3,621 research outputs found
Disease prevention versus data privacy : using landcover maps to inform spatial epidemic models
The availability of epidemiological data in the early stages of an outbreak of an infectious disease is vital for modelers to make accurate predictions regarding the likely spread of disease and preferred intervention strategies. However, in some countries, the necessary demographic data are only available at an aggregate scale. We investigated the ability of models of livestock infectious diseases to predict epidemic spread and obtain optimal control policies in the event of imperfect, aggregated data. Taking a geographic information approach, we used land cover data to predict UK farm locations and investigated the influence of using these synthetic location data sets upon epidemiological predictions in the event of an outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease. When broadly classified land cover data were used to create synthetic farm locations, model predictions deviated significantly from those simulated on true data. However, when more resolved subclass land use data were used, moderate to highly accurate predictions of epidemic size, duration and optimal vaccination and ring culling strategies were obtained. This suggests that a geographic information approach may be useful where individual farm-level data are not available, to allow predictive analyses to be carried out regarding the likely spread of disease. This method can also be used for contingency planning in collaboration with policy makers to determine preferred control strategies in the event of a future outbreak of infectious disease in livestock
Evidence for Reduced Specific Star Formation Rates in the Centers of Massive Galaxies at z = 4
We perform the first spatially-resolved stellar population study of galaxies
in the early universe (z = 3.5 - 6.5), utilizing the Hubble Space Telescope
Cosmic Assembly Near-infrared Deep Extragalactic Legacy Survey (CANDELS)
imaging dataset over the GOODS-S field. We select a sample of 418 bright and
extended galaxies at z = 3.5 - 6.5 from a parent sample of ~ 8000
photometric-redshift selected galaxies from Finkelstein et al. (2015). We first
examine galaxies at 3.5< z < 4.0 using additional deep K-band survey data from
the HAWK-I UDS and GOODS Survey (HUGS) which covers the 4000A break at these
redshifts. We measure the stellar mass, star formation rate, and dust
extinction for galaxy inner and outer regions via spatially-resolved spectral
energy distribution fitting based on a Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm. By
comparing specific star formation rates (sSFRs) between inner and outer parts
of the galaxies we find that the majority of galaxies with the high central
mass densities show evidence for a preferentially lower sSFR in their centers
than in their outer regions, indicative of reduced sSFRs in their central
regions. We also study galaxies at z ~ 5 and 6 (here limited to high spatial
resolution in the rest-frame ultraviolet only), finding that they show sSFRs
which are generally independent of radial distance from the center of the
galaxies. This indicates that stars are formed uniformly at all radii in
massive galaxies at z ~ 5 - 6, contrary to massive galaxies at z < 4.Comment: Accepted to ApJ, 20 pages, 15 figure
IonophoreâBased Biphasic Chemical Sensing in Droplet Microfluidics
Droplet microfluidics is an enabling platform for highâthroughput screens, singleâcell studies, lowâvolume chemical diagnostics, and microscale material syntheses. Analytical methods for realâtime and in situ detection of chemicals in the droplets will benefit these applications, but they remain limited. Reported herein is a novel heterogeneous chemical sensing strategy based on functionalization of the oil phase with rationally combined sensing reagents. Subânanoliter oil segments containing pHâsensitive fluorophores, ionophores, and ionâexchangers enable highly selective and rapid fluorescence detection of physiologically important electrolytes (K+, Na+, and Clâ) and polyions (protamine) in subânanoliter aqueous droplets. Electrolyte analysis in whole blood is demonstrated without suffering from optical interference from the sample matrix. Moreover, an oil phase doped with an azaâBODIPY dye allows indication of H2O2 in the aqueous droplets, exemplifying sensing of targets beyond ionic species.Phase in: The oil phase in droplet microfluidics is functionalized with rationally combined sensing reagents. Thus, the subânanoliter oil segments become chemical sensors toward specific targets in their adjacent subânanoliter aqueous droplets. This biphasic sensing platform enables detection of a wide spectrum of targets including ionic, polyionic, and nonâionic species, in a realâtime and reagentâconservative fashion.Peer Reviewedhttps://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/149501/1/anie201902960_am.pdfhttps://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/149501/2/anie201902960-sup-0001-misc_information.pdfhttps://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/149501/3/anie201902960.pd
CLEAR I: Ages and Metallicities of Quiescent Galaxies at Derived from Deep Hubble Space Telescope Grism Data
We use deep \textit{Hubble Space Telescope} spectroscopy to constrain the
metallicities and (\editone{light-weighted}) ages of massive () galaxies selected to have quiescent stellar
populations at . The data include 12--orbit depth coverage with the
WFC3/G102 grism covering ~\AA\, at a spectral
resolution of taken as part of the CANDELS Lyman- Emission
at Reionization (CLEAR) survey. At , the spectra cover important
stellar population features in the rest-frame optical. We simulate a suite of
stellar population models at the grism resolution, fit these to the data for
each galaxy, and derive posterior likelihood distributions for metallicity and
age. We stack the posteriors for subgroups of galaxies in different redshift
ranges that include different combinations of stellar absorption features. Our
results give \editone{light-weighted ages of ~Gyr,
~Gyr, ~Gyr, and
~Gyr, \editone{for galaxies at , 1.2,
1.3, and 1.6. This} implies that most of the massive quiescent galaxies at
\% of their stellar mass by a redshift of }. The
posteriors give metallicities of \editone{~, ~, ~, and ~}. This is evidence
that massive galaxies had enriched rapidly to approximately Solar metallicities
as early as .Comment: 32 pages, 23 figures, Resubmited to ApJ after revisions in response
to referee repor
CANDELS: The Contribution of the Observed Galaxy Population to Cosmic Reionization
We present measurements of the specific ultraviolet luminosity density from a
sample of 483 galaxies at 6<z<8. These galaxies were selected from new deep
near-infrared HST imaging from the CANDELS, HUDF09 and ERS programs. In
contrast to the majority of previous analyses, which assume that the
distribution of galaxy ultraviolet (UV) luminosities follows a Schechter
distribution, and that the distribution continues to luminosities far below our
observable limit, we investigate the contribution to reionization from galaxies
which we can observe, free from these assumptions. We find that the observable
population of galaxies can sustain a fully reionized IGM at z=6, if the average
ionizing photon escape fraction (f_esc) is ~30%. A number of previous studies
have measured UV luminosity densities at these redshifts that vary by 5X, with
many concluding that galaxies could not complete reionization by z=6 unless a
large population of galaxies fainter than the detection limit were invoked, or
extremely high values of f_esc were present. The observed UV luminosity density
from our observed galaxy samples at z=7-8 is not sufficient to maintain a fully
reionized IGM unless f_esc>50%. Combining our observations with constraints on
the emission rate of ionizing photons from Ly-alpha forest observations at z=6,
we can constrain f_esc<34% (2-sigma) if the observed galaxies are the only
contributors to reionization, or <13% (2-sigma) if the luminosity function
extends to M_UV = -13. These escape fractions are sufficient to complete
reionization by z=6. These constraints imply that the volume ionized fraction
of the IGM becomes less than unity at z>7, consistent with a number of
complementary reionization probes. If faint galaxies dominate reionization,
future JWST observations will probe deep enough to see them, providing an
indirect constraint on the ionizing photon escape fraction [abridged].Comment: 16 pages, 7 figures, Submitted to the Astrophysical Journa
Constraining The Assembly Of Normal And Compact Passively Evolving Galaxies From Redshift z=3 To The Present With CANDELS
We study the evolution of the number density, as a function of the size, of
passive early-type galaxies with a wide range of stellar masses
10^10<M*/Msun<10^11.5) from z~3 to z~1, exploiting the unique dataset available
in the GOODS-South field, including the recently obtained WFC3 images as a part
of the Cosmic Assembly Near-infrared Deep Extragalactic Legacy Survey
(CANDELS). In particular, we select a sample of 107 massive (M*>10^10 M_sun),
passive (SSFR<10^-2 Gyr^-1) and morphologically spheroidal galaxies at 1.2<z<3,
taking advantage of the panchromatic dataset available for GOODS, including
VLT, CFHT, Spitzer, Chandra and HST ACS+WFC3 data. We find that at 1<z<3 the
passively evolving early-type galaxies are the reddest and most massive objects
in the Universe, and we prove that a correlation between mass, morphology,
color and star-formation activity is already in place at that epoch. We measure
a significant evolution in the mass-size relation of passive early-type
galaxies (ETGs) from z~3 to z~1, with galaxies growing on average by a factor
of 2 in size in a 3 Gyr timescale only. We witness also an increase in the
number density of passive ETGs of 50 times over the same time interval. We find
that the first ETGs to form at z>2 are all compact or ultra-compact, while
normal sized ETGs (meaning ETGs with sizes comparable to those of local
counterparts of the same mass) are the most common ETGs only at z<1. The
increase of the average size of ETGs at 0<z<1 is primarily driven by the
appearance of new large ETGs rather than by the size increase of individual
galaxies.Comment: 9 pages, 5 figures, submitted to Ap
Outlying HII Regions in HI-Selected Galaxies
We present results from the first systematic search for outlying HII regions,
as part of a sample of 96 emission-line point sources (referred to as ELdots -
emission-line dots) derived from the NOAO Survey for Ionization in Neutral Gas
Galaxies (SINGG). Our automated ELdot-finder searches SINGG narrow-band and
continuum images for high equivalent width point sources outside the optical
radius of the target galaxy (> 2 X r25 in the R-band). Follow-up longslit
spectroscopy and deep GALEX images (exposure time > 1000 s) distinguish
outlying HII regions from background galaxies whose strong emission lines
([OIII], Hbeta or [OII]) have been redshifted into the SINGG bandpass. We find
that these deep GALEX images can serve as a substitute for spectroscopic
follow-up because outlying HII regions separate cleanly from background
galaxies in color-color space. We identify seven SINGG systems with outlying
massive star formation that span a large range in Halpha luminosities
corresponding to a few O stars in the most nearby cases, and unresolved dwarf
satellite companion galaxies in the most distant cases. Six of these seven
systems feature galaxies with nearby companions or interacting galaxies.
Furthermore, our results indicate that some outlying HII regions are linked to
the extended-UV disks discovered by GALEX, representing emission from the most
massive O stars among a more abundant population of lower mass (or older) star
clusters. The overall frequency of outlying HII regions in this sample of
gas-rich galaxies is 8 - 11% when we correct for background emission-line
galaxy contamination (~75% of ELdots).Comment: 20 pages, 14 Figures, Accepted by A
Intergalactic HII Regions Discovered in SINGG
A number of very small isolated HII regions have been discovered at projected
distances up to 30 kpc from their nearest galaxy. These HII regions appear as
tiny emission line objects in narrow band images obtained by the NOAO Survey
for Ionization in Neutral Gas Galaxies (SINGG). We present spectroscopic
confirmation of four isolated HII regions in two systems, both systems have
tidal HI features. The results are consistent with stars forming in interactive
debris due to cloud-cloud collisions. The H-alpha luminosities of the isolated
HII regions are equivalent to the ionizing flux of only a few O stars each.
They are most likely ionized by stars formed in situ, and represent atypical
star formation in the low density environment of the outer parts of galaxies. A
small but finite intergalactic star formation rate will enrich and ionize the
surrounding medium. In one system, NGC 1533, we calculate a star formation rate
of 1.5e-3 msun/yr, resulting in a metal enrichment of ~1e-3 solar for the
continuous formation of stars. Such systems may have been more common in the
past and a similar enrichment level is measured for the `metallicity floor' in
damped Lyman-alpha absorption systems.Comment: accepted for publication in the Astronomical Journal, 19 pages,
including 5 figures, some low resolution. Paper with high resolution images
can be downloaded from
http://astro.ph.unimelb.edu.au/~eryan/publications/eldots.ps.g
On the Nature of Star Formation at Large Galactic Radii
We have compared far-ultraviolet (FUV), near-ultraviolet (NUV), and Halpha
measurements for star forming regions in 21 galaxies, in order to characterise
the properties of their discs at radii beyond the main optical radius (R25). In
our representative sample of extended and non-extended UV discs we find that
half of the extended UV discs also exhibit extended Halpha emission. We find
that extended UV discs fall into two categories, those with a sharp truncation
in the Halpha disc close to the optical edge (R25), and those with extended
emission in Halpha as well as in the ultraviolet. Although most galaxies with
strong Halpha truncations near R25 show a significant corresponding falloff in
UV emission (factor 10--100), the transition tends to be much smoother than in
Halpha, and significant UV emission often extends well beyond this radius,
confirming earlier results by Thilker et al. (2007) and others. After
correcting for dust attenuation the median fraction of total FUV emission from
regions outside of R25 is 1.7%, but it can be as high as 35% in the most
extreme cases. The corresponding fractions of Halpha emission are approximately
half as large on average. This difference reflects both a slightly lower ratio
of Halpha to UV emission in the HII regions in the outer discs, as well as a
lower fraction of star clusters showing HII regions. Most HII regions in the
extended disc have fluxes consistent with small numbers of ionising O-type
stars, and this poor sampling of the upper initial mass function in small
clusters can probably account for the differences in the emission properties,
consistent with earlier conclusions by Zaritsky & Christlein (2007), without
needing to invoke a significant change in the stellar IMF itself. Consistent
Ha/FUV ratios and brightest HII region to total Halpha fluxes in the inner and
extended discs across our whole galaxy sample demonstrate no evidence for a
change in the cluster luminosity function or the IMF in the low gas density
outer disc.Comment: Accepted for publication in MNRAS. 21 Pages, 13 Figures, 2 Table
New Hubble Space Telescope Discoveries of Type Ia Supernovae at z > 1: Narrowing Constraints on the Early Behavior of Dark Energy
We have discovered 21 new Type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia) with the Hubble Space
Telescope (HST) and have used them to trace the history of cosmic expansion
over the last 10 billion years. These objects, which include 13
spectroscopically confirmed SNe Ia at z > 1, were discovered during 14 epochs
of reimaging of the GOODS fields North and South over two years with the
Advanced Camera for Surveys on HST. Together with a recalibration of our
previous HST-discovered SNe Ia, the full sample of 23 SNe Ia at z > 1 provides
the highest-redshift sample known. Combined with previous SN Ia datasets, we
measured H(z) at discrete, uncorrelated epochs, reducing the uncertainty of
H(z>1) from 50% to under 20%, strengthening the evidence for a cosmic jerk--the
transition from deceleration in the past to acceleration in the present. The
unique leverage of the HST high-redshift SNe Ia provides the first meaningful
constraint on the dark energy equation-of-state parameter at z >1.
The result remains consistent with a cosmological constant (w(z)=-1), and
rules out rapidly evolving dark energy (dw/dz >>1). The defining property of
dark energy, its negative pressure, appears to be present at z>1, in the epoch
preceding acceleration, with ~98% confidence in our primary fit. Moreover, the
z>1 sample-averaged spectral energy distribution is consistent with that of the
typical SN Ia over the last 10 Gyr, indicating that any spectral evolution of
the properties of SNe Ia with redshift is still below our detection threshold.Comment: typos, references corrected, minor additions to exposition 82 pages,
17 figures, 6 tables. Data also available at:
http://braeburn.pha.jhu.edu/~ariess/R06. Accepted, Astrophysical Journal vol.
656 for March 10, 200
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