An Improved Artificial Intelligence Based on Gray Wolf Optimization and Cultural Algorithm to Predict Demand for Dairy Products: A Case Study

This paper provides an integrated framework based on statistical tests, time series neural network and improved multi-layer perceptron neural network (MLP) with novel meta-heuristic algorithms in order to obtain best prediction of dairy product demand (DPD) in Iran. At first, a series of economic and social indicators that seemed to be effective in the demand for dairy products is identified. Then, the ineffective indices are eliminated by using Pearson correlation coefficient, and statistically significant variables are determined. Then, MLP is improved with the help of novel meta-heuristic algorithms such as gray wolf optimization and cultural algorithm. The designed hybrid method is used to predict the DPD in Iran by using data from 2013 to 2017. The results show that the MLP offers 71.9% of the coefficient of determination, which is better compared to the other two methods if no improvement is achieved

SMOTE for Learning from Imbalanced Data: Progress and Challenges, Marking the 15-year Anniversary

The Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) preprocessing algorithm is considered \de facto" standard in the framework of learning from imbalanced data. This is due to its simplicity in the design of the procedure, as well as its robustness when applied to di erent type of problems. Since its publication in 2002, SMOTE has proven successful in a variety of applications from several di erent domains. SMOTE has also inspired several approaches to counter the issue of class imbalance, and has also signi cantly contributed to new supervised learning paradigms, including multilabel classi cation, incremental learning, semi-supervised learning, multi-instance learning, among others. It is standard benchmark for learning from imbalanced data. It is also featured in a number of di erent software packages | from open source to commercial. In this paper, marking the fteen year anniversary of SMOTE, we re ect on the SMOTE journey, discuss the current state of a airs with SMOTE, its applications, and also identify the next set of challenges to extend SMOTE for Big Data problems.This work have been partially supported by the Spanish Ministry of Science and Technology under projects TIN2014-57251-P, TIN2015-68454-R and TIN2017-89517-P; the Project 887 BigDaP-TOOLS - Ayudas Fundaci on BBVA a Equipos de Investigaci on Cient ca 2016; and the National Science Foundation (NSF) Grant IIS-1447795

A review of spam email detection: analysis of spammer strategies and the dataset shift problem

.Spam emails have been traditionally seen as just annoying and unsolicited emails containing advertisements, but they increasingly include scams, malware or phishing. In order to ensure the security and integrity for the users, organisations and researchers aim to develop robust filters for spam email detection. Recently, most spam filters based on machine learning algorithms published in academic journals report very high performance, but users are still reporting a rising number of frauds and attacks via spam emails. Two main challenges can be found in this field: (a) it is a very dynamic environment prone to the dataset shift problem and (b) it suffers from the presence of an adversarial figure, i.e. the spammer. Unlike classical spam email reviews, this one is particularly focused on the problems that this constantly changing environment poses. Moreover, we analyse the different spammer strategies used for contaminating the emails, and we review the state-of-the-art techniques to develop filters based on machine learning. Finally, we empirically evaluate and present the consequences of ignoring the matter of dataset shift in this practical field. Experimental results show that this shift may lead to severe degradation in the estimated generalisation performance, with error rates reaching values up to 48.81%.SIPublicación en abierto financiada por el Consorcio de Bibliotecas Universitarias de Castilla y León (BUCLE), con cargo al Programa Operativo 2014ES16RFOP009 FEDER 2014-2020 DE CASTILLA Y LEÓN, Actuación:20007-CL - Apoyo Consorcio BUCL

Artificial Intelligence in Public Administration – Supporting Administrative Decisions

Artificial intelligence (AI) is an increasingly popular concept, although it is often used only as a marketing tool to label activities that are very far from AI. The purpose of this article is to show what artificial intelligence (AI) tools - expert systems - can actually be used for administrative decision in public administration. The end of the administrative decision must be justified in detail according to the legal regulations. Expert systems do this. The other large group of AI tools, solutions based on machine learning, act as black boxes, mapping input data to output data, so the reason for the solution is unknown. Therefore, these tools are not suitable for direct, administrative decision, but can support office work with expert systems. In this article, we present the operation of expert systems through examples

Neural Systems in Distributed Computing and Artificial Intelligence

This Neurocomputing special issue presents the post-proceedings of the International Conference on Practical Applications on Agents and Multi-Agent Systems (PAAMS 2015) held in Salamanca in June 3th–5th, 2015. PAAMS provides an international forum to present and discuss the latest scientific developments and their effective applications, to assess the impact of the approach, and to facilitate technology transfer. PAAMS started as a local initiative, but has since grown to become the international yearly platform to present, to discuss, and to disseminate the latest developments and the most important outcomes related to real-world applications. It provides a unique opportunity to bring multi-disciplinary experts, academics and practitioners together to exchange their experience in the development and deployment of Agents and Multi-Agent Systems. PAAMS intends to bring together researchers and developers from industry and the academic world to report on the latest scientific and technical advances on the application of multi-agent systems, to discuss and debate the major issues, and to showcase the latest systems using agent based technology. It will promote a forum for discussion on how agent-based techniques, methods, and tools help system designers to accomplish the mapping between available agent technology and application needs. Other stakeholders should be rewarded with a better understanding of the potential and challenges of the agent-oriented approach

Predicción ordinal utilizando metodologías de aprendizaje automático: Aplicaciones

Artificial Intelligence is part of our everyday life, not only as consumers but also in most of the productive areas since companies can optimize most of their processes with all the different tools that it can provide. There is one topic that has been especially useful in the artificial intelligence implementation process which is machine learning, as it can be used in most of the practical applications that appear in real-life problems. Machine learning is the part of artificial intelligence that focuses on developing models that are able to learn a function that transforms input data into a desired output. One of the most important parts in machine learning is the model, and one of the most successful models in the state-of-the-art approaches is the artificial neural network. This is why the current thesis, for its first challenge, will study how to improve them to be able to learn more complex problems without needing to apply computationally costly training algorithms. The next important step to improve the model’s performance is to optimize the algorithms that are used to let them learn how to transform the inputs into the desired outputs, and the second challenge of this thesis is to optimize the computational cost of evolutionary algorithms, which are one of the best options to optimize ANNs due to their flexibility when training them. Ordinal classification (also known as ordinal regression) is an area of machine learning that can be applied to many real-life problems since it takes into account the order of the classes, which is an important fact in many real-life problems. In the area of social sciences, we will study how potential countries are helping the poorer ones the most, and then we will perform a deeper study to classify the level of globalisation of a country. These studies will be performed by applying the models and algorithms that were developed in the first stage of the thesis. After these first works, continuing with the ordinal classification approaches, we focused on the area of medicine, where there are many examples of applications of these techniques, e.g., any disease that may have progression is usually classified in different stages depending on its severity from low to high. In our case, this thesis will study how a treatment (liver transplantation) can affect different patients (survival time of the graft), and therefore decide which patient is the most appropriate for that specific treatment. The last chapter of the thesis will delve in ordinal classification to achieve ordinal prediction of time series. Time series have been usually processed with classical statistical techniques since machine learning models that focused on time series were too costly. However, currently, with the arrival of powerful computation machines together with the evolution of models such as recurrent neural networks, classic statistical techniques can hardly be competitive versus machine learning. In areas such as economics, social sciences, meteorology or medicine, time series are the main source of information, and they need to be correctly processed to be useful. The most common consideration when dealing with time series is to learn from past values to predict future ones, and the works in this last chapter will focus on performing ordinal predictions of WPREs in wind farms, creating novel models and methodologies. The thesis will conclude with a work that implements a deep neural network to predict WPREs in multiple wind farms at the same time; therefore, this model would allow predicting WPREs in a global area instead of in a specific geographical point

A hybrid proposal for cross-sectoral analysis of knowledge management

At present time, although many theoretical formulations have been successfully proposed, there is a lack of ICT-based tools to support practical deployment of knowledge management (KM) in real settings. To bridge this gap, a hybrid artificial intelligence system is proposed in present study, aimed at gaining deeper knowledge about KM practices in four different economic sectors. By means of soft computing, companies are diagnosed according to their status regarding KM and subsequent explanations about crucial KM practices and perspectives are generated. Interesting conclusions are then derived from these explanations, allowing KM managers to optimise their decisions and obtain better results. Experimental results of real-life data from Spanish companies associated with different economic sectors validate the proposed combination of techniques

Intelligence of Astronomical Optical Telescope: Present Status and Future Perspectives

Artificial intelligence technology has been widely used in astronomy, and new artificial intelligence technologies and application scenarios are constantly emerging. There have been a large number of papers reviewing the application of artificial intelligence technology in astronomy. However, relevant articles seldom mention telescope intelligence separately, and it is difficult to understand the current development status and research hotspots of telescope intelligence from these papers. This paper combines the development history of artificial intelligence technology and the difficulties of critical technologies of telescopes, comprehensively introduces the development and research hotspots of telescope intelligence, then conducts statistical analysis on various research directions of telescope intelligence and defines the research directions' merits. All kinds of research directions are evaluated, and the research trend of each telescope's intelligence is pointed out. Finally, according to the advantages of artificial intelligence technology and the development trend of telescopes, future research hotspots of telescope intelligence are given.Comment: 19 pages, 6 figure, for questions or comments, please email [email protected]

Ensemble deep learning: A review

Ensemble learning combines several individual models to obtain better generalization performance. Currently, deep learning models with multilayer processing architecture is showing better performance as compared to the shallow or traditional classification models. Deep ensemble learning models combine the advantages of both the deep learning models as well as the ensemble learning such that the final model has better generalization performance. This paper reviews the state-of-art deep ensemble models and hence serves as an extensive summary for the researchers. The ensemble models are broadly categorised into ensemble models like bagging, boosting and stacking, negative correlation based deep ensemble models, explicit/implicit ensembles, homogeneous /heterogeneous ensemble, decision fusion strategies, unsupervised, semi-supervised, reinforcement learning and online/incremental, multilabel based deep ensemble models. Application of deep ensemble models in different domains is also briefly discussed. Finally, we conclude this paper with some future recommendations and research directions

On the evolutionary weighting of neighbours and features in the k-nearest neighbour rule

This paper presents an evolutionary method for modifying the behaviour of the k-Nearest-Neighbour clas sifier (kNN) called Simultaneous Weighting of Attributes and Neighbours (SWAN). Unlike other weighting methods, SWAN presents the ability of adjusting the contribution of the neighbours and the significance of the features of the data. The optimization process focuses on the search of two real-valued vectors. One of them represents the votes of neighbours, and the other one represents the weight of each feature. The synergy between the two sets of weights found in the optimization process helps to improve significantly, the classification accuracy. The results on 35 datasets from the UCI repository suggest that SWAN statistically outperforms the other weighted kNN method