The impact of the state of the troposphere on the response to stratospheric heating in a simplified GCM

Previous studies have made use of simplified general circulation models (sGCMs) to investigate the atmospheric response to various forcings. In particular, several studies have investigated the tropospheric response to changes in stratospheric temperature. This is potentially relevant for many climate forcings. Here the impact of changing the tropospheric climatology on the modeled response to perturbations in stratospheric temperature is investigated by the introduction of topography into the model and altering the tropospheric jet structure. The results highlight the need for very long integrations so as to determine accurately the magnitude of response. It is found that introducing topography into the model and thus removing the zonally symmetric nature of the model’s boundary conditions reduces the magnitude of response to stratospheric heating. However, this reduction is of comparable size to the variability in the magnitude of response between different ensemble members of the same 5000-day experiment. Investigations into the impact of varying tropospheric jet structure reveal a trend with lower-latitude/narrower jets having a much larger magnitude response to stratospheric heating than higher-latitude/wider jets. The jet structures that respond more strongly to stratospheric heating also exhibit longer time scale variability in their control run simulations, consistent with the idea that a feedback between the eddies and the mean flow is both responsible for the persistence of the control run variability and important in producing the tropospheric response to stratospheric temperature perturbations

Eliciting harms data from trial participants: how perceptions of illness and treatment mediate recognition of relevant information to report

Background: There is no consensus on the ideal methodology for eliciting participant-reported harms, but question methods influence the extent and nature of data detected. This gives potential for measurement error and undermines meta-analyses of adverse effects. We undertook to identify barriers to accurate and complete reporting of harms data, by qualitatively exploring participants’ experiences of illness and treatment, and reporting behaviours; and compared the number and nature of data detected by three enquiry methods. Methods: Participants within antiretroviral/antimalarial interaction trials in South Africa and Tanzania were asked about medical history, treatments and/or adverse events by general enquiries followed by checklists. Those reporting differently between these two question methods were invited to an in-depth interview and focus group discussion. Health narratives were analysed to investigate accuracy and completeness of case record form data and to understand reasons for differential reporting between question methods. Outcomes were the number and nature of data by question method, themes from qualitative analyses and a theoretical interpretation of participants’ experiences. Results: We observed a cumulative increase in sensitivity of detection of all types of reports while progressing from general enquiry, through checklist, to in-depth interview. Questioning detail and terminology influenced participants’ recognition of health issues and treatments. Reporting patterns and vocabulary suggest influence from the relative importance that illnesses and treatments have for participants. Perceptions were often dichotomised (e.g. ‘street’ versus clinic treatments, symptoms experienced versus tests and examinations performed, chronic versus acute illness, persistent versus intermittent symptoms, activity- versus malaria-related symptoms) and this differentiation extended to ideas of relevance to report. South African participants displayed a ‘trial citizenship’, taking responsibility for the impact of their reporting on trial results, and even reaching reporting decisions by consensus. In contrast, Tanzanians perceived their role more as patients than participants; the locus of responsibility for knowing information relevant to the trial fell with trial staff as doctors rather than with themselves. Conclusions: Our observations of how reporting relates to participant perceptions inside and outside trials could help optimise how harms data are elicited. Questions reflecting the different ways that biomedically defined illness and treatment data are perceived by participants may help them understand relevance for reporting. We will theorise how these two disparate trial environments may have influenced how participants understood their role, as this could help researchers achieve empowered participation in similar trials

Using mobile sensing data to assess stress: Associations with perceived and lifetime stress, mental health, sleep, and inflammation

Background Although stress is a risk factor for mental and physical health problems, it can be difficult to assess, especially on a continual, non-invasive basis. Mobile sensing data, which are continuously collected from naturalistic smartphone use, may estimate exposure to acute and chronic stressors that have health-damaging effects. This initial validation study validated a mobile-sensing collection tool against assessments of perceived and lifetime stress, mental health, sleep duration, and inflammation. Methods Participants were 25 well-characterized healthy young adults (Mage = 20.64 years, SD = 2.74; 13 men, 12 women). We collected affective text language use with a custom smartphone keyboard. We assessed participants’ perceived and lifetime stress, depression and anxiety levels, sleep duration, and basal inflammatory activity (i.e. salivary C-reactive protein and interleukin-1β). Results Three measures of affective language (i.e. total positive words, total negative words, and total affective words) were strongly associated with lifetime stress exposure, and total negative words typed was related to fewer hours slept (all large effect sizes: r = 0.50 – 0.78). Total positive words, total negative words, and total affective words typed were also associated with higher perceived stress and lower salivary C-reactive protein levels (medium effect sizes; r = 0.22 – 0.32). Conclusions Data from this initial longitudinal validation study suggest that total and affective text use may be useful mobile sensing measures insofar as they are associated with several other stress, mental health, behavioral, and biological outcomes. This tool may thus help identify individuals at increased risk for stress-related health problems

Straight and Divergent Pathways to Cognitive State: Seven Decades of Follow-Up in the British 1946 Birth Cohort

BACKGROUND: Using the British 1946 birth cohort we previously estimated life course paths to the Addenbrooke's Cognitive Examination (ACE-III). OBJECTIVE: We now compared those whose ACE-III scores were expected, worse and better than predicted from the path model on a range of independent variables including clinical ratings of cognitive impairment and neuroimaging measures. METHODS: Predicted ACE-III scores were categorized into three groups: those with Expected (between -1.5 and 1.5 standard deviation; SD); Worse (1.5 SD) scores. Differences in the independent variables were then tested between these three groups. RESULTS: Compared with the Expected group, those in the Worse group showed independent evidence of progressive cognitive impairment: faster memory decline, more self-reported memory difficulties, more functional difficulties, greater likelihood of being independently rated by experienced specialist clinicians as having a progressive cognitive impairment, and a cortical thinning pattern suggestive of preclinical Alzheimer's disease. Those in the Better group showed slower verbal memory decline and absence of independently rated progressive cognitive impairment compared to the Expected group, but no differences in any of the other independent variables including the neuroimaging variables. CONCLUSION: The residual approach shows that life course features can map directly to clinical diagnoses. One future challenge is to translate this into a readily usable algorithm to identify high-risk individuals in preclinical state, when preventive strategies and therapeutic interventions may be most effective

Comparative Field Evaluation of Combinations of Long-Lasting Insecticide Treated Nets and Indoor Residual Spraying, Relative to Either Method Alone, for Malaria Prevention in an Area where the main Vector is Anopheles Arabiensis.

Long-lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs) and indoor residual spraying (IRS) are commonly used together in the same households to improve malaria control despite inconsistent evidence on whether such combinations actually offer better protection than nets alone or IRS alone. Comparative tests were conducted using experimental huts fitted with LLINs, untreated nets, IRS plus untreated nets, or combinations of LLINs and IRS, in an area where Anopheles arabiensis is the predominant malaria vector species. Three LLIN types, Olyset®, PermaNet 2.0® and Icon Life® nets and three IRS treatments, pirimiphos-methyl, DDT, and lambda cyhalothrin, were used singly or in combinations. We compared, number of mosquitoes entering huts, proportion and number killed, proportions prevented from blood-feeding, time when mosquitoes exited the huts, and proportions caught exiting. The tests were done for four months in dry season and another six months in wet season, each time using new intact nets. All the net types, used with or without IRS, prevented >99% of indoor mosquito bites. Adding PermaNet 2.0® and Icon Life®, but not Olyset® nets into huts with any IRS increased mortality of malaria vectors relative to IRS alone. However, of all IRS treatments, only pirimiphos-methyl significantly increased vector mortality relative to LLINs alone, though this increase was modest. Overall, median mortality of An. arabiensis caught in huts with any of the treatments did not exceed 29%. No treatment reduced entry of the vectors into huts, except for marginal reductions due to PermaNet 2.0® nets and DDT. More than 95% of all mosquitoes were caught in exit traps rather than inside huts. Where the main malaria vector is An. arabiensis, adding IRS into houses with intact pyrethroid LLINs does not enhance house-hold level protection except where the IRS employs non-pyrethroid insecticides such as pirimiphos-methyl, which can confer modest enhancements. In contrast, adding intact bednets onto IRS enhances protection by preventing mosquito blood-feeding (even if the nets are non-insecticidal) and by slightly increasing mosquito mortality (in case of LLINs). The primary mode of action of intact LLINs against An. arabiensis is clearly bite prevention rather than insecticidal activity. Therefore, where resources are limited, priority should be to ensure that everyone at risk consistently uses LLINs and that the nets are regularly replaced before being excessively torn. Measures that maximize bite prevention (e.g. proper net sizes to effectively cover sleeping spaces, stronger net fibres that resist tears and burns and net use practices that preserve net longevity), should be emphasized

Neuroimaging, clinical and life course correlates of normal-appearing white matter integrity in 70-year-olds

We investigate associations between normal-appearing white matter (NAWM) microstructural integrity in cognitively normal ∼70-year-olds and concurrently measured brain health and cognition, demographics, genetics and life course cardiovascular health. Participants born in the same week in March 1946 (British 1946 Birth cohort) underwent PET-MRI around age 70. Mean standardized NAWM integrity metrics (fractional anisotropy (FA), mean diffusivity (MD), neurite density index (NDI) and orientation dispersion index (ODI)) were derived from diffusion MRI. Linear regression was used to test associations between NAWM metrics and (1) concurrent measures, including whole brain volume, white matter hyperintensity volume (WMHV), PET amyloid and cognition; (2) the influence of demographic and genetic predictors, including sex, childhood cognition, education, socioeconomic position, and genetic risk for Alzheimer’s Disease (APOE-ε4); (3) systolic and diastolic blood pressure and cardiovascular health (FHS-CVS) across adulthood. Sex interactions were tested. Statistical significance included false discovery rate correction (5%). 362 participants met inclusion criteria (mean age 70 years, 49% female). Higher WMHV was associated with lower FA (b=-0.09 [95%CI:-0.11, -0.06] p<0.01), NDI (b=-0.17 [-0.22, -0.12] p<0.01), and higher MD (b=0.14 [-0.10, -0.17] p<0.01); amyloid (in men) was associated with lower FA (b=-0.04 [-0.08, -0.01] p=0.03) and higher MD (b=0.06 [0.01,0.11] p=0.02). FHS-CVS in later-life (age 69) was associated with NAWM [lower FA (b=-0.06 [-0.09, -0.02] p<0.01), NDI (b=-0.10 [-0.17, -0.03] p<0.01), and higher MD (b=0.09 [0.04,0.14] p<0.01). Significant sex interactions (p<0.05) emerged for midlife cardiovascular health (age 53) and NAWM at 70: marginal effect plots demonstrated, in women only, NAWM was associated with higher midlife FHS-CVS (lower FA and NDI), midlife systolic (lower FA, NDI, and higher MD), and diastolic (lower FA and NDI) blood pressure, and greater blood pressure change between 43 and 53 years (lower FA and NDI), independently of WMHV. In summary, poorer NAWM microstructural integrity in ∼70-year-olds was associated with measures of cerebral small vessel disease, amyloid (in males) and later-life cardiovascular health, demonstrating how NAWM can provide additional information to overt white matter disease. Our findings further show that greater midlife cardiovascular risk and higher blood pressure were associated with poorer NAWM microstructural integrity in females only, suggesting that women’s brains may be more susceptible to the effects of midlife blood pressure and cardiovascular health

The effect of graphite and carbon black ratios on conductive ink performance

Conductive inks based on graphite and carbon black are used in a host of applications including energy storage, energy harvesting, electrochemical sensors and printed heaters. This requires accurate control of electrical properties tailored to the application; ink formulation is a fundamental element of this. Data on how formulation relates to properties have tended to apply to only single types of conductor at any time, with data on mixed types of carbon only empirical thus far. Therefore, screen printable carbon inks with differing graphite, carbon black and vinyl polymer content were formulated and printed to establish the effect on rheology, deposition and conductivity. The study found that at a higher total carbon loading ink of 29.4% by mass, optimal conductivity (0.029 Ω cm) was achieved at a graphite to carbon black ratio of 2.6 to 1. For a lower total carbon loading (21.7 mass %), this ratio was reduced to 1.8 to 1. Formulation affected viscosity and hence ink transfer and also surface roughness due to retention of features from the screen printing mesh and the inherent roughness of the carbon components, as well as the ability of features to be reproduced consistently

Meta-analysis of Genome Wide Association Studies Identifies Genetic Markers of Late Toxicity Following Radiotherapy for Prostate Cancer.

Nearly 50% of cancer patients undergo radiotherapy. Late radiotherapy toxicity affects quality-of-life in long-term cancer survivors and risk of side-effects in a minority limits doses prescribed to the majority of patients. Development of a test predicting risk of toxicity could benefit many cancer patients. We aimed to meta-analyze individual level data from four genome-wide association studies from prostate cancer radiotherapy cohorts including 1564 men to identify genetic markers of toxicity. Prospectively assessed two-year toxicity endpoints (urinary frequency, decreased urine stream, rectal bleeding, overall toxicity) and single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) associations were tested using multivariable regression, adjusting for clinical and patient-related risk factors. A fixed-effects meta-analysis identified two SNPs: rs17599026 on 5q31.2 with urinary frequency (odds ratio [OR] 3.12, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.08-4.69, p-value 4.16×10(-8)) and rs7720298 on 5p15.2 with decreased urine stream (OR 2.71, 95% CI 1.90-3.86, p-value=3.21×10(-8)). These SNPs lie within genes that are expressed in tissues adversely affected by pelvic radiotherapy including bladder, kidney, rectum and small intestine. The results show that heterogeneous radiotherapy cohorts can be combined to identify new moderate-penetrance genetic variants associated with radiotherapy toxicity. The work provides a basis for larger collaborative efforts to identify enough variants for a future test involving polygenic risk profiling.This work was supported by Cancer Research UK (C1094/A11728 to CMLW and NGB for the RAPPER study, C26900/A8740 to GCB, and C8197/A10865 to AMD), the Royal College of Radiologists (C26900/ A8740 to GCB), the National Institute for Health Research (GCB; no grant number), Addenbrooke's Charitable Trust (GCB; no grant number), Institute of Cancer Research (National Institute for Health Research) Biomedical Research Centre (C46/A2131 to DPD and SG), the National Institute for Health Research Cambridge Biomedical Research Centre (NGB; no grant number), UK Medical Research Council (RG70550 to LD), the Joseph Mitchell Trust (AMD; no grant number), the Experimental Cancer Medicine Centre (CMLW; no grant number), Cancer Research UK Program grant Section of Radiotherapy (C33589/ A19727 to SLG), the United States National Institutes of Health (1R01CA134444 to BSR and HO, 2P30CA014520-34 to SB, and 1K07CA187546-01A1 to SLK), the American Cancer Society (RSGT-05- 200-01-CCE to BSR), the U.S. Department of Defense (PC074201 to BSR and HO), Mount Sinai Tisch Cancer Institute Developmental Fund Award (BSR; no grant number), the Instituto de Salud Carlos III (FIS PI10/00164 and PI13/02030 to AV and PI13/01136 to AC), Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional (FEDER 2007–2013 to AV and AC; no grant number), Instituto de Salud Carlos III (FIS PI10/00164 and PI13/ 02030 to AV and PI13/01136 to AC), Xunta de Galicia and the European Social Fund (POS-A/2013/034 to LF), and the Alberta Cancer Board Research Initiative Program (103.0393.71760001404 to MP). AMD receives support from the REQUITE study, which is funded by the European Union's Seventh Framework Programme for research, technological development and demonstration under grant agreement no. 601826. Laboratory infrastructure for the RAPPER study was funded by Cancer Research UK [C8197/A10123] and the Manchester Experimental Cancer Medicine Centre. The RAPPER cohort comprises individuals and data recruited into the RT01 and CHHiP UK radiotherapy trials. The RT01 trial was supported by the UK Medical Research Council. The CHHiP trial (CRUK/06/016) was supported by the Department of Health and Cancer Research UK (C8262/A7253); trial recruitment was facilitated within centers by the National Institute for Health Research Cancer Research Network. DPD and SLG acknowledge NHS funding to the NIHR Biomedical Research Centre at the Royal Marsden NHS Foundation Trust and Institute of Cancer Research.This is the final version of the article. It first appeared from Elsevier via http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ebiom.2016.07.02

Do adults with high functioning autism or Asperger Syndrome differ in empathy and emotion recognition?

The present study examined whether adults with high functioning autism (HFA) showed greater difficulties in (i) their self-reported ability to empathise with others and/or (ii) their ability to read mental states in others’ eyes than adults with Asperger syndrome (AS). The Empathy Quotient (EQ) and ‘Reading the Mind in the Eyes’ Test (Eyes Test) were compared in 43 adults with AS and 43 adults with HFA. No significant difference was observed on EQ score between groups, while adults with AS performed significantly better on the Eyes Test than those with HFA. This suggests that adults with HFA may need more support, particularly in mentalizing and complex emotion recognition, and raises questions about the existence of subgroups within autism spectrum conditions