Impact of Climate Change on Irrigation Water Availability, Crop Water Requirements and Soil Salinity in the SJV, CA

We examine potential regional-scale impacts of global climate change on sustainability of irrigated agriculture, focusing on the western San Joaquin Valley in California. We consider potential changes in irrigation water demand and supply, and quantify impacts on cropping patterns, groundwater pumping, groundwater levels, soil salinity, and crop yields. Our analysis is based on archived output from General Circulation Model (GCM) climate projections through 2100, which are downscaled here to the scale of the study area (~30 km across). We account for uncertainty in GCM climate projections by considering output from two different GCM\u27s, each using three greenhouse gas emission scenarios. Significant uncertainty in projected precipitation translates into uncertainty of future water supply, ranging from an increase of 10% to a decrease of 30% in 2100. On the other hand, temperature projections are much less variable, resulting in consistent projections of crop water demand for all climate change scenarios. Crop water demand is expected to change very little, due to compensating effects of rising temperature on evaporative demand and crop growth rate. Reductions in surface water supply are projected to be offset by groundwater pumping and land fallowing. Simulations of subsurface flow and salt transport with a regional-scale hydro-salinity model suggest a small expansion in salt-affected area, compared to current conditions. However, in all scenarios salinity is expected to increase in downslope areas, thereby limiting crop production. This is especially significant given an anticipated demand-driven switch to high-value, salt-sensitive crops. Results show that technological adaptation, such as improvements in irrigation efficiency, may partly mitigate these effects

Selection Via the Bogo-Method - More on the Analysis of Perversely Awful Randomized Algorithms

We continue our research on perversely awful randomized algorithms, which started nearly a decade ago. Based on the bogo-method we design a bogo-selection algorithm and variants thereof and analyse them with elementary methods. Moreover, practical experiments are performed

Climate change impacts on water demand and salinity in California\u27s irrigated agriculture

This paper examines potential regional-scale impacts of climate change on sustainability of irrigated agriculture, focusing on the western San Joaquin Valley in California. We consider potential changes in irrigation water demand and supply, and quantify impacts on the hydrologic system, soil and groundwater salinity with associated crop yield reductions. Our analysis is based on archived output from General Circulation Model (GCM) climate projections through 2100, which were downscaled to the 1,400 km2 study area. We account for uncertainty in GCM climate projections by considering two different GCM\u27s, each using three greenhouse gas emission scenarios. Significant uncertainty in projected precipitation creates large uncertainty in surface water supply, ranging from a decrease of 26% to an increase of 14% in 2080-2099. Changes in projected irrigation water demand ranged from a decrease of 13% to an increase of 3% at the end of the 21st century. Greatest demand reductions were computed for the dry and warm scenarios, because of increased land fallowing with corresponding decreased total crop water requirements. A decrease in seasonal crop ET by climate warming, despite an increase in evaporative demand, was attributed to faster crop development with increasing temperatures. Simulations of hydrologic response to climate-induced changes suggest that the salt-affected area will be slightly expanded. However, irrespective of climate change, salinity is expected to increase in downslope areas, thereby limiting crop production to mostly upslope areas of the simulation domain. Results show that increasing irrigation efficiency may be effective in controlling salinization, by reducing groundwater recharge and improving soil drainage, and in mitigating climate warming effects, by reducing the need for groundwater pumping to satisfy crop water requirements

Representing the Unknown - Impact of Uncertainty on the Interaction between Decision Making and Trajectory Generation

Even though motion planning for automated vehicles has been extensively discussed for more than two decades, it is still a highly active field of research with a variety of different approaches having been published in the recent years. When considering the market introduction of SAE Level 3+ vehicles, the topic of motion planning will most likely be subject to even more detailed discussions between safety and user acceptance. This paper shall discuss parameters of the motion planning problem and requirements to an environment model. The focus is put on the representation of different types of uncertainty at the example of sensor occlusion, arguing the importance of a well-defined interface between decision making and trajectory generation

Naturopathic Physician Attitudes and Practices for Vaccination and Primary Care in the State of Vermont

Introduction: Recent increase in measles cases has sparked vaccination controversy. Naturopathic physicians (NDs) have been recognized as primary care providers by VT since 2012. It is not well understood how NDs address vaccination with patients. Our goal was to determine how Vermont NDs address vaccines and preventative care with their patients.https://scholarworks.uvm.edu/comphp_gallery/1234/thumbnail.jp

Insights into the Structural Dynamics of Pt/CeO2_{2} Single-Site Catalysts during CO Oxidation

Despite their high atomic dispersion, single site catalysts with Pt supported on CeO$_{2}$ were found to have a low activity during oxidation reactions. In this study, we report the behavior of Pt/CeO$_{2}$ single site catalyst under more complex gas mixtures, including CO, C$_{3}$H$_{6}$ and CO/C$_{3}$H$_{6}$ oxidation in the absence or presence of water. Our systematic operando high-energy resolution-fluorescence-detected X-ray absorption near-edge structure (HERFD-XANES) spectroscopic study combined with multivariate curve resolution with alternating least squares (MCR-ALS) analysis identified five distinct states in the Pt single site structure during CO oxidation light-off. After desorption of oxygen and autoreduction of Pt$^{4+}$ to Pt$^{2+}$ due to the increase of temperature, CO adsorbs and reduces Pt$^{2+}$ to Pt$^{δ+}$ and assists its migration with final formation of Pt$_{x^Δ+}$ clusters. The derived structure–activity relationships indicate that partial reduction of Pt single sites is not sufficient to initiate the conversion of CO. The reaction proceeds only after the regrouping of several noble metal atoms in small clusters, as these entities are probably able to influence the mobility of the oxygen at the interface with ceria

Of mice and merchants: connectedness and the location of economic activity in the Iron Age

We study the causal relationship between geographic connectedness and development using one of the earliest massive trade expansions: the first systematic crossing of open seas in the Mediterranean during the time of the Phoenicians. We construct a geography based measure of connectedness along the shores of the sea. We relate connectedness to economic activity, which we measure using the presence of archaeological sites. We find an association between better connected locations and archaeological sites during the Iron Age, at a time when sailors began to cross open water routinely on a big scale. We corroborate these findings at world level

Structure and stability of molecular crystals with many body dispersion inclusive density functional tight binding

Accurate prediction of structure and stability of molecular crystals is crucial in materials science and requires reliable modeling of long-range dispersion interactions. Semi-empirical electronic structure methods are computationally more efficient than their ab initio counterparts, allowing structure sampling with significant speedups. Here, we combine the Tkatchenko-Scheffler van-der-Waals method (TS) and the many body dispersion method (MBD) with third-order density functional tight-binding (DFTB3) via a charge population-based method. We find an overall good performance for the X23 benchmark database of molecular crystals, despite an underestimation of crystal volume that can be traced to the DFTB parametrization. We achieve accurate lattice energy predictions with DFT+MBD energetics on top of vdW-inclusive DFTB3 structures, resulting in a speedup of up to 3000 times compared to a full DFT treatment. This suggests that vdW-inclusive DFTB3 can serve as a viable structural prescreening tool in crystal structure prediction

Design of Single-Atom Catalysts and Tracking Their Fate Using Operando and Advanced X-ray Spectroscopic Tools

The potential of operando X-ray techniques for following the structure, fate, and active site of single-atom catalysts (SACs) is highlighted with emphasis on a synergetic approach of both topics. X-ray absorption spectroscopy (XAS) and related X-ray techniques have become fascinating tools to characterize solids and they can be applied to almost all the transition metals deriving information about the symmetry, oxidation state, local coordination, and many more structural and electronic properties. SACs, a newly coined concept, recently gained much attention in the field of heterogeneous catalysis. In this way, one can achieve a minimum use of the metal, theoretically highest efficiency, and the design of only one active site-so-called single site catalysts. While single sites are not easy to characterize especially under operating conditions, XAS as local probe together with complementary methods (infrared spectroscopy, electron microscopy) is ideal in this research area to prove the structure of these sites and the dynamic changes during reaction. In this review, starting from their fundamentals, various techniques related to conventional XAS and X-ray photon in/out techniques applied to single sites are discussed with detailed mechanistic and in situ/operando studies. We systematically summarize the design strategies of SACs and outline their exploration with XAS supported by density functional theory (DFT) calculations and recent machine learning tools

Chronic complicated osteomyelitis of the appendicular skeleton: Diagnosis with technetium-99m labelled monoclonal antigranulocyte antibody-immunoscintigraphy

Chronic post-traumatic osteomyelitis (OM) represents a particular challenge for nuclear medicine and radiology since clinical and biochemical parameters are frequently unreliable. The aim of this study was to investigate the value of combined bone scan (BS) and immunoscintigraphy (IS) with technetium-99m labelled monoclonal antigranulocyte antibody (MAB) in patients with suspected chronic OM of the appendicular skeleton. Twenty-four patients (17 females and 7 males) with suspected chronic post-traumatic OM were evaluated with three-phase BS/99mTc-MAB-IS. The final diagnosis was established by means of bone culture and histology in 19 cases and clinical follow-up in five cases. The studies were reviewed by two independent and experienced observers; the interobserver agreement was calculated by kappa statistics. The sensitivity, specificity and accuracy of BS alone were 92%, 18% and 58%, respectively. Combined BS/99mTc-MAB-IS. had a sensitivity, specificity and accuracy of 84%, 72% and 79%, respectively. Of 24 studies, 11 were true-positive, two false-negative, eight true-negative and three false-positive. Two patients presented with unexpected ectopic haematopoietic bone marrow in the appendicular skeleton that caused falsepositive results. A high degree of interobserver agreement was found (κ=0.85). It is concluded that combined BS/99mTc-MAB-IS. represents a very sensitive and reproducible method with an acceptable specificity for the investigation of chronic OM. Problems may occur in the differentiation of low-grade OM from aseptic inflammation. Another problem is ectopic marrow that may occur in the appendicular skeleton due to a chronic inflammatory stimulus. A former intramedullary intervention in the femur with displacement of haematopoietic marrow may also lead to an ectopic locatio