5 research outputs found

    Lexicographic refinements in possibilistic decision trees and finite-horizon Markov decision processes

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    Possibilistic decision theory has been proposed twenty years ago and has had several extensions since then. Even though ap-pealing for its ability to handle qualitative decision problems, possibilisticdecision theory suffers from an important drawback. Qualitative possibilistic utility criteria compare acts through min and max operators, which leads to a drowning effect. To over-come this lack of decision power of the theory, several refinements have been proposed. Lexicographic refinements are particularly appealing since they allow to benefit from the Expected Utility background, while remaining qualitative. This article aims at extend-ing lexicographic refinements to sequential decision problems i.e., to possibilistic decision trees and possibilistic Markov decision processes, when the horizon is finite. We present two criteria that refine qualitative possibilistic utilities and provide dynamic programming algorithms for calculating lexicographically optimal policies

    Possibilistic reasoning with partially ordered beliefs

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    International audienceThis paper presents the extension of results on reasoning with totally ordered belief bases to the partially ordered case. The idea is to reason from logical bases equipped with a partial order expressing relative certainty and to construct a partially ordered deductive closure. The difficult point lies in the fact that equivalent definitions in the totally ordered case are no longer equivalent in the partially ordered one. At the syntactic level we can either use a language expressing pairs of related formulas and axioms describing the properties of the ordering, or use formulas with partially ordered symbolic weights attached to them in the spirit of possibilistic logic. A possible semantics consists in assuming the partial order on formulas stems from a partial order on interpretations. It requires the capability of inducing a partial order on subsets of a set from a partial order on its elements so as to extend possibility theory functions. Among different possible definitions of induced partial order relations, we select the one generalizing necessity orderings (closely related to epistemic entrenchments). We study such a semantic approach inspired from possibilistic logic, and show its limitations when relying on a unique partial order on interpretations. We propose a more general sound and complete approach to relative certainty, inspired by conditional modal logics, in order to get a partial order on the whole propositional language. Some links between several inference systems, namely conditional logic, modal epistemic logic and non-monotonic preferential inference are established. Possibilistic logic with partially ordered symbolic weights is also revisited and a comparison with the relative certainty approach is made via mutual translations

    Fitting aggregation operators to data

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    Theoretical advances in modelling aggregation of information produced a wide range of aggregation operators, applicable to almost every practical problem. The most important classes of aggregation operators include triangular norms, uninorms, generalised means and OWA operators.With such a variety, an important practical problem has emerged: how to fit the parameters/ weights of these families of aggregation operators to observed data? How to estimate quantitatively whether a given class of operators is suitable as a model in a given practical setting? Aggregation operators are rather special classes of functions, and thus they require specialised regression techniques, which would enforce important theoretical properties, like commutativity or associativity. My presentation will address this issue in detail, and will discuss various regression methods applicable specifically to t-norms, uninorms and generalised means. I will also demonstrate software implementing these regression techniques, which would allow practitioners to paste their data and obtain optimal parameters of the chosen family of operators.<br /

    Possibilistic and Standard Probabilistic Semantics of Conditional Knowledge Bases

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    International audienceDefault pieces of information of the form, 'generally, if α then β' can be modelled by constraints expressing that, when α is true, β is more plausible than its negation. In previous works, the authors have cast this view in the framework of comparative possibility theory, showing that a set of default rules is equivalent to a set of comparative possibility distributions, each encoding an epistemic state. A representation theorem in terms of this semantics, for default reasoning obeying the System P of postulates proposed by Kraus, Lehmann and Magidor, has been obtained. This paper offers a detailed analysis of the structure of comparative possibility distributions representing default knowledge, by laying bare two different relations between epistemic states: the specificity ordering and the informativeness ordering. It is shown that the representation theorem still holds when restricting to linear comparative possibility distributions. They correspond to all the possible completions of the default knowledge by means of a so-called completion rule of inference. As a consequence of this result we provide a standard probabilistic semantics to System P, without referring to infinitesimals (used in Adams' semantics, revisited by Pearl). It relies on a special family of probability measures, that we call big-stepped probabilities, recently considered by Snow
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