Zooming in : from aggregate volatility to income distribution

In contrast with a growing literature on the drivers of aggregate volatility in developing countries, its consequences in terms of individual incomes have received less attention. This paper looks at the impact of cyclical output fluctuations and extreme output events (crises) on unemployment, poverty, and inequality. The authors find robust evidence that aggregate volatility has a regressive, asymmetric, and non linear impact, as reflected in the strong influence of extreme output drops. The findings show that, in addition to the mitigating role of personal wealth, public expenditure and labor protection exert a similar benign effect. These findings are in line with the income substitutions view of social safety nets, and cast a new light on the value of social programs and labor market regulation in crisis prone developing countries.Economic Conditions and Volatility,Emerging Markets,Economic Theory&Research,Inequality,

A Multi-disciplinary Overview of Chagas in Periurban Peru

There are between 8 and 11 million cases of America Human Trypanosomiasis, commonly known as Chagas disease, in Latin America. Chagas is endemic in southern Peru, especially the Arequipa region, where it has expanded from poor, rural areas to periurban communities. This paper summarizes the findings of four studies in periurban Arequipa: on determinants of disease-vector infestation; on prevalence, spatial patterns, and risk factors of Chagas; on links between migration, settlement patterns, and disease-vector infestation; and on the relationship between discordant test results and spatially clustered transmission hotspots. These studies identified two risk factors associated with the disease: population dynamics and the urbanization of poverty. Understanding the disease within this new urban context will allow for improved public health prevention efforts and policy initiatives. Discovered in 1909 by Brazilian physician Carlos Chagas, American Human Trypanosomiasis is a chronic and potentially life-threatening illness found throughout Latin America (Moncayo, 2003). Indeed, it is estimated that there are between 8 and 11 million cases in Mexico and Central and South America (Centers for Disease Control [CDC], 2009). Chagas disease, as it is most commonly known, is endemic in southern Peru, especially in the region of Arequipa. Once thought to be limited to poor, rural areas, the disease is now appearing in the periurban communities that surround Arequipa City, the capital of the region (Cornejo del Carpio, 2003). Understanding the urbanization of Chagas disease will allow public health and medical professionals to better combat the further transmission of the disease. After providing an overview of Chagas and introducing the scope of the disease in Latin America, this paper will summarize the findings of four recent studies conducted in periurban districts in Arequipa. Ultimately, this paper seeks to identify the risk factors associated with Chagas infection in Arequipa’s periurban communities

Gate-controlled Guiding of Electrons in Graphene

Ballistic semiconductor structures have allowed the realization of optics-like phenomena in electronics, including magnetic focusing and lensing. An extension that appears unique to graphene is to use both n and p carrier types to create electronic analogs of optical devices having both positive and negative indices of refraction. Here, we use gate-controlled density with both p and n carrier types to demonstrate the analog of the fiber-optic guiding in graphene. Two basic effects are investigated: (1) bipolar p-n junction guiding, based on the principle of angle-selective transmission though the graphene p-n interface, and (2) unipolar fiber-optic guiding, using total internal reflection controlled by carrier density. Modulation of guiding efficiency through gating is demonstrated and compared to numerical simulations, which indicates that interface roughness limits guiding performance, with few-nanometer effective roughness extracted. The development of p-n and fiber-optic guiding in graphene may lead to electrically reconfigurable wiring in high-mobility devices.Comment: supplementary materal at http://marcuslab.harvard.edu/papers/OG_SI.pd

Is Participation Contagious? Evidence From a Household Vector Control Campaign in Urban Peru

Objective: High rates of household participation are critical to the success of door-to-door vector control campaigns. We used the Health Belief Model to assess determinants of participation, including neighbour participation as a cue to action, in a Chagas disease vector control campaign in Peru. Methods: We evaluated clustering of participation among neighbours; estimated participation as a function of household infestation status, neighbourhood type and number of participating neighbours; and described the reported reasons for refusal to participate in a district of 2911 households. Results: We observed significant clustering of participation along city blocks (p\u3c0.0001). Participation was significantly higher for households in new versus established neighbourhoods, for infested households, and for households with more participating neighbours. The effect of neighbour participation was greater in new neighbourhoods. Conclusions: Results support a ‘contagion’ model of participation, highlighting the possibility that one or two participating households can tip a block towards full participation. Future campaigns can leverage these findings by making participation more visible, by addressing stigma associated with spraying, and by employing group incentives to spray

Correlation and Diagnosis of Human Papilloma Virus (HPV) Manifestations in Male or Female Genitalia and Oral Cavity

The prevalence of the human papilloma virus (HPV) in the oral cavity and oropharynx has not been well elucidated yet. The aim of this study was to correlate the concomitance of prevalence of HPV in genitalia of men and women with or without HIV/Aids, having manifestations in the oral cavity. Dentist’s (DS) attention is justified by the increase in Condylomata acuminatum in the oral cavity and the possible correlation of manifestations in patients´ genitalia. When associated with seropositivity for HIV/Aids, it becomes an important cofactor increasing the possibility of manifestations of the disease in view of the diminished immunity of these patients. The prevalence and concomitance of the percentage of C. acuminatum lesions in genitalia were correlated with those in the oral cavity by using the following variables: gender, age, skin color, category of exposure, habits, general and oral diseases, presence or absence of xerostomia, T-CD4 lymphocytes, and viral load. The results showed the prevalence of 7 (17.95%) for those who presented concomitant genital/oral lesions. Both the experience and results must become public, aiming to disseminate knowledge about the degree of complexity of the epidemic and need for preventive measures to ameliorate propagation of the disease in the population

Serum soluble-Fas is a predictor of red blood cell transfusion in critically ill patients

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the relation between the need for red blood cell transfusion and serum levels of soluble-Fas, erythropoietin and inflammatory cytokines in critically ill patients with and without acute kidney injury. METHODS: We studied critically ill patients with acute kidney injury (n=30) and without acute kidney injury (n=13), end-stage renal disease patients on hemodialysis (n=25) and healthy subjects (n=21). Serum levels of soluble-Fas, erythropoietin, interleukin 6, interleukin 10, iron status, hemoglobin and hematocrit concentration were analyzed in all groups. The association between these variables in critically ill patients was investigated. RESULTS: Critically ill patients (acute kidney injury and non-acute kidney injury patients) had higher serum levels of erythropoietin than the other groups. Hemoglobin concentration was lower in the acute kidney injury patients than in other groups. Serum soluble-Fas levels were higher in acute kidney injury and end-stage renal disease patients. Critically ill patients requiring red blood cell transfusions had higher serum levels of soluble-Fas (5,906±2,047 and 1,920±1,060; p<0.001), interleukin 6 (518±537 and 255+502; p=0.02) and interleukin 10 (35.8±30.7 and 18.5±10.9; p=0.02), better iron status and higher mortality rates in the first 28 days in intensive care unit. Serum soluble-Fas levels were independently associated with the number of red blood cell units transfused (p=0.02). Serum soluble-Fas behaved as an independent predictor of the need for red blood cell transfusion in critically ill patients (p=0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Serum soluble-Fas level is an independent predictor of the need for red blood cell transfusion in critically ill patients with or without acute kidney injury. Further studies are warranted to reconfirm this finding.OBJETIVO: Investigar a relação entre a transfusão de hemácias e os níveis séricos de Fas solúvel, eritropoietina e citocinas inflamatórias em pacientes gravemente enfermos, com e sem insuficiência renal aguda. MÉTODOS: Os seguintes grupos foram estudados: pacientes gravemente enfermos com insuficiência renal aguda (n=30) e sem insuficiência renal aguda (n=13), pacientes portadores de doença renal crônica terminal em hemodiálise (n=25) e indivíduos saudáveis (n=21). Os níveis séricos de Fas solúvel, eritropoietina, interleucina 6, interleucina 10 e ferro, além da concentração de hemoglobina e de hematócrito, foram analisados em todos os grupos. A associação entre tais variáveis foram estudadas nos pacientes gravemente enfermos. RESULTADOS: Os níveis séricos de eritropoietina mostraram-se mais elevados nos pacientes gravemente enfermos do que nos dos demais grupos. Concentrações mais baixas de hemoglobina foram documentadas nos pacientes com insuficiência renal aguda em relação aos demais. Níveis séricos mais elevados de Fas solúvel foram observados nos pacientes com insuficiência renal aguda e doença renal crônica terminal. Pacientes gravemente enfermos transfundidos apresentaram níveis séricos mais elevados de Fas solúvel (5.906±2.047 e 1.920±1.060; p<0,001), interleucina 6 (518±537 e 255±502; p=0,02), interleucina 10 (35,8±30,7 e 18,5±10,9; p=0,02) e ferro, além de maior mortalidade em 28 dias. Os níveis séricos de Fas solúvel mostraram-se independentemente associados ao número de transfusões (p=0,02). O nível sérico de Fas solúvel foi um preditor independente da necessidade de transfusão de hemácias em pacientes gravemente enfermos (p=0,01). CONCLUSÃO: O nível sérico de Fas solúvel é um preditor independente da necessidade de transfusão de hemácias em pacientes gravemente enfermos, com ou sem insuficiência renal aguda. Mais estudos clínicos e laboratoriais são necessários para confirmar tal resultado.Universidade Federal de São Paulo (UNIFESP)Hospital Israelita Albert EinsteinUNIFESPSciEL

ArboAlvo: método de estratificação da receptividade territorial às arboviroses urbanas

OBJECTIVE: To present the urban arboviruses (dengue, zika and chikungunya) stratification methodology by the territorial receptivity Index, an instrument for the surveillance and control of these diseases, which considers the heterogeneity of an intra-municipal territory. METHODS: Ecological study that uses as unit of analysis the areas covered by health centers in Belo Horizonte. For the development of a territorial receptivity index, indicators of socio-environmental determination of urban arboviruses were selected in order to integrate the analysis of main components. The resulting components were weighted by the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and combined via map algebra. RESULTS: The territorial receptivity index showed great heterogeneity of urban infrastructure conditions. The areas classified with high and very high receptivity correspond to approximately 33% of the occupied area and are mainly concentrated in the administrative planning regions of East, Northeast, North, West, and Barreiro, especially in areas surrounding the municipality. When the density of dengue cases and Aedes eggs, from 2016, were superimposed with the stratification by the index of territorial receptivity to urban arboviruses, areas of very high receptivity had a high density of cases and Aedes eggs – higher than that observed in other areas of the city, which corresponds to a very small percentage of the municipal territory (13.5%). CONCLUSION: The analyses indicate the need for the development of adequate surveillance and control actions for each context, overcoming the logic of homogeneous allocation throughout the territory.OBJETIVO: Apresentar a metodologia de estratificação das arboviroses urbanas (dengue, zika e chikungunya) pelo índice de receptividade territorial, instrumento de vigilância e controle dessas doenças que considera a heterogeneidade territorial intramunicipal. MÉTODOS: Estudo ecológico que utiliza como unidade de análise as áreas de abrangência dos centros de saúde de Belo Horizonte (MG). Para a construção do índice de receptividade territorial foram selecionados indicadores de determinação socioambiental das arboviroses urbanas a fim de integrar à análise de componentes principais. As componentes resultantes foram ponderadas por análise de processos hierárquicos (AHP) e agregadas por meio de álgebra de mapas. RESULTADOS: O índice de receptividade territorial evidenciou grande heterogeneidade das condições de infraestrutura urbana. As áreas classificadas como alta e muito alta receptividade correspondem a aproximadamente 33% da área ocupada e se concentram sobretudo nas regiões de planejamento administrativo Leste, Nordeste, Norte, Oeste e Barreiro, principalmente em áreas limítrofes do município. Quando sobrepostas à densidade de casos de dengue e de ovos de Aedes em 2016, a estratificação pelo índice de receptividade territorial às arboviroses urbanas demonstra que áreas de muito alta receptividade apresentam uma densidade de casos, bem como de ovos de Aedes superior àquela observada nas demais áreas da cidade, o que corresponde a um percentual bastante reduzido do território municipal (13,5%). CONCLUSÕES: As análises indicam a necessidade do desenvolvimento de ações de vigilância e controle adequadas para cada contexto, superando, assim, a lógica de alocação homogênea em todo o território

Azimuthal anisotropy of neutral pion production in Au+Au collisions at sqrt(s_NN) = 200 GeV: Path-length dependence of jet quenching and the role of initial geometry

We have measured the azimuthal anisotropy of pi0's for 1 < pT < 18 GeV/c for Au+Au collisions at sqrt s_NN = 200 GeV. The observed anisotropy shows a gradual decrease in 3 < pT < 7 - 10 GeV/c, but remains positive beyond 10 GeV/c. The magnitude of this anisotropy is under-predicted, up to at least 10 GeV/c, by current perturbative QCD (pQCD) energy-loss model calculations. An estimate of the increase in anisotropy expected from initial-geometry modification due to gluon saturation effects and initial-geometry fluctuations is insufficient to account for this discrepancy. Calculations which implement a path length dependence steeper than what is implied by current pQCD energy-loss models, show reasonable agreement with the data.Comment: 384 authors, 6 pages text, 3 figures. Submitted to Phys. Rev. Lett. Plain text data tables for the points plotted in figures for this and previous PHENIX publications are (or will be) publicly available at http://www.phenix.bnl.gov/papers.htm

Dipolar cortico-muscular electrical stimulation: a novel method that enhances motor function in both - normal and spinal cord injured mice

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>Electrical stimulation of the central and peripheral nervous systems is a common tool that is used to improve functional recovery after neuronal injury.</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>Here we described a new configuration of electrical stimulation as it was tested in anesthetized control and spinal cord injury (SCI) mice. Constant voltage output was delivered through two electrodes. While the negative voltage output (ranging from -1.8 to -2.6 V) was delivered to the muscle via transverse wire electrodes (diameter, 500 μm) located at opposite ends of the muscle, the positive output (ranging from + 2.4 to +3.2 V) was delivered to the primary motor cortex (M1) (electrode tip, 100 μm). The configuration was named dipolar cortico-muscular stimulation (dCMS) and consisted of 100 pulses (1 ms pulse duration, 1 Hz frequency).</p> <p>Results</p> <p>In SCI animals, after dCMS, cortically-elicited muscle contraction improved markedly at the contralateral (456%) and ipsilateral (457%) gastrocnemius muscles. The improvement persisted for the duration of the experiment (60 min). The enhancement of cortically-elicited muscle contraction was accompanied by the reduction of M1 maximal threshold and the potentiation of spinal motoneuronal evoked responses at the contralateral (313%) and ipsilateral (292%) sides of the spinal cord. Moreover, spontaneous activity recorded from single spinal motoneurons was substantially increased contralaterally (121%) and ipsilaterally (54%). Interestingly, spinal motoneuronal responses and muscle twitches evoked by the test stimulation of non-treated M1 (received no dCMS) were significantly enhanced as well. Similar results obtained from normal animals albeit the changes were relatively smaller.</p> <p>Conclusion</p> <p>These findings demonstrated that dCMS could improve functionality of corticomotoneuronal pathway and thus it may have therapeutic potential.</p

Reducing overcrowding in an emergency department: a pilot study

OBJETIVO Explorar o uso de modelos de previsão e ferramentas de simulação para estimar a demanda e reduzir o tempo de espera dos pacientes em Departamentos de Emergência (DE). METODOLOGIA A análise foi baseada em dados coletados em maio de 2013, no DE do Recanto das Emas, Distrito Federal, Brasil, que utiliza o Protocolo de Manchester como sistema de triagem. Um total de 100 pacientes consecutivos foram incluídos: 70 amarelos (70%) e 30 verdes (30%). Padrões de fluxo, tempo de espera observado e tempos entre as chegadas dos pacientes foram registrados. Mapas de processo, demanda e dados de capacidade foram utilizados na construção de uma simulação que foi calibrada de acordo com o fluxo observado. Uma análise do tipo “e se...” foi conduzida para reduzir os tempos de espera. RESULTADOS Os padrões de tempo de chegada para pacientes verdes e amarelos foram semelhantes, mas os tempos entre chegadas foram 5 e 38 minutos, respectivamente. O tempo de espera foi de 14 minutos para pacientes amarelos e 4 horas para pacientes verdes. A equipe médica era composta por quatro médicos por turno. Uma simulação previu que a inclusão de mais um médico por turno reduziria o tempo de espera para 2,5 horas para pacientes verdes, com um impacto pequeno no tempo de espera dos pacientes amarelos. A manutenção de quatro médicos e a inclusão de um médico exclusivamente para pacientes verdes reduziria o tempo de espera para 1,5 horas para pacientes verdes e aumentaria em 15 minutos para os pacientes amarelos. O melhor cenário simulado utilizou cinco médicos por plantão, com dois médicos exclusivos para pacientes verdes. CONCLUSÃO Os tempos de espera podem ser reduzidos equilibrando a distribuição de médicos para pacientes verdes e amarelos e relacionando a disponibilidade dos médicos aos padrões de demanda previstos. Simulações de DE podem ser utilizadas para gerar e testar soluções para diminuir a superlotação.OBJECTIVE Exploring the use of forecasting models and simulation tools to estimate demand and reduce the waiting time of patients in Emergency Departments (EDs). METHODS The analysis was based on data collected in May 2013 in the ED of Recanto das Emas, Federal District, Brasil, which uses a Manchester Triage System. A total of 100 consecutive patients were included: 70 yellow (70%) and 30 green (30%). Flow patterns, observed waiting time, and inter-arrival times of patients were collected. Process maps, demand, and capacity data were used to build a simulation, which was calibrated against the observed flow times. What-if analysis was conducted to reduce waiting times. RESULTS Green and yellow patient arrival-time patterns were similar, but inter-arrival times were 5 and 38 minutes, respectively. Wait-time was 14 minutes for yellow patients, and 4 hours for green patients. The physician staff comprised four doctors per shift. A simulation predicted that allocating one more doctor per shift would reduce wait-time to 2.5 hours for green patients, with a small impact in yellow patients’ wait-time. Maintaining four doctors and allocating one doctor exclusively for green patients would reduce the waiting time to 1.5 hours for green patients and increase it in 15 minutes for yellow patients. The best simulation scenario employed five doctors per shift, with two doctors exclusively for green patients. CONCLUSION Waiting times can be reduced by balancing the allocation of doctors to green and yellow patients and matching the availability of doctors to forecasted demand patterns. Simulations of EDs’ can be used to generate and test solutions to decrease overcrowding