12 research outputs found

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    Increase in invasive group A streptococcal infections and emergence of novel, rapidly expanding sub-lineage of the virulent Streptococcus pyogenes M1 clone, Denmark, 2023

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    Funding Information: We would like to thank Karina Kaae, Lanni Fugl Niebuhr Nielsen and Joan Nevermann Jensen for their laboratory expertise, and acknowledge the great effort by clinicians and laboratory technicians at hospitals across Denmark and at Landspítali, Reykjavik, in securing samples and data essential for WGS-based surveillance efforts, as well as the dedicated technical staff maintaining and developing the registries and epidemiological databases at the core of national surveillance in Denmark. Publisher Copyright: © 2023 European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC). All rights reserved.A highly virulent sub-lineage of the Streptococcus pyogenes M1 clone has been rapidly expanding throughout Denmark since late 2022 and now accounts for 30% of the new invasive group A streptococcal infections. We aimed to investigate whether a shift in variant composition can account for the high incidence rates observed over winter 2022/23, or if these are better explained by the impact of COVID-19-related restrictions on population immunity and carriage of group A Streptococcus. An increase in incidence rates of invasive (iGAS) and non-invasive (nGAS) group A Streptococcus infection has been reported by several countries across Europe during the 2022/23 winter season [1-3]. Through analysis of all whole genome sequencing (WGS) data acquired for national surveillance of iGAS in Denmark since 2018, we aimed to investigate current genomic developments and the impact of emerging lineages on iGAS incidence rates in 2023. In Denmark, iGAS is not notifiable except in case of meningitis, however, test results from all 10 Departments of Clinical Microbiology (DCMs) are submitted to the Danish Microbiology Database (MiBa) [4] and can be used to monitor incidence rates. Iceland also experienced a higher iGAS incidence in early 2023, and we also present Icelandic WGS data on iGAS isolates from 2022 and 2023.Peer reviewe

    A marginal structural model for recurrent events in the presence of time-dependent confounding:non-specific effects of vaccines on child hospitalisations

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    Using a Danish register-based study on childhood vaccination and hospitalisation as motivation, a marginal structural model for recurrent events is studied. The model addresses a number of challenges which may be seen more generally in large register-based cohort studies. One is to adjust for a time-dependent confounder when studying the effect of a time-varying exposure on a recurrent event based on an analysis in continuous time. Another is to report results via a measure which is easy to interpret and communicate even though quite elaborate treatment regimes are considered. Lastly, the implementation of continuously updated weights implies a substantial computationally demanding workload
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