Duration and cost variability of construction activities: an empirical study

The unique nature of construction projects can mean that construction activities often suffer from duration and cost variability. Because this variability is unplanned, it can present a problem when attempting to complete a project on time and on budget. Various factors causing this variability have been identified in the literature, but they predominantly refer to the nature and/or context of the whole project rather than specific activities. In this paper, the order of magnitude of and correlation between activity duration and cost variability is analyzed in 101 construction projects with over 5,000 activities. To do this, the first four moments (mean, standard deviation, skewness, and kurtosis) of actual versus planned duration and cost (log) ratios are analyzed by project, phase of execution, and activity type. Results suggest that, contrary to common wisdom, construction activities do not end late on average. Instead, the large variability in the activity duration is the major factor causing significant project delays and cost overruns. The values of average activity duration and cost variability gathered in this study will also serve as a reference for construction managers to improve future construction planning and project simulation studies with more realistic data

Licencias ambientales

This article is intended to provide an information tool for obtaining an environmental license, which is based on Decree 2041 of 2014 on environmental licenses, which provides the instructions, entities, and information necessary to carry out the procedures of the licenses. Likewise, the information provided by the environmental authority ANLA (National Authority of Environmental Licenses) is used, since it is fundamental for the drafting of this article. This document is informative and does not pretend to give legal advice, therefore, the people who make use of it will not have any claim for expenses or commitments acquired with the information provided.En este artículo se pretende brindar una herramienta informativa para la obtención de una licencia ambiental, la cual se basa en el decreto 2041 de 2014 sobre licencias ambientales, el cual brinda las instrucciones, entidades e información necesaria para realizar los trámites de las licencias. Igualmente, se hace uso de la información que brinda la autoridad ambiental ANLA (Autoridad Nacional de Licencias Ambientales), ya que es fundamental para la redacción del presente artículo. Este documento es de carácter informativo y no pretende otorgar asesoría legal, por lo cual, las personas que hagan uso de este no tendrán reclamo por gastos o compromisos que se adquiera con la información que se brinda

Characterizing SL2S galaxy groups using the Einstein radius

We analyzed the Einstein radius, $\theta_E$, in our sample of SL2S galaxy groups, and compared it with $R_A$ (the distance from the arcs to the center of the lens), using three different approaches: 1.- the velocity dispersion obtained from weak lensing assuming a Singular Isothermal Sphere profile ($\theta_{E,I}$), 2.- a strong lensing analytical method ($\theta_{E,II}$) combined with a velocity dispersion-concentration relation derived from numerical simulations designed to mimic our group sample, 3.- strong lensing modeling ($\theta_{E,III}$) of eleven groups (with four new models presented in this work) using HST and CFHT images. Finally, $R_A$ was analyzed as a function of redshift $z$ to investigate possible correlations with L, N, and the richness-to-luminosity ratio (N/L). We found a correlation between $\theta_{E}$ and $R_A$, but with large scatter. We estimate $\theta_{E,I}$ = (2.2 $\pm$ 0.9) + (0.7 $\pm$ 0.2)$R_A$, $\theta_{E,II}$ = (0.4 $\pm$ 1.5) + (1.1 $\pm$ 0.4)$R_A$, and $\theta_{E,III}$ = (0.4 $\pm$ 1.5) + (0.9 $\pm$ 0.3)$R_A$ for each method respectively. We found a weak evidence of anti-correlation between $R_A$ and $z$, with Log$R_A$ = (0.58$\pm$0.06) - (0.04$\pm$0.1)$z$, suggesting a possible evolution of the Einstein radius with $z$, as reported previously by other authors. Our results also show that $R_A$ is correlated with L and N (more luminous and richer groups have greater $R_A$), and a possible correlation between $R_A$ and the N/L ratio. Our analysis indicates that $R_A$ is correlated with $\theta_E$ in our sample, making $R_A$ useful to characterize properties like L and N (and possible N/L) in galaxy groups. Additionally, we present evidence suggesting that the Einstein radius evolves with $z$.Comment: Accepted for publication in Astronomy & Astrophysics. Typos correcte

Tailoring Organic-Organic Poly(vinylpyrrolidone) Microparticles and Fibers with Multiwalled Carbon Nanotubes for Reinforced Composites

Polymeric-based microparticles and fibers are tailorable for a wide range of common industrial and biomedical applications, while multiwalled carbon nanotubes (MWCNTs) are among the most useful macromolecules based on their outstanding electronic, mechanical, and optical properties at the nanoscale. If one combines these nanostructures with various polymeric precursors, their range of potential applications becomes even greater. One of the simplest and most affordable methods for fabricating micro- and nanostructures is electrospinning. Herein we demonstrate how MWCNTs may be used to produce tailor-made organic-organic poly(vinylpyrrolidone) (PVP) microparticles and fibers via electrospinning by studying their structural, vibrational, rheological, and mechanical properties' dependence on their solvent (ethanol (EtOH) or dimethylformamide (DMF)) and resulting morphology. Specifically, we find clear differences in morphologies from perfectly spherical and isolated microparticles to fibers mats, or a combination of fibers with entangled beads, with solvent type and concentration. On the basis of our findings, we propose that the mechanism governing the shape and size of the particles is a competition between the solvent's surface tension, dielectric constant, and viscoelastic properties. We show, based on both our experimental results and density functional theory (DFT) calculations, that OH functionalization of the MWCNTs is essential for achieving high PVP coverages and promoting the stability of the resulting PVP/MWCNT nanocomposite. Finally, by fabricating PVP/MWCNT fiber mats, we demonstrate that low concentrations (0.01-0.1 wt %) of MWCNTs led to a qualitative improvement (â250%) in the resulting mechanical properties, i.e., a reinforced composite. These results show how by controlling the solvent's dielectric constant, surface tension, and polymer concentration, one may produce tailor-made polymeric nanomaterials in combination with other organic/inorganic nanoparticles, i.e., silver, gold, or carbon allotropes, for next-generation applications

Algebraic computation of some intersection D-modules

Let $X$ be a complex analytic manifold, $D\subset X$ a locally quasi-homogeneous free divisor, $E$ an integrable logarithmic connection with respect to $D$ and $L$ the local system of the horizontal sections of $E$ on $X-D$. In this paper we give an algebraic description in terms of $E$ of the regular holonomic D-module whose de Rham complex is the intersection complex associated with $L$. As an application, we perform some effective computations in the case of quasi-homogeneous plane curves.Comment: 18 page

Implementation of AMI Systems in CFE-Distribution, Mexico

The Smart Grid concept has been conceived as the integration of the electrical grid (generation, transmission and distribution) and the communications network of an electric utility. Although, traditional communications interfaces, protocols and standards has been used in the electrical grid in an isolated manner, modern communications networks are considered as the fundamental enabling technologies within a Smart Grid environment. Emerging communications technologies, protocol architectures and standards can help to build a common communications network infrastructure for data transport between customer premises, power substations, power distribution systems, utility control centers and utility data centers. The Smart Grid will support traditional applications such as supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA), distribution automation (DA), energy management systems (EMS), demand site management (DSM) and automated meter reading (AMR), etc., as well as new applications like advanced metering infrastructure (AMI), substation automation (SA), microgrids, distributed generation (DG), grid monitoring and control, data storage and analysis, among others. To make this possible, the Smart Grid requires a two-way wide area communications network between different dispersed areas, from generation to consumer premises. An AMI system uses communication technologies for smart meter reading several times a day to get data consumption of electricity, as well as sending outage alarm information and meter tampering almost in real time, from the meter to the control center. Currently, there are various communication technologies to implement AMI systems. This paper presents an overview of the most relevant communications technologies that can be used to implement AMI communications infrastructure such as neighborhood area networks (NAN), field area networks (FAN) and wide area networks (WAN) using different transmission media such as fiber optics, spread spectrum radio frequency, microwave, WiMax, Wi-Fi, ZigBee, cellular, and power line carrier. In addition, a review of the current state of various AMI projects around the world, including the progress in the implementation of AMI systems in Mexico, besides the evaluation performance of CFE´s AMI networks

Validation of the model-based cell culture media design platform “CELIA” for biomass and product optimization in a bioreactor setting

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Diversidad y estructura genética del Prochilodus magdalenae (Pisces: Prochilodontidae) aguas arriba y abajo de la represa Betania, Colombia

  The Magdalena River is one of the most important basins in Colombia, it has a large number of important fish species for the economy of many communities in the country. However, there’s been a reduction in the population caused by different factors. One of the major problems is the construction of the Betania dam, in response to the energy requirements in Colombia. However, migratory species such as Prochilodus magdalenae, of economic importance for the artisanal fishery, have been seriously  affected. For this reason, it became neccesary to analyze its genetic diversity and structure, taking into account the construction of the dam as a possible factor of fragmentation. For this purpose, the use of microsatellites as a molecular marker in different study locations upstream and downstream of the dam is adequate. It was possible to evaluate in 171 individuals the state of genetic diversity. In this respect, 111 alleles distributed in seven loci 100% polymorphic were obtained. The overall averages for the heterozygosity observed were 0.2169, while the expected ones were 0.8316. The Fst and PhiPT statistics showed that there is a moderate differentiation between Betania’s locality and all the localities sampled. The analysis of Bayesian inference detected the coexistence of three populations in the river basin, being the Betania’s locality represented only by one of the three populations registered in the basin. These results can be presented due to the fragmentation generated by the dam in the river, preventing the genetic flow between the locations upstream and downstream of the dam.   El río Magdalena es una de las cuencas más importantes de Colombia, cuenta con gran cantidad de especies de peces importantes para la economía de muchas comunidades en el país. Sin embargo, una reducción marcada en las poblaciones de distintas especies asociadas se ha presentado por diferentes factores. Dentro de estos, se destaca la construcción de la represa de Betania, como respuesta a los requerimientos energéticos en Colombia. No obstante, especies migratorias como Prochilodus magdalenae, de importancia económica para la pesquería artesanal, se han visto seriamente afectadas, por lo que se ha generado la necesidad de analizar su estructura y diversidad genética, teniendo en cuenta la construcción de la represa como posible factor de fragmentación. Para esto, se hace adecuado el uso de microsatélites como marcador molecular en diferentes localidades de estudio aguas arriba y abajo de la represa. Esto permitió evaluar en 171 individuos el estado de la diversidad genética, cómo se encuentra distribuida esta variabilidad en las localidades de estudio y cómo influyen algunos factores como la construcción de la represa sobre su estructura genética. En este sentido, se obtuvieron 111 alelos distribuidos en siete loci 100 % polimórficos. Los promedios generales para la heterocigosidad observada fueron de 0,2169, mientras que para las esperadas fueron de 0,8316. Los estadísticos de Fst y PhiPT mostraron que existe una moderada diferenciación entre la represa de Betania y todas las localidades muestreadas. El análisis de inferencia bayesiana detectó la coexistencia de tres poblaciones en la cuenca del río, entre las que destaca la de Betania. Estos resultados se pueden estar presentando, debido a la fragmentación que genera la represa en el río, impidiendo el flujo genético entre las localidades aguas arriba y aguas abajo de la repres

Assessment of Characteristics and Conditions before the End of Lockdown

After months of blockades and restriction, the decision of the best time to end the lockdown after the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic is the big question for health rectors. This study aimed to evaluate the characteristics and conditions for ending the blockade after the first wave of COVID-19. Data on the variables of interest were subjected to linear and non-linear regression studies to determine the curve that best explains the data. The coefficient of determination, the standard deviation of y in x, and the observed curve of the confidence interval were estimated. Regression which was estimated subsequently revealed the trend curve. The study found that all dependent variables tend to decrease over time in a quadratic fashion, except for the variable for new cases. In general, the R2 and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) estimates were satisfactory: gradual and cautious steps should be taken before ending the lockdown. The results suggested that a surveillance of crucial indicators (e.g., incidence, prevalence, and PCR test positivity) should be maintained before lockdown is terminated. Moreover, the findings indicated that long-term preparations should be made to contain future waves of new cases