Global correlations between maximum magnitudes of subduction zone interface thrust earthquakes and physical parameters of subduction zones

Peer reviewedPublisher PD

Quantifying the impact of uncertainty within the longitudinal dispersion coefficient on concentration dynamics and regulatory compliance in rivers

The one‐dimensional advection dispersion equation (1D ADE) is commonly used in practice to simulate pollutant transport processes for assessment and improvement of water quality conditions in rivers. Various studies have shown that the longitudinal dispersion coefficient used within the 1D ADE is influenced by a range of hydraulic and geomorphological conditions. This study aims to quantify the impact and importance of the parameter uncertainty associated with the longitudinal dispersion coefficient on modeled pollutant time‐concentration profiles and its implications for meeting compliance with water quality regulations. Six regression equations for estimating longitudinal dispersion coefficients are evaluated, and commonly used evaluation criteria were assessed for their suitability. A statistical evaluation of the regression equations based on their original calibration data sets resulted in percent bias (PBIAS) values between −47.01% and 20.78%. For a case study, uncertainty associated with the longitudinal dispersion coefficient was propagated to time‐concentration profiles using 1D ADE and Monte Carlo simulations, and 75% confidence interval bands of the pollutant concentration versus time profiles were derived. For two studied equations, the measured peak concentration values were above the simulated 87.5th percentile, and for the other four equations it was close to the 87.5th percentile. Subsequent uncertainty propagation analysis of four diverse rivers show the potential considerable impact on concentration‐duration‐frequency‐based water quality studies, with 1D ADE modeling producing predictions of quality standard compliance which varied over hundreds of kilometers

Імунологічні аспекти діагностики та лікування постгістеректомічного синдрому

В статье представлены данные клинико-иммунологического, вегетологического, психологического статуса 80 женщин, страдающих постгистерэктомическими расстройствами с целью поиска оптимальных подходов к терапии. Установлено, что постгистерэктомический синдром сопровождается различными изменениями нейровегетативной регуляции, коррелирующими с гормонально-иммунологическими нарушениями. Стабильные положительные клинико-иммунологические сдвиги у пациенток с постгистерэктомическим синдромом показали высокую эффективность включения иммунокорригирующих препаратов для оптимизации терапевтических мероприятий в борьбе с указанной патологией.Basing on clinical, immunological, vegetologycal investigations in 80 women with posthysterectomy disorders with the purpose of search of optimum pathogenetic approaches to therapy. It has been found that a posthysterectomy syndrome is accompanied by the different changes neyrovegetatic regulationand also psychoemotional disorders. New important hormonal and immunological aspects of pathogenesis were determinated. Stable positive clinical and immunological changes at patients with a postgysterektomy syndrome showed high effect of including of immunological correction for the complex of treatment of patients with this pathology

Spatial and temporal considerations of implementing local renewable energy sources and decentralised heat recovery for domestic heat

A UK case study area containing over 33,000 households has been used to investigate spatial and temporal conflicts in meeting domestic heat demand through renewable electrical energy supply and low-grade decentralised heat recovery from the urban drainage network. The case study area was selected as its water infrastructure and population density were representative of the conditions experienced by the majority of the UK's urban population. The findings suggest that adopting an optimised and integrated water-energy system would lead to a 60% reduction in current carbon emissions, compared to a natural gas based system. The integrated water-energy system proposed for domestic heating showed an annual surplus of renewable energy of 716 GWh. However, a non-renewable source of energy of 114 GWh is required to deal with the intermittency of the demand and renewable energy supply. Given the renewable surplus, it would be possible to eliminate carbon emissions from domestic heating with the addition of local low efficiency inter-seasonal energy storage. Taking a broader perspective, the calculated 60% carbon emission saving is significant as the domestic housing sector contributes 15% of the UK carbon emissions. A progressive adoption of such locally based schemes throughout the country would be able to make tangible reductions to national carbon emission targets

Upper- and mid-mantle interaction between the Samoan plume and the Tonga-Kermadec slabs

Mantle plumes are thought to play a key role in transferring heat from the core\u2013mantle boundary to the lithosphere, where it can significantly influence plate tectonics. On impinging on the lithosphere at spreading ridges or in intra-plate settings, mantle plumes may generate hotspots, large igneous provinces and hence considerable dynamic topography. However, the active role of mantle plumes on subducting slabs remains poorly understood. Here we show that the stagnation at 660 km and fastest trench retreat of the Tonga slab in Southwestern Pacific are consistent with an interaction with the Samoan plume and the Hikurangi plateau. Our findings are based on comparisons between 3D anisotropic tomography images and 3D petrological-thermo-mechanical models, which self-consistently explain several unique features of the Fiji\u2013Tonga region. We identify four possible slip systems of bridgmanite in the lower mantle that reconcile the observed seismic anisotropy beneath the Tonga slab (VSH4VSV) with thermo-mechanical calculations

Thermal energy transfer around buried pipe infrastructure

Decarbonisation of heating is essential to meet national and international greenhouse gas emissions targets. This will require adoption of a range of solutions including ground source heat pump and district heating technologies. A novel route to these solutions includes dual use of buried infrastructure for heat transfer and storage in addition to its primary function. Water supply and wastewater collection pipes may be well suited for thermal energy applications being present in all urban areas in networks already in proximity to heat users. However, greater understanding of their potential interactions with surrounding heat sources and sinks is required before full assessment of the energy potential of such buried pipe networks can be obtained. This paper presents an investigation into the thermal interactions associated with shallow, buried water filled pipes. Using the results of large scale experiments and numerical simulation it is shown that soil surface ambient conditions and adjacent pipes can both act as sources or sinks of heat. While conduction is the main mechanism of heat transfer in the soil directly surrounding any pipe, any adjacent water filled pipes may lead to convection becoming important locally. In the test case, the thermal sphere of influence of the water filled pipe was also shown to be large, at in excess of 4 m over a timescale of 4 months. Taken together, these points suggest that design and analysis approaches when using water supply and wastewater collection networks for heat exchange and storage need careful consideration of environmental interactions, heat losses and gains to adjacent pipes or other infrastructure, and in ground conditions for a number of pipe diameters from any buried pipe

Optimisation of a fuzzy logic-based local real-time control system for mitigation of sewer flooding using genetic algorithms

Urban flooding damages properties, causes economic losses and can seriously threaten public health. An innovative, fuzzy logic (FL)-based, local autonomous real-time control (RTC) approach for mitigating this hazard utilising the existing spare capacity in urban drainage networks has been developed. The default parameters for the control algorithm, which uses water level-based data, were derived based on domain expert knowledge and optimised by linking the control algorithm programmatically to a hydrodynamic sewer network model. This paper describes a novel genetic algorithm (GA) optimisation of the FL membership functions (MFs) for the developed control algorithm. In order to provide the GA with strong training and test scenarios, the compiled rainfall time series based on recorded rainfall and incorporating multiple events were used in the optimisation. Both decimal and integer GA optimisations were carried out. The integer optimisation was shown to perform better on unseen events than the decimal version with considerably reduced computational run time. The optimised FL MFs result in an average 25% decrease in the flood volume compared to those selected by experts for unseen rainfall events. This distributed, autonomous control using GA optimisation offers significant benefits over traditional RTC approaches for flood risk management

Ultimate precision in cosmic-ray radio detection - The SKA

As of 2023, the low-frequency part of the Square Kilometre Array will go online in Australia. It will constitute the largest and most powerful low-frequency radio-astronomical observatory to date, and will facilitate a rich science programme in astronomy and astrophysics. With modest engineering changes, it will also be able to measure cosmic rays via the radio emission from extensive air showers. The extreme antenna density and the homogeneous coverage provided by more than 60,000 antennas within an area of one km 2 will push radio detection of cosmic rays in the energy range around 10 17 eV to ultimate precision, with superior capabilities in the reconstruction of arrival direction, energy, and an expected depth-of-shower-maximum resolution of < 10 g/cm 2