101 research outputs found
Lyapunov exponent of many-particle systems: testing the stochastic approach
The stochastic approach to the determination of the largest Lyapunov exponent
of a many-particle system is tested in the so-called mean-field
XY-Hamiltonians. In weakly chaotic regimes, the stochastic approach relates the
Lyapunov exponent to a few statistical properties of the Hessian matrix of the
interaction, which can be calculated as suitable thermal averages. We have
verified that there is a satisfactory quantitative agreement between theory and
simulations in the disordered phases of the XY models, either with attractive
or repulsive interactions. Part of the success of the theory is due to the
possibility of predicting the shape of the required correlation functions,
because this permits the calculation of correlation times as thermal averages.Comment: 11 pages including 6 figure
Adequação de uma dieta artificial para os biótipos "milho" e "arroz" de Spodoptera frugiperda (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae)
Characterization of tillers in deferred Piata palisade grass with different initial heights and nitrogen levels
Proposta de modelagem não-linear do desempenho germinativo de sementes de milho híbrido
Forage mass and structure of piatã grass deferred at different heights and variable periods
Produção de biomassa de erva-cidreira [Lippia alba (Mill.) N.E.Br.] sob adubação com composto de capim elefante inoculado e sem inoculação de actinomicetos
Mapping subnational HIV mortality in six Latin American countries with incomplete vital registration systems
BackgroundHuman immunodeficiency virus (HIV) remains a public health priority in Latin America. While the burden of HIV is historically concentrated in urban areas and high-risk groups, subnational estimates that cover multiple countries and years are missing. This paucity is partially due to incomplete vital registration (VR) systems and statistical challenges related to estimating mortality rates in areas with low numbers of HIV deaths. In this analysis, we address this gap and provide novel estimates of the HIV mortality rate and the number of HIV deaths by age group, sex, and municipality in Brazil, Colombia, Costa Rica, Ecuador, Guatemala, and Mexico.MethodsWe performed an ecological study using VR data ranging from 2000 to 2017, dependent on individual country data availability. We modeled HIV mortality using a Bayesian spatially explicit mixed-effects regression model that incorporates prior information on VR completeness. We calibrated our results to the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017.ResultsAll countries displayed over a 40-fold difference in HIV mortality between municipalities with the highest and lowest age-standardized HIV mortality rate in the last year of study for men, and over a 20-fold difference for women. Despite decreases in national HIV mortality in all countries-apart from Ecuador-across the period of study, we found broad variation in relative changes in HIV mortality at the municipality level and increasing relative inequality over time in all countries. In all six countries included in this analysis, 50% or more HIV deaths were concentrated in fewer than 10% of municipalities in the latest year of study. In addition, national age patterns reflected shifts in mortality to older age groups-the median age group among decedents ranged from 30 to 45years of age at the municipality level in Brazil, Colombia, and Mexico in 2017.ConclusionsOur subnational estimates of HIV mortality revealed significant spatial variation and diverging local trends in HIV mortality over time and by age. This analysis provides a framework for incorporating data and uncertainty from incomplete VR systems and can help guide more geographically precise public health intervention to support HIV-related care and reduce HIV-related deaths.Peer reviewe
Análise da micobiota associada à entomofauna em rações a granel para animais domésticos
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