L'onze de setembre de 1714 en la cultura catalanista del segle XIX

El autor expone que algunos de los grandes acontecimientos de la historia moderna de Cataluña no pueden ser tratados como simples mitos creados por los historiadores, sino que constituyen hechos históricos que fueron referentes políticos fundamentales mucho antes de haber sido tratados en algún libro de historia.L'autor exposa que alguns dels grans esdeveniments de la histbria moderna de Catalunya no poden ser considerats simples mites creats pels historiadors; sinó que s6n fets histbrics que foren referents polítics fonamentals molt abans d'haver estat tractats en cap llibre d'historia.The author explains that some of the most importants events of Catalonia's early modern history can't be treated as simples mythes make by historians because they are facts that were fundamental politic referents much more early before they appeared in books of history

Economia i pensament econòmic a la Catalunya de l'alta edat moderna (1520-1630)

Consultable des del TDXTítol obtingut de la portada digitalitzadaLa tesis doctoral d'Oriol Junqueras Vies analitza el naixement del pensament econòmic «modern» en el Mediterrani occidental. L'estudi estableix els paral·lelismes oportuns amb el pensament anglès i castellà de les primeres dècades del segle XVII.La tesis doctoral de Oriol Junqueras Vies analiza el nacimiento del pensamiento económico «moderno» en el Mediterráneo occidental. La investigación establece los oportunos paralelismos con el pensamiento inglés y castellano en las primeras décadas del siglo XVII.Oriol Junqueras Vies's doctoral thesis analyses the birth of the modern economic thought in western Mediterranean territories. The author studies the paralelisms with the Spanish and English thought in the first decades of the 17th century

Peramalan Harga Saham Perbankan Menggunakan Model VAR dan Analisis Teknikal

Saham perbankan seringkali menjadi rekomendasi para analis saham karena dianggap sebagai cerminan ekonomi tanah air. Kapitalisasi pasarnya yang besar, yaitu mencapai 57,23% dari 10 emiten terbesar di BEI menjadi daya tarik investor saham untuk berinvestasi sesuai dengan tujuannya. Saham perusahaan perbankan yang tercatat pada Bursa Efek Indonesia sebanyak 45 perusahaan, beberapa di antaranya adalah PT Bank Central Asia Tbk, PT Bank Mandiri Tbk, dan Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk. Ketiga bank tersebut memiliki total asset dengan rentang yang tidak terlalu jauh sehingga dapat dibandingkan untuk dijadikan rekomendasi kepada investor. Peramalan harga saham dapat diramalkan menggunakan metode multivariate time series dengan model VAR (Vector Autoregressive), sedangkan tren harga saham dapat diketahui dengan analisis teknikal. Model peramalan yang didapatkan untuk ketiga bank yaitu VARI ([1, 3],1) dengan hasil peramalan pada bulan April cenderung konstan. The primary trend ketiga saham cenderung uptrend, sedangkan the secondary trend dan the minor trend cenderung downtrend dan sideways

Prosodisk demarkering og domæneinitial styrkelse i dansk

In this study we investigate prosodically conditioned strengthening of the Danish [s] by analyzing its spectral composition and duration across different phonological domains in eighteen different positions. We do so by performing acoustic analyses of [s] in a series of utterances with the same prosodic skeleton, varying /s/’ position. Three prosodic domains and three positions were considered: Utterance, prosodic phrase and stress group along with the initial, medial and final positions. Spectral peak, center of gravity, variance, slope and duration of each segment were measured. We found no sign of cumulative effects of the height of the prosodic domain, but we did find an effect of stress: [s] exhibits significantly higher values regarding all the analyzed spectral properties in the initial position compared with the final position. In regard to the duration, we also found a final lengthening on the two higher domains, reversing the pattern of the stress group. In addition to these findings, our results indicate that the conjunction og ‘and’ in Danish phonologically procliticizes to the following prosodic word, causing final lengthening of the preceding segment.In this study we investigate prosodically conditioned strengthening of the Danish [s] by analyzing its spectral composition and duration across different phonological domains in eighteen different positions. We do so by performing acoustic analyses of [s] in a series of utterances with the same prosodic skeleton, varying /s/’ position. Three prosodic domains and three positions were considered: Utterance, prosodic phrase and stress group along with the initial, medial and final positions. Spectral peak, center of gravity, variance, slope and duration of each segment were measured. We found no sign of cumulative effects of the height of the prosodic domain, but we did find an effect of stress: [s] exhibits significantly higher values regarding all the analyzed spectral properties in the initial position compared with the final position. In regard to the duration, we also found a final lengthening on the two higher domains, reversing the pattern of the stress group. In addition to these findings, our results indicate that the conjunction og ‘and’ in Danish phonologically procliticizes to the following prosodic word, causing final lengthening of the preceding segment

MENINGKATKAN KREATIVITAS SISWA DALAM PEMBELAJARAN SEJARAH MENGGUNAKAN MODEL PEMBELAJARAN PROJECT BASED LEARNING BERBASIS VIDEO BLOG (VLOG) : Penelitian Tindakan Kelas di Kelas X IPS 1 SMA YAS Bandung

Penelitian ini berjudul “Meningkatkan Kreativitas Siswa dalam Pembelajaran Sejarah menggunakan Model Pembelajaran Project Based Learning berbasis Video Blog (vlog)” Penelitian ini dilatarbelakangi dengan temuan kondisi dilapangan yang menunjukan kurangnya minat peserta didik akan pembelajaran sejarah karena dirasa tidak menarik dan tidak menantang kreativitas siswa. Hal tersebut dapat terlihat berdasarkan hasil wawancara dan secara langsung pada saat proses belajar mengajar berlangsung, sangat jelas terlihat kegiatan peserta didik yang tidak menunukan rasa tertarik pada saat pembelajaran sejarah berlangsung dan siswa merasa bosan dengan model pembelajaran yang hanya memfokuskan siswa pada kegiatan mengingat tanggal dan tahun. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mendeskripsikan perencanaan penggunaan model pembelajaran project based learning berbasis vlog atau video blog, memaparkan peningkatan kreativitas siswa setelah dilakukan kegiatan pembelajaran project based learning berbasis vlog, serta memperoleh gambaran tentang upaya yang dilakukan peneliti dalam pelakasanaan pembelajaran project based learning berbasis vlog untuk meningkatkan kreativitas siswa dalam pembelajaran sejarah. Dengan demikian metode penelitian yang digunakan penulis adalah metode penelitian tindakan kelas yang dikembangkan oleh Kemmis dan McTaggart , dengan tahapan yang dimulai dari perencanaan, pelaksanaan, observasi, dan refleksi. Teknik pengumpulan data yang digunakan adalah wawancara, observasi, dan studi dokumentasi. Selanjutnya, alat pengumpulan data yang digunakan adalah pedoman observasi, pedoman wawancara, dan juga catatan lapangan. Berdasarkan inidikator kreativitas yaitu keluwesan, kelancaran, orisinilitas, dan elaborasi dapat terlihat adanya peningkatan kreativitas siswa. Berdasarkan hasil penelitian, dengan penggunaan model pembelajaran project based learning berbasis vlog dapat menjadi solusi untuk meningkatkan kreativitas siswa dalam pembelajaran sejarah di kelas X IPS 1 SMA YAS Bandung. Kata Kunci : Kreativitas, vlog, pembelajaran sejarah ABSTRACT The title of this research is "Improving Student Creativity in Learning History using Project Based Learning Learning Model based on Video Blog (vlog)" This research is motivated by the findings of conditions in the field that show the lack of interest of students in learning history because it is not attractive and does not challenge students' creativity. It can be seen based on the results of the interview and directly when the teaching and learning process takes place, it is very clear that the activities of students who do not find interest when history learning takes place and students feel bored with learning models that only focus students on activities remembering dates and years . This study aims to describe the planning of using a vlog or video blog based project based learning model, describing the increase in student creativity after vlog-based project based learning learning activities, and obtain an overview of the efforts made by researchers in implementing vlog-based project-based learning to improve student creativity in learning history. Thus the research method used by the writer is a class action research method developed by Kemmis and McTaggart, with stages starting from planning, implementation, observation, and reflection. Data collection techniques used were interviews, observation, and documentation studies. Furthermore, the data collection tools used are observation guidelines, interview guidelines, and also field notes. Based on the indicators of creativity, namely flexibility, fluency, originality, and elaboration can be seen an increase in student creativity. Based on the results of the study, using the vlog-based project based learning model can be a solution to enhance students' creativity in learning history in class X IPS 1 at YAS Bandung High School. Keywords: Creativity, vlog, history lesso

I begyndelsen af ordet: Konsonantklynger i moderne hebraisk

The elision of the vowel shewa (ᵊ) has resulted in the emergence of consonant clusters in Modern Hebrew. Clusters in native words are extremely limited in distribution. The consonants of some surface clusters undisputedly belong to the same underlying syllable while others appear to underlyingly belong to two syllables. The question is thus whether those surface clusters are underlying clusters or mere surface phenomena.By asking speakers of Hebrew how they would syllabify words with initial consonant clusters, I have found that some Hebrew speakers show a tendency to break up the clusters. This is particularly clear in monosyllabic words, where the majority of my informants break up the cluster.This suggests that for some Hebrew speakers, consonant clusters are disallowed at a certain level of phonological abstraction. Therefore, I propose that consonant clusters belong to the phonotactics of the prosodic word, not the syllable, and that the first segment in surface clusters be analyzed as extrasyllabic.The elision of the vowel shewa (ᵊ) has resulted in the emergence of consonant clusters in Modern Hebrew. Clusters in native words are extremely limited in distribution. The consonants of some surface clusters undisputedly belong to the same underlying syllable while others appear to underlyingly belong to two syllables. The question is thus whether those surface clusters are underlying clusters or mere surface phenomena.By asking speakers of Hebrew how they would syllabify words with initial consonant clusters, I have found that some Hebrew speakers show a tendency to break up the clusters. This is particularly clear in monosyllabic words, where the majority of my informants break up the cluster.This suggests that for some Hebrew speakers, consonant clusters are disallowed at a certain level of phonological abstraction. Therefore, I propose that consonant clusters belong to the phonotactics of the prosodic word, not the syllable, and that the first segment in surface clusters be analyzed as extrasyllabic

PENGARUH PENGGUNAAN MEDIA PEMBELAJARAN AUGMENTED REALITY (AR) TERHADAP KETERAMPILAN BERPIKIR KREATIF DAN KESADARAN SEJARAH SISWA: Penelitian Kuasi Eksperimen di Kelas X SMA Negeri 10 Bandung

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengeksplorasi potensi penggunaan media pembelajaran augmented reality (AR) dalam konteks pembelajaran sejarah dengan fokus pada pengembangan keterampilan berpikir kreatif dan peningkatan kesadaran sejarah siswa. Berdasarkan latar belakang tersebut, dibuatlah penelitian dengan judul "Pengaruh Penggunaan Media Pembelajaran Augmented Reality (AR) Terhadap Keterampilan Berpikir Kreatif dan Kesadaran Sejarah Siswa". Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan eksperimen semu dengan desain kelompok kontrol pre-test dan post-test. Adapun populasi dan sampel penelitian yang dipilih dalam penelitian ini adalah SMA Negeri 10 Bandung, kelas X-7 dan X-11 sebagai kelas eksperimen dan kelas X-10 sebagai kelas kontrol. Data keterampilan berpikir kreatif dan kesadaran sejarah siswa dikumpulkan melalui instrumen angket yang telah diuji validitas dan reliabilitasnya. Hasil analisis data menunjukkan bahwa (1) Terlihat perbedaan yang signifikan dengan kelas kontrol menunjukkan nilai test statistic sebesar 0,119 dan p-value (Asymp. Sig.) sebesar 0,200, maka hipotesis 1 diterima dengan hasil penggunaan media pembelajaran berbasis AR berpengaruh terhadap kemampuan berpikir kreatif siswa. (2) Hipotesis diterima dengan hasil p-value yang diperoleh (0,200 dan 0,132) lebih kecil dari α = 0,05. Maka penggunaan media pembelajaran berbasis AR berpengaruh terhadap kesadaran sejarah siswa walaupun indikator kesadaran sejarah memiliki N-Gain yang rendah dibandingkan dengan indikator lainnya (3) Hasil evaluasi menggunakan uji T-Test antara Post Test kelompok Kelas Eksperimen pada Indikator Kreativitas dan Indikator Kesadaran Sejarah menunjukkan perbedaan yang signifikan antara dua kelompok tersebut. Temuan ini mengindikasikan bahwa terdapat perbedaan yang signifikan antara dua kelompok eksperimen yang menerapkan media pembelajaran berbasis AR, dalam aspek kemampuan berpikir kreatif maupun kesadaran sejarah siswa dibandingkan dengan kelompok kontrol. Kata Kunci : Augmented Reality. Pembelajaran Sejarah, Berpikir Kreatif, dan Kesadaran Sejarah This research aims to explore the potential use of augmented reality (AR) learning media in the context of history education, with a focus on developing students' creative thinking skills and increasing their historical awareness. Based on this background, a study titled "The Influence of Augmented Reality (AR) Learning Media on Students' Creative Thinking Skills and Historical Awareness" was conducted. This research utilized a quasi-experimental approach with a pre-test and post-test control group design. The population and sample for this study were selected from SMA Negeri 10 Bandung, with classes X-7 and X-11 as the experimental groups and class X-10 as the control group. Data on students' creative thinking skills and historical awareness were collected through a questionnaire that had been tested for validity and reliability. The data analysis results indicate that: (1) There is a significant difference between the control group and the experimental group, with a test statistic value of 0.119 and a p-value (Asymp. Sig.) of 0.200. Therefore, hypothesis 1 is accepted, showing that the use of AR-based learning media has an impact on students' creative thinking abilities. (2) The hypothesis is accepted with p-values obtained (0.200 and 0.132) being smaller than α = 0.05. Thus, the use of AR-based learning media has an effect on students' historical awareness, even though the historical awareness indicator has a lower N-Gain compared to other indicators. (3) Evaluation results using a T-Test between the Post Test scores of the Experimental Group on the Creativity Indicator and the Historical Awareness Indicator show a significant difference between the two groups. These findings indicate that there is a significant difference between the two experimental groups that used AR-based learning media in terms of students' creative thinking abilities and historical awareness compared to the control group. Keywords: Augmented Reality, History Learning, Creative Thinking, Historical Awarenes

Hospitalization costs for heart failure in people with type 2 diabetes: Cost-effectiveness of its prevention measured by a simulated preventive treatment

Objectives: To estimate the cost-consequence of interventions to prevent hospitalizations for heart failure (HF) in people with type 2 diabetes. Methods: In HF events (63) from type 2 diabetes-related hospitalizations (N = 462) recorded in an Argentine hospital (March 2004April 2005), we verified 1) the presence of one metabolic HF predictor (glycosylated hemoglobin [HbA1c] value) before hospitalization; and 2) in a simulation model, the resources needed for its prevention controlling such predictor during 6 months before and after the event. Sensitivity analysis of HF risk reduction, hospitalization cost, and cost of different treatments to achieve HbA1c 7% or less was performed with a Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations). Results: HF represented 14% of hospitalizations, with a 44% rehospitalization rate for the same cause. Due to the total estimated cost for an HF hospitalization event was $437.31, the prevention attained using our simulated treatment was$2326.51. The number needed to treat to prevent an HF event under any of the proposed alternatives to reduce HbA1c would be 3.57 (95% confidence interval 2.0016.67). The additional cost of the simulated treatment versus the real one oscillates between $6423.91 and$8455.68. Conclusions: HbA1c control to reduce the number of HF events would be economically beneficial for health care payers.Centro de Endocrinología Experimental y Aplicad

Hospitalization costs for heart failure in people with type 2 diabetes: Cost-effectiveness of its prevention measured by a simulated preventive treatment

Objectives: To estimate the cost-consequence of interventions to prevent hospitalizations for heart failure (HF) in people with type 2 diabetes. Methods: In HF events (63) from type 2 diabetes-related hospitalizations (N = 462) recorded in an Argentine hospital (March 2004April 2005), we verified 1) the presence of one metabolic HF predictor (glycosylated hemoglobin [HbA1c] value) before hospitalization; and 2) in a simulation model, the resources needed for its prevention controlling such predictor during 6 months before and after the event. Sensitivity analysis of HF risk reduction, hospitalization cost, and cost of different treatments to achieve HbA1c 7% or less was performed with a Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations). Results: HF represented 14% of hospitalizations, with a 44% rehospitalization rate for the same cause. Due to the total estimated cost for an HF hospitalization event was $437.31, the prevention attained using our simulated treatment was$2326.51. The number needed to treat to prevent an HF event under any of the proposed alternatives to reduce HbA1c would be 3.57 (95% confidence interval 2.0016.67). The additional cost of the simulated treatment versus the real one oscillates between $6423.91 and$8455.68. Conclusions: HbA1c control to reduce the number of HF events would be economically beneficial for health care payers.Centro de Endocrinología Experimental y Aplicad