On the forecast accuracy and consistency of exchange rate expectations: The Spanish PwC Survey

We examine the predictive ability and consistency properties of exchange rate expectations for the dollar/euro using a survey conducted in Spain by PwC among a panel of experts and entrepreneurs. Our results suggest that the PwC panel have some forecasting ability for time horizons from 3 to 9 months, although only for the 3-month ahead expectations we obtain marginal evidence of unbiasedness and efficiency in the forecasts. As for the consistency properties of the exchange rate expectations formation process, we find that survey participants form stabilising expectations in the short-run and destabilising expectations in the long- run and that the expectation formation process is closer to fundamentalists than chartists.Exchange rates, Forecasting; Expectations; Panel data; Econometric models

Reconstruccion de un sitio web llamado "Gestor"

67 p.Actualmente, se está inserto en un mundo muy dinámico, que se encuentra en constante cambio, por lo cual la información necesita ser rápidamente actualizada y modificada para que así pueda reflejar la actualidad, a un costo razonable. La utilización de Tecnologías de Información (TI) permite que se logre de mejor forma este objetivo, apoyando la misión de la empresa. Este informe se enmarca en el proyecto de memoria que se desarrollará durante este semestre, la construcción de un sitio autoadiministrable, cuya actualización pueda ser efectuada por los propios dueños del sitio. El proyecto operará sobre un sitio que aborda la gestión del conocimiento, llamado Gestor. Para realizar el proceso de modificación del sitio Web, se aplicará una metodología que guíe los pasos a seguir durante todo el proceso, la metodología del Proceso Unificado, que contiene un esquema detallado para el desarrollo y diseño de software. Como resultado del proyecto, se tendrá un respaldo estandarizado (metodología) del análisis de requerimientos, de las funciones y de los procesos que se llevan a cabo para el proceso de desarrollo de un sitio de administración dinámica. Esta información, es fundamental para efectuar cambios en el sitio de Gestor, desde el sistema actual, a uno nuevo, que entregue la posibilidad de información y publicación oportuna, ayudando a cumplir el objetivo del sitio

El cuidado con la vida

UNIFESP Departamento de EnfermagemUNIFESP, Depto. de EnfermagemSciEL

Metodología de investigación para enfermeras de un hospital universitario

This article discusses a descriptive-analytic study on research methodology education practices directed at nurse clinicians who work at a university hospital and aimed at acquiring scientific research competencies on the basis of discovery learning, tutorials and humanistic teaching strategies. Study participants were eighty-six nurses, 70 of whom concluded their projects. 28 of these resulted in scientific studies, most of which were experience reports, descriptive and exploratory investigations. According to the nurses, the program allowed them to acquire and apply their research know-how. They pointed out the lack of mastering scientific methodology and the limitations of administrative and work conditions at the institution as the main difficulties. Among the facilitators, they highlighted the importance of research to modify clinical practice, the publication of results and the collaboration for the maintenance of a research center. The study showed the need for a flexible planning of educational activities, permanent guidance and respect for the particularities of each nurse.Este artículo trata de una investigación descriptivo-analítica sobre prácticas educativas en metodología de investigación para enfermeras clínicas de un hospital universitario, con vistas a la adquisición de competencias en investigación científica, basada en el aprendizaje por descubrimiento, el tutoramiento y estrategias de enseñanza humanista. Participaron del programa 86 enfermeras, de las cuales 70 concluyeron sus proyectos. 28 de estos resultaron en trabajos científicos, en su mayoría relatos de experiencia, investigaciones descriptivas y exploratorias. Según las enfermeras, el programa les proporcionó la adquisición y aplicación de conocimientos en investigación científica. Apuntaron como principales dificultades la falta de dominio de la metodología científica y las limitaciones en las condiciones administrativas y laborales de la institución. Entre los aspectos facilitadores mencionaron la importancia de la investigación científica para modificar la práctica, la divulgación de los resultados de sus investigaciones y la colaboración para el mantenimiento de un centro de investigación en enfermería. El estudio evidenció la necesidad de flexibilización del planeo de actividades educacionales, de orientación continua y de respeto a las particularidades de cada enfermera.Este artigo trata de pesquisa descritivo-analítica sobre práticas educativas em metodologia de pesquisa dirigidas a enfermeiras assistenciais de um hospital universitário, visando a aquisição de competências em investigação científica, tendo como base a aprendizagem por descoberta, tutoramento e estratégias do ensino humanista. Participaram do programa 86 enfermeiras, das quais 70 concluíram seus projetos. Desses, 28 resultaram em trabalhos científicos, em sua maioria relatos de experiência, pesquisas descritivas e exploratórias. Segundo as enfermeiras, o programa proporcionou-lhes a aquisição e aplicação de conhecimentos em pesquisa. Apontaram, como principais dificuldades, a falta de domínio da metodologia científica e as limitações nas condições administrativas e de trabalho na instituição. Entre os aspectos facilitadores destacaram a importância da pesquisa para modificação da prática, a divulgação dos resultados e a colaboração para manutenção de um centro de pesquisas. O estudo revelou a necessidade de flexibilização do planejamento das atividades educativas, orientação contínua e respeito às particularidades de cada enfermeira.FEPARUniversidade Federal de São Paulo (UNIFESP)UNIFESPSciEL

Child Abuse Negl

Child neglect is the most prevalent form of child maltreatment and represents 79.5% of open child-welfare cases. A recent study found the evidence-based intervention (EBI) SafeCare(\uae) (SC) to significantly reduce child neglect recidivism rates. To fully capitalize on the effectiveness of such EBIs, service systems must engage in successful implementation and sustainment; however, little is known regarding what factors influence EBI sustainment. Collaborations among stakeholders are suggested as a means for facilitating EBI implementation and sustainment. This study combines descriptive quantitative survey data with qualitative interview and focus group findings to examine the role of collaboration within the context of public-private partnerships in 11 child welfare systems implementing SC. Participants included administrators of government child welfare systems and community-based organizations, as well as supervisors, coaches, and home visitors of the SC program. Sites were classified as fully-, partially-, and non-sustaining based on implementation fidelity. One-way analysis of variance was used to examine differences in stakeholder reported Effective Collaboration scores across fully-sustaining, partially-sustaining, and non-sustaining sites. Qualitative transcripts were analyzed via open and focused coding to identify the commonality, diversity, and complexity of collaborations involved in implementing and sustaining SC. Fully-sustaining sites reported significantly greater levels of effective collaboration than non-sustaining sites. Key themes described by SC stakeholders included shared vision, building on existing relationships, academic support, problem solving and resource sharing, and maintaining collaborations over time. Both quantitative and qualitative results converge in highlighting the importance of effective collaboration in EBI sustainment in child welfare service systems.R01CE001556/CE/NCIPC CDC HHS/United StatesR01 MH092950/MH/NIMH NIH HHS/United StatesR01MH092950/MH/NIMH NIH HHS/United StatesR01MH072961/MH/NIMH NIH HHS/United StatesR01 CE001556/CE/NCIPC CDC HHS/United StatesR01 MH072961/MH/NIMH NIH HHS/United States2017-03-01T00:00:00Z26712422PMC4818183vault:1644

Diphyllobothrium sp. en Canis familiaris de la región del subtrópico argentino (Puerto Iguazú, Misiones)

This paper reports the first finding of Diphyllobothrium sp. eggs in Canis familiaris(domestic dog) from Puerto Iguazú, a subtropical city of Misiones province, Argentina. In 2013,two positive cases of Diphyllobothrium sp. eggs were detected during an annual parasitological survey of dogs. Dog feces were collected in vials containing 10 % formalin and processed using Telemann?s sedimentation and Sheather?s flotation techniques. The two cases were detected in rural areas of the municipality. Since Misiones is not a part of the endemic area of diphyllobothriasis and given the fact that it is located in the three-border area of Argentina, Brazil and Paraguay, we consider this finding of great importance to public health. We stress the need for updating the current knowledge about the life cycle of these parasites considering the range of intermediate and definitive hosts, their zoonotic potential, and the epidemiological situation in non-endemic areas.This paper reports the first finding of Diphyllobothrium sp. eggs in Canis familiaris (domestic dog) from Puerto Iguazú, a subtropical city of Misiones province, Argentina. In 2013, two positive cases of Diphyllobothrium sp. eggs were detected during an annual parasitological survey of dogs. Dog feces were collected in vials containing 10 % formalin and processed using Telemann's sedimentation and Sheather's flotation techniques. The two cases were detected in rural areas of the municipality. Since Misiones is not a part of the endemic area of diphyllobothriasis and given the fact that it is located in the three-border area of Argentina, Brazil and Paraguay, we consider this finding of great importance to public health. We stress the need for updating the current knowledge about the life cycle of these parasites considering the range of intermediate and definitive hosts, their zoonotic potential, and the epidemiological situation in non-endemic areas.Fil: Rivero, Maria Romina. Ministerio de Salud. Instituto Nacional de Medicina Tropical; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; ArgentinaFil: Motta, Carlos E.. Universidad Nacional de Rio Cuarto. Facultad de Agronomia y Veterinaria. Departamento de Patología Animal; ArgentinaFil: Salas, Martin Miguel. Ministerio de Salud. Instituto Nacional de Medicina Tropical; ArgentinaFil: Chiaretta, Alicia. Universidad Nacional de Rio Cuarto. Facultad de Agronomia y Veterinaria. Departamento de Patología Animal; ArgentinaFil: Salomón, Oscar Daniel. Ministerio de Salud. Instituto Nacional de Medicina Tropical; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentin

Multifractality and autoregressive processes of dry spell lengths in Europe: an approach to their complexity and predictability

Dry spell lengths, DSL, defined as the number of consecutive days with daily rain amounts below a given threshold, may provide relevant information about drought regimes. Taking advantage of a daily pluviometric database covering a great extension of Europe, a detailed analysis of the multifractality of the dry spell regimes is achieved. At the same time, an autoregressive process is applied with the aim of predicting DSL. A set of parameters, namely Hurst exponent, H, estimated from multifractal spectrum, f(a), critical Hölder exponent, a0, for which f(a) reaches its maximum value, spectral width, W, and spectral asymmetry, B, permits a first clustering of European rain gauges in terms of the complexity of their DSL series. This set of parameters also allows distinguishing between time series describing fine- or smooth-structure of the DSL regime by using the complexity index, CI. Results of previous monofractal analyses also permits establishing comparisons between smooth-structures, relatively low correlation dimensions, notable predictive instability and anti-persistence of DSL for European areas, sometimes submitted to long droughts. Relationships are also found between the CI and the mean absolute deviation, MAD, and the optimum autoregressive order, OAO, of an ARIMA(p,d,0) autoregressive process applied to the DSL series. The detailed analysis of the discrepancies between empiric and predicted DSL underlines the uncertainty over predictability of long DSL, particularly for the Mediterranean region.Postprint (author's final draft

Pink October

Univ Fed Sao Paulo, Escola Paulista Enfermagem, Dept Clin & Surg Nursing, Sao Paulo, SP, BrazilUniv Sao Paulo, Escola Enfermagem Ribeirao Preto, Dept Maternal & Child Nursing & Publ Hlth, Ribeirao Preto, SP, BrazilUniv Fed Sao Paulo, Escola Paulista Enfermagem, Dept Clin & Surg Nursing, Sao Paulo, SP, BrazilWeb of Scienc

El cuidado de enfermeria para el diagnóstico de enfermería desobstrucción de las vias aéreas

The purpose of this study is to identify the nursing actions prescribed by the nurses at Instituto Dante Pazzanese de Cardiologia (IDPC) towards patients under the nursing diagnosis of ineffective airway clearence and compare them with the ones found in the Nursing Intervention Classification (NIC), whose aim is the improvement of nursing prescription for this diagnosis. This is a retrospective study, whose data source has included 435 patients' cards hospitalized from July to December 2000, analysed after the Ethics Committee on Research at IDPC. The prescribed nursing actions are following: to perform inhalation, stimulate de ambulation, to seat the patient on an armchair, stimulate cough, stimulate hydrical intake, aspirate endotracheal cannule, observe the respiratory pattern and oxygen saturation, as well as the cyanosis of the limbs, and perform pulmonary auscultation. Some convergences along with NIC have been found, such as: to facilitate the secretion remotion by means of hydratation, the patient mobilization, stimulation to the cough, secretion aspiration and control/monitorization of the respiratory condition. The actions prescribed by the nurses are regarded to be of concern, however, detailing is in lack for the purpose of improving the guidance of their performance.Este estudio tuvo como objetivos identificar las acciones/cuidados de enfermería prescritas/os por enfermeras del Instituto Dante Pazzanese de Cardiología para pacientes con el diagnóstico de enfermería Desobstrucción de las vías aéreas, y compararlas con las descritas en la Clasificación de Intervenciones de Enfermería (NIC), a fin de perfeccionar la prescripción para ese diagnóstico. Se trata de un estudio retrospectivo, cuya fuente de datos fueron 435 prontuarios de pacientes internados en el período de julio a diciembre de 2000, a los cuales se accedió después de obtener la aprobación del Comité de Ética en Pesquisa del IDPC. Las acciones/cuidados de enfermería prescritas/os por las enfermeras fueron: hacer inhalación, estimular el paciente a caminar, sentarlo en la poltrona, estimular la tos y la ingestión de líquidos, aspirar el tubo endotraqueal, observar el patrón respiratorio, la saturación de oxígeno, la presencia de cianosis en las extremidades y, proceder la ausculta pulmonar. Las convergencias identificadas con la NIC fueron las siguientes: facilitar la remoción de la secreción por medio de la hidratación, mover al paciente, estimular la tos, aspirar la secreción y controlar la condición respiratoria. Se considera que las acciones prescritas por las enfermeras son pertinentes, no obstante les falte mayor especificación.Este estudo teve como objetivos identificar as ações de enfermagem prescritas pelas enfermeiras do Instituto Dante Pazzanese de Cardiologia (IDPC) para pacientes com o diagnóstico de enfermagem Desobstrução Ineficaz de Vias Aéreas e compará-las com as contidas na Classificação das Intervenções de Enfermagem (NIC), visando ao aprimoramento da prescrição de enfermagem para este diagnóstico. Trata-se de um estudo retrospectivo, cuja fonte de dados foram 435 prontuários de pacientes internados no período de julho a dezembro de 2000, analisados após aprovação do Comitê de Ética em Pesquisa do IDPC. As ações de enfermagem prescritas pelas enfermeiras foram: fazer inalação, estimular deambulação, sentar paciente em poltrona, estimular a tosse, estimular a ingestão hídrica, aspirar a cânula endotraqueal, observar padrão respiratório, a saturação de oxigênio, a presença de cianose de extremidades e fazer ausculta pulmonar. Foram identificadas algumas convergências com a NIC, tais como: facilitar a remoção de secreção por meio de hidratação, mobilização do paciente, estímulo da tosse, aspiração de secreção e controle/monitorização da condição respiratória. Considera-se que as ações prescritas pelas enfermeiras são pertinentes, porém faltam-lhes detalhamento para melhor direcionar sua execução.Instituto Dante Pazzanese de Cardiologia Unidade CoronarianaUNIFESP Departamento de EnfermagemUNIFESP, Depto. de EnfermagemSciEL