Strategies for COVID-19 Pandemic Recovery. Applying Engineering Asset Management Principles

Versión preprint permitida por el editor Elsevier para subir a repositorios: http://sherpa.ac.uk/romeo/issn/2468-2667/es/Current COVID-19 pandemic available data for Spain, Andalusia an its eight provinces have been analyzed. Utilizing a model recently published to predict pandemic behavior, confinement measures and their economic impact are analyzed. Applying principles for effective and efficient management of engineering assets, decision-making implications of establishing confinement at national, regional or local (province) level are analyzed. The quarantine time is formulated as a function of the delay in taking confinement measures in the territories. The delay is measured in time since the free expansion in the territory is observed. Results discussions and analysis help to formulate a recommended strategy that is presented in the paper. We aim for: (i) design action plans by local level but(ii) controlled centralized by a unique decisionmaking center considering by country. Benefits of that strategy are measured in quarantine times beside GDP loss toll recovery. The strategy would be even more convenient when tackling with successive waves of the pandemic, requesting immediate action on local relapse

A COVID-19 Recovery Strategy Based on the Health System Capacity Modeling. Implications on Citizen Self-management

Versión preprint depositada sin articulo publicado dada la actualidad del tema. *Solicitud de los autoresConfinement ends, and recovery phase should be accurate planned. Health System (HS) capacity, specially ICUs and plants capacity and availability, will remain the key stone in this new Covid-19 pandemic life cycle phase. Until massive vaccination programs will be a real option (vaccine developed, world wield production capacity and effective and efficient administration process), date that will mark recovery phase end, important decisions should be taken. Not only by authorities. Citizen self-management and organizations self-management will be crucial. This means: citizen and organizations day a day decision in order to control their own risks (infecting others and being infected). This paper proposes a management tool that is based on a ICUs and plants capacity model. Principal outputs of this tool are, by sequential order and by last best data available: (i) ICUs and plants saturation estimation data (according to incoming rate of patients), (ii) with this results new local and temporal confinement measure can be planned and also a dynamic analysis can be done to estimate maximum Ro saturation scenarios, and finally (iii) provide citizen with clear and accurate data allow them adapting their behavior to authorities’ previous recommendations. One common objective: to accelerate as much as possible socioeconomic normalization with a strict control over HS relapses risk

Understanding R-based planning decisions and control for COVID-19 recovery

A strategy is a high level plan to achieve one or more goals under conditions of uncertainty, it is about reaching desirable ends with available means. In this paper practical management tools to tackle the deconfinement strategy design problem are presented. But strategy is not only about design, it has much to do with implementation too. A proper control system to follow the course of action, especially in a scenario with unprecedent uncertainty, is developed. This is considered a must to launch strategy implementation. In the paper, it is remarked the importance of R, first as a variable to monitor and control the pandemic, to ensure its decline; second as a target to score risks associated to start certain activities over, after confinement. Reducing the potential increase in the value of R, when any type of activity is re-opening, guides the strategy. In terms of control, the paper benefits of up-to-date developments within the field of predictive maintenance (PdM). The emergence of predictive analytics and the introduction of prognosis interpretation rules can be very valuable now, when you need to take decisions based on data and predictions. A novel and innovative way to structure the data model required for such a control system is presented in the paper. Whatever actions are taken as appropriate will impact the economy in the shortmidterm, and understanding the extent of that impact by economic sector and time scale is rather interesting. This paper also provides an answer to this concern. With this paper, SIM research group ends a trilogy related to Covid 19 pandemic management analysis. Our aim has been always to put our best skills and our experience to serve our communities when facing this unprecedent situation

Clay wraps : containers

The thesis consists of eleven ceramic sculptures. The thesis was exhibited in the Weatherspoon Art Gallery of the University of North Carolina at Greensboro from April 24 through May 15, 1977. A 35 mm color transparency of each work is on file at the Walter C. Jackson Library of the University of North Carolina at Greensboro

Analysis of tourism in Campania as a tool for the development of high-quality cultural services for sightseers: The “Reale Osservatorio Vesuviano” case history

The purpose of this work is to identify the guidelines for the development and diversification of the cultural touristic offer achievable at the Reale Osservatorio Vesuviano (ROV). Founded in 1841, it is the oldest volcano observatory in the world and it has always had the vocation for scientific-naturalistic and formative tourism. The present study investigates the connections between the sociology of tourism and the ROV’s sustainability and competitiveness as a tourist destination. Here it is performed a study of the tourist flow, based on the sociology of tourism and on the correct processing of data sets, distinguishing the ''statistical information on tourism" from "tourism statistics", as such a study is the basis of a proper market strategy in different sectors. Tourism remains, in fact, an important phenomenon in world economy: despite the economic crisis of recent years, international tourist arrivals show a positive development of the trend in all the major sub-areas into which the large international areas are traditionally divided. The principles for a future marketing plan were outlined after collecting all the relevant information. The plan was designed to enhance the overall touristic offer of the ROV, never ceasing to consider the integration of natural-scientific aspects and cultural events to be offered within the observatory itself

Rural Change in Europe : Research Programme on Farm Structures and Pluriactivity; Spain: Baseline Data, 1987

Abstract copyright UK Data Service and data collection copyright owner.This study sought to reflect the diversity of rural contexts and farm structure across Western Europe. It consists of two surveys - the baseline survey and the final survey. The baseline survey, conducted in 1987, covered basic conditions, work and income patterns of farm households in different socio-economic situations in Europe with a view to further investigation over the next three years of the reasons, extent and effects of change experienced by some of them at farm, local, regional and national levels with special reference to multiple job-holding. The final survey was carried out in 1991. The baseline survey data are held as separate study numbers for each country (see list of constituent studies). The dataset containing the merged data of the baseline and final surveys for all countries is held as SN:2973.Main Topics:Farm size and tenure; agricultural production and livestock; farm buildings and machinery; finance and income. Residence. Household members and farm work forces; agricultural and farm-based activities; off-farm activities

Contextual differences in the interpretation of thermal perception scales – the data base from a large-scale international questionnaire study

Within the IEA EBC Annex 69 on Strategy and Practice of Adaptive Thermal Comfort in Low Energy Buildings (http://annex69.org/), we are conducting an international questionnaire study related to thermal comfort scales. Our objective is the analysis of influences on the perception of thermal comfort scales. In particular, we are looking at the effect of the current thermal state, peoples climatic background, and level of adaptation on the relationship between thermal sensation, thermal comfort, and thermal acceptance

Contextual differences in the interpretation of thermal perception scales – a large-scale international questionnaire study

Within the IEA EBC Annex 69 on Strategy and Practice of Adaptive Thermal Comfort in Low Energy Buildings (http://annex69.org/), we are conducting an international questionnaire study related to thermal comfort scales. Our objective is the analysis of influences on the perception of thermal comfort scales. In particular, we are looking at the effect of the current thermal state, peoples climatic background, and level of adaptation on the relationship between thermal sensation, thermal comfort, and thermal acceptance

Understanding the relationship between biomass production and water use of Populus tomentosa trees throughout an entire short-rotation

Understanding the relationship between tree production and water use, as well as the main environmental and plant-related drivers of water use, is crucial for the establishment of production prediction models and reliable water management under current and future climatic conditions. However, the relation between tree water use and biomass production has never been assessed throughout the entire life-cycle of a poplar rotation; nor have detailed investigations been reported on how poplar transpiration and its regulation change inter-annually. Therefore, we studied the relationship between transpiration ( E ) and aboveground biomass (ABM), as well as the main drivers of E , in a plantation established on the North China Plain, with 2- to 5-year-old (2016 to 2019) Populus tomentosa trees under three water treatments. Our results indicated that ABM increase depended on annually accumulated E and that their relationship can be fitted with a logistic curve for the entire life cycle ( R 2 > 0.89). Throughout the whole rotation period, compared with non-irrigated trees, full irrigation trees produced 59% more biomass with only 12% more E , while deficit irrigation trees attained 46% more biomass with 32% more E . The daily E had a strong exponential relationship with vapor pressure deficit ( D ) during years 3-5 of their growth cycle, which the asymptote of this relationship increasing with tree age (1.6 kPa (2017), 2 kPa (2018), 2.5 kPa (2019)). The E was also strongly linearly correlated to solar radiation ( R s ) for each year although with slightly weaker relationships than for D . Similar to other poplar clones, P. tomentosa showed effective stomatal control on E . However, soil water content had almost no effect, for all treatments, no matter which soil layer was considered. Finally, our research quantified the relationship between tree production and water use throughout the rotation. We also confirmed that D and R s are indeed the major drivers of transpiration during the growing season as well as during drought in this semi-humid boreal region. Our findings should enable a better understanding of the water-use strategies of poplars in the North China Plain and will help sustainably manage plantations in water-scarce regions around the world under changing environmental conditions