The Comparison Study of Short-Term Prediction Methods to Enhance the Model Predictive Controller Applied to Microgrid Energy Management

Electricity load forecasting, optimal power system operation and energy management play key roles that can bring significant operational advantages to microgrids. This paper studies how methods based on time series and neural networks can be used to predict energy demand and production, allowing them to be combined with model predictive control. Comparisons of different prediction methods and different optimum energy distribution scenarios are provided, permitting us to determine when short-term energy prediction models should be used. The proposed prediction models in addition to the model predictive control strategy appear as a promising solution to energy management in microgrids. The controller has the task of performing the management of electricity purchase and sale to the power grid, maximizing the use of renewable energy sources and managing the use of the energy storage system. Simulations were performed with different weather conditions of solar irradiation. The obtained results are encouraging for future practical implementation

Grid congestion mitigation and battery degradation minimisation using model predictive control in PV-based microgrid

© 2021 IEEE. Personal use of this material is permitted. Permission from IEEE must be obtained for all other uses, in any current or future media, including reprinting /republishing this material for advertising or promotional purposes, creating new collective works, for resale or redistribution to servers or lists, or reuse of any copyrighted component of this work in other worksIncreasing integration of photovoltaic (PV) system in electric grids cause congestion during peak power feed-in. Battery storage in PV systems increases self-consumption, for consumer's benefit. However with conventional maximising self consumption (MSC) control for battery scheduling, the issue of grid congestion is not addressed. The batteries tend to be fully charged early in the day and peak power is still fed-in to grid. This also increases battery degradation due to increased dwell time at high state of charge (SOC) levels. To address this issue, this work uses a model predictive control (MPC) for scheduling in PV system with battery storage to achieve multiple objectives of minimising battery degradation, grid congestion, while maximising self consumption. In order to demonstrate the improvement, this work compares the performances of MPC and MSC schemes when used in battery scheduling. The improvement is quantified through performance indices like self consumption ratio, peak power reduction and battery capacity fade for one-year operation. An analysis on computation burden and maximum deterioration in MPC performance under prediction error is also carried out. It is concluded that, compared to MSC, MPC achieves similar self consumption in PV systems while also reducing grid congestion and battery degradation.Peer ReviewedPostprint (author's final draft

Meta-heuristic algorithms in car engine design: a literature survey

Meta-heuristic algorithms are often inspired by natural phenomena, including the evolution of species in Darwinian natural selection theory, ant behaviors in biology, flock behaviors of some birds, and annealing in metallurgy. Due to their great potential in solving difficult optimization problems, meta-heuristic algorithms have found their way into automobile engine design. There are different optimization problems arising in different areas of car engine management including calibration, control system, fault diagnosis, and modeling. In this paper we review the state-of-the-art applications of different meta-heuristic algorithms in engine management systems. The review covers a wide range of research, including the application of meta-heuristic algorithms in engine calibration, optimizing engine control systems, engine fault diagnosis, and optimizing different parts of engines and modeling. The meta-heuristic algorithms reviewed in this paper include evolutionary algorithms, evolution strategy, evolutionary programming, genetic programming, differential evolution, estimation of distribution algorithm, ant colony optimization, particle swarm optimization, memetic algorithms, and artificial immune system

Physics-based model predictive control for power capability estimation of lithium-ion batteries

The power capability of a lithium-ion battery signifies its capacity to continuously supply or absorb energy within a given time period. For an electrified vehicle, knowing this information is critical to determining control strategies such as acceleration, power split, and regenerative braking. Unfortunately, such an indicator cannot be directly measured and is usually challenging to be inferred for today\u27s high-energy type of batteries with thicker electrodes. In this work, we propose a novel physics-based battery power capability estimation method to prevent the battery from moving into harmful situations during its operation for its health and safety. The method incorporates a high-fidelity electrochemical-thermal battery model, with which not only the external limitations on current, voltage, and power, but also the internal constraints on lithium plating and thermal runaway, can be readily taken into account. The online estimation of maximum power is accomplished by formulating and solving a constrained nonlinear optimization problem. Due to the relatively high system order, high model nonlinearity, and long prediction horizon, a scheme based on multistep nonlinear model predictive control is found to be computationally affordable and accurate

Formulation Graphs for Mapping Structure-Composition of Battery Electrolytes to Device Performance

Advanced computational methods are being actively sought for addressing the challenges associated with discovery and development of new combinatorial material such as formulations. A widely adopted approach involves domain informed high-throughput screening of individual components that can be combined into a formulation. This manages to accelerate the discovery of new compounds for a target application but still leave the process of identifying the right 'formulation' from the shortlisted chemical space largely a laboratory experiment-driven process. We report a deep learning model, Formulation Graph Convolution Network (F-GCN), that can map structure-composition relationship of the individual components to the property of liquid formulation as whole. Multiple GCNs are assembled in parallel that featurize formulation constituents domain-intuitively on the fly. The resulting molecular descriptors are scaled based on respective constituent's molar percentage in the formulation, followed by formalizing into a combined descriptor that represents a complete formulation to an external learning architecture. The use case of proposed formulation learning model is demonstrated for battery electrolytes by training and testing it on two exemplary datasets representing electrolyte formulations vs battery performance -- one dataset is sourced from literature about Li/Cu half-cells, while the other is obtained by lab-experiments related to lithium-iodide full-cell chemistry. The model is shown to predict the performance metrics like Coulombic Efficiency (CE) and specific capacity of new electrolyte formulations with lowest reported errors. The best performing F-GCN model uses molecular descriptors derived from molecular graphs that are informed with HOMO-LUMO and electric moment properties of the molecules using a knowledge transfer technique.Comment: 35 pages, 10 figure

High-Performance Integrated Window and Façade Solutions for California

The researchers developed a new generation of high-performance façade systems and supporting design and management tools to support industry in meeting California’s greenhouse gas reduction targets, reduce energy consumption, and enable an adaptable response to minimize real-time demands on the electricity grid. The project resulted in five outcomes: (1) The research team developed an R-5, 1-inch thick, triplepane, insulating glass unit with a novel low-conductance aluminum frame. This technology can help significantly reduce residential cooling and heating loads, particularly during the evening. (2) The team developed a prototype of a windowintegrated local ventilation and energy recovery device that provides clean, dry fresh air through the façade with minimal energy requirements. (3) A daylight-redirecting louver system was prototyped to redirect sunlight 15–40 feet from the window. Simulations estimated that lighting energy use could be reduced by 35–54 percent without glare. (4) A control system incorporating physics-based equations and a mathematical solver was prototyped and field tested to demonstrate feasibility. Simulations estimated that total electricity costs could be reduced by 9-28 percent on sunny summer days through adaptive control of operable shading and daylighting components and the thermostat compared to state-of-the-art automatic façade controls in commercial building perimeter zones. (5) Supporting models and tools needed by industry for technology R&D and market transformation activities were validated. Attaining California’s clean energy goals require making a fundamental shift from today’s ad-hoc assemblages of static components to turnkey, intelligent, responsive, integrated building façade systems. These systems offered significant reductions in energy use, peak demand, and operating cost in California

Forecasting and Prediction of Solar Energy Generation using Machine Learning Techniques

The growing demand for renewable energy sources, especially wind and solar power, has increased the requirement for precise forecasts in the energy production process. Using machine learning (ML)techniques offers a revolutionary way to deal with this problem, and this thesis uses machinelearning (ML) to estimate solar energy production with the goal of revolutionizing decision-making processes through the analysis of large datasets and the generation of accurate forecasts.Solar meteorological data is analyzed methodologically using regression, time series analysis, and deep learning algorithms. The study demonstrates how well machine learning-based forecasting works to anticipate future solar energy output. Quantitative evaluations show excellent prediction accuracy and verify the techniques used. For example, the key observations made were that the Multiple Linear Regression methods demonstrates reasonable predictive ability with moderate Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) values yet slightly lower R-squared values compared to other methods.The study also provides a reflective analysis of result significance, methodology dependability, and result generalizability, as well as a summary of its limits and recommendations for further study. The conclusion provides implications for broader applications across energy sectors and emphasizes the critical role that ML-based forecasting plays in predicting solar energy generation. By utilizing renewable energy sources like solar power, this approach aims to lessen dependency on non-renewable resources and pave the way for a more sustainable future

Towards Better Understanding of Failure Modes in Lithium-Ion Batteries: Design for Safety

In this digital age, energy storage technologies become more sophisticated and more widely used as we shift from traditional fossil fuel energy sources to renewable solutions. Specifically, consumer electronics devices and hybrid/electric vehicles demand better energy storage. Lithium-ion batteries have become a popular choice for meeting increased energy storage and power density needs. Like any energy solution, take for example the flammability of gasoline for automobiles, there are safety concerns surrounding the implications of failure. Although lithium-ion battery technology has existed for some time, the public interest in safety has become of higher concern with media stories reporting catastrophic cellular phone- and electric vehicle failures. Lithium-ion battery failure can be dangerously volatile. Because of this, battery electrochemical and thermal response is important to understand in order to improve safety when designing products that use lithium-ion chemistry. The implications of past and present understanding of multi-physics relationships inside a lithium-ion cell allow for the study of variables impacting cell response when designing new battery packs. Specifically, state-of-the-art design tools and models incorporate battery condition monitoring, charge balancing, safety checks, and thermal management by estimation of the state of charge, state of health, and internal electrochemical parameters. The parameters are well understood for healthy batteries and more recently for aging batteries, but not for physically damaged cells. Combining multi-physics and multi-scale modeling, a framework for isolating individual parameters to understand the impact of physical damage is developed in this work. The individual parameter isolated is the porosity of the separator, a critical component of the cell. This provides a powerful design tool for researchers and OEM engineers alike. This work is a partnership between a battery OEM (Johnson Controls, Inc.), a Computer Aided Engineering tool maker (ANSYS, Inc.), and a university laboratory (Advanced Manufacturing and Design Lab, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee). This work aims at bridging the gap between industry and academia by using a computer aided engineering (CAE) platform to focus battery design for safety