FSSD - A Fast and Efficient Algorithm for Subgroup Set Discovery

International audienceSubgroup discovery (SD) is the task of discovering interpretable patterns in the data that stand out w.r.t. some property of interest. Discovering patterns that accurately discriminate a class from the others is one of the most common SD tasks. Standard approaches of the literature are based on local pattern discovery, which is known to provide an overwhelmingly large number of redundant patterns. To solve this issue, pattern set mining has been proposed: instead of evaluating the quality of patterns separately, one should consider the quality of a pattern set as a whole. The goal is to provide a small pattern set that is diverse and well-discriminant to the target class. In this work, we introduce a novel formulation of the task of diverse subgroup set discovery where both discriminative power and diversity of the subgroup set are incorporated in the same quality measure. We propose an efficient and parameter-free algorithm dubbed FSSD and based on a greedy scheme. FSSD uses several optimization strategies that enable to efficiently provide a high quality pattern set in a short amount of time

Exceptionally monotone models : the rank correlation model class for exceptional model mining

Exceptional Model Mining strives to find coherent subgroups of the dataset where multiple target attributes interact in an unusual way. One instance of such an investigated form of interaction is Pearson's correlation coefficient between two targets. EMM then finds subgroups with an exceptionally linear relation between the targets. In this paper, we enrich the EMM toolbox by developing the more general rank correlation model class. We find subgroups with an exceptionally monotone relation between the targets. Apart from catering for this richer set of relations, the rank correlation model class does not necessarily require the assumption of target normality, which is implicitly invoked in the Pearson's correlation model class. Furthermore, it is less sensitive to outliers

Exceptional Model Mining

Finding subsets of a dataset that somehow deviate from the norm, i.e. where something interesting is going on, is a classical Data Mining task. In traditional local pattern mining methods, such deviations are measured in terms of a relatively high occurrence (frequent itemset mining), or an unusual distribution for one designated target attribute (subgroup discovery). These, however, do not encompass all forms of "interesting". To capture a more general notion of interestingness in subsets of a dataset, we develop Exceptional Model Mining (EMM). This is a supervised local pattern mining framework, where several target attributes are selected, and a model over these attributes is chosen to be the target concept. Then, subsets are sought on which this model is substantially different from the model on the whole dataset. For instance, we can find parts of the data where two target attributes have an unusual correlation, a classifier has a deviating predictive performance, or a Bayesian network fitted on several target attributes has an exceptional structure. We will discuss some real-world applications of EMM instances, including using the Bayesian network model to identify meteorological conditions under which food chains are displaced, and using a regression model to find the subset of households in the Chinese province of Hunan that do not follow the general economic law of demand.This research is supported by the Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research (NWO) under project number 612.065.822 (Exceptional Model Mining).Algorithms and the Foundations of Software technolog

Comprehensible and Robust Knowledge Discovery from Small Datasets

Die Wissensentdeckung in Datenbanken (“Knowledge Discovery in Databases”, KDD) zielt darauf ab, nützliches Wissen aus Daten zu extrahieren. Daten können eine Reihe von Messungen aus einem realen Prozess repräsentieren oder eine Reihe von Eingabe- Ausgabe-Werten eines Simulationsmodells. Zwei häufig widersprüchliche Anforderungen an das erworbene Wissen sind, dass es (1) die Daten möglichst exakt zusammenfasst und (2) in einer gut verständlichen Form vorliegt. Entscheidungsbäume (“Decision Trees”) und Methoden zur Entdeckung von Untergruppen (“Subgroup Discovery”) liefern Wissenszusammenfassungen in Form von Hyperrechtecken; diese gelten als gut verständlich. Um die Bedeutung einer verständlichen Datenzusammenfassung zu demonstrieren, erforschen wir Dezentrale intelligente Netzsteuerung — ein neues System, das die Bedarfsreaktion in Stromnetzen ohne wesentliche Änderungen in der Infrastruktur implementiert. Die bisher durchgeführte konventionelle Analyse dieses Systems beschränkte sich auf die Berücksichtigung identischer Teilnehmer und spiegelte daher die Realität nicht ausreichend gut wider. Wir führen viele Simulationen mit unterschiedlichen Eingabewerten durch und wenden Entscheidungsbäume auf die resultierenden Daten an. Mit den daraus resultierenden verständlichen Datenzusammenfassung konnten wir neue Erkenntnisse zum Verhalten der Dezentrale intelligente Netzsteuerung gewinnen. Entscheidungsbäume ermöglichen die Beschreibung des Systemverhaltens für alle Eingabekombinationen. Manchmal ist man aber nicht daran interessiert, den gesamten Eingaberaum zu partitionieren, sondern Bereiche zu finden, die zu bestimmten Ausgabe führen (sog. Untergruppen). Die vorhandenen Algorithmen zum Erkennen von Untergruppen erfordern normalerweise große Datenmengen, um eine stabile und genaue Ausgabe zu erzielen. Der Datenerfassungsprozess ist jedoch häufig kostspielig. Unser Hauptbeitrag ist die Verbesserung der Untergruppenerkennung aus Datensätzen mit wenigen Beobachtungen. Die Entdeckung von Untergruppen in simulierten Daten wird als Szenarioerkennung bezeichnet. Ein häufig verwendeter Algorithmus für die Szenarioerkennung ist PRIM (Patient Rule Induction Method). Wir schlagen REDS (Rule Extraction for Discovering Scenarios) vor, ein neues Verfahren für die Szenarioerkennung. Für REDS, trainieren wir zuerst ein statistisches Zwischenmodell und verwenden dieses, um eine große Menge neuer Daten für PRIM zu erstellen. Die grundlegende statistische Intuition beschrieben wir ebenfalls. Experimente zeigen, dass REDS viel besser funktioniert als PRIM für sich alleine: Es reduziert die Anzahl der erforderlichen Simulationsläufe um 75% im Durchschnitt. Mit simulierten Daten hat man perfekte Kenntnisse über die Eingangsverteilung — eine Voraussetzung von REDS. Um REDS auf realen Messdaten anwendbar zu machen, haben wir es mit Stichproben aus einer geschätzten multivariate Verteilung der Daten kombiniert. Wir haben die resultierende Methode in Kombination mit verschiedenen Methoden zur Generierung von Daten experimentell evaluiert. Wir haben dies für PRIM und BestInterval — eine weitere repräsentative Methode zur Erkennung von Untergruppen — gemacht. In den meisten Fällen hat unsere Methodik die Qualität der entdeckten Untergruppen erhöht

Anytime Subgroup Discovery in Numerical Domains with Guarantees

International audienceSubgroup discovery is the task of discovering patterns that accurately discriminate a class label from the others. Existing approaches can uncover such patterns either through an exhaustive or an approximate exploration of the pattern search space. However, an exhaustive exploration is generally unfeasible whereas approximate approaches do not provide guarantees bounding the error of the best pattern quality nor the exploration progression ("How far are we of an exhaustive search"). We design here an algorithm for mining numerical data with three key properties w.r.t. the state of the art: (i) It yields progressively interval patterns whose quality improves over time; (ii) It can be interrupted anytime and always gives a guarantee bounding the error on the top pattern quality and (iii) It always bounds a distance to the exhaustive exploration. After reporting experimentations showing the effectiveness of our method, we discuss its generalization to other kinds of patterns

CBR and MBR techniques: review for an application in the emergencies domain

The purpose of this document is to provide an in-depth analysis of current reasoning engine practice and the integration strategies of Case Based Reasoning and Model Based Reasoning that will be used in the design and development of the RIMSAT system. RIMSAT (Remote Intelligent Management Support and Training) is a European Commission funded project designed to: a.. Provide an innovative, 'intelligent', knowledge based solution aimed at improving the quality of critical decisions b.. Enhance the competencies and responsiveness of individuals and organisations involved in highly complex, safety critical incidents - irrespective of their location. In other words, RIMSAT aims to design and implement a decision support system that using Case Base Reasoning as well as Model Base Reasoning technology is applied in the management of emergency situations. This document is part of a deliverable for RIMSAT project, and although it has been done in close contact with the requirements of the project, it provides an overview wide enough for providing a state of the art in integration strategies between CBR and MBR technologies.Postprint (published version

Research and applications: Artificial intelligence

The program is reported for developing techniques in artificial intelligence and their application to the control of mobile automatons for carrying out tasks autonomously. Visual scene analysis, short-term problem solving, and long-term problem solving are discussed along with the PDP-15 simulator, LISP-FORTRAN-MACRO interface, resolution strategies, and cost effectiveness

Using data mining to dynamically build up just in time learner models

Using rich data collected from e-learning systems, it may be possible to build up just in time dynamic learner models to analyze learners' behaviours and to evaluate learners' performance in online education systems. The goal is to create metrics to measure learners' characteristics from usage data. To achieve this goal we need to use data mining methods, especially clustering algorithms, to find patterns from which metrics can be derived from usage data. In this thesis, we propose a six layer model (raw data layer, fact data layer, data mining layer, measurement layer, metric layer and pedagogical application layer) to create a just in time learner model which draws inferences from usage data. In this approach, we collect raw data from online systems, filter fact data from raw data, and then use clustering mining methods to create measurements and metrics. In a pilot study, we used usage data collected from the iHelp system to create measurements and metrics to observe learners' behaviours in a real online system. The measurements and metrics relate to a learner's sociability, activity levels, learning styles, and knowledge levels. To validate the approach we designed two experiments to compare the metrics and measurements extracted from the iHelp system: expert evaluations and learner self evaluations. Even though the experiments did not produce statistically significant results, this approach shows promise to describe learners' behaviours through dynamically generated measurements and metric. Continued research on these kinds of methodologies is promising

Geodemographics: creating a classification at the level of the individual

This research challenges the existing geodemographics ethos by investigating the benefit to be gained from a move away from conventional areal unit categorisation to systems capable of classifying at the individual level. This research will present a unique framework through which classifications can be developed at this level of resolution. Inherently methodological, a local classification for Leeds (UK) will be presented plus further examples of this applied framework. Issues such as ecological fallacy, Modifiable Areal Unit Problem and generalisation are aspects to be considered when interpreting spatially aggregated data. A move away from such problems is one of the central objectives of this research. Data variables from the UK’s 2001 Small Area Microdata file underpin this research. These variables undergo transformation from categorical states into scale variables based on gross monthly income data present in the British Household Panel Survey therefore enabling effective clustering. Micro-simulation is then employed to create an individual-level population. The framework presented comprises entirely census variables but also demonstrates a linkage capability to other non-census datasets, such as the British Household Panel Survey (now Understanding Society), for deeper profiling, classification validation and enrichment