45 research outputs found

    A global geochemical database for environmental and resource management : recommendations for International Geochemical Mapping, final report of IGCP Project 259

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    Research conducted since 1988 as part of the International Geochemical Mapping (IGM) project has confirmed that the presently available data concerning the geochemical composition of the Earth’s surface are substantially incomplete and internally inconsistent. Many of the older data sets have serious deficiencies and do not meet basic requirements for establishing the range of natural geochemical background values. As a result of natural geological and environmental processes, element abundances in natural materials can vary by several orders of magnitude within short distances. These variations are inadequately documented and their existence is often overlooked in the setting of public policy. A high quality geochemical database is pertinent to a wide range of investigations in the earth and life sciences, and should be considered as an essential component of environmental knowledge. Detailed information about the natural variability of the geochemical background is pertinent to administrative and legal issues as much as to scientific research. Sustainable long-term management of environmental and mineral resources is dependent upon a comprehensive and reliable database. The International Geosphere-Biosphere Program on Global Change requires information on current conditions. Important aspects of change cannot be measured, or their consequences anticipated, unless the present composition of the earth’s surface materials is known. The International Geochemical Mapping project, which was endorsed in 1988 as a contribution to the IGBP (IGBP, 1989), is a multi-stage project established to consider how best to provide quantitative data to portray the geochemical diversity of the earth’s land surface. Participants in IGCP 259 have undertaken a comprehensive review of methods of regional and national geochemical mapping and examined the results obtained. Many problems have been identified and a variety of solutions discussed. Field and laboratory research has been carried out. The resulting recommendations are contained in this report. They are directed towards geochemists and those institutions, which have a mandate for providing an earth science and/or environmental database

    Risk aggregation in Solvency II through recursive log-normals

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    It is argued that the accuracy of risk aggregation in Solvency II can be improved by updating skewness recursively. A simple scheme based on the log-normal distribution is developed and shown to be superior to the standard formula and to adjustments of the Cornish-Fisher type. The method handles tail-dependence if a simple Monte Carlo step is included. A hierarchical Clayton copula is constructed and used to confirm the accuracy of the log-normal approximation and to demonstrate the importance of including tail-dependence. Arguably a log-normal scheme makes the logic in Solvency II consistent, but many other distributions might be used as vehicle, a topic that may deserve further study

    Computation and modelling in insurance and finance

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    xxvi, 685 p. ; 24 cm

    Computation and Modelling in Insurance and Finance

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    Focusing on what actuaries need in practice, this introductory account provides readers with essential tools for handling complex problems and explains how simulation models can be created, used and re-used (with modifications) in related situations. The book begins by outlining the basic tools of modelling and simulation, including a discussion of the Monte Carlo method and its use. Part II deals with general insurance and Part III with life insurance and financial risk. Algorithms that can be implemented on any programming platform are spread throughout and a program library written in R is included. Numerous figures and experiments with R-code illustrate the text. The author\u27s non-technical approach is ideal for graduate students, the only prerequisites being introductory courses in calculus and linear algebra, probability and statistics. The book will also be of value to actuaries and other analysts in the industry looking to update their skills

    Risk aggregation in Solvency II through recursive log-normals

    No full text
    It is argued that the accuracy of risk aggregation in Solvency II can be improved by updating skewness recursively. A simple scheme based on the log-normal distribution is developed and shown to be superior to the standard formula and to adjustments of the Cornish-Fisher type. The method handles tail-dependence if a simple Monte Carlo step is included. A hierarchical Clayton copula is constructed and used to confirm the accuracy of the log-normal approximation and to demonstrate the importance of including tail-dependence. Arguably a log-normal scheme makes the logic in Solvency II consistent, but many other distributions might be used as vehicle, a topic that may deserve further study

    The collection of drainage samples for environmental analyses from active stream channels

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    The collection of drainage samples from active stream channels for geochemical mapping is now a well-established procedure that has readily been adapted for environmental studies. This account details the sampling methods used by the British Geological Survey in order to establish a geochemical baseline for the land area of Great Britain. This involves the collection of stream sediments, waters and panned heavy mineral concentrates for inorganic chemical analysis. The methods have been adapted and used in many different environments around the world. Detailed sampling protocols are given and sampling strategy, equipment and quality control are discussed
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