Computational performance of risk-based inspection methodologies for offshore wind support structures

Offshore wind turbines are dynamically responding structures reaching around 70 million of stress cycles per year due to the combined action of waves and wind loading. Therefore, the assessment of fatigue deterioration becomes crucial. Besides, fatigue assessment is characterized by large uncertainties associated with both fatigue loads and strength. Inspections can be undertaken to detect potential cracks and therefore improve our belief about the condition of the structure. However, offshore wind inspections are costly and complex operations, involving the deployment of ROVs or divers for the case of underwater components. Risk-based inspection aims to identify the optimal maintenance policy by balancing the risk of structural failure against maintenance efforts (inspections and repairs). Introduction of a risk-based inspection plan can lead to reductions in the expected life-cycle costs as already demonstrated in the Oil & Gas sector. Inspection planning is a complex sequential decision problem where the decision about whether to go or not for an inspection must consider the outcomes from the previous inspections. In theory, it is possible to find the optimal policy by solving a pre-posterior decision analysis. Nevertheless, for the real case of an offshore wind structure standing a lifetime of 20 years, it is not possible to solve a decision tree which is exponentially growing over time and it becomes computationally intractable. Due to the computational limitations, assumptions are generally introduced within the risk-based analysis leading to approximate optimal policies. Traditional risk-based inspection techniques encompass FORM/SORM or Monte Carlo simulations to estimate and update the probability of failure as well as the inclusion of heuristic decision rules to solve the decision problem. However, novel methods and algorithms have been proposed recently to improve the computational efficiency of the risk-based analyses such as Dynamic Bayesian Networks (DBNs) or Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs). The aim of this work is to compare the existing risk-based inspection planning methodologies applicable to offshore wind structures. The computational performance and life-cycle expected costs corresponding to the different methodologies are explored. Additionally, the challenges which risk-based inspection planning is facing in the present are presented and potential solutions are suggested, for instance, on how to incorporate the correlation between structural components or “system-effects” into the risk-based analysis. In order to explore the main aspects involved during the application of the existing risk-based methodologies, the following step are pursued: 1) identification of the most relevant random variables within the deterioration models, 2) calibration of SN/Miner’s fatigue model to a fracture mechanics model, 3) comparison of the methods available for updating the failure probability when information from inspections is available and 4) comparison of the methods available to solve the pre-posterior decision problem corresponding to inspection planning. The optimal inspection plan for an offshore wind tubular joint is then identified by employing the different risk-based methodologies. Thereby, the methodologies are reviewed in terms of: 1) computational time to set up the model, 2) computation time required by the simulation and 3) obtained life-cycle expected costs. The results highlight the computational advantages of modern methods such as DBNs or POMDP which facilitate the identification of more optimal inspection policies

Study on bridge inspections, A: identifying barriers to new practices and providing strategies for change

2021 Summer.Includes bibliographical references.Bridge inspections are one of the key elements required for a successful bridge management process to ensure adequate bridge performance. Inspections significantly inform maintenance decisions and can help in managing maintenance activities to achieve a reliable bridge network. In the United States (U.S.) routine visual inspections are required for most bridges at a maximum interval of 24-months regardless of the bridge condition. However, limitations of current bridge inspection practices impact the quality of information provided about bridge condition and the subsequent decisions made based on that information. Accordingly, the overarching goal of this research project is to support bridge inspection practices by providing a systematic and rational framework for bridge inspection planning and identifying the factors that can facilitate innovation and research transfer in the bridge inspection field. To do so, this dissertation includes three separate yet related studies; each focusing on essential aspects of bridge inspection planning. Much research in bridge inspection has been conducted to improve the inspection planning process. The first study provides an overview of current bridge inspection practices in the U.S. and conducts a systematic literature review on innovations in the field of bridge inspection planning to identify research gaps and future needs. This study provides a background on the history of bridge inspection in the U.S., including current bridge inspection practices and their limitations, and analyzes the connections between nondestructive evaluation techniques, deterioration models and bridge inspection management. The primary emphasis of the first study is a thorough analysis of research proposing and investigating different methodologies for inspection planning. Studies were analyzed and categorized into three main types of inspection planning approaches; methods that are based on: reliability, risk analysis, and optimization approaches. This study found that one of the main barriers that may be preventing the implementation of new inspection planning frameworks in practice is that the approaches presented focus on a single bridge element or deterioration mechanism in the decision-making process. Additionally, it was concluded that approaches in the literature are either complex to apply or depend solely on expert judgement. Limitations of the uniform calendar-based approach used to schedule routine inspections have been reported in the literature. Accordingly, the objective of the second study is to provide a new systematic approach for inspection planning that integrates information from bridge condition prediction models, inspection data, and expert opinion using Bayesian analysis to enhance inspection efficiency and maintenance activities. The proposed uncertainty-based inspection framework can help bridge owners avoid unnecessary or delayed inspections and repair actions, determine the inspection method, and consider more than one deterioration process or bridge component during the inspection planning process. The inspection time and method are determined based on the uncertainty and risks associated with the bridge condition. As uncertainty in the bridge condition reaches a defined threshold, an inspection is scheduled utilizing nondestructive techniques to reduce the uncertainty level. The framework was demonstrated on a new and on an existing reinforced concrete bridge deck impacted by corrosion deterioration. The results showed that the framework can reduce the number of inspections compared to conventional scheduling methods, while also reducing the uncertainty regarding the transition in the bridge deck condition and repair time. As identified through the first study, over the last two decades many researchers have focused on providing new ideas to improve conventional bridge inspection practices, however, little guidance is provided for implementing these new research products in practice. This, along with resistance to change and complexity of the proposed ideas, resulted in a lack of consistency and success in applying new technologies in bridge inspection programs across state departments of transportation (DOTs). Accordingly, the third paper presents a qualitative study set out to identify the factors that can help improve research products and accelerate change and research transfer in bridge inspection departments. This study used semi-structured interviews, written interviews, and questionnaires for data collection and engaged with twenty-six bridge staff members from different DOTs. The findings of this study are expected to be both specific to changes in bridge inspection practice and have some generalizability to other significant changes to engineering practice at DOTs. To improve research products, this study suggested that researchers need to collaborate more with DOT staff members and provide relevant research products that are not specific to certain bridge cases and can be applied on different bridges. Also, to facilitate change in transportation organizations, change leaders should focus on showing the need for change, gaining support from the FHWA, allocating the required resources, and enhancing the capacity of DOT staff members through training and effective communication. The investigation also presented participants' opinions on some of the aspects related to conventional inspection practices such as their support of a uniform inspection interval over a variable interval, and the main barriers limiting the use of NDE methods. This study contributes to the body of knowledge in the bridge inspection field by providing a new inspection planning approach that depends on the uncertainty and the risks associated with the bridge condition and uses both computational methods and expert judgment allowing bridge owners select inspection time and method while considering more than one deterioration process or bridge element. In addition, this study presents some of the factors that can help reduce the gap between research and practice and facilitate innovation and change in transportation organizations

Classes of decision analysis

The ultimate task of an engineer consists of developing a consistent decision procedure for the planning, design, construction and use and management of a project. Moreover, the utility over the entire lifetime of the project should be maximized, considering requirements with respect to safety of individuals and the environment as specified in regulations. Due to the fact that the information with respect to design parameters is usually incomplete or uncertain, decisions are made under uncertainty. In order to cope with this, Bayesian statistical decision theory can be used to incorporate objective as well as subjective information (e.g. engineering judgement). In this factsheet, the decision tree is presented and answers are given for questions on how new data can be combined with prior probabilities that have been assigned, and whether it is beneficial or not to collect more information before the final decision is made. Decision making based on prior analysis and posterior analysis is briefly explained. Pre-posterior analysis is considered in more detail and the Value of Information (VoI) is defined

An intelligent framework and prototype for autonomous maintenance planning in the rail industry

This paper details the development of the AUTONOM project, a project that aims to provide an enterprise system tailored to the planning needs of the rail industry. AUTONOM extends research in novel sensing, scheduling, and decision-making strategies customised for the automated planning of maintenance activities within the rail industry. This paper sets out a framework and software prototype and details the current progress of the project. In the continuation of the AUTONOM project it is anticipated that the combination of techniques brought together in this work will be capable of addressing a wider range of problem types, offered by Network rail and organisations in different industries

A review of key planning and scheduling in the rail industry in Europe and UK

Planning and scheduling activities within the rail industry have benefited from developments in computer-based simulation and modelling techniques over the last 25 years. Increasingly, the use of computational intelligence in such tasks is featuring more heavily in research publications. This paper examines a number of common rail-based planning and scheduling activities and how they benefit from five broad technology approaches. Summary tables of papers are provided relating to rail planning and scheduling activities and to the use of expert and decision systems in the rail industry.EPSR

Internet of robotic things : converging sensing/actuating, hypoconnectivity, artificial intelligence and IoT Platforms

The Internet of Things (IoT) concept is evolving rapidly and influencing newdevelopments in various application domains, such as the Internet of MobileThings (IoMT), Autonomous Internet of Things (A-IoT), Autonomous Systemof Things (ASoT), Internet of Autonomous Things (IoAT), Internetof Things Clouds (IoT-C) and the Internet of Robotic Things (IoRT) etc.that are progressing/advancing by using IoT technology. The IoT influencerepresents new development and deployment challenges in different areassuch as seamless platform integration, context based cognitive network integration,new mobile sensor/actuator network paradigms, things identification(addressing, naming in IoT) and dynamic things discoverability and manyothers. The IoRT represents new convergence challenges and their need to be addressed, in one side the programmability and the communication ofmultiple heterogeneous mobile/autonomous/robotic things for cooperating,their coordination, configuration, exchange of information, security, safetyand protection. Developments in IoT heterogeneous parallel processing/communication and dynamic systems based on parallelism and concurrencyrequire new ideas for integrating the intelligent “devices”, collaborativerobots (COBOTS), into IoT applications. Dynamic maintainability, selfhealing,self-repair of resources, changing resource state, (re-) configurationand context based IoT systems for service implementation and integrationwith IoT network service composition are of paramount importance whennew “cognitive devices” are becoming active participants in IoT applications.This chapter aims to be an overview of the IoRT concept, technologies,architectures and applications and to provide a comprehensive coverage offuture challenges, developments and applications

Stability, Structure and Scale: Improvements in Multi-modal Vessel Extraction for SEEG Trajectory Planning

Purpose Brain vessels are among the most critical landmarks that need to be assessed for mitigating surgical risks in stereo-electroencephalography (SEEG) implantation. Intracranial haemorrhage is the most common complication associated with implantation, carrying signi cant associated morbidity. SEEG planning is done pre-operatively to identify avascular trajectories for the electrodes. In current practice, neurosurgeons have no assistance in the planning of electrode trajectories. There is great interest in developing computer assisted planning systems that can optimise the safety pro le of electrode trajectories, maximising the distance to critical structures. This paper presents a method that integrates the concepts of scale, neighbourhood structure and feature stability with the aim of improving robustness and accuracy of vessel extraction within a SEEG planning system. Methods The developed method accounts for scale and vicinity of a voxel by formulating the problem within a multi-scale tensor voting framework. Feature stability is achieved through a similarity measure that evaluates the multi-modal consistency in vesselness responses. The proposed measurement allows the combination of multiple images modalities into a single image that is used within the planning system to visualise critical vessels. Results Twelve paired datasets from two image modalities available within the planning system were used for evaluation. The mean Dice similarity coe cient was 0.89 ± 0.04, representing a statistically signi cantly improvement when compared to a semi-automated single human rater, single-modality segmentation protocol used in clinical practice (0.80 ±0.03). Conclusions Multi-modal vessel extraction is superior to semi-automated single-modality segmentation, indicating the possibility of safer SEEG planning, with reduced patient morbidity