Model Integration and Coupling in A Hydroinformatics System

Source: ICHE Conference Archive - https://mdi-de.baw.de/icheArchiv

Temporal and spatial analysis of the 2014-2015 Ebola virus outbreak in West Africa

West Africa is currently witnessing the most extensive Ebola virus (EBOV) outbreak so far recorded. Until now, there have been 27,013 reported cases and 11,134 deaths. The origin of the virus is thought to have been a zoonotic transmission from a bat to a two-year-old boy in December 2013 (ref. 2). From this index case the virus was spread by human-to-human contact throughout Guinea, Sierra Leone and Liberia. However, the origin of the particular virus in each country and time of transmission is not known and currently relies on epidemiological analysis, which may be unreliable owing to the difficulties of obtaining patient information. Here we trace the genetic evolution of EBOV in the current outbreak that has resulted in multiple lineages. Deep sequencing of 179 patient samples processed by the European Mobile Laboratory, the first diagnostics unit to be deployed to the epicentre of the outbreak in Guinea, reveals an epidemiological and evolutionary history of the epidemic from March 2014 to January 2015. Analysis of EBOV genome evolution has also benefited from a similar sequencing effort of patient samples from Sierra Leone. Our results confirm that the EBOV from Guinea moved into Sierra Leone, most likely in April or early May. The viruses of the Guinea/Sierra Leone lineage mixed around June/July 2014. Viral sequences covering August, September and October 2014 indicate that this lineage evolved independently within Guinea. These data can be used in conjunction with epidemiological information to test retrospectively the effectiveness of control measures, and provides an unprecedented window into the evolution of an ongoing viral haemorrhagic fever outbreak.status: publishe

A generalized theory for full microtremor horizontal-to-vertical [H/V(z, f)] spectral ratio interpretation in offshore and onshore environments

Advances in the field of seismic interferometry have provided a basic theoretical interpretation to the full spectrum of the microtremor horizontal-to-vertical spectral ratio [H/V(f)]. The interpretation has been applied to ambient seismic noise data recorded both at the surface and at depth. The new algorithm, based on the diffuse wavefield assumption, has been used in inversion schemes to estimate seismic wave velocity profiles that are useful input information for engineering and exploration seismology both for earthquake hazard estimation and to characterize surficial sediments. However, until now, the developed algorithms are only suitable for on land environments with no offshore consideration. Here, the microtremor H/V(z, f) modelling is extended for applications to marine sedimentary environments for a 1-D layered medium. The layer propagator matrix formulation is used for the computation of the required Green's functions. Therefore, in the presence of a water layer on top, the propagator matrix for the uppermost layer is defined to account for the properties of the water column. As an application example we analyse eight simple canonical layered earth models. Frequencies ranging from 0.2 to 50 Hz are considered as they cover a broad wavelength interval and aid in practice to investigate subsurface structures in the depth range from a few meters to a few hundreds of meters. Results show a marginal variation of 8 per cent at most for the fundamental frequency when a water layer is present. The water layer leads to variations in H/V peak amplitude of up to 50 per cent atop the solid layers. © The Author(s) 2019

Clustering coefficient and periodic orbits in flow networks

We show that the clustering coefficient, a standard measure in network theory, when applied to flow networks, i.e., graph representations of fluid flows in which links between nodes represent fluid transport between spatial regions, identifies approximate locations of periodic trajectories in the flow system. This is true for steady flows and for periodic ones in which the time interval τ used to construct the network is the period of the flow or a multiple of it. In other situations, the clustering coefficient still identifies cyclic motion between regions of the fluid. Besides the fluid context, these ideas apply equally well to general dynamical systems. By varying the value of τ used to construct the network, a kind of spectroscopy can be performed so that the observation of high values of mean clustering at a value of τ reveals the presence of periodic orbits of period 3τ , which impact phase space significantly. These results are illustrated with examples of increasing complexity, namely, a steady and a periodically perturbed model two-dimensional fluid flow, the three-dimensional Lorenz system, and the turbulent surface flow obtained from a numerical model of circulation in the Mediterranean sea. The Lagrangian description of fluid dynamics, which focuses on the motion of the fluid particles as they are advected by the flow, provides a useful bridge between the theory of dynamical systems and the analysis of fluid transport and mixing, so that techniques and results can be transferred from one field to the other. Modern network theory has also been brought into contact with fluid dynamics and dynamical systems through the concept of flow networks, in which the motion of fluid particles between different regions is represented by links in a graph. In this paper, we use the flow network framework to show that the clustering coefficient, a standard measure in network theory, identifies periodic orbits, fundamental objects in the theory of dynamical systems, and is also of importance in the context of fluid motion.We acknowledge the financial support from Spanish Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad and Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional under grants LAOP, CTM2015-66407-P (MINECO/FEDER) and ESOTECOS projects FIS2015-63628-C2-1-R (MINECO/FEDER), FIS2015-63628-C2-2-R (MINECO/FEDER), and from the program “Investissements d'Avenir” launched by the French Government and implemented by ANR under grants ANR-10-LABX-54 MEMOLIFE and ANR-11-IDEX-0001-02 PSL* Research University.N