Proceedings of the 35th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling : July 20- 24, 2020 Bilbao, Basque Country, Spain

466 p.The InternationalWorkshop on Statistical Modelling (IWSM) is a reference workshop in promoting statistical modelling, applications of Statistics for researchers, academics and industrialist in a broad sense. Unfortunately, the global COVID-19 pandemic has not allowed holding the 35th edition of the IWSM in Bilbao in July 2020. Despite the situation and following the spirit of the Workshop and the Statistical Modelling Society, we are delighted to bring you the proceedings book of extended abstracts

CLADAG 2021 BOOK OF ABSTRACTS AND SHORT PAPERS

The book collects the short papers presented at the 13th Scientific Meeting of the Classification and Data Analysis Group (CLADAG) of the Italian Statistical Society (SIS). The meeting has been organized by the Department of Statistics, Computer Science and Applications of the University of Florence, under the auspices of the Italian Statistical Society and the International Federation of Classification Societies (IFCS). CLADAG is a member of the IFCS, a federation of national, regional, and linguistically-based classification societies. It is a non-profit, non-political scientific organization, whose aims are to further classification research

Proceedings of the 35th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling : July 20- 24, 2020 Bilbao, Basque Country, Spain

466 p.The InternationalWorkshop on Statistical Modelling (IWSM) is a reference workshop in promoting statistical modelling, applications of Statistics for researchers, academics and industrialist in a broad sense. Unfortunately, the global COVID-19 pandemic has not allowed holding the 35th edition of the IWSM in Bilbao in July 2020. Despite the situation and following the spirit of the Workshop and the Statistical Modelling Society, we are delighted to bring you the proceedings book of extended abstracts

l1-Penalised Ordinal Polytomous Regression Estimators with Application to Gene Expression Studies

Qualitative but ordered random variables, such as severity of a pathology, are of paramount importance in biostatistics and medicine. Understanding the conditional distribution of such qualitative variables as a function of other explanatory variables can be performed using a specific regression model known as ordinal polytomous regression. Variable selection in the ordinal polytomous regression model is a computationally difficult combinatorial optimisation problem which is however crucial when practitioners need to understand which covariates are physically related to the output and which covariates are not. One easy way to circumvent the computational hardness of variable selection is to introduce a penalised maximum likelihood estimator based on some well chosen non-smooth penalisation function such as, e.g., the l_1-norm. In the case of the Gaussian linear model, the l_1-penalised least-squares estimator, also known as LASSO estimator, has attracted a lot of attention in the last decade, both from the theoretical and algorithmic viewpoints. However, even in the Gaussian linear model, accurate calibration of the relaxation parameter, i.e., the relative weight of the penalisation term in the estimation cost function is still considered a difficult problem that has to be addressed with caution. In the present paper, we apply l_1-penalisation to the ordinal polytomous regression model and compare several hyper-parameter calibration strategies. Our main contributions are: (a) a useful and simple l_1 penalised estimator for ordinal polytomous regression and a thorough description of how to apply Nesterov\u27s accelerated gradient and the online Frank-Wolfe methods to the problem of computing this estimator, (b) a new hyper-parameter calibration method for the proposed model, based on the QUT idea of Giacobino et al. and (c) a code which can be freely used that implements the proposed estimation procedure

A Statistical Approach to the Alignment of fMRI Data

Multi-subject functional Magnetic Resonance Image studies are critical. The anatomical and functional structure varies across subjects, so the image alignment is necessary. We define a probabilistic model to describe functional alignment. Imposing a prior distribution, as the matrix Fisher Von Mises distribution, of the orthogonal transformation parameter, the anatomical information is embedded in the estimation of the parameters, i.e., penalizing the combination of spatially distant voxels. Real applications show an improvement in the classification and interpretability of the results compared to various functional alignment methods

A comparison of the CAR and DAGAR spatial random effects models with an application to diabetics rate estimation in Belgium

When hierarchically modelling an epidemiological phenomenon on a finite collection of sites in space, one must always take a latent spatial effect into account in order to capture the correlation structure that links the phenomenon to the territory. In this work, we compare two autoregressive spatial models that can be used for this purpose: the classical CAR model and the more recent DAGAR model. Differently from the former, the latter has a desirable property: its ρ parameter can be naturally interpreted as the average neighbor pair correlation and, in addition, this parameter can be directly estimated when the effect is modelled using a DAGAR rather than a CAR structure. As an application, we model the diabetics rate in Belgium in 2014 and show the adequacy of these models in predicting the response variable when no covariates are available

Distance construction and clustering of football player performance data

I present a new idea to map football players information by using multidimensional scaling and to cluster football players. The actual goal is to define a proper distance measure between players. The data was assembled from whoscored.com. Variables are of the mixed type, containing nominal, ordinal, count and continuous information. In the data pre-processing stage, four different steps are followed through for continuous and count variables: 1) representation (i.e., considerations regarding how the relevant information is most appropriately represented, e.g., relative to minutes played), 2) transformation (football knowledge as well as the skewness of the distribution of some count variables indicates that transformation should be used to decrease the effective distance between higher values compared to the distances between lower values), 3) standardisation (in order to make within-variable variations comparable), and 4) variable weighting including variable selection. In a final phase, all the different types of distance measures are combined by using the principle of the Gower dissimilarity (Gower, 1971). As the second part of this thesis, the aim was to choose a suitable clustering technique and to estimate the best number of clusters for the dissimilarity measurement obtained from football players data set. For this aim, different clustering quality indexes have been introduced, and as first proposed by Hennig (2017), a new concept to calibrate the clustering quality indexes has been presented. In this respect, Hennig (2017) proposed two random clustering algorithms, which generates random clustering points from which standardised clustering quality index values can be calculated and aggregated in an appropriate way. In this thesis, two new additional random clustering algorithms have been proposed and the aggregation of clustering quality indexes has been examined with different types of simulated and real data sets. In the end, this new concept has been applied to the dissimilarity measurement of football players