and operation conditions, was studied in this thesis since ML models can build non-related factors relationships. The integrated numerical model offers a promising and efficient tool for simultaneously optimising multiple factors in battery design and facilitates a constructive understanding of battery performance and potential risks

Lithium-ion battery remaining useful life prediction

Lithium-Ion Battery Remaining Useful Life Prediction work consists of an initial approach to battery life prediction using Severson dataset and data-driven LSTM-based RUL predictive methods. Although the memory is written in English, the presentation will be presented in Spanish