Economic consequences of investing in anti-HCV antiviral treatment from the Italian NHS perspective : a real-world-based analysis of PITER data

OBJECTIVE: We estimated the cost consequence of Italian National Health System (NHS) investment in direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy according to hepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment access policies in Italy. METHODS: A multistate, 20-year time horizon Markov model of HCV liver disease progression was developed. Fibrosis stage, age and genotype distributions were derived from the Italian Platform for the Study of Viral Hepatitis Therapies (PITER) cohort. The treatment efficacy, disease progression probabilities and direct costs in each health state were obtained from the literature. The break-even point in time (BPT) was defined as the period of time required for the cumulative costs saved to recover the Italian NHS investment in DAA treatment. Three different PITER enrolment periods, which covered the full DAA access evolution in Italy, were considered. RESULTS: The disease stages of 2657 patients who consecutively underwent DAA therapy from January 2015 to December 2017 at 30 PITER clinical centres were standardized for 1000 patients. The investment in DAAs was considered to equal €25 million, €15 million, and €9 million in 2015, 2016, and 2017, respectively. For patients treated in 2015, the BPT was not achieved, because of the disease severity of the treated patients and high DAA prices. For 2016 and 2017, the estimated BPTs were 6.6 and 6.2 years, respectively. The total cost savings after 20 years were €50.13 and €55.50 million for 1000 patients treated in 2016 and 2017, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: This study may be a useful tool for public decision makers to understand how HCV clinical and epidemiological profiles influence the economic burden of HCV

A Randomized controlled trial of amantadine plus interferon-alpha2a vs. interferon-alpha alone in naive patients with chronic hepatitis C randomized according to the early virological response to interferon-alpha2a monotherapy

Background: An early virological response to interferon-α treatment is a strong predictor of sustained response, but it has never been exploited to stratify patients in clinical trials. Aim: To evaluate the efficacy of amantadine plus interferon-α compared with interferon alone in naive patients with chronic hepatitis C who were randomized on the basis of the early virological response to interferon-α. Methods: One hundred and eighty-one patients received recombinant interferon-α (3 MU three times weekly) for 2 months and 164 were evaluated for early (i.e. month 2) virological response. Hepatitis C virus (HCV) RNA-negative patients (n = 66) were randomized to receive 3 MU of interferon-α three times weekly, with or without amantadine (200 mg/day); HCV RNA-positive patients (n = 98) were randomized to receive 6 MU of interferon-α three times weekly, with or without amantadine (200 mg/day). HCV RNA-positive patients at 6 months discontinued treatment, and all others completed 12 months. Results: At month 6, HCV RNA-negative patients made up 54.2% of the interferon + amantadine group and 42.0% of the monotherapy group (P = 0.07). At month 12, HCV RNA-negative patients made up 38.5% of the interferon + amantadine group and 28.4% of the monotherapy group (N.S.). The sustained virological response rates were 21.6% and 20.9%, respectively (N.S.). Conclusion: The addition of amantadine does not enhance the sustained virological response to interferon-α in naive patients with chronic hepatitis C; however, an additive effect of amantadine occurs in the first 6 months, mainly in patients without an early response to monotherapy. Early response to interferon-α is a strong predictor of sustained virological response

A Simple rule to personalize standard dual therapy across all genotypes in naive chronic hepatitis C patients: the TT4 randomized trial

Background: Rapid and early virological responses to peginterferon-alpha and ribavirin are predictive of sustained virological response (SVR) in hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. We aimed at finding a simple rule to determine the shortest duration of dual therapy for all HCV genotypes, obtained by multiplying time to Initial Viral Response, IVR (first undetectable HCV-RNA) by 4 (Tailored Therapy-4, or TT4). Method: 267 naïve HCV-infected patients with compensated liver disease were randomized (2:1) to the TT4 (n = 180) or current standard-of-care (SoC, n = 87) and received peginterferon-alpha plus ribavirin. Patients with HCV-RNA decrease ≤2 log10 at week 12 or detectable HCV-RNA at week 24 discontinued treatment. Results: Both groups had comparable baseline characteristics, SVR rates were similar in the whole population (60.6% vs. 60.9%) and within each genotype subgroup (G1: 46.6% vs. 55.6%; G2: 90.2% vs. 94.4%; G3: 74.1% vs. 58.3%; G4: 45.8% vs. 33.3%). Relapse rate was higher in G1-TT4 than G1-SoC. Treatment duration in SVR patients was shorter in TT4 compared to SoC, both overall [25 ± 15 vs. 36 ± 12.1 weeks], and for subgroups: G1 [35.3 ± 16.7 vs. 47.3 ± 2.6 weeks], G2 [18.3 ± 7.5 vs. 24 ± 2.8 weeks], G3 [15.2 ± 8.7 vs. 22.8 ± 3 weeks] and G4 [26.9 ± 13 vs. 48 weeks]. Conclusions: In HCV-naive patients, TT4-rule treatment yields similar SVR rates compared to SoC but with shorter treatment duration and remarkable cost reduction.</br

High Efficacy and Safety of Flat-Dose Ribavirin Plus Sofosbuvir/Daclatasvir in Genotype 3 Cirrhotic Patients

Background/Aims: Patients with genotype 3 hepatitis C virus (G3-HCV) cirrhosis are very difficult to treat compared to patients with other HCV genotypes. The optimal treatment duration and drug regimen associated with ribavirin (RBV) remain unclear. To evaluate the efficacy and safety of daclatasvir (DCV)/sofosbuvir (SOF) plus a flat dose of 800 mg RBV (flat dose) compared to DCV/SOF without RBV or DCV/SOF plus an RBV dose based on body weight (weight-based) in G3-HCV patients with compensated or decompensated cirrhosis. Methods: We analyzed data for 233 G3 cirrhotic patients. Of these, 70 (30%), 87(37%) and 76 (33%) received SOF/DCV, SOF/DCV/RBV flat dose, and SOF/DCV/RBV weight-based dose, respectively. Treatment duration was 24 weeks. Sustained virological response (SVR) was evaluated at week 12 posttreatment (SVR12). Results: Overall, SVR12 was achieved in 220 out of 233 patients (94.4%). The SVR12 rate was lower in the DCV/SOF group than in the DCV/SOF/RBV flat-dose group and the DCV/SOF/RBV weight-based group (87.1% vs 97.7% and 97.4%, respectively, p=0.007). A higher incidence of anemia occurred in the DCV/SOF/RBV weight-based group compared to those in the other two groups (p<0.007). Conclusions: We found that the DCV/SOF/RBV flat-dose regimen is an effective treatment in terms of efficacy and safety in patients with G3-HCV compensated or decompensated cirrhosis. Therefore, antiviral regimens without RBV should be restricted only to naïve patients with G3-HCV compensated cirrhosis who have a clear contraindication for RBV