Time series causal inference between the political discourse on Twitter and opinion polls

Las redes sociales han sido utilizadas como medios para la discusión política de los ciudadanos. En este trabajo nos propusimos analizar la influencia que ejerce el discurso en las redes sociales sobre la opinión pública de los candidatos políticos en contextos electorales. Para ello conformamos un dataset con 4.4 millones de tweets políticos durante las elecciones presidenciales estadounidenses entre Trump y Biden del 2020 y analizamos 229 encuestas presidenciales realizadas por 29 encuestadores. Luego, armamos series temporales con los resultados de las encuestas y con la cantidad, tópico del que hablan y sentimiento (positividad / negatividad) de los tweets que mencionan a cada candidato, usando técnicas de procesamiento del lenguaje natural de forma similar a trabajos previos. Aplicando herramientas de inferencia causal en series de tiempo como la causalidad de Granger, Información Mutua Condicional y Base de Funciones Radiales, encontramos resultados estadísticamente significativos de una relación causal. En particular, el sentimiento con el que se habla de los candidato y ciertos tópicos particulares que se debaten en Twitter impactan sobre la intención de voto que finalmente recibe cada candidato presidencial.In recent years, social networks have been the place where citizens exchange their political opinions. In this work, we analyzed the causal influence between the discourse in social networks on the opinion of political candidates in electoral contexts. Therefore, we created a dataset with 4.4 million political tweets during the 2020 US presidential election between Trump and Biden and analyzed 229 presidential polls conducted by 29 different pollsters. Then, we create time series with the poll’s results and with the quantity, topic and sentiment (positive / negative) of the tweets that mentioned the candidates, using natural language processing techniques similarly to previous works. Using time series causal inference tools such as Granger causality, conditional mutual information and radial basis function, we found significant results of causal relationships. In particular, the positivity / negativity of the tweets and some topics discussed on Twitter had a causal impact on each presidential candidate’s polling.Sociedad Argentina de Informática e Investigación Operativ

UV index and climate seasonality explain fungal community turnover in global drylands

Aim: Fungi are major drivers of ecosystem functioning. Increases in aridity are known to negatively impact fungal community composition in dryland ecosystems globally; yet, much less is known on the potential influence of other environmental drivers, and whether these relationships are linear or nonlinear. Time period: 2017–2021. Location: Global. Major taxa studied: Fungi. Methods: We re-analysed multiple datasets from different dryland biogeographical regions, for a total of 912 samples and 1,483 taxa. We examined geographical patterns in community diversity and composition, and spatial, edaphic and climatic factors driving them. Results: UV index, climate seasonality, and sand content were the most important environmental predictors of community shifts, showing the strongest association with the richness of putative plant pathogens and saprobes. Important nonlinear relationships existed with each of these fungal guilds, with increases in UV and temperature seasonality above 7.5 and 900 SD (standard deviation x 100 of the mean monthly temperature), respectively, being associated with an increased probability of plant pathogen and unspecified saprotroph occurrence. Conversely, these environmental parameters had a negative relationship with litter and soil saprotroph richness. Consequently, these ecological groups might be particularly sensitive to shifts in UV radiation and climate seasonality, which is likely to disturb current plant–soil dynamics in drylands. Main conclusions: Our synthesis integrates fungal community data from drylands across the globe, allowing the investigation of fungal distribution and providing the first evidence of shifts in fungal diversity and composition of key fungal ecological groups along diverse spatial, climatic and edaphic gradients in these widely distributed ecosystems. Our findings imply that shifts in soil structure and seasonal climatic patterns induced by global change will have disproportionate consequences for the distribution of fungal groups linked to vegetation and biogeochemical cycling in drylands, with implications for plant–soil interactions in drylands.C.C. is supported by the European Commission under the Marie Sklodowska-Curie Grant Agreement No. 702057 (DRYLIFE). C.C. acknowledges funding from the Italian National Program for Antarctic Research (PNRA) and is supported by a PNRA postdoctoral fellowship. E.E. is supported by an Australian Research Council DECRA (Discovery Early Career Researcher Award) fellowship (DE210101822). M.D-B. is supported by a project from the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation (PID2020-115813RA-I00), and a project PAIDI (Andalusian Research, Development and Innovation Plan) 2020 from the Junta de Andalucía (P20_00879). Microbial distribution and colonization research in B.K.S.'s lab is funded by the Australian Research Council (DP210102081). E.G. is supported by the European Research Council Grant agreement 647038 (BIODESERT)

Diseño de un itinerario formativo en el área de matemáticas en el CEP de Córdoba

La formación continua del profesorado en activo es un eje de actuación primordial en la consecución de una educación de calidad. Los docentes demandan a sus Centros de Formación de Profesorado (CEP) de referencia en qué quieren seguir formándose y según esta demanda, los CEP planifican su formación. Teniendo en cuenta esa demanda el CEP Luisa Revuelta de Córdoba lleva años trabajando en un plan de mejora en el área de matemáticas, que involucra a más de 20 centros de Córdoba y la provincia. Desde el área de Didáctica de la Matemática de la Universidad de Córdoba se está colaborando con este plan de mejora, tanto a nivel de asesoramiento como de evaluación

Physics research on the TCV tokamak facility: from conventional to alternative scenarios and beyond

The research program of the TCV tokamak ranges from conventional to advanced-tokamak scenarios and alternative divertor configurations, to exploratory plasmas driven by theoretical insight, exploiting the device’s unique shaping capabilities. Disruption avoidance by real-time locked mode prevention or unlocking with electron-cyclotron resonance heating (ECRH) was thoroughly documented, using magnetic and radiation triggers. Runaway generation with high-Z noble-gas injection and runaway dissipation by subsequent Ne or Ar injection were studied for model validation. The new 1 MW neutral beam injector has expanded the parameter range, now encompassing ELMy H-modes in an ITER-like shape and nearly noninductive H-mode discharges sustained by electron cyclotron and neutral beam current drive. In the H-mode, the pedestal pressure increases modestly with nitrogen seeding while fueling moves the density pedestal outwards, but the plasma stored energy is largely uncorrelated to either seeding or fueling. High fueling at high triangularity is key to accessing the attractive small edge-localized mode (type-II) regime. Turbulence is reduced in the core at negative triangularity, consistent with increased confinement and in accord with global gyrokinetic simulations. The geodesic acoustic mode, possibly coupled with avalanche events, has Nucl. Fusion 59 (2019) 112023 S. Coda et al 4 been linked with particle flow to the wall in diverted plasmas. Detachment, scrape-off layer transport, and turbulence were studied in L- and H-modes in both standard and alternative configurations (snowflake, super-X, and beyond). The detachment process is caused by power ‘starvation’ reducing the ionization source, with volume recombination playing only a minor role. Partial detachment in the H-mode is obtained with impurity seeding and has shown little dependence on flux expansion in standard single-null geometry. In the attached L-mode phase, increasing the outer connection length reduces the in–out heat-flow asymmetry. A doublet plasma, featuring an internal X-point, was achieved successfully, and a transport barrier was observed in the mantle just outside the internal separatrix. In the near future variable configuration baffles and possibly divertor pumping will be introduced to investigate the effect of divertor closure on exhaust and performance, and 3.5 MW ECRH and 1 MW neutral beam injection heating will be added.EURATOM 63305

Multi-Step Regulation of the TLR4 Pathway by the miR-125a~99b~let-7e Cluster

An appropriate immune response requires a tight balance between pro- and anti-inflammatory mechanisms. IL-10 is induced at late time-points during acute inflammatory conditions triggered by TLR-dependent recognition of infectious agents and is involved in setting this balance, operating as a negative regulator of the TLR-dependent signaling pathway. We identified miR-125a~99b~let-7e as an evolutionary conserved microRNA cluster late-induced in human monocytes exposed to the TLR4 agonist LPS as an effect of this IL-10-dependent regulatory loop. We demonstrated that microRNAs generated by this cluster perform a pervasive regulation of the TLR signaling pathway by direct targeting receptors (TLR4, CD14), signaling molecules (IRAK1), and effector cytokines (TNFα, IL-6, CCL3, CCL7, CXCL8). Modulation of miR-125a~99b~let-7e cluster influenced the production of proinflammatory cytokines in response to LPS and the IL-10-mediated tolerance to LPS, thus identifying this gene as a previously unrecognized major regulatory element of the inflammatory response and endotoxin tolerance

Metagenomics untangles potential adaptations of Antarctic endolithic bacteria at the fringe of habitability

Survival and growth strategies of Antarctic endolithic microbes residing in Earth's driest and coldest desert remain virtually unknown. From 109 endolithic microbiomes, 4539 metagenome-assembled genomes were generated, 49.3 % of which were novel candidate bacterial species. We present evidence that trace gas oxidation and atmospheric chemosynthesis may be the prevalent strategies supporting metabolic activity and persistence of these ecosystems at the fringe of life and the limits of habitabilit

MicroRNAs are minor constituents of extracellular vesicles that are rarely delivered to target cells

Mammalian cells release different types of vesicles, collectively termed extracellular vesicles (EVs). EVs contain cellular microRNAs (miRNAs) with an apparent potential to deliver their miRNA cargo to recipient cells to affect the stability of individual mRNAs and the cells’ transcriptome. The extent to which miRNAs are exported via the EV route and whether they contribute to cell-cell communication are controversial. To address these issues, we defined multiple properties of EVs and analyzed their capacity to deliver packaged miRNAs into target cells to exert biological functions. We applied well-defined approaches to produce and characterize purified EVs with or without specific viral miRNAs. We found that only a small fraction of EVs carried miRNAs. EVs readily bound to different target cell types, but EVs did not fuse detectably with cellular membranes to deliver their cargo. We engineered EVs to be fusogenic and document their capacity to deliver functional messenger RNAs. Engineered fusogenic EVs, however, did not detectably alter the functionality of cells exposed to miRNA-carrying EVs. These results suggest that EV-borne miRNAs do not act as effectors of cell-to-cell communication. Author summary: The majority of metazoan cells release vesicles of different types and origins, such as exosomes and microvesicles, now collectively termed extracellular vesicles (EVs). EVs have gained much attention because they contain microRNAs (miRNAs) and thus could regulate their specific mRNA targets in recipient or acceptor cells that take up EVs. Using a novel fusion assay with superior sensitivity and specificity, we revisited this claim but found no convincing evidence for an efficient functional uptake of EVs in many different cell lines and primary human blood cells. Even EVs engineered to fuse and deliver their miRNA cargo to recipient cells had no measurable effect on target mRNAs in very carefully controlled, quantitative experiments. Our negative results clearly indicate that EVs do not act as vehicles for miRNA-based cell-to-cell communication

In-depth profiling of COVID-19 risk factors and preventive measures in healthcare workers

PURPOSE To determine risk factors for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in healthcare workers (HCWs), characterize symptoms, and evaluate preventive measures against SARS-CoV-2 spread in hospitals. METHODS In a cross-sectional study conducted between May 27 and August 12, 2020, after the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, we obtained serological, epidemiological, occupational as well as COVID-19-related data at a~quaternary care, multicenter hospital~in Munich, Germany. RESULTS 7554 HCWs participated, 2.2% of whom tested positive for anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. Multivariate analysis revealed increased COVID-19 risk for nurses (3.1% seropositivity, 95% CI 2.5-3.9%, p = 0.012), staff working on COVID-19 units (4.6% seropositivity, 95% CI 3.2-6.5%, p = 0.032), males (2.4% seropositivity, 95% CI 1.8-3.2%, p = 0.019), and HCWs reporting high-risk exposures to infected patients (5.5% seropositivity, 95% CI 4.0-7.5%, p = 0.0022) or outside of work (12.0% seropositivity, 95% CI 8.0-17.4%, p < 0.0001). Smoking was a protective factor (1.1% seropositivity, 95% CI 0.7-1.8% p = 0.00018) and the symptom taste disorder was strongly associated with COVID-19 (29.8% seropositivity, 95% CI 24.3-35.8%, p < 0.0001). An unbiased decision tree identified subgroups with different risk profiles. Working from home as a preventive measure did not protect against SARS-CoV-2 infection. A PCR-testing strategy focused on symptoms and high-risk exposures detected all larger COVID-19 outbreaks. CONCLUSION Awareness of the identified COVID-19 risk factors and successful surveillance strategies are key to protecting HCWs against SARS-CoV-2, especially in settings with limited vaccination capacities or reduced vaccine efficacy

Metagenomics untangles potential adaptations of Antarctic endolithic bacteria at the fringe of habitability

8 páginas.- 5 figuras.- 20 referencias.- Supplementary data to this article can be found online at https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170290Survival and growth strategies of Antarctic endolithic microbes residing in Earth's driest and coldest desert remain virtually unknown. From 109 endolithic microbiomes, 4539 metagenome-assembled genomes were generated, 49.3 % of which were novel candidate bacterial species. We present evidence that trace gas oxidation and atmospheric chemosynthesis may be the prevalent strategies supporting metabolic activity and persistence of these ecosystems at the fringe of life and the limits of habitability.C.C. is supported by the European Commission under the H2020 Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions Grant Agreement No. 702057 (DRYLIFE). C.C. and L.S. wish to thank the Italian National Program for Antarctic Research for funding sampling campaigns and research activities in Italy in the frame of PNRA projects. The Italian Antarctic National Museum (MNA) is kindly acknowledged for financial support to the Mycological Section of the MNA and for providing rock samples used in this study stored in the Culture Collection of Antarctic fungi (MNA-CCFEE), University of Tuscia, Italy. M.D-B. is supported by a project from the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation (PID2020-115813RA-I00), and a project of the Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional (FEDER) and the Consejería de Transformación Económica, Industria, Conocimiento y Universidades of the Junta de Andalucía (FEDER Andalucía 2014-2020 Objetivo temático ‘01 – Refuerzo de la investigación, el desarrollo tecnológico y la innovación’) associated with the research project P20_00879 (ANDABIOMA). J.E.S. is a CIFAR fellow in the Fungal Kingdom: Threats and Opportunities program. B.C.F. acknowledges support from the Australian Research Council Discovery Project (DP220103430). Part of this work (proposal 10.46936/10.25585/60000791) was conducted by the U.S. Department of Energy Joint Genome Institute (https://ror.org/04xm1d337), a DOE Office of Science User Facility, supported by the Office of Science of the U.S. Department of Energy under Contract No. DE-AC02-05CH11231.Peer reviewe