An Investigation into the Effects of Variable Lake Ice Properties on Passive and Active Microwave Measurements Over Tundra Lakes Near Inuvik, N.W.T.

The accurate estimation of snow water equivalent (SWE) in the Canadian sub-arctic is integral to climate variability studies and water availability forecasts for economic considerations (drinking water, hydroelectric power generation). Common passive microwave (PM) snow water equivalent (SWE) algorithms that utilize the differences in brightness temperature (Tb) at 37 GHz – 19 GHz falter in lake-rich tundra environments because of the inclusion of lakes within PM pixels. The overarching goal of this research was to investigate the use of multiple platforms and methodologies to observe and quantify the effects of lake ice and sub-ice water on passive microwave emission for the purpose of improving snow water equivalent (SWE) retrieval algorithms. Using in situ snow and ice measurements as input, the Helsinki University of Technology (HUT) multi-layer snow emission model was modified to include an ice layer below the snow layer. Emission for 6.9, 19, 37 and 89 GHz were simulated at horizontal and vertical polarizations, and were validated by high resolution airborne passive microwave measurements coincident with in situ sampling sites over two lakes near Inuvik, Northwest Territories (NWT). Overall, the general magnitude of brightness temperatures were estimated by the HUT model for 6.9 and 19 GHz H/V, however the variability was not. Simulations produced at 37 GHz exhibited the best agreement relative to observed temperatures. However, emission at 37 GHz does not interact with the radiometrically cold water, indicating that ice properties controlling microwave emission are not fully captured by the HUT model. Alternatively, active microwave synthetic aperture radar (SAR) measurements can be used to identify ice properties that affect passive microwave emission. Dual polarized X-band SAR backscatter was utilized to identify ice types by the segmentation program MAGIC (MAp Guided Ice Classification). Airborne passive microwave transects were grouped by ice type classes and compared to backscatter measurements. In freshwater, where there were few areas of high bubble concentration at the ice/water interface Tbs exhibited positive correlations with cross-polarized backscatter, corresponding to ice types (from low to high emission/backscatter: clear ice, transition zone between clear and grey ice, grey ice and rafted ice). SWE algorithms were applied to emission within each ice type producing negative or near zero values in areas of low 19 GHz Tbs (clear ice, transition zone), but also produced positive values that were closer to the range of in situ measurements in areas of high 19 GHz Tbs (grey and rafted ice). Therefore, cross-polarized X-band SAR measurements can be used as a priori ice type information for spaceborne PM algorithms, providing information on ice types and ice characteristics (floating, frozen to bed), integral to future tundra-specific SWE retrieval algorithms

Remote sensing of boreal land cover : estimation of forest attributes and extent

Remote sensing provides methods to infer land cover information over large geographical areas at a variety of spatial and temporal resolutions. Land cover is input data for a range of environmental models and information on land cover dynamics is required for monitoring the implications of global change. Such data are also essential in support of environmental management and policymaking. Boreal forests are a key component of the global climate and a major sink of carbon. The northern latitudes are expected to experience a disproportionate and rapid warming, which can have a major impact on vegetation at forest limits. This thesis examines the use of optical remote sensing for estimating aboveground biomass, leaf area index (LAI), tree cover and tree height in the boreal forests and tundra taiga transition zone in Finland. The continuous fields of forest attributes are required, for example, to improve the mapping of forest extent. The thesis focus on studying the feasibility of satellite data at multiple spatial resolutions, assessing the potential of multispectral, -angular and -temporal information, and provides regional evaluation for global land cover data. Preprocessed ASTER, MISR and MODIS products are the principal satellite data. The reference data consist of field measurements, forest inventory data and fine resolution land cover maps. Fine resolution studies demonstrate how statistical relationships between biomass and satellite data are relatively strong in single species and low biomass mountain birch forests in comparison to higher biomass coniferous stands. The combination of forest stand data and fine resolution ASTER images provides a method for biomass estimation using medium resolution MODIS data. The multiangular data improve the accuracy of land cover mapping in the sparsely forested tundra taiga transition zone, particularly in mires. Similarly, multitemporal data improve the accuracy of coarse resolution tree cover estimates in comparison to single date data. Furthermore, the peak of the growing season is not necessarily the optimal time for land cover mapping in the northern boreal regions. The evaluated coarse resolution land cover data sets have considerable shortcomings in northernmost Finland and should be used with caution in similar regions. The quantitative reference data and upscaling methods for integrating multiresolution data are required for calibration of statistical models and evaluation of land cover data sets. The preprocessed image products have potential for wider use as they can considerably reduce the time and effort used for data processing.Kaukokartoituksella voidaan tuottaa tietoa maanpeitteen ominaisuuksista ja muutoksista laajoilla alueilla. Tietoa maanpeitteestä tarvitaan esimerkiksi ympäristömalleihin, ilmastonmuutoksen vaikutusten seurantaan ja päätöksenteon tueksi. Boreaalisilla metsillä on tärkeä merkitys maapallon ilmastolle ja ne ovat tärkeä hiilinielu. Pohjoisten alueiden ilmaston on ennustettu lämpenevän voimakkaasti ilmastonmuutoksen seurauksena, millä voi olla merkittävä vaikutus metsänrajavyöhykkeen kasvillisuuteen. Väitöskirjassa tarkastellaan optisen alueen satelliittikaukokartoituksen käyttöä metsän ominaisuuksien, kuten biomassan ja puuston peittävyyden arviointiin ja kartoitukseen. Tutkimusalueet sijaitsevat eteläisessä Suomessa ja Pohjois-Suomen metsänrajavyöhykkeessä. Keskeisimpinä tavoitteina oli tutkia satelliittikuva-aineistojen käyttökelpoisuutta ja monikulmaisen ja -aikaisen informaation mahdollisuuksia sekä arvioida globaalien maanpeitetuotteiden luotettavuutta. Satelliittikuva-aineistona käytettiin ASTER, MISR ja MODIS -kuvatuotteita ja vertailuaineistona maastomittauksia, inventointiaineistoja ja maanpeitekarttoja. Tutkimustuloksia voidaan hyödyntää maanpeitteen kartoituksessa ja muutostulkinnassa boreaalisilla alueilla. Korkearesoluutioiset aineistot havainnollistavat kuinka heijastuksen ja biomassan välinen riippuvuus on voimakkaampi harvapuustoisissa tunturikoivikoissa kuin havupuuvaltaisissa metsissä, joiden biomassa on suurempi. Käyttämällä yhdessä kuvioittaista maastoaineistoa ja eri resoluutioisia satelliittikuvia voidaan tuottaa biomassa-arvioita laajoille alueille. Metsänrajavyöhykkeessä monikulmaiset aineistot parantavat metsämuuttujien arvioita vähentäen yliarviointia ongelmallisilla avosoilla ja pensastoisilla alueilla. Myös moniaikainen aineisto parantaa kartoitustarkkuutta. Keskikesän kuvat eivät ole välttämättä ihanteellisimpia kasvipeitteen tulkintaan. Globaalit maanpeitetuotteet osoittautuivat Ylä-Lapissa puutteellisiksi ja niitä tulee käyttää varauksella vastaavilla alueilla, esimerkiksi arvioitaessa metsän laajuutta. Tutkimuksessa korostuivat myös kvantitatiivisen maastoaineiston merkitys maanpeiteaineistojen arvioinnissa sekä maasto- ja satelliittikuva-aineiston yhdistämiseen liittyvät kysymykset. Työssä käytetyt esikäsitellyt kuva-aineistot voivat jatkossa vähentää merkittävästi kuvankäsittelyyn käytettävää aikaa

Improving estimates of net ecosystem CO2 exchange between the Arctic land surface and the atmosphere

Feedbacks between the climate system and the high-latitude carbon cycle will substantially influence the intensity of future climate change. It is therefore crucial that the net ecosystem exchange of CO2 (NEE) between the high-latitude land surface and the atmosphere is accurately quantified, where NEE refers to the difference between ecosystem respiration (R) and photosynthesis (gross ecosystem exchange, GEE): NEE=-GEE+R in umol/m^2/s. NEE can only be directly measured over areas of 1 km^2 through eddy covariance, and modeling approaches such as the Vegetation Photosynthesis Respiration Model (VPRM) are required to upscale NEE. VPRM is a remote sensing based model that calculates R as a linear function of air temperature (Ta) when air temperature is above a given threshold (Tlow), and sets respiration to a constant value when Ta<Tlow. GEE is estimated according to remote sensing observations of vegetation indices, shortwave radiation, air temperature, and soil moisture. Although in situ findings have shown that snow and Arctic species composition have a substantial influence on high-latitude NEE, model estimates of high-latitude NEE have typically been generated without Arctic-specific vegetation classes, and without using remote sensing observations to represent the effects of snow on NEE. The hypothesis driving this work was therefore that uncertainty in estimates of high-latitude NEE could be reduced by representing the influences of Arctic vegetation classes and snow. The central objectives were to determine feasible approaches for reducing uncertainty in VPRM estimates of NEE by representing the influences of snow and Arctic vegetation, create PolarVPRM accordingly, and analyze inter-annual variability in PolarVPRM estimates of high-latitude North American NEE (2001-2012). The associations between snow and NEE, and the potential to describe these influences on NEE using remote sensing observations, were examined using time lapse camera observations of snow cover area (SCA) and eddy covariance measurements of NEE from Daring Lake, Northwest Territories, Canada. Analyses indicated good agreement between SCA derived from camera, Landsat and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) observations. SCA was also found to influence the timing and magnitude of NEE. MODIS SCA was therefore incorporated into VPRM, and VPRM was calibrated using eddy covariance and meteorological observations collected in 2005 at Daring Lake. VPRM was run through years 2004-2007 over both Daring Lake and Ivotuk, Alaska, USA, using four model formulations, three of which represented the effects of SCA on respiration and/or photosynthesis, and another which did not use MODIS SCA. Comparisons against eddy covariance observations indicated that uncertainty was reduced in VPRM estimates of NEE when respiration was calculated as a linear function of soil temperature when SCA>50%, and as a linear function of air temperature when SCA<50%, thereby reflecting the influence of snow on decoupling soil/air temperatures. Representing the effect of SCA on NEE therefore reduced uncertainty in VPRM estimates of NEE. In order to represent spatial variability in high-latitude estimates of NEE due to vegetation type, Arctic-specific vegetation classes were created for PolarVPRM by combining and aggregating two existing vegetation classifications: the Synergetic Land Cover Product and the Circumpolar Arctic Vegetation Map. Levene's test indicated that the PolarVPRM vegetation classes divided the pan-Arctic region into heterogeneous distributions in terms of net primary productivity, and passive microwave derived estimates of snow and growing season influences on NEE. A non-parametric statistical approach of Alternating Conditional Expectations found significant, non-linear associations to exist between passive microwave derived estimates of snow and growing season drivers of NEE. Furthermore, the shape of these associations varied according to the vegetation class over which they were examined. Further support was therefore provided to the idea that uncertainty in model estimates of NEE could be reduced by calculating snow and growing season NEE separately within each vegetation class. PolarVPRM estimates of NEE in 2001-2012 were generated at a three hourly and 1/6 x 1/4 degree resolution across polar North America (55-170 W, 55-83 N). Model calibration was conducted over three sites: Daring Lake, Ivotuk, and Atqasuk, Alaska, USA. Model validation was then conducted by comparing PolarVPRM estimates of year-round daily average NEE to non-gap-filled eddy covariance observations of daily average NEE acquired over the three calibration sites, as well as six other Arctic sites. PolarVPRM performed well over all sites, with an average mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.20 umol/m^2/s, and had diminished error rates when the influence of SCA on respiration was explicitly represented. Error analysis indicated that peak growing season GEE was underestimated at Barrow because GEE at this site showed a stronger response to the amount of incoming shortwave radiation than at the calibration site, suggesting that PolarVPRM may underestimate GEE over wetland and barren vegetated regions. Despite these uncertainties, PolarVPRM was found to generate more accurate estimates of monthly and three-hourly NEE relative to eddy covariance observations than two established models, FLUXNET Model-Tree Ensemble (MTE) and CarbonTracker. Relative to eddy covariance observations and PolarVPRM estimates, MTE tended to overestimate snow season respiration, and CarbonTracker tended to overestimate the amount of midday photosynthesis. Analysis of PolarVPRM output across North America (north of 55 N) found an increase in net annual carbon efflux over over time (2001-2012). Specifically, increased rates of respiration are estimated when soil and air temperatures are warmer. Although increases in growing season vegetation indices and air temperature enable greater photosynthetic uptake by Arctic vegetation, forests and shrublands uptake less CO2 in the middle of the growing season when air temperatures rise above the physiological optima for photosynthesis. As a result, PolarVPRM estimated a decline in net photosynthetic uptake over time. Overall, PolarVPRM output indicates that North American regions north of 55 N are losing strength as a carbon sink in response to rising air temperatures.1 yea

Responses of boreal vegetation to recent climate change

The high northern latitudes have warmed faster than anywhere else in the globe during the past few decades. Boreal ecosystems are responding to this rapid climatic change in complex ways and some times contrary to expectations, with large implications for the global climate system. This thesis investigates how boreal vegetation has responded to recent climate change, particularly to the lengthening of the growing season and changes in drought severity with warming. The links between the timing of the growing season and the seasonal cycle of atmospheric CO2 are evaluated in detail to infer large-scale ecosystem responses to changing seasonality and extended period of plant growth. The influence of warming on summer drought severity is estimated at a regional scale for the first time using improved data. The results show that ecosystem responses to warming and lengthening of the growing season in autumn are opposite to those in spring. Earlier springs are associated with earlier onset of photosynthetic uptake of atmospheric CO2 by northern vegetation, whereas a delayed autumn, rather than being associated with prolonged photosynthetic uptake, is associated with earlier ecosystem carbon release to the atmosphere. Moreover, the photosynthetic growing season has closely tracked the pace of warming and extension of the potential growing season in spring, but not in autumn. Rapid warming since the late 1980s has increased evapotranspiration demand and consequently summer and autumn drought severity, offsetting the effect of increasing cold-season precipitation. This is consistent with ongoing amplification of the hydrological cycle and with model projections of summer drying at northern latitudes in response to anthropogenic warming. However, changes in snow dynamics (accumulation and melting) appear to be more important than increased evaporative demand in controlling changes in summer soil moisture availability and vegetation photosynthesis across extensive regions of the boreal zone, where vegetation growth is often assumed to be dominantly temperature-limited. Snow-mediated moisture controls of vegetation growth are particularly significant in northwestern North America. In this region, a non-linear growth response of white spruce growth to recent warming at high elevations was observed. Taken together, these results indicate that net observed responses of northern ecosystems to warming involve significant seasonal contrasts, can be non-linear and are mediated by moisture availability in about a third of the boreal zone

Monitoring permafrost environments with Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) sensors

Permafrost occupies approximately 24% of the exposed land area in the Northern Hemisphere. It is an important element of the cryosphere and has strong impacts on hydrology, biological processes, land surface energy budget, and infrastructure. For several decades, surface air temperatures in the high northern latitudes have warmed at approximately twice the global rate. Permafrost temperatures have increased in most regions since the early 1980s, the averaged warming north of 60°N has been 1-2°C. In-situ measurements are essential to understanding physical processes in permafrost terrain, but they have several limitations, ranging from difficulties in drilling to the representativeness of limited single point measurements. Remote sensing is urgently needed to supplement ground-based measurements and extend the point observations to a broader spatial domain. This thesis concentrates on the sub-arctic permafrost environment monitoring with SAR datasets. The study site is selected in a typical discontinuous permafrost region in the eastern Canadian sub-Arctic. Inuit communities in Nunavik and Nunatsiavut in the Canadian eastern sub-arctic are amongst the groups most affected by the impacts of climate change and permafrost degradation. Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) datasets have advantages for permafrost monitoring in the Arctic and sub-arctic regions because of its high resolution and independence of cloud cover and solar illumination. To date, permafrost environment monitoring methods and strategies with SAR datasets are still under development. The variability of active layer thickness is a direct indication of permafrost thermal state changes. The Differential SAR Interferometry (D-InSAR) technique is applied in the study site to derive ground deformation, which is introduced by the thawing/freezing depth of active layer and underlying permafrost. The D-InSAR technique has been used for the mapping of ground surface deformation over large areas by interpreting the phase difference between two signals acquired at different times as ground motion information. It shows the ability to detect freeze/thaw-related ground motion over permafrost regions. However, to date, accuracy and value assessments of D-InSAR applications have focused mostly on the continuous permafrost region where the vegetation is less developed and causes fewer complicating factors for the D-InSAR application, less attention is laid on the discontinuous permafrost terrain. In this thesis, the influencing factors and application conditions for D-InSAR in the discontinuous permafrost environment are evaluated by using X- band and L-band data. Then, benefit from by the high-temporal resolution of C-band Sentinel-1 time series, the seasonal displacement is derived from small baseline subsets (SBAS)-InSAR. Landforms are indicative of permafrost presence, with their changes inferring modifications to permafrost conditions. A permafrost landscape mapping method was developed which uses multi-temporal TerraSAR-X backscatter intensity and interferometric coherence information. The land cover map is generated through the combined use of object-based image analysis (OBIA) and classification and regression tree analysis (CART). An overall accuracy of 98% is achieved when classifying rock and water bodies, and an accuracy of 79% is achieved when discriminating between different vegetation types with one year of single-polarized acquisitions. This classification strategy can be transferred to other time-series SAR datasets, e.g., Sentinel-1, and other heterogeneous environments. One predominant change in the landscape tied to the thaw of permafrost is the dynamics of thermokarst lakes. Dynamics of thermokarst lakes are developed through their lateral extent and vertical depth changes. Due to different water depth, ice cover over shallow thermokarst ponds/lakes can freeze completely to the lake bed in winter, resulting in grounded ice; while ice cover over deep thermokarst ponds/lakes cannot, which have liquid water persisting under the ice cover all winter, resulting in floating ice. Winter ice cover regimes are related to water depths and ice thickness. In the lakes having floating ice, the liquid water induces additional heat in the remaining permafrost underneath and surroundings, which contributes to further intensified permafrost thawing. SAR datasets are utilized to detect winter ice cover regimes based on the character that liquid water has a remarkably high dielectric constant, whereas pure ice has a low value. Patterns in the spatial distribution of ice-cover regimes of thermokarst ponds in a typical discontinuous permafrost region are first revealed. Then, the correlations of these ice-cover regimes with the permafrost degradation states and thermokarst pond development in two historical phases (Sheldrake catchment in the year 1957 and 2009, Tasiapik Valley 1994 and 2010) were explored. The results indicate that the ice-cover regimes of thermokarst ponds are affected by soil texture, permafrost degradation stage and permafrost depth. Permafrost degradation is difficult to directly assess from the coverage area of floating-ice ponds and the percentage of all thermokarst ponds consisting of such floating-ice ponds in a single year. Continuous monitoring of ice-cover regimes and surface areas is recommended to elucidate the hydrological trajectory of the thermokarst process. Several operational monitoring methods have been developed in this thesis work. In the meanwhile, the spatial distribution of seasonal ground thaw subsidence, permafrost landscape, thermokarst ponds and their winter ice cover regimes are first revealed in the study area. The outcomes help understand the state and dynamics of permafrost environment.Der Permafrostboden bedeckt etwa 24% der exponierten Landfläche in der nördlichen Hemisphäre. Es ist ein wichtiges Element der Kryosphäre und hat starke Auswirkungen auf die Hydrologie, die biologischen Prozesse, das Energie-Budget der Landoberfläche und die Infrastruktur. Seit mehreren Jahrzehnten erhöhen sich die Oberflächenlufttemperaturen in den nördlichen hohen Breitengraden etwa doppelt so stark wie die globale Rate. Die Temperaturen der Permafrostböden sind in den meisten Regionen seit den frühen 1980er Jahren gestiegen. Die durchschnittliche Erwärmung nördlich von 60° N beträgt 1-2°C. In-situ-Messungen sind essentiell für das Verständnis der physischen Prozesse im Permafrostgelände. Es gibt jedoch mehrere Einschränkungen, die von Schwierigkeiten beim Bohren bis hin zur Repräsentativität begrenzter Einzelpunktmessungen reichen. Fernerkundung ist dringend benötigt, um bodenbasierte Messungen zu ergänzen und punktuelle Beobachtungen auf einen breiteren räumlichen Bereich auszudehnen. Diese Dissertation konzentriert sich auf die Umweltbeobachtung der subarktischen Permafrostböden mit SAR-Datensätzen. Das Untersuchungsgebiet wurde in einer typischen diskontinuierlichen Permafrostzone in der kanadischen östlichen Sub-Arktis ausgewählt. Die Inuit-Gemeinschaften in den Regionen Nunavik und Nunatsiavut in der kanadischen östlichen Sub-Arktis gehören zu den Gruppen, die am stärksten von den Auswirkungen des Klimawandels und Permafrostdegradation betroffen sind. Synthetische Apertur Radar (SAR) Datensätze haben Vorteile für das Permafrostmonitoring in den arktischen und subarktischen Regionen aufgrund der hohen Auflösung und der Unabhängigkeit von Wolkendeckung und Sonnenstrahlung. Bis heute sind die Methoden und Strategien mit SAR-Datensätzen für Umweltbeobachtung der Permafrostböden noch in der Entwicklung. Die Variabilität der Auftautiefe der aktiven Schicht ist eine direkte Indikation der Veränderung des thermischen Zustands der Permafrostböden. Die Differential-SAR-Interferometrie(D-Insar)-Technik wird im Untersuchungsgebiet zur Ableitung der Bodendeformation, die durch Auftau- / und Gefriertiefe der aktiven Schicht und des unterliegenden Permafrostbodens eingeführt wird, eingesetzt. Die D-InSAR-Technik wurde für Kartierung der Landoberflächendeformation über große Flächen verwendet, indem der Phasenunterschied zwischen zwei zu verschiedenen Zeitpunkten als Bodenbewegungsinformation erfassten Signalen interpretiert wurde. Es zeigt die Fähigkeit, tau- und gefrierprozessbedingte Bodenbewegungen über Permafrostregionen zu detektieren. Jedoch fokussiert sich die Genauigkeit und Wertschätzung der D-InSAR-Anwendung bis heute hauptsächlich auf kontinuierliche Permafrostregion, wo die Vegetation wenig entwickelt ist und weniger komplizierte Faktoren für D-InSAR-Anwendung verursacht. Das diskontinuierliche Permafrostgelände wurde nur weniger berücksichtigt. In dieser Dissertation wurden die Einflussfaktoren und Anwendungsbedingungen für D-InSAR im diskontinuierlichen Permafrostgebiet mittels X-Band und L-Band Daten ausgewertet. Dann wurde die saisonale Verschiebung dank der hohen Auflösung der C-Band Sentinel-1 Zeitreihe von „Small Baseline Subsets (SBAS)-InSAR“ abgeleitet. Landformen weisen auf die Präsenz des Permafrosts hin, wobei deren Veränderungen auf die Modifikation der Permafrostbedingungen schließen. Eine Kartierungsmethode der Permafrostlandschaft wurde entwickelt, dabei wurde Multi-temporal TerraSAR-X Rückstreuungsintensität und interferometrische Kohärenzinformationen verwendet. Die Landbedeckungskarte wurde durch kombinierte Anwendung objektbasierter Bildanalyse (OBIA) und Klassifikations- und Regressionsbaum Analyse (CART) generiert. Eine Gesamtgenauigkeit in Höhe von 98% wurde bei Klassifikation der Gesteine und Wasserkörper erreicht. Bei Unterscheidung zwischen verschiedenen Vegetationstypen mit einem Jahr einzelpolarisierte Akquisitionen wurde eine Genauigkeit von 79% erreicht. Diese Klassifikationsstrategie kann auf andere Zeitreihen der SAR-Datensätzen, z.B. Sentinel-1, und auch anderen heterogenen Umwelten übertragen werden. Eine vorherrschende Veränderung in der Landschaft, die mit dem Auftauen des Permafrosts verbunden ist, ist die Dynamik der Thermokarstseen. Die Dynamik der Thermokarstseen ist durch Veränderungen der seitlichen Ausdehnung und der vertikalen Tiefe entwickelt. Aufgrund der unterschiedlichen Wassertiefen kann die Eisdecke über den flachen Thermokarstteichen/-seen im Winter bis auf den Wasserboden vollständig gefroren sein, was zum geerdeten Eis führt, während die Eisdecke über den tiefen Thermokarstteichen/-seen es nicht kann. In den tiefen Thermokarstteichen/-seen bleibt den ganzen Winter flüssiges Wasser unter der Eisdecke bestehen, was zum Treibeis führt. Das Wintereisdeckenregime bezieht sich auf die Wassertiefe und die Eisdicke. In den Seen mit Treibeis leitet das flüssige Wasser zusätzliche Wärme in den restlichen Permafrost darunter oder in der Umgebung, was zur weiteren Verstärkung des Permafrostauftauen beiträgt. Basiert auf den Charakter, dass das flüssige Wasser eine bemerkenswert hohe Dielektrizitätskonstante besitzt, während reines Eis einen niedrigen Wert hat, wurden die SAR Datensätzen zur Erkennung des Wintereisdeckenregimes verwendet. Zunächst wurden Schemen in der räumlichen Verteilung der Eisdeckenregimes der Thermokarstteiche in einer typischen diskontinuierlichen Permafrostregion abgeleitet. Dann wurden die Zusammenhänge dieser Eisdeckenregimes mit dem Degradationszustand des Permafrosts und der Entwicklung der Thermokarstteiche in zwei historischen Phasen (Sheldrake Einzugsgebiet in 1957 und 2009, Tasiapik Tal in 1994 und 2010) erforscht. Die Ergebnisse deuten darauf, dass die Eisdeckenregimes der Thermokarstteiche von der Bodenart, dem Degradationszustand des Permafrosts und der Permafrosttiefe beeinflusst werden. Es ist schwer, die Permafrostdegradation in einem einzelnen Jahr direkt durch den Abdeckungsbereich der Treibeis-Teiche und die Prozentzahl aller aus solchen Treibeis-Teichen bestehenden Thermokarstteiche abzuschätzen. Ein kontinuierliches Monitoring der Eisdeckenregimes und -oberflächen ist empfehlenswert, um den hydrologischen Verlauf des Thermokarstprozesses zu erläutern. In dieser Dissertation wurden mehrere operativen Monitoringsmethoden entwickelt. In der Zwischenzeit wurden die räumliche Verteilung der saisonalen Bodentauabsenkung, die Permafrostlandschaft, die Thermokarstteiche und ihre Wintereisdeckenregimes erstmals in diesem Untersuchungsgebiet aufgedeckt. Die Ergebnisse tragen dazu bei, den Zustand und die Dynamik der Permafrostumwelt zu verstehen

Monitoring permafrost environments with Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) sensors

Permafrost occupies approximately 24% of the exposed land area in the Northern Hemisphere. It is an important element of the cryosphere and has strong impacts on hydrology, biological processes, land surface energy budget, and infrastructure. For several decades, surface air temperatures in the high northern latitudes have warmed at approximately twice the global rate. Permafrost temperatures have increased in most regions since the early 1980s, the averaged warming north of 60°N has been 1-2°C. In-situ measurements are essential to understanding physical processes in permafrost terrain, but they have several limitations, ranging from difficulties in drilling to the representativeness of limited single point measurements. Remote sensing is urgently needed to supplement ground-based measurements and extend the point observations to a broader spatial domain. This thesis concentrates on the sub-arctic permafrost environment monitoring with SAR datasets. The study site is selected in a typical discontinuous permafrost region in the eastern Canadian sub-Arctic. Inuit communities in Nunavik and Nunatsiavut in the Canadian eastern sub-arctic are amongst the groups most affected by the impacts of climate change and permafrost degradation. Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) datasets have advantages for permafrost monitoring in the Arctic and sub-arctic regions because of its high resolution and independence of cloud cover and solar illumination. To date, permafrost environment monitoring methods and strategies with SAR datasets are still under development. The variability of active layer thickness is a direct indication of permafrost thermal state changes. The Differential SAR Interferometry (D-InSAR) technique is applied in the study site to derive ground deformation, which is introduced by the thawing/freezing depth of active layer and underlying permafrost. The D-InSAR technique has been used for the mapping of ground surface deformation over large areas by interpreting the phase difference between two signals acquired at different times as ground motion information. It shows the ability to detect freeze/thaw-related ground motion over permafrost regions. However, to date, accuracy and value assessments of D-InSAR applications have focused mostly on the continuous permafrost region where the vegetation is less developed and causes fewer complicating factors for the D-InSAR application, less attention is laid on the discontinuous permafrost terrain. In this thesis, the influencing factors and application conditions for D-InSAR in the discontinuous permafrost environment are evaluated by using X- band and L-band data. Then, benefit from by the high-temporal resolution of C-band Sentinel-1 time series, the seasonal displacement is derived from small baseline subsets (SBAS)-InSAR. Landforms are indicative of permafrost presence, with their changes inferring modifications to permafrost conditions. A permafrost landscape mapping method was developed which uses multi-temporal TerraSAR-X backscatter intensity and interferometric coherence information. The land cover map is generated through the combined use of object-based image analysis (OBIA) and classification and regression tree analysis (CART). An overall accuracy of 98% is achieved when classifying rock and water bodies, and an accuracy of 79% is achieved when discriminating between different vegetation types with one year of single-polarized acquisitions. This classification strategy can be transferred to other time-series SAR datasets, e.g., Sentinel-1, and other heterogeneous environments. One predominant change in the landscape tied to the thaw of permafrost is the dynamics of thermokarst lakes. Dynamics of thermokarst lakes are developed through their lateral extent and vertical depth changes. Due to different water depth, ice cover over shallow thermokarst ponds/lakes can freeze completely to the lake bed in winter, resulting in grounded ice; while ice cover over deep thermokarst ponds/lakes cannot, which have liquid water persisting under the ice cover all winter, resulting in floating ice. Winter ice cover regimes are related to water depths and ice thickness. In the lakes having floating ice, the liquid water induces additional heat in the remaining permafrost underneath and surroundings, which contributes to further intensified permafrost thawing. SAR datasets are utilized to detect winter ice cover regimes based on the character that liquid water has a remarkably high dielectric constant, whereas pure ice has a low value. Patterns in the spatial distribution of ice-cover regimes of thermokarst ponds in a typical discontinuous permafrost region are first revealed. Then, the correlations of these ice-cover regimes with the permafrost degradation states and thermokarst pond development in two historical phases (Sheldrake catchment in the year 1957 and 2009, Tasiapik Valley 1994 and 2010) were explored. The results indicate that the ice-cover regimes of thermokarst ponds are affected by soil texture, permafrost degradation stage and permafrost depth. Permafrost degradation is difficult to directly assess from the coverage area of floating-ice ponds and the percentage of all thermokarst ponds consisting of such floating-ice ponds in a single year. Continuous monitoring of ice-cover regimes and surface areas is recommended to elucidate the hydrological trajectory of the thermokarst process. Several operational monitoring methods have been developed in this thesis work. In the meanwhile, the spatial distribution of seasonal ground thaw subsidence, permafrost landscape, thermokarst ponds and their winter ice cover regimes are first revealed in the study area. The outcomes help understand the state and dynamics of permafrost environment.Der Permafrostboden bedeckt etwa 24% der exponierten Landfläche in der nördlichen Hemisphäre. Es ist ein wichtiges Element der Kryosphäre und hat starke Auswirkungen auf die Hydrologie, die biologischen Prozesse, das Energie-Budget der Landoberfläche und die Infrastruktur. Seit mehreren Jahrzehnten erhöhen sich die Oberflächenlufttemperaturen in den nördlichen hohen Breitengraden etwa doppelt so stark wie die globale Rate. Die Temperaturen der Permafrostböden sind in den meisten Regionen seit den frühen 1980er Jahren gestiegen. Die durchschnittliche Erwärmung nördlich von 60° N beträgt 1-2°C. In-situ-Messungen sind essentiell für das Verständnis der physischen Prozesse im Permafrostgelände. Es gibt jedoch mehrere Einschränkungen, die von Schwierigkeiten beim Bohren bis hin zur Repräsentativität begrenzter Einzelpunktmessungen reichen. Fernerkundung ist dringend benötigt, um bodenbasierte Messungen zu ergänzen und punktuelle Beobachtungen auf einen breiteren räumlichen Bereich auszudehnen. Diese Dissertation konzentriert sich auf die Umweltbeobachtung der subarktischen Permafrostböden mit SAR-Datensätzen. Das Untersuchungsgebiet wurde in einer typischen diskontinuierlichen Permafrostzone in der kanadischen östlichen Sub-Arktis ausgewählt. Die Inuit-Gemeinschaften in den Regionen Nunavik und Nunatsiavut in der kanadischen östlichen Sub-Arktis gehören zu den Gruppen, die am stärksten von den Auswirkungen des Klimawandels und Permafrostdegradation betroffen sind. Synthetische Apertur Radar (SAR) Datensätze haben Vorteile für das Permafrostmonitoring in den arktischen und subarktischen Regionen aufgrund der hohen Auflösung und der Unabhängigkeit von Wolkendeckung und Sonnenstrahlung. Bis heute sind die Methoden und Strategien mit SAR-Datensätzen für Umweltbeobachtung der Permafrostböden noch in der Entwicklung. Die Variabilität der Auftautiefe der aktiven Schicht ist eine direkte Indikation der Veränderung des thermischen Zustands der Permafrostböden. Die Differential-SAR-Interferometrie(D-Insar)-Technik wird im Untersuchungsgebiet zur Ableitung der Bodendeformation, die durch Auftau- / und Gefriertiefe der aktiven Schicht und des unterliegenden Permafrostbodens eingeführt wird, eingesetzt. Die D-InSAR-Technik wurde für Kartierung der Landoberflächendeformation über große Flächen verwendet, indem der Phasenunterschied zwischen zwei zu verschiedenen Zeitpunkten als Bodenbewegungsinformation erfassten Signalen interpretiert wurde. Es zeigt die Fähigkeit, tau- und gefrierprozessbedingte Bodenbewegungen über Permafrostregionen zu detektieren. Jedoch fokussiert sich die Genauigkeit und Wertschätzung der D-InSAR-Anwendung bis heute hauptsächlich auf kontinuierliche Permafrostregion, wo die Vegetation wenig entwickelt ist und weniger komplizierte Faktoren für D-InSAR-Anwendung verursacht. Das diskontinuierliche Permafrostgelände wurde nur weniger berücksichtigt. In dieser Dissertation wurden die Einflussfaktoren und Anwendungsbedingungen für D-InSAR im diskontinuierlichen Permafrostgebiet mittels X-Band und L-Band Daten ausgewertet. Dann wurde die saisonale Verschiebung dank der hohen Auflösung der C-Band Sentinel-1 Zeitreihe von „Small Baseline Subsets (SBAS)-InSAR“ abgeleitet. Landformen weisen auf die Präsenz des Permafrosts hin, wobei deren Veränderungen auf die Modifikation der Permafrostbedingungen schließen. Eine Kartierungsmethode der Permafrostlandschaft wurde entwickelt, dabei wurde Multi-temporal TerraSAR-X Rückstreuungsintensität und interferometrische Kohärenzinformationen verwendet. Die Landbedeckungskarte wurde durch kombinierte Anwendung objektbasierter Bildanalyse (OBIA) und Klassifikations- und Regressionsbaum Analyse (CART) generiert. Eine Gesamtgenauigkeit in Höhe von 98% wurde bei Klassifikation der Gesteine und Wasserkörper erreicht. Bei Unterscheidung zwischen verschiedenen Vegetationstypen mit einem Jahr einzelpolarisierte Akquisitionen wurde eine Genauigkeit von 79% erreicht. Diese Klassifikationsstrategie kann auf andere Zeitreihen der SAR-Datensätzen, z.B. Sentinel-1, und auch anderen heterogenen Umwelten übertragen werden. Eine vorherrschende Veränderung in der Landschaft, die mit dem Auftauen des Permafrosts verbunden ist, ist die Dynamik der Thermokarstseen. Die Dynamik der Thermokarstseen ist durch Veränderungen der seitlichen Ausdehnung und der vertikalen Tiefe entwickelt. Aufgrund der unterschiedlichen Wassertiefen kann die Eisdecke über den flachen Thermokarstteichen/-seen im Winter bis auf den Wasserboden vollständig gefroren sein, was zum geerdeten Eis führt, während die Eisdecke über den tiefen Thermokarstteichen/-seen es nicht kann. In den tiefen Thermokarstteichen/-seen bleibt den ganzen Winter flüssiges Wasser unter der Eisdecke bestehen, was zum Treibeis führt. Das Wintereisdeckenregime bezieht sich auf die Wassertiefe und die Eisdicke. In den Seen mit Treibeis leitet das flüssige Wasser zusätzliche Wärme in den restlichen Permafrost darunter oder in der Umgebung, was zur weiteren Verstärkung des Permafrostauftauen beiträgt. Basiert auf den Charakter, dass das flüssige Wasser eine bemerkenswert hohe Dielektrizitätskonstante besitzt, während reines Eis einen niedrigen Wert hat, wurden die SAR Datensätzen zur Erkennung des Wintereisdeckenregimes verwendet. Zunächst wurden Schemen in der räumlichen Verteilung der Eisdeckenregimes der Thermokarstteiche in einer typischen diskontinuierlichen Permafrostregion abgeleitet. Dann wurden die Zusammenhänge dieser Eisdeckenregimes mit dem Degradationszustand des Permafrosts und der Entwicklung der Thermokarstteiche in zwei historischen Phasen (Sheldrake Einzugsgebiet in 1957 und 2009, Tasiapik Tal in 1994 und 2010) erforscht. Die Ergebnisse deuten darauf, dass die Eisdeckenregimes der Thermokarstteiche von der Bodenart, dem Degradationszustand des Permafrosts und der Permafrosttiefe beeinflusst werden. Es ist schwer, die Permafrostdegradation in einem einzelnen Jahr direkt durch den Abdeckungsbereich der Treibeis-Teiche und die Prozentzahl aller aus solchen Treibeis-Teichen bestehenden Thermokarstteiche abzuschätzen. Ein kontinuierliches Monitoring der Eisdeckenregimes und -oberflächen ist empfehlenswert, um den hydrologischen Verlauf des Thermokarstprozesses zu erläutern. In dieser Dissertation wurden mehrere operativen Monitoringsmethoden entwickelt. In der Zwischenzeit wurden die räumliche Verteilung der saisonalen Bodentauabsenkung, die Permafrostlandschaft, die Thermokarstteiche und ihre Wintereisdeckenregimes erstmals in diesem Untersuchungsgebiet aufgedeckt. Die Ergebnisse tragen dazu bei, den Zustand und die Dynamik der Permafrostumwelt zu verstehen

2016 International Land Model Benchmarking (ILAMB) Workshop Report

As earth system models (ESMs) become increasingly complex, there is a growing need for comprehensive and multi-faceted evaluation of model projections. To advance understanding of terrestrial biogeochemical processes and their interactions with hydrology and climate under conditions of increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide, new analysis methods are required that use observations to constrain model predictions, inform model development, and identify needed measurements and field experiments. Better representations of biogeochemistryclimate feedbacks and ecosystem processes in these models are essential for reducing the acknowledged substantial uncertainties in 21st century climate change projections

Characteristics of winter climate in Finland in a warming world

Pohjoismaissa, joihin Suomikin kuuluu, talven ilmasto-olosuhteet vaikuttavat yhteiskunnan toimivuuteen monin tavoin. Ilmaston lämmetessä talviolosuhteet muuttuvat. Muutokset lumi- ja jääpeitteessä toimivat indikaattorina alueen ilmasto-oloista. Tämän väitöskirjan tavoitteena on tarkastella, millaisia Suomen talvet ovat muuttuvassa ilmastossa. Väitöskirjan päätulokset perustuvat hilamuotoisiin havaintoaineistoihin, FMIClimGridiin ja E-OBSaineistoon, sekä globaaleihin CMIP5-ilmastomallisimulaatioihin. Näistä aineistoista analysoitiin havaittuja lumi-, lämpötila- ja sadeolosuhteita jaksolla 1961-2014 sekä arvioitiin Itämeren jääpeitteen tulevia muutoksia vuoteen 2100 mennessä. Lisäksi työssä tehtiin kaksi mallinnustutkimusta: toisessa arvioitiin ECHAM5-ilmastomallin kykyä simuloida lumen sulannan ajankohtaa keväällä, ja toisessa tarkasteltiin säänennustusmalli HARMONIEN kykyä simuloida tunnettu rannikkolumisadetilanne. Tulokset osoittivat, että lumensyvyys on Suomessa pienentynyt läpi vuoden ja lumikausi on lyhentynyt. Lisääntyneet talviaikaiset vesisateet olivat yksi pääsyy muutokseen. Keväällä myös lämpötilan nousu on vaikuttanut lumen vähenemiseen. Itämeren jääpeitteen vuotuisen maksimilaajuuden ja jäänpaksuuden arvioitiin pienentyvän kuluvalla vuosisadalla. On kuitenkin epätodennäköistä, että Itämeri muuttuisi kokonaan jäättömäksi tulevien vuosikymmenien tyypillisinä talvina. Koska lumipeite on tärkeä osa ilmastojärjestelmää, on oleellista, että tulevaisuuden ilmasto-olosuhteita arvioivat ilmastomallit kuvaavat lumipeitteen realistisesti. ECHAM5-ilmastomalli kuvasi Pohjois-Euraasian lumensulannan ajankohdan yleisesti ottaen melko hyvin, mutta alueellisia eroja kuitenkin löytyi, kun tuloksia verrattiin satelliittihavaintoihin. Havaitut erot aiheutuivat yksinkertaistuksista ECHAM5-mallin maanpinnan säteilytaseen laskennassa. Myös HARMONIE-malli onnistui simuloimaan tunnetun rannikkolumisadetapauksen kohtuullisen hyvin. Simulaation tulokset paranivat, kun malliajoon lisättiin tutkahavainnot mukaan. Kun ilmaston lämpeneminen etenee, talviolosuhteidenkin muutokset jatkuvat. Tämän väitöskirjan tulokset korostavat pohjoisten alueiden ilmasto-olosuhteiden jatkuvan seurannan tärkeyttä.In northern countries, such as Finland, winter climate conditions affect the functionality of society in many ways. Due to the climate warming, the winter conditions are facing changes. Changes in snow and ice act as an indicator of the climate conditions in a region. The aim of this thesis is to examine what the winters are like in Finland in a changing climate. The main results of this work are based on gridded observations, FMIClimGrid and E-OBS, and CMIP5 global climate model simulations. Using these, the observed snow, temperature and precipitation conditions in 1961-2014 were analyzed, and the future changes in Baltic Sea ice cover were projected for the ongoing century. In addition, two modeling studies were performed: The first assessed the performance of ECHAM5 atmospheric general circulation model in simulating snow melt timing in spring, and the second studied the ability of numerical convection-permitting weather prediction model HARMONIE to simulate a sea-effect snowfall case. The results showed that, in Finland, the snow depth has decreased throughout the year and the snow season has shortened. Increasing liquid precipitation in winter was one of the main reasons for the changes. In spring, increasing air temperature has had an effect. The annual maximum sea ice extent and sea ice thickness in the Baltic Sea were projected to decrease during the ongoing century. However, the Baltic Sea is unlikely to become totally ice-free during typical winters in the coming decades. When climate models are used to predict future climate conditions, it is essential that they describe the snow cover realistically, since it is an important element of the climate system. In the ECHAM5 climate model, Northern Eurasian snow melt timing was generally produced quite well when compared to satellite observations, but regional differences were also found. The reasons for the discrepancies turned out to be the simplifications in the calculations of the model’s surface energy budget. The HARMONIE model also managed to simulate a known sea-effect snowfall case reasonably well. The simulation results improved when radar reflectivities were assimilated into the model. As climate warming proceeds, the winter conditions will continue to change. The results of this thesis highlight the importance of continuous monitoring of climate conditions in the northern areas

State of the Climate in 2010

Several large-scale climate patterns influenced climate conditions and weather patterns across the globe during 2010. The transition from a warm El Niño phase at the beginning of the year to a cool La Niña phase by July contributed to many notable events, ranging from record wetness across much of Australia to historically low Eastern Pacific basin and near-record high North Atlantic basin hurricane activity. The remaining five main hurricane basins experienced below- to well-below-normal tropical cyclone activity. The negative phase of the Arctic Oscillation was a major driver of Northern Hemisphere temperature patterns during 2009/10 winter and again in late 2010. It contributed to record snowfall and unusually low temperatures over much of northern Eurasia and parts of the United States, while bringing above-normal temperatures to the high northern latitudes. The February Arctic Oscillation Index value was the most negative since records began in 1950. The 2010 average global land and ocean surface temperature was among the two warmest years on record. The Arctic continued to warm at about twice the rate of lower latitudes. The eastern and tropical Pacific Ocean cooled about 1°C from 2009 to 2010, reflecting the transition from the 2009/10 El Niño to the 2010/11 La Niña. Ocean heat fluxes contributed to warm sea surface temperature anomalies in the North Atlantic and the tropical Indian and western Pacific Oceans. Global integrals of upper ocean heat content for the past several years have reached values consistently higher than for all prior times in the record, demonstrating the dominant role of the ocean in the Earth’s energy budget. Deep and abyssal waters of Antarctic origin have also trended warmer on average since the early 1990s. Lower tropospheric temperatures typically lag ENSO surface fluctuations by two to four months, thus the 2010 temperature was dominated by the warm phase El Niño conditions that occurred during the latter half of 2009 and early 2010 and was second warmest on record. The stratosphere continued to be anomalously cool. Annual global precipitation over land areas was about five percent above normal. Precipitation over the ocean was drier than normal after a wet year in 2009. Overall, saltier (higher evaporation) regions of the ocean surface continue to be anomalously salty, and fresher (higher precipitation) regions continue to be anomalously fresh. This salinity pattern, which has held since at least 2004, suggests an increase in the hydrological cycle. Sea ice conditions in the Arctic were significantly different than those in the Antarctic during the year. The annual minimum ice extent in the Arctic—reached in September—was the third lowest on record since 1979. In the Antarctic, zonally averaged sea ice extent reached an all-time record maximum from mid-June through late August and again from mid-November through early December. Corresponding record positive Southern Hemisphere Annular Mode Indices influenced the Antarctic sea ice extents. Greenland glaciers lost more mass than any other year in the decade-long record. The Greenland Ice Sheet lost a record amount of mass, as the melt rate was the highest since at least 1958, and the area and duration of the melting was greater than any year since at least 1978. High summer air temperatures and a longer melt season also caused a continued increase in the rate of ice mass loss from small glaciers and ice caps in the Canadian Arctic. Coastal sites in Alaska show continuous permafrost warming and sites in Alaska, Canada, and Russia indicate more significant warming in relatively cold permafrost than in warm permafrost in the same geographical area. With regional differences, permafrost temperatures are now up to 2°C warmer than they were 20 to 30 years ago. Preliminary data indicate there is a high probability that 2010 will be the 20th consecutive year that alpine glaciers have lost mass. Atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations continued to rise and ozone depleting substances continued to decrease. Carbon dioxide increased by 2.60 ppm in 2010, a rate above both the 2009 and the 1980–2010 average rates. The global ocean carbon dioxide uptake for the 2009 transition period from La Niña to El Niño conditions, the most recent period for which analyzed data are available, is estimated to be similar to the long-term average. The 2010 Antarctic ozone hole was among the lowest 20% compared with other years since 1990, a result of warmer-than-average temperatures in the Antarctic stratosphere during austral winter between mid-July and early September. List of authors and affiliations... .3 Abstract 16 1. Introduction 17 2. Global Climate 27 a. Overview .. 27 b. Temperature 36; 1. Surface temperature .. 36; 2. Lower tropospheric temperatures 37; 3. Lower stratospheric temperatures .. 38; 4. Lake temperature 39 c. Hydrologic cycle .. 40; I. Surface humidity .. 40; 2. Total column water vapor .41; 3. Precipitation . 42; 4. Northern Hemisphere continental snow cover extent ... 44; 5. Global cloudiness 45; 6. River discharge . 46; 7. Permafrost thermal state . 48; 8. Groundwater and terrestrial water storage .. 49; 9. Soil moisture ..52; 10. Lake levels 53 d. Atmospheric circulation 55; 1. Mean sea level pressure . 55; 2. Ocean surface wind speed 56 e. Earth radiation budget at top-of-atmosphere ... 58 f. Atmosphere composition ...59; 1. Atmosphere chemical composition ...59; 2. Aerosols 65; 3. Stratospheric ozone 67 g. Land surface properties . 68; 1. Alpine glaciers and ice sheets .. 68; 2. Fraction of Absorbed Photosynthetically Active Radiation (FAPAR) ... 72; 3. Biomass burning ... 72; 4. Forest biomass and biomass change .74 3. Global Oceans 77 a. Overview .. 77 b. Sea surface temperatures .. 78 c. Ocean heat content .81 d. Global ocean heat fluxes ... 84 e. Sea surface salinity .. 86 f. Subsurface salinity ... 88 g. Surface currents ... 92; 1. Pacific Ocean 93; 2. Indian Ocean 94; 3. Atlantic Ocean . 95 h. Meridional overturning circulation observations in the subtropical North Atlantic . 95 i. Sea level variations ... 98 j. The global ocean carbon cycle 100; 1. Air-sea carbon dioxide fluxes 100; 2. Subsurface carbon inventory . 102; 3. Global ocean phytoplankton . 105 4. Tropics ... 109 a. Overview 109 b. ENSO and the tropical Pacific 109; 1. Oceanic conditions ... 109; 2. Atmospheric circulation: Tropics .110; 3. Atmospheric circulation: Extratropics ...112; 4. ENSO temperature and precipitation impacts .113 c. Tropical intraseasonal activity .113 d. Tropical cyclones 114; 1. Overview .114; 2. Atlantic basin ...115; 3. Eastern North Pacific basin .121; 4. Western North Pacific basin .. 123; 5. Indian Ocean basins .. 127; 6. Southwest Pacific basin 129; 7. Australian region basin 130 e. Tropical cyclone heat potential .. 132 f. Intertropical Convergence Zones . 134; 1. Pacific ... 134; 2. Atlantic 136 g. Atlantic multidecadal oscillation 137 h. Indian Ocean Dipole . 138 5. The arctic ... 143 a. Overview 143 b. Atmosphere 143 c. Ocean .. 145; 1. Wind-driven circulation . 145; 2. Ocean temperature and salinity 145; 3. Biology and geochemistry .. 146; 4. Sea level .. 148 d. Sea ice cover ... 148; 1. Sea ice extent . 148; 2. Sea ice age ... 149; 3. Sea ice thickness 150 e. Land .. 150; 1. Vegetation ... 150; 2. Permafrost ... 152; 3. River discharge ... 153; 4. Terrestrial snow 154; 5. Glaciers outside Greenland 155 f. Greenland ... 156; 1. Coastal surface air temperature . 156; 2. Upper air temperatures . 158; 3. Atmospheric circulation . 158; 4. Surface melt extent and duration and albedo . 159; 5. Surface mass balance along the K-Transect .. 159; 6. Total Greenland mass loss from GRACE . 160; 7. Marine-terminating glacier area changes .. 160 6. ANTARCTICA ..161 a. Overview .161 b. Circulation ...161 c. Surface manned and automatic weather station observations 163 d. Net precipitation ... 164 e. 2009/10 Seasonal melt extent and duration . 167 f. Sea ice extent and concentration .. 167 g. Ozone depletion 170 7. Regional climates ... 173 a. Overview 173 b. North America ... 173; 1. Canada 173; 2. United States .. 175; 3. México . 179 c. Central America and the Caribbean .. 182; 1. Central America 182; 2. The Caribbean ... 183 d. South America .. 186; 1. Northern South America and the Tropical Andes . 186; 2. Tropical South America east of the Andes .. 187; 3. Southern South America 190 e. Africa 192; 1. Northern Africa 192; 2. Western Africa .. 193; 3. Eastern Africa . 194; 4. Southern Africa .. 196; 5. Western Indian Ocean countries 198 f. Europe . 199; 1. Overview 199; 2. Central and Western Europe 202; 3. The Nordic and Baltic countries . 203; 4. Iberia 205; 5. Mediterranean, Italian, and Balkan Peninsulas .206; 6. Eastern Europe .. 207; 7. Middle East ..208 g. Asia ... 210; 1. Russia ... 210; 2. East Asia ..215; 3. South Asia 217; 4. Southwest Asia ...219 h. Oceania ...222; 1. Southwest Pacific ..222; 2. Northwest Pacific, Micronesia .. 224; 3. Australia .. 227; 4. New Zealand .. 229 8. SEASONAL SUMMARIES ... 233 Acknowledgments 237 Appendix: Acronyms and Abbreviations 238 References . 24

The Southern Ocean Observing System (SOOS)

[in “State of the Climate in 2014” : Special Supplement to the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Vol. 96, No. 7, July 2015