Newly detected ozone-depleting substances in the atmosphere

Ozone-depleting substances emitted through human activitiescause large-scale damage to the stratospheric ozone layer, and influence global climate. Consequently, the production of many of these substances has been phased out; prominent examples are the chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs), and their intermediate replacements, the hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs). So far, seven types of CFC and six types of HCFC have been shown to contribute to stratospheric ozone destruction 1,2. Here, we report the detection and quantification of a further three CFCs and one HCFC. We analysed the composition of unpolluted air samples collected in Tasmania between 1978 and 2012, and extracted from deep firn snow in Greenland in 2008, using gas chromatography with mass spectrometric detection. Using the firn data, we show that all four compounds started to emerge in the atmosphere in the 1960s. Two of the compounds continue to accumulate in the atmosphere. We estimate that, before 2012, emissions of all four compounds combined amounted to more than 74,000 tonnes. This is small compared with peak emissions of other CFCs in the 1980s of more than one million tonnes each year 2. However, the reported emissions are clearly contrary to the intentions behind the Montreal Protocol, and raise questions about the sources of these gases

The Long-Baseline Neutrino Experiment: Exploring Fundamental Symmetries of the Universe

The preponderance of matter over antimatter in the early Universe, the dynamics of the supernova bursts that produced the heavy elements necessary for life and whether protons eventually decay --- these mysteries at the forefront of particle physics and astrophysics are key to understanding the early evolution of our Universe, its current state and its eventual fate. The Long-Baseline Neutrino Experiment (LBNE) represents an extensively developed plan for a world-class experiment dedicated to addressing these questions. LBNE is conceived around three central components: (1) a new, high-intensity neutrino source generated from a megawatt-class proton accelerator at Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory, (2) a near neutrino detector just downstream of the source, and (3) a massive liquid argon time-projection chamber deployed as a far detector deep underground at the Sanford Underground Research Facility. This facility, located at the site of the former Homestake Mine in Lead, South Dakota, is approximately 1,300 km from the neutrino source at Fermilab -- a distance (baseline) that delivers optimal sensitivity to neutrino charge-parity symmetry violation and mass ordering effects. This ambitious yet cost-effective design incorporates scalability and flexibility and can accommodate a variety of upgrades and contributions. With its exceptional combination of experimental configuration, technical capabilities, and potential for transformative discoveries, LBNE promises to be a vital facility for the field of particle physics worldwide, providing physicists from around the globe with opportunities to collaborate in a twenty to thirty year program of exciting science. In this document we provide a comprehensive overview of LBNE's scientific objectives, its place in the landscape of neutrino physics worldwide, the technologies it will incorporate and the capabilities it will possess.Comment: Major update of previous version. This is the reference document for LBNE science program and current status. Chapters 1, 3, and 9 provide a comprehensive overview of LBNE's scientific objectives, its place in the landscape of neutrino physics worldwide, the technologies it will incorporate and the capabilities it will possess. 288 pages, 116 figure

The British Army, information management and the First World War revolution in military affairs

Information Management (IM) – the systematic ordering, processing and channelling of information within organisations – forms a critical component of modern military command and control systems. As a subject of scholarly enquiry, however, the history of military IM has been relatively poorly served. Employing new and under-utilised archival sources, this article takes the British Expeditionary Force (BEF) of the First World War as its case study and assesses the extent to which its IM system contributed to the emergence of the modern battlefield in 1918. It argues that the demands of fighting a modern war resulted in a general, but not universal, improvement in the BEF’s IM techniques, which in turn laid the groundwork, albeit in embryonic form, for the IM systems of modern armies. KEY WORDS: British Army, Information Management, First World War, Revolution in Military Affairs, Adaptatio

A nationwide study of adults admitted to hospital with diabetic ketoacidosis or hyperosmolar hyperglycaemic state and COVID‐19

AimsTo investigate characteristics of people hospitalized with coronavirus-disease-2019 (COVID-19) and diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA) or hyperosmolar hyperglycaemic state (HHS), and to identify risk factors for mortality and intensive care admission.Materials and methodsRetrospective cohort study with anonymized data from the Association of British Clinical Diabetologists nationwide audit of hospital admissions with COVID-19 and diabetes, from start of pandemic to November 2021. The primary outcome was inpatient mortality. DKA and HHS were adjudicated against national criteria. Age-adjusted odds ratios were calculated using logistic regression.ResultsIn total, 85 confirmed DKA cases, and 20 HHS, occurred among 4073 people (211 type 1 diabetes, 3748 type 2 diabetes, 114 unknown type) hospitalized with COVID-19. Mean (SD) age was 60 (18.2) years in DKA and 74 (11.8) years in HHS (p < .001). A higher proportion of patients with HHS than with DKA were of non-White ethnicity (71.4% vs 39.0% p = .038). Mortality in DKA was 36.8% (n = 57) and 3.8% (n = 26) in type 2 and type 1 diabetes respectively. Among people with type 2 diabetes and DKA, mortality was lower in insulin users compared with non-users [21.4% vs. 52.2%; age-adjusted odds ratio 0.13 (95% CI 0.03-0.60)]. Crude mortality was lower in DKA than HHS (25.9% vs. 65.0%, p = .001) and in statin users versus non-users (36.4% vs. 100%; p = .035) but these were not statistically significant after age adjustment.ConclusionsHospitalization with COVID-19 and adjudicated DKA is four times more common than HHS but both associate with substantial mortality. There is a strong association of previous insulin therapy with survival in type 2 diabetes-associated DKA

Changes to the chemical state of the northern hemisphere atmosphere during the second half of the twentieth century

International audienc

The SCUBA-2 Cluster Snapshot Survey – I. Catalogue of lensed galaxies and submillimetre-bright central galaxies

The SCUBA-2 Cluster Snapshot Survey (S2CSS) observed 202 rich clusters of galaxies at 850 μm in relatively poor submillimetre observing conditions (⁠τ225GHz>0.1⁠) with the aim of identifying rare examples of bright (tens of mJy) gravitationally lensed submillimetre galaxies. The S2CSS covered over 0.33 deg2 to an average depth of σ850≈12 mJy beam−1. Here we present a sample of 97 bright 850-μm point sources selected from the S2CSS that are potentially gravitationally lensed, and eight sources for which the strong submillimetre emission is co-located with the central brightest cluster galaxy (BCG). We construct far-infrared spectral energy distributions for those sources with Herschel SPIRE coverage and use these distributions to estimate the redshifts and luminosities of the sources. The bright submillimetre flux density of our sources makes them excellent targets for detailed follow-up work that will allow the detection of spectral features in the submillimetre/millimetre that would otherwise be too faint to detect. Through a stacking analysis, we also investigate the average submillimetre/radio properties of BCGs, determining the average 850-μm flux of BCGs as a function of radio luminosity

Assessment of health benefits and cost-effectiveness of 10-valent and 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccination in Kenyan children.

BACKGROUND: The GAVI Alliance supported 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) introduction in Kenya. We estimated the cost-effectiveness of introducing either PCV10 or the 13-valent vaccine (PCV13) from a societal perspective and explored the incremental impact of including indirect vaccine effects. METHODS: The costs and effects of pneumococcal vaccination among infants born in Kenya in 2010 were assessed using a decision analytic model comparing PCV10 or PCV13, in turn, with no vaccination. Direct vaccine effects were estimated as a reduction in the incidence of pneumococcal meningitis, sepsis, bacteraemic pneumonia and non-bacteraemic pneumonia. Pneumococcal disease incidence was extrapolated from a population-based hospital surveillance system in Kilifi and adjustments were made for variable access to care across Kenya. We used vaccine efficacy estimates from a trial in The Gambia and accounted for serotype distribution in Kilifi. We estimated indirect vaccine protection and serotype replacement by extrapolating from the USA. Multivariable sensitivity analysis was conducted using Monte Carlo simulation. We assumed a vaccine price of US$3.50 per dose. FINDINGS: The annual cost of delivering PCV10 was approximately US$14 million. We projected a 42.7% reduction in pneumococcal disease episodes leading to a US$1.97 million reduction in treatment costs and a 6.1$ 59 (95% CI 26-103) and US$1,958 (95$ 0.41 and 0.51, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Introducing either PCV10 or PCV13 in Kenya is highly cost-effective from a societal perspective. Indirect effects, if they occur, would significantly improve the cost-effectiveness

S3 detection as a diagnostic and prognostic aid in emergency department patients with acute dyspnea

STUDY OBJECTIVE: Dyspneic emergency department (ED) patients present a diagnostic dilemma. Recent technologic advances have made it possible to capture information about pathologic heart sounds at ECG recording. This study evaluates the effect of an S3 captured by acoustic cardiography on emergency physician diagnostic accuracy and confidence in their diagnosis of acute decompensated heart failure, as well as the patient's prognosis. METHODS: Dyspneic ED patients older than 40 years who were not dialysis dependent were prospectively enrolled in this multinational study. Treating emergency physicians, initially blinded to all laboratory and acoustic cardiography results, estimated acute decompensated heart failure probability from 0% to 100% on a visual analog scale. The emergency physician repeated the visual analog scale after acoustic cardiography results were provided. Physician diagnostic accuracy for and confidence in acute decompensated heart failure were evaluated against a reference standard diagnosis, as determined by 2 independent cardiologists blinded to acoustic cardiography. Patients were followed through 90 days to determine the relationship of the S3 to adverse events. RESULTS: Nine hundred ninety-five patients with acoustic cardiography results were enrolled from March to October 2006 at 7 US and 2 international sites. Median age was 63 years, 55% were men, and 44% were white. The reference diagnosis was acute decompensated heart failure in 41.5%. After initial history and physical examination, the treating physician's initial sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy for acute decompensated heart failure as a possible diagnosis were 89.0% (95% confidence interval [CI] 85.5% to 91.8%), 58.2% (95% CI 54.0% to 62.2%), and 71.0% (95% CI 68.4% to 73.8%), respectively. Acoustic cardiography had an accuracy of 68% (95% CI 65.4% to 71.3%), sensitivity of 40.2% (95% CI 35.5% to 45.1%), and specificity of 88.5% (95% CI 85.5% to 90.9%). Emergency physician confidence and diagnostic accuracy were influenced by adding information about the presence or absence of S3. In a multivariable model, the S3 added no independent prognostic information for 30-day (odds ratio 1.20; 95% CI 0.67 to 2.14) or 90-day events (odds ratio 1.22; 95% CI 0.78 to 1.90). CONCLUSION: In patients presenting with acute dyspnea, the acoustic cardiography S3 was specific for acute decompensated heart failure and affected physician confidence but did not improve diagnostic accuracy for acute decompensated heart failure, largely because of its low sensitivity. Further, the acoustic cardiography S3 provided no significant independent prognostic information