Homeownership and Unemployment: The Roles of Leverage and Public Housing

Oswald hypothesizes that regions and countries with high homeownership rates will experience higher natural rates of unemployment and that rising homeownership in OECD countries since the 1960s provides a key explanation for the rise in the natural rate of unemployment over the same time period. Recent tests of the Oswald thesis have found the opposite. This study differs from earlier ones both by considering different states of ownership (degrees of leverage) and types of tenancy (private, public, and rent-free) and by examining data from Australia, rather than the U.S. We demonstrate that the recent anti-Oswald results are the result of (1) highly leveraged owners having a greater incentive to remain employed and to become reemployed more rapidly that outright owners and (2) those paying below-market rents having a lower incentive to avoid unemployment or become reemployed than those paying market rents. The only positive Oswald result is that females who are outright owners have significantly slower exits from unemployment. Overall, homeownership does not increase unemployment. Finally, in line with expectations but in contrast to some earlier studies, our results indicate a significant impact of the predicted replacement ratio (unemployment benefits to wage if reemployed) on unemployment behavior. Persons with a higher predicted ratio are significantly more likely to become unemployed, and unemployed females with a higher predicted replacement ratio have longer unemployment spells than those with lower predicted ratios.

Exploring changes in patient experience with increasing practice size: observational study using data from the General Practice Patient Survey

Background For the last few years, English general practices, which are traditionally small, have been encouraged to work together to serve larger populations of registered patients, by merging or collaborating with each other. Meanwhile, patient surveys suggest worsening continuity of care and access to care. Aim To explore whether increasing size of practice population and working collaboratively are linked to changes in continuity of care or access to care. Design and setting Observational study in English general practice using data on patient experience, practice size and collaborative working Methods The main outcome measures were General Practice Patient Survey practice-level proportions of patients reporting positive experiences of access and relationship continuity of care. We compared change in proportions 2013-2018 among practices that had grown and those that had stayed about the same size. We also compared patients’ experiences by whether practices were working in close collaborations or not in 2018. Results. Practices that had grown in population size had a greater percentage fall in continuity of care, by 6.6% (95% confidence interval 4.3% to 8.9%) than practices that had stayed about the same size, after controlling for other factors. There was no similar difference in relation to access to care. Practices collaborating closely with others had marginally worse continuity of care than those not working in collaboration and no important differences in access. Conclusion Concerns that larger general practice size threatens continuity of care may be justified

Using satellite and reanalysis data to evaluate the representation of latent heating in extratropical cyclones in a climate model

Extratropical cyclones are a key feature of the weather in the extratropics, which climate models need to represent in order to provide reliable projections of future climate. Extratropical cyclones produce significant precipitation and the associated latent heat release can play a major role in their development. This study evaluates the ability of a climate model, HiGEM, to represent latent heating in extratropical cyclones. Remote sensing data is used to investigate the ability of both the climate model and ERA-Interim (ERAI) reanalysis to represent extratropical cyclone cloud features before latent heating itself is assessed. An offline radiance simulator, COSP, and the ISCCP and CloudSat datasets are used to evaluate comparable fields from HiGEM and ERAI. HiGEM is found to exhibit biases in the cloud structure of extratropical cyclones, with too much high cloud produced in the warm conveyor belt region compared to ISCCP. Significant latent heating occurs in this region, derived primarily from HiGEM’s convection scheme. ERAI is also found to exhibit biases in cloud structure, with more clouds at lower altitudes than those observed in ISCCP in the warm conveyor belt region. As a result, latent heat release in ERAI is concentrated at lower altitudes. CloudSat indicates that much precipitation may be produced at too low an altitude in both HiGEM and ERAI, particularly ERAI, and neither capture observed variability in precipitation intensity. The potential vorticity structure in composite extratropical cyclones in HiGEM and ERAI is also compared. A more pronounced tropopause ridge evolves in HiGEM on the leading edge of the composite as compared to ERAI. One future area of research to be addressed is what impact these biases in the representation of latent heating have on climate projections produced by HiGEM. The biases found in ERAI indicate caution is required when using reanalyses to study cloud features and precipitation processes in extratropical cyclones or using reanalysis to evaluate climate models’ ability to represent their structure

Upland Peatlands of Eastern Australia as Important Water Storage Reservoirs

The Greater Blue Mountains World Heritage Area contains over 5,000 ha of peat forming upland swamps (n = 1,858) and numerous freshwater lagoons and lakes such as the Thirlmere Lakes southwest of Sydney. These systems are well known for their water storage capacity, even during dry spells. Here we use peat depth measurements and water content calculations to quantify potential water storage capacity within Lake Baraba in the Thirlmere Lakes National Park. We fi nd that total water storage capacity of the peat in Lake Baraba is 150±17.3 ML. We also calculate total water storage of peat-forming upland swamps across the Blue Mountains World Heritage Area which totals ~60,600 ±33,500 ML. The implications of climate change and anthropogenic disturbance on the water storage and supply functions of these systems as part of the Sydney water supply catchment provides a strong case for their conservation

How Widespread Is Working at Scale in English General Practice? an Observational Study

Background Over the last five years, national policy has encouraged practices to serve populations of >30,000 people (called 'working at scale'), by collaborating with other practices. Aim To describe the number of English general practices working at scale, and their patient populations. Design and setting Observational study of general practice in England Methods We supplemented data published by the National Health Service on practices' self-reports of working in groups with data from reports by various organisations and websites of practice groups. We categorised practices by the extent to which they were working at scale, and examined age distribution of practice population, level of socioeconomic deprivation, rurality and prevalence of longstanding illness by these categories. Results About 55% English practices (serving 33 million patients) were working at scale, individually or collectively serving populations of >30,000 people. Organisations models representing close collaboration for the purposes of core general practice services were identifiable for ~5% of practices; these were: large practices; superpartnerships, and multisite organisations. About 50% of practices were working in looser forms of collaboration focusing on services beyond core general practice, e.g. primary care in the evenings and weekends. Data on organisations models and purpose of the collaboration were very limited for this group. Conclusions In early 2018, <5% of general practices were working closely at scale; about half of practices were working more loosely at scale. Data were, however, incomplete. Understanding what is happening at practice level is needed so that we can evaluate benefits and harms

The complex radio and X-ray structure in the nuclear regions of the active galaxy NGC1365

We present a multiwavelength analysis of the prominent active galaxy NGC1365, in particular looking at the radio and X-ray properties of the central regions of the galaxy. We analyse ROSAT observations of NGC1365, and discuss recent ASCA results. In addition to a number of point sources in the vicinity of NGC1365, we find a region of X-ray emission extending along the central bar of the galaxy, combined with an emission peak near the centre of the galaxy. This X-ray emission is centred on the optical/radio nucleus, but is spatially extended. The X-ray spectrum can be well fitted by a thermal plasma model, with kT=0.6-0.8keV and a low local absorbing column. The thermal spectrum is suggestive of starburst emission rather than emission from a central black-hole. The ATCA radio observations show a number of hotspots, located in a ring around a weak radio nucleus. Synchrotron emission from electrons accelerated by supernovae and supernova remnants (SNRs) is the likely origin of these hotspots. The radio nucleus has a steep spectrum, indicative perhaps of an AGN or SNRs. The evidence for a jet emanating from the nucleus is at best marginal. The extent of the radio ring is comparable to the extended central X-ray source.Comment: 13 pages, 5 figures, to be published in MNRA

Spatially Resolved Stellar Spectroscopy of the Ultra-diffuse Galaxy Dragonfly 44. III. Evidence for an Unexpected Star-Formation History

We use the Keck Cosmic Web Imager integral-field unit spectrograph to: 1) measure the global stellar population parameters for the ultra-diffuse galaxy (UDG) Dragonfly 44 (DF44) to much higher precision than previously possible for any UDG, and 2) for the first time measure spatially-resolved stellar population parameters of a UDG. We find that DF44 falls below the mass--metallicity relation established by canonical dwarf galaxies both in and beyond the Local Group. We measure a flat radial age gradient ($m_{\rm age} \sim +0.01_{-0.08}^{+0.07}$ log Gyr kpc$^{-1}$) and a flat-to-positive metallicity gradient ($m_{\rm [Fe/H]} \sim +0.08_{-0.11}^{+0.11}$ dex kpc$^{-1}$), which are inconsistent with the gradients measured in similarly pressure-supported dwarf galaxies. We also measure a flat-to-negative [Mg/Fe] gradient ($m_{\rm [Mg/Fe]} \sim -0.18_{-0.17}^{+0.17}$ dex kpc$^{-1}$) such that the central $1.5$ kpc of DF44 has stellar population parameters comparable to metal-poor globular clusters. Overall, DF44 does not have internal properties similar to other dwarf galaxies and is inconsistent with it having been puffed up through a prolonged, bursty star-formation history, as suggested by some simulations. Rather, the evidence indicates that DF44 experienced an intense epoch of "inside-out" star formation and then quenched early and catastrophically, such that star-formation was cut off more quickly than in canonical dwarf galaxies.Comment: Accepted to Ap

Still at Odds with Conventional Galaxy Evolution: The Star Formation History of Ultra-Diffuse Galaxy Dragonfly 44

We study the star formation history (SFH) of the ultra-diffuse galaxy (UDG) Dragonfly 44 (DF44) based on the simultaneous fit to near-ultraviolet to near-infrared photometry and high signal-to-noise optical spectroscopy. In fitting the observations we adopt an advanced physical model with a flexible SFH, and we discuss the results in the context of the degeneracies between stellar population parameters. Through reconstructing the mass-assembly history with a prior for extended star formation (akin to methods in the literature) we find that DF44 formed 90 per cent of its stellar mass by $z\sim 0.9$ ($\sim 7.2$ Gyr ago). In comparison, using a prior that prefers concentrated star formation (as informed by previous studies of DF44's stellar populations) suggests that DF44 formed as early as $z\sim 8$ ($\sim 12.9$ Gyr ago). Regardless of whether DF44 is old or very old, the SFHs imply early star formation and rapid quenching. This result, together with DF44's large size and evidence that it is on its first infall into the Coma cluster, challenges UDG formation scenarios from simulations that treat all UDGs as contiguous with the canonical dwarf population. While our results cannot confirm any particular formation scenario, we can conclude from this that DF44 experienced a rare quenching event.Comment: 25 pages, 15 figures. Accepted for publication in MNRA

Mid-Infrared Imaging of Active Galaxies: Active Nuclei and Embedded Star Clusters

High resolution, mid-infrared (MIR) images of a set of nine nearby active galaxies are presented. The data were obtained with the TIMMI2 instrument mounted at the ESO 3.6m telescope using a set of N-band narrow filters. The resulting images have an angular resolution of 0.6"-1". The MIR emission has been resolved in four galaxies: NGC253, NGC1365, NGC1808 and NGC7469. The images unveil a circumnuclear population of unknown MIR sources in NGC1365 and NGC1808, coincident with radio sources. These MIR/radio sources are interpreted in terms of embedded young star clusters. A high-resolution MIR map of NGC253 is also presented, and enables the identification of a previously unknown MIR counterpart to the radio nucleus. Extended MIR emission is detected in NGC7469, and concurs with previous observations in the NIR and radio. For this source, an interesting morphological difference between the 10.4mic and the 11.9mic emission is observed, suggesting the presence of a dust-rich micro-bar. Our MIR images of Circinus do not show resolved emission from the nucleus down to an angular scale of 0.5". In the case of NGC2992, an upper limit to the extended MIR emission can be set. Finally, we provide new MIR flux measurements for the unresolved AGN in NGC5995, IZw1 and IIZw136.Comment: 19 pages, 11 figures, accepted for publication in A&