Estimating the costs of air pollution to the National Health Service and social care : An assessment and forecast up to 2035

BACKGROUND: Air pollution damages health by promoting the onset of some non-communicable diseases (NCDs), putting additional strain on the National Health Service (NHS) and social care. This study quantifies the total health and related NHS and social care cost burden due to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) in England. METHOD AND FINDINGS: Air pollutant concentration surfaces from land use regression models and cost data from hospital admissions data and a literature review were fed into a microsimulation model, that was run from 2015 to 2035. Different scenarios were modelled: (1) baseline 'no change' scenario; (2) individuals' pollutant exposure is reduced to natural (non-anthropogenic) levels to compute the disease cases attributable to PM2.5 and NO2; (3) PM2.5 and NO2 concentrations reduced by 1 μg/m3; and (4) NO2 annual European Union limit values reached (40 μg/m3). For the 18 years after baseline, the total cumulative cost to the NHS and social care is estimated at £5.37 billion for PM2.5 and NO2 combined, rising to £18.57 billion when costs for diseases for which there is less robust evidence are included. These costs are due to the cumulative incidence of air-pollution-related NCDs, such as 348,878 coronary heart disease cases estimated to be attributable to PM2.5 and 573,363 diabetes cases estimated to be attributable to NO2 by 2035. Findings from modelling studies are limited by the conceptual model, assumptions, and the availability and quality of input data. CONCLUSIONS: Approximately 2.5 million cases of NCDs attributable to air pollution are predicted by 2035 if PM2.5 and NO2 stay at current levels, making air pollution an important public health priority. In future work, the modelling framework should be updated to include multi-pollutant exposure-response functions, as well as to disaggregate results by socioeconomic status

Exoplanet phase curves: observations and theory

Phase curves are the best technique to probe the three dimensional structure of exoplanets' atmospheres. In this chapter we first review current exoplanets phase curve observations and the particular challenges they face. We then describe the different physical mechanisms shaping the atmospheric phase curves of highly irradiated tidally locked exoplanets. Finally, we discuss the potential for future missions to further advance our understanding of these new worlds.Comment: Fig.5 has been updated. Table 1 and corresponding figures have been updated with new values for WASP-103b and WASP-18b. Contains a table sumarizing phase curve observation

Risk estimates of recurrent congenital anomalies in the UK: a population-based register study

BACKGROUND: Recurrence risks for familial congenital anomalies in successive pregnancies are known, but this information for major structural anomalies is lacking. We estimated the absolute and relative risks of recurrent congenital anomaly in the second pregnancy for women with a history of a congenital anomaly in the first pregnancy; for all major anomaly groups and subtypes. METHODS: Population-based register data on 18,605 singleton pregnancies affected by major congenital anomaly occurring in 872,493 singleton stillbirths, live births and terminations of pregnancy for fetal anomaly were obtained from the Northern Congenital Abnormality Survey, North of England, UK, for 1985-2010. Absolute risks (ARs) and relative risks (RRs) for recurrent congenital anomaly (overall, from a similar group, from a dissimilar group) in the second pregnancy were estimated by history of congenital anomaly (overall, by group, by subtype) in the first pregnancy. RESULTS: The estimated prevalences of congenital anomaly in first and second pregnancies were 276 (95% CI 270-281) and 163 (95% CI 159-168) per 10,000 respectively. For women whose first pregnancy was affected by congenital anomaly, the AR of recurrent congenital anomaly in the second pregnancy was 408 (95% CI 365-456) per 10,000; 2.5 (95% CI 2.3-2.8, p<0.0001) times higher than for those with unaffected first pregnancies. For similar anomalies, the recurrence risk was considerably elevated (RR=23.8, 95% CI 19.6-27.9, P<0.0001) while for dissimilar anomalies the increase was more modest (RR=1.4, 95% CI 1.2-1.6, P=0.001), although the ARs for both were 2%. CONCLUSIONS: Absolute recurrence risks varied between 1 in 20 and 1 in 30 for most major anomaly groups. At pre-conception and antenatal counselling, women whose first pregnancy was affected by a congenital anomaly and who are planning a further pregnancy may find it reassuring that despite high relative risks, the absolute recurrence risk is relatively low

Genetic polymorphisms located in genes related to immune and inflammatory processes are associated with end-stage renal disease: a preliminary study

Background Chronic kidney disease progression has been linked to pro-inflammatory cytokines and markers of inflammation. These markers are also elevated in end-stage renal disease (ESRD), which constitutes a serious public health problem. Objective To investigate whether single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) located in genes related to immune and inflammatory processes, could be associated with ESRD development. Design and methods A retrospective case-control study was carried out on 276 patients with ESRD and 288 control subjects. Forty-eight SNPs were genotyped via SNPlex platform. Logistic regression was used to assess the relationship between each sigle polymorphism and the development of ESRD. Results Four polymorphisms showed association with ESRD: rs1801275 in the interleukin 4 receptor (IL4R) gene (OR: 0.66 (95%CI=0.46-0.95); p=0.025; overdominant model), rs4586 in chemokine (C-C motif) ligand 2 (CCL2) gene (OR: 0.70 (95%CI=0.54-0.90); p=0.005; additive model), rs301640 located in an intergenic binding site for signal transducer and activator of transcription 4 (STAT4) (OR: 1.82 (95%CI=1.17-2.83); p=0.006; additive model) and rs7830 in the nitric oxide synthase 3 (NOS3) gene (OR: 1.31 (95%CI=1.01-1.71); p=0.043; additive model). After adjusting for multiple testing, results lost significance. Conclusion Our preliminary data suggest that four genetic polymorphisms located in genes related to inflammation and immune processes could help to predict the risk of developing ESRD.This work was supported by grants from Instituto de Salud Carlos III (Ref: PI08/0738 and PI11/00245) to SR and Junta de Castilla y Leon (Ref: GRS 234/A/08) to ET. MAJS is supported by a grant from Instituto de Salud Carlos III (CM10/00105).Jimenez-Sousa, MA.; López, E.; Fernandez-Rodriguez, A.; Tamayo, E.; Fernández-Navarro, P.; Segura Roda, L.; Heredia, M.... (2012). Genetic polymorphisms located in genes related to immune and inflammatory processes are associated with end-stage renal disease: a preliminary study. BMC Medical Genetics. 13(58):1-6. https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2350-13-58S161358Otero A, de Francisco A, Gayoso P, Garcia F: Prevalence of chronic renal disease in Spain: results of the EPIRCE study. Nefrologia. 2010, 30 (1): 78-86.Kottgen A: Genome-wide association studies in nephrology research. Am J Kidney Dis. 2010, 56 (4): 743-758. 10.1053/j.ajkd.2010.05.018.Gansevoort RT, Matsushita K, van der Velde M, Astor BC, Woodward M, Levey AS, Jong PE, Coresh J, de Jong PE, El-Nahas M, et al: Lower estimated GFR and higher albuminuria are associated with adverse kidney outcomes in both general and high-risk populations. A collaborative meta-analysis of general and high-risk population cohorts. Kidney Int. 2011, 80 (1): 93-104. 10.1038/ki.2010.531.Reich HN, Gladman DD, Urowitz MB, Bargman JM, Hladunewich MA, Lou W, Fan SC, Su J, Herzenberg AM, Cattran DC, et al: Persistent proteinuria and dyslipidemia increase the risk of progressive chronic kidney disease in lupus erythematosus. Kidney Int. 2011, 9 (8): 914-920.Rao M, Wong C, Kanetsky P, Girndt M, Stenvinkel P, Reilly M, Raj DS: Cytokine gene polymorphism and progression of renal and cardiovascular diseases. Kidney Int. 2007, 72 (5): 549-556. 10.1038/sj.ki.5002391.Munshi R, Hsu C, Himmelfarb J: Advances in understanding ischemic acute kidney injury. BMC Med. 2011, 9 (1): 11-10.1186/1741-7015-9-11.Kottgen A, Pattaro C, Boger CA, Fuchsberger C, Olden M, Glazer NL, Parsa A, Gao X, Yang Q, Smith AV, et al: New loci associated with kidney function and chronic kidney disease. Nat Genet. 2010, 42 (5): 376-384. 10.1038/ng.568.Chambers JC, Zhang W, Lord GM, van der Harst P, Lawlor DA, Sehmi JS, Gale DP, Wass MN, Ahmadi KR, Bakker SJ, et al: Genetic loci influencing kidney function and chronic kidney disease. Nat Genet. 2010, 42 (5): 373-375. 10.1038/ng.566.Ribases M, Ramos-Quiroga JA, Sanchez-Mora C, Bosch R, Richarte V, Palomar G, Gastaminza X, Bielsa A, Arcos-Burgos M, Muenke M, et al: Contribution of LPHN3 to the genetic susceptibility to ADHD in adulthood: a replication study. Genes Brain Behav. 2010, 10 (2): 149-157.Sole X, Guino E, Valls J, Iniesta R, Moreno V: SNPStats: a web tool for the analysis of association studies. Bioinformatics. 2006, 22 (15): 1928-1929. 10.1093/bioinformatics/btl268.Fried L, Solomon C, Shlipak M, Seliger S, Stehman-Breen C, Bleyer AJ, Chaves P, Furberg C, Kuller L, Newman A: Inflammatory and prothrombotic markers and the progression of renal disease in elderly individuals. J Am Soc Nephrol. 2004, 15 (12): 3184-3191. 10.1097/01.ASN.0000146422.45434.35.Wolkow PP, Niewczas MA, Perkins B, Ficociello LH, Lipinski B, Warram JH, Krolewski AS: Association of urinary inflammatory markers and renal decline in microalbuminuric type 1 diabetics. J Am Soc Nephrol. 2008, 19 (4): 789-797. 10.1681/ASN.2007050556.Nakamura E, Megumi Y, Kobayashi T, Kamoto T, Ishitoya S, Terachi T, Tachibana M, Matsushiro H, Habuchi T, Kakehi Y, et al: Genetic polymorphisms of the interleukin-4 receptor alpha gene are associated with an increasing risk and a poor prognosis of sporadic renal cell carcinoma in a Japanese population. Clin Cancer Res. 2002, 8 (8): 2620-2625.Burgos PI, Causey ZL, Tamhane A, Kelley JM, Brown EE, Hughes LB, Danila MI, van Everdingen A, Conn DL, Jonas BL, et al: Association of IL4R single-nucleotide polymorphisms with rheumatoid nodules in African Americans with rheumatoid arthritis. Arthritis Res Ther. 2010, 12 (3): R75-10.1186/ar2994.Tachdjian R, Mathias C, Al Khatib S, Bryce PJ, Kim HS, Blaeser F, O'Connor BD, Rzymkiewicz D, Chen A, Holtzman MJ, et al: Pathogenicity of a disease-associated human IL-4 receptor allele in experimental asthma. J Exp Med. 2009, 206 (10): 2191-2204. 10.1084/jem.20091480.Zheng G, Wang Y, Xiang SH, Tay YC, Wu H, Watson D, Coombes J, Rangan GK, Alexander SI, Harris DC: DNA vaccination with CCL2 DNA modified by the addition of an adjuvant epitope protects against "nonimmune" toxic renal injury. J Am Soc Nephrol. 2006, 17 (2): 465-474. 10.1681/ASN.2005020164.Kang YS, Lee MH, Song HK, Ko GJ, Kwon OS, Lim TK, Kim SH, Han SY, Han KH, Lee JE, et al: CCR2 antagonism improves insulin resistance, lipid metabolism, and diabetic nephropathy in type 2 diabetic mice. Kidney Int. 2010, 78 (9): 883-894. 10.1038/ki.2010.263.Dai R, Ahmed SA: MicroRNA, a new paradigm for understanding immunoregulation, inflammation, and autoimmune diseases. Transl Res. 2011, 157 (4): 163-179. 10.1016/j.trsl.2011.01.007.Messeguer X, Escudero R, Farre D, Nunez O, Martinez J, Alba MM: PROMO: detection of known transcription regulatory elements using species-tailored searches. Bioinformatics. 2002, 18 (2): 333-334. 10.1093/bioinformatics/18.2.333.Farre D, Roset R, Huerta M, Adsuara JE, Rosello L, Alba MM, Messeguer X: Identification of patterns in biological sequences at the ALGGEN server: PROMO and MALGEN. Nucleic Acids Res. 2003, 31 (13): 3651-3653. 10.1093/nar/gkg605.Wei L, Vahedi G, Sun HW, Watford WT, Takatori H, Ramos HL, Takahashi H, Liang J, Gutierrez-Cruz G, Zang C, et al: Discrete roles of STAT4 and STAT6 transcription factors in tuning epigenetic modifications and transcription during T helper cell differentiation. Immunity. 2010, 32 (6): 840-851. 10.1016/j.immuni.2010.06.003.Nakayama T, Sato W, Kosugi T, Zhang L, Campbell-Thompson M, Yoshimura A, Croker BP, Johnson RJ, Nakagawa T: Endothelial injury due to eNOS deficiency accelerates the progression of chronic renal disease in the mouse. Am J Physiol Renal Physiol. 2009, 296 (2): F317-327.Webber JL, Tooze SA: New insights into the function of Atg9. FEBS Lett. 2010, 584 (7): 1319-1326. 10.1016/j.febslet.2010.01.020.Kullo IJ, Greene MT, Boerwinkle E, Chu J, Turner ST, Kardia SL: Association of polymorphisms in NOS3 with the ankle-brachial index in hypertensive adults. Atherosclerosis. 2008, 196 (2): 905-912. 10.1016/j.atherosclerosis.2007.02.008.Popov AF, Hinz J, Schulz EG, Schmitto JD, Wiese CH, Quintel M, Seipelt R, Schoendube FA: The eNOS 786C/T polymorphism in cardiac surgical patients with cardiopulmonary bypass is associated with renal dysfunction. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg. 2009, 36 (4): 651-656. 10.1016/j.ejcts.2009.04.049.Wang CH, Li F, Hiller S, Kim HS, Maeda N, Smithies O, Takahashi N: A modest decrease in endothelial NOS in mice comparable to that associated with human NOS3 variants exacerbates diabetic nephropathy. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2011, 108 (5): 2070-2075. 10.1073/pnas.1018766108.Desmet FO, Hamroun D, Lalande M, Collod-Beroud G, Claustres M, Beroud C: Human Splicing Finder: an online bioinformatics tool to predict splicing signals. Nucleic Acids Res. 2009, 37 (9): e67-10.1093/nar/gkp215.Sironi M, Menozzi G, Riva L, Cagliani R, Comi GP, Bresolin N, Giorda R, Pozzoli U: Silencer elements as possible inhibitors of pseudoexon splicing. Nucleic Acids Res. 2004, 32 (5): 1783-1791. 10.1093/nar/gkh341.Perneger TV: What's wrong with Bonferroni adjustments. BMJ. 1998, 316 (7139): 1236-1238. 10.1136/bmj.316.7139.1236.Sterne JA, Davey Smith G: Sifting the evidence-what's wrong with significance tests?. 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Development and validation of the Multi-dimensional University Research Workplace Inventory (MDURWI)

WOS:000454839600005This study describes the development and validation of an instrument aimed toward measuring organizational features of an academic research workplace. The question pool was developed based on data from a pilot study (N = 43). The survey was deployed to academic researchers in the field of higher education research worldwide (N = 850). An exploratory factor analysis conducted on 36 questions, followed by confirmatory factor analysis, which lead to a final pool of 27 questions in five subscales, one of which divided into three lower-order factors. The final model exhibited very good fit (X2/df = 2.561; CFI = 0.972; PCFI = 0.784; RMSEA = 0.043; P[rmsea ? 0.05] < 0.001; AIC = 891.018; BCC = 987.839) and psychometric properties, in the form of factorial, convergent, and discriminant validity, as well as reliability and sensitivity. Implications of this instrument for research and policymaking are discussed, as well as future research directions.info:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersio

Convergence in international business ethics? A comparative study of ethical philosophies, thinking style, and ethical decision-making between US and Korean managers

This study investigates the relationship among ethical philosophy, thinking style, and managerial ethical decision-making. Based on the premise that business ethics is a function of culture and time, we attempt to explore two important questions as to whether the national differences in managerial ethical philosophies remain over time and whether the relationship between thinking style and ethical decision-making is consistent across different national contexts. We conducted a survey on Korean managers’ ethical decision-making and thinking style and made a cross-cultural, cross-temporal comparison with the results presented by previous studies that surveyed Korean and US managers with the same questionnaire at different points in time. Our analysis revealed that Korean managers have become more reliant on rule utilitarianism for ethical decision-making over the last two decades, which is dominantly used by US managers, corroborating our convergence hypothesis built on social contracts theory. However, as opposed to previous research, we found that managers with a balanced linear and nonlinear thinking style do not necessarily make more ethical decisions compared to those with a predominantly linear or nonlinear thinking style. This study contributes to international business ethics literature by presenting a theoretical framework that may explain the convergence of ethical philosophies employed by managers in different national contexts over time, and that the relationship between thinking style and managerial ethical decision-making may not be universal, but contingent on contextual factors

Independent measure of the neutrino mixing angle θ13 via neutron capture on hydrogen at Daya Bay

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The muon system of the Daya Bay Reactor antineutrino experiment

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Search for a Light Sterile Neutrino at Daya Bay

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