OUTLOOK FOR U.S. TOBACCO

Demand and Price Analysis,

Creative Destruction, Economic Insecurity, Stress and Epidemic Obesity

The percentage of Americans who are obese has doubled since 1980. Most attempts to explain this "obesity epidemic" have been found inadequate, including the "Big Two" (the increased availability of inexpensive food and the decline of physical exertion). This article explores the possibility that the obesity epidemic is substantially due to growing insecurity, stress, and a sense of powerlessness in modern society where high-sugar and high-fat foods are increasingly omnipresent. Those suffering these conditions may suffer less control over other domains of their lives. Insecurity and stress have been found to increase the desire for high-fat and high sugar foods. After exploring the evidence of a link between stress and obesity, the increasing pace of capitalism's creative destruction and its generation of greater insecurity and stress are addressed. The article ends with reflections on how epidemic obesity is symptomatic of a social mistake –- the seeking of maximum efficiency and economic growth even in societies where the fundamental problem of material security has been solved.Social gradient obesity, endogenous preferences, cortisol, inequality, thrifty genes, rational choice model

TOBACCO AND THE ECONOMY: FARMS, JOBS, AND COMMUNITIES

Public health policies intended to reduce the incidence of smoking-related disease adversely affect thousands of tobacco farmers, manufacturers, and other businesses that produce, distribute, and sell tobacco products. This report assesses the likely impacts of declining tobacco demand, and identifies the types of workers, farms, businesses, and communities that are most vulnerable to loss of tobacco income and jobs. The dollar impact on the farm sector of a reduction in cigarette demand will be smaller than that experienced by manufacturing, wholesale, retail, and transportation businesses, but tobacco farms and their communities may have the most difficulty adjusting. Many tobacco farmers lack good alternatives to tobacco, and they have tobacco-specific equipment, buildings, and experience. Most communities will make the transition to a smaller tobacco industry with little difficulty, because tobacco accounts for a small share of the local economy. However, a number of counties depend on tobacco for a significant share of local income.Community/Rural/Urban Development, Crop Production/Industries,

Differences between men and women in percentage of body weight supported during push-up exercise

International Journal of Exercise Science 7(2) : 161-168, 2014. The purpose of this study was to investigate the effects of push-up method (standard vs modified) and gender on percentage of body weight supported. Thirty seven men and women completed five push-ups in the standard (SPU) and modified (MPU) positions, and 5-sec hold (static) in the up (elbow extension) and down (elbow flexion) positions. Vertical ground reaction forces (expressed as load relative to body weight) were measured using force platforms. From a video-captured image, a computer software distance tool measured vertical range of motion (ROM) achieved in the down position expressed as a percentage of full vertical ROM. Maximal relative load was greater in men than women (SPU: 97.7 ± 8.1% vs 80.0 ± 3.9%; MPU: 79.7 ± 7.4% vs 68.2 ± 3.0%, p \u3c .0001) with a greater effect during SPU (p \u3c .0001). In the static up position, relative load did not differ between men and women (SPU: 67.0 ± 3.8% vs 65.1 ± 3.1%; MPU: 52.5 ± 3.7% vs 51.5 ± 3.1%); however, relative load was greater in men during the static down position (SPU: 74.6 ± 3.6 vs 70.3 ± 3.1%; MPU: 60.1 ± 4.5 vs 56.6 ± 2.7%, p \u3c .0001). Percentage of full vertical ROM was greater in men than women (SPU: 67.7 ± 6.1% vs 50.1 ± 11.4%; MPU: 66.6 ± 6.9% vs 60.1 ± 8.9%, p = .001). These data indicate that women perform the push-up with less relative load and ROM, likely due to gender differences in movement patterns which can be altered by fatigue

Random percolation as a gauge theory

Three-dimensional bond or site percolation theory on a lattice can be interpreted as a gauge theory in which the Wilson loops are viewed as counters of topological linking with random clusters. Beyond the percolation threshold large Wilson loops decay with an area law and show the universal shape effects due to flux tube quantum fluctuations like in ordinary confining gauge theories. Wilson loop correlators define a non-trivial spectrum of physical states of increasing mass and spin, like the glueballs of ordinary gauge theory. The crumbling of the percolating cluster when the length of one periodic direction decreases below a critical threshold accounts for the finite temperature deconfinement, which belongs to 2-D percolation universality class.Comment: 20 pages, 14 figure

Nature of phase transition in magnetic thin films

We study the critical behavior of magnetic thin films as a function of the film thickness. We use the ferromagnetic Ising model with the high-resolution multiple histogram Monte Carlo (MC) simulation. We show that though the 2D behavior remains dominant at small thicknesses, there is a systematic continuous deviation of the critical exponents from their 2D values. We observe that in the same range of varying thickness the deviation of the exponent $\nu$ is very small from its 2D value, while exponent $\beta$ suffers a larger deviation. Moreover, as long as the film thickness is fixed, i. e. no finite size scaling is done in the $z$ direction perpendicular to the film, the 3D values of the critical exponents cannot be attained even with very large (but fixed) thickness. The crossover to 3D universality class cannot therefore take place without finite size scaling applied in the $z$ direction, in the limit of numerically accessible thicknesses. From values of exponent $\alpha$ obtained by MC, we estimate the effective dimension of the system. We conclude that with regard to the critical behavior, thin films behave as systems with effective dimension between 2 and 3.Comment: 8 pages, 17 figures, submitted to Phys. Rev.

Deconfinement transition and dimensional cross-over in the 3D gauge Ising model

We present a high precision Monte Carlo study of the finite temperature $Z_2$ gauge theory in 2+1 dimensions. The duality with the 3D Ising spin model allows us to use powerful cluster algorithms for the simulations. For temporal extensions up to $N_t=16$ we obtain the inverse critical temperature with a statistical accuracy comparable with the most accurate results for the bulk phase transition of the 3D Ising model. We discuss the predictions of T. W. Capehart and M.E. Fisher for the dimensional crossover from 2 to 3 dimensions. Our precise data for the critical exponents and critical amplitudes confirm the Svetitsky-Yaffe conjecture. We find deviations from Olesen's prediction for the critical temperature of about 20%.Comment: latex file of 21 pages plus 1 ps figure. Minor corrections in the figure. Text unchange

Dimensional Crossover in the Large N Limit

We consider dimensional crossover for an $O(N)$ Landau-Ginzburg-Wilson model on a $d$-dimensional film geometry of thickness $L$ in the large $N$-limit. We calculate the full universal crossover scaling forms for the free energy and the equation of state. We compare the results obtained using ``environmentally friendly'' renormalization with those found using a direct, non-renormalization group approach. A set of effective critical exponents are calculated and scaling laws for these exponents are shown to hold exactly, thereby yielding non-trivial relations between the various thermodynamic scaling functions.Comment: 25 pages of PlainTe