Estudio de la relación entre Índice de Crecimiento e Índices de Vegetación para el género pinus durante el periodo 2000-2014

El presente trabajo tiene como objetivo analizar la relación entre el índice de crecimiento obtenido a través de métodos dendrocronológicos y las diferentes variables obtenidas desde el sensor MODIS y su producto MOD13Q1 encargado de los índices de vegetación. La metodología se ha centrado en la descarga, pre-tratamiento y extracción de datos de las imágenes necesarias para el estudio y un posterior análisis estadístico de los datos obtenidos. Se ha realizado un estudio de las series temporales a través del programa "TIMESAT" permitiendo observar el comienzo y final de los periodos de crecimiento, su valor base o su valor más alto, además de su amplitud y duración. Posteriormente se ha realizado un estudio estadístico a través del análisis de correlación bivariada. Las principales conclusiones obtenidas son: a) las coníferas tienen una amplia distribución y una gran capacidad de adaptación a las condiciones climáticas y por lo tanto es complicado dar respuestas biológicas generalizadas espacialmente a los resultados estadísticos, b) a través del estudio estadístico de correlación se ha comprobado como a pesar de la complejidad antes descrita, se observa para algunas variables de las obtenidas desde el sensor correlación positiva, c) la elaboración de cartografías ha permitido mostrar alguno de los patrones de agrupación de especies con correlaciones en las variables

When Density Matters: The Spatial Balance between Early and Latewood

Understanding the influence of the current climate on the distribution, composition, and carbon storage capacity of Mediterranean tree species is key to determining future pathways under a warmer and drier climate scenario. Here, we evaluated the influence of biotic and environmental factors on earlywood (EW) and latewood (LW) growth in Aleppo pine (Pinus halepensis Mill.). Our investigation was based on a dense dendrochronological network (71 sites), which covered the entire distribution area of the species in the Iberian Peninsula (around 119.652 km2), and a high-resolution climate dataset of the Western Mediterranean area. We used generalized linear-mixed models to determine the spatial and temporal variations of EW and LW across the species distribution. Our results showed an intense but differentiated climatic influence on both EW and LW growth components. The climatic influence explained significant variations across the environmental gradients in the study area, which suggested an important adaptation through phenotypic plasticity and local adaptation to varying climatic conditions. In addition, we detected a clear spatial trade-off between efficiency and safety strategy in the growth patterns across the species distribution. Additionally, in more productive areas, the trees presented a higher proportion of EW (more efficient to water transport), while, in more xeric conditions, the LW proportion increased (more safety to avoid embolisms), implying an adaptation to more frequent drought episodes and a higher capacity of carbon depletion. We therefore concluded that Mediterranean forests adapted to dryer conditions might be more efficient as carbon reservoirs than forests growing in wetter areas. Finally, we advocated for the need to consider wood density (EW/LW proportion) when modeling current and future forest carbon sequestrations

Spatio-temporal assessment of beech growth in relation to climate extremes in Slovenia – An integrated approach using remote sensing and tree-ring data

Climate change is predicted to affect tree growth due to increased frequency and intensity of extreme events such as ice storms, droughts and heatwaves. Yet, there is still a lot of uncertainty on how trees respond to an increase in frequency of extreme events. Use of both ground-based wood increment (i.e. ring width) and remotely sensed data (i.e. vegetation indices) can be used to scale-up ground measurements, where there is a link between the two, but this has only been demonstrated in a few studies. We used tree-ring data together with crown features derived from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) to assess the effect of extreme climate events on the growth of beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) in Slovenia. We found evidence that years with climate extremes during the growing season (drought, high temperatures) had a lower ring width index (RWI) but we could not find such evidence for the remotely sensed EVI (Enhanced Vegetation Index). However, when assessing specific events where leaf burning or wilting has been reported (e.g. August 2011) we did see large EVI anomalies. This implies that the impact of drought or heatwave events cannot be captured by EVI anomalies until physical damage on the canopy is caused. This also means that upscaling the effect of climate extremes on RWI by using EVI anomalies is not straightforward. An exception is the 2014 ice storm that caused a large decline in both RWI and EVI. Extreme climatic parameters explained just a small part of the variation in both RWI and EVI by, which could indicate an effect of other climate variables (e.g. late frost) or biotic stressors such as insect outbreaks. Furthermore, we found that RWI was lower in the year after a climate extreme occurred in the late summer. Most likely due to the gradual increase in temperature and more frequent drought we found negative trends in RWI and EVI. EVI maps could indicate where beech is sensitive to climate changes and could be used for planning mitigation interventions. Logical next steps should focus on a tree-based understanding of the short -and long-term effects of climate extremes on tree growth and survival, taking into account differential carbon allocation to the crown (EVI) and to wood-based variables. This research highlights the value of an integrated approach for upscaling tree-based knowledge to the forest level

Climate-change-driven growth decline of European beech forests

The growth of past, present, and future forests was, is and will be affected by climate variability. This multifaceted relationship has been assessed in several regional studies, but spatially resolved, large-scale analyses are largely missing so far. Here we estimate recent changes in growth of 5800 beech trees (Fagus sylvatica L.) from 324 sites, representing the full geographic and climatic range of species. Future growth trends were predicted considering state-of-the-art climate scenarios. The validated models indicate growth declines across large region of the distribution in recent decades, and project severe future growth declines ranging from -20% to more than -50% by 2090, depending on the region and climate change scenario (i.e. CMIP6 SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5). Forecasted forest productivity losses are most striking towards the southern distribution limit of Fagus sylvatica, in regions where persisting atmospheric high-pressure systems are expected to increase drought severity. The projected 21st century growth changes across Europe indicate serious ecological and economic consequences that require immediate forest adaptation.Additional co-authors: Ernst van der Maaten, Sjepan Mikac, Bat-Enerel Banzragch, Wolfgang Beck, Hugues Claessens, Vojtěch Čada, Katarina Čufar, Choimaa Dulamsuren, Jozica Gričar, Eustaquio Gil-Pelegrín, Pavel Janda, Marko Kazimirovic, Juergen Kreyling, Nicolas Latte, Christoph Leuschner, Luis Alberto Longares, Annette Menzel, Maks Merela, Renzo Motta, Lena Muffler, Paola Nola, Any Mary Petritan, Ion Catalin Petritan, Peter Prislan, Álvaro Rubio-Cuadrado, Miloš Rydval, Branko Stajić, Miroslav Svoboda, Elvin Toromani, Volodymyr Trotsiuk, Martin Wilmking, Tzvetan Zlatanov & Martin de Lui

Woody biomass production lags stem-girth increase by over one month in coniferous forests

Wood is the main terrestrial biotic reservoir for long-term carbon sequestration1, and its formation in trees consumes around 15% of anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions each year2. However, the seasonal dynamics of woody biomass production cannot be quantified from eddy covariance or satellite observations. As such, our understanding of this key carbon cycle component, and its sensitivity to climate, remains limited. Here, we present high-resolution cellular based measurements of wood formation dynamics in three coniferous forest sites in northeastern France, performed over a period of 3 years. We show that stem woody biomass production lags behind stem-girth increase by over 1 month. We also analyse more general phenological observations of xylem tissue formation in Northern Hemisphere forests and find similar time lags in boreal, temperate, subalpine and Mediterranean forests. These time lags question the extension of the equivalence between stem size increase and woody biomass production to intra-annual time scales3–6. They also suggest that these two growth processes exhibit differential sensitivities to local environmental conditions. Indeed, in the wellwatered French sites the seasonal dynamics of stem-girth increase matched the photoperiod cycle, whereas those of woody biomass production closely followed the seasonal course of temperature. We suggest that forecasted changes in the annual cycle of climatic factors7 may shift the phase timing of stem size increase and woody biomass production in the future

NCOMMS-24-26222

Data and code supporting results for NCOMMS-24-2622

Common climatic signals affecting oak tree-ring growth in SE Central Europe 2007

A network of 41 local tree-ring chronologies of oak (Quercus petraea and Quercus robur) in Austria, Hungary, Slovenia, Croatia and Serbia (latitudes 45.0048.00N, longitudes 13.1421.63E, altitudes 80800 m a.s.l.) was constructed and used to establish common climatic signals in oak tree rings in the region. Co-variation of residual chronologies could be resumed in 11 significant principal components (PC), explaining 79 % of common variability. Three of them, PC1, PC2 and PC3, made it possible to identify similarities among the sites. PC1, significantly correlated with all 41 chronologies, indicated a common positive response to precipitation in spring and summer (March and June) and a negative response to temperature in spring and summer (April and June). PC2, significantly correlated with 12 chronologies, indicated a common positive response to precipitation especially in spring (May) and a negative one to high summer temperatures (especially in August) with a pronounced north to south gradient. PC3, significantly correlated with ten chronologies, indicated that a warm previous December and warm current September have a positive effect on tree growth, especially in the south-western part of the study area. The obtained climategrowth relationships will help to understand better the variability of oak growth, to fill palaeoclimatic gaps and to improve dendrochronological research in the regio

Annual cambial rhythm in Pinus halepensis and Pinus sylvestris as indicator for climate adaptation

To understand better the adaptation strategies of intra-annual radial growth in Pinus halepensis and Pinus sylvestris to local environmental conditions, we examined the seasonal rhythm of cambial activity and cell differentiation at tissue and cellular levels. Two contrasting sites differing in temperature and amount of precipitation were selected for each species, one typical for their growth and the other represented border climatic conditions, where the two species coexisted. Mature P. halepensis trees from Mediterranean (Spain) and sub-Mediterranean (Slovenia) sites, and P. sylvestris from sub-Mediterranean (Slovenia) and temperate (Slovenia) sites were selected. Repeated sampling was performed throughout the year and samples were prepared for examination with light and transmission electron microscopes. We hypothesized that cambial rhythm in trees growing at the sub-Mediterranean site where the two species co-exist will be similar as at typical sites for their growth. Cambium in P. halepensis at the Mediterranean site was active throughout the year and was never truly dormant, whereas at the sub-Mediterranean site it appeared to be dormant during the winter months. In contrast, cambium in P. sylvestris was clearly dormant at both sub-Mediterranean and temperate sites, although the dormant period seemed to be significantly longer at the temperate site. Thus, the hypothesis was only partly confirmed. Different cambial and cell differentiation rhythms of the two species at the site where both species co-exist and typical sites for their growth indicate their high but different adaptation strategies in terms of adjustment of radial growth to environmental heterogeneity, crucial for long-term tree performance and survival

Spatial and temporal variation of Fagus sylvatica growth in marginal areas under progressive climate change

The escalating decline in growth trends of European beech (Fagus sylvatica) observed across its distribution area pose a major ecological and economic challenge for countries with a high proportion of beech, such as Slovenia. In this study, the effects of climate change were examined at a high-resolution scale, encompassing the large climatic, orographic, and ecological variability of beech forests in Slovenia. Using basal area increment data (BAI) from a tree-ring network (48 sites in Slovenia), modelled climate data, and generalized linear mixed models (GLMM), we found an average growth decline of 11% between the 1953–1985 and 1986–2018 subperiods, affecting 90.5% of the forest stands. Based on climate data, we defined two contrasted marginal areas of beech presence (warm and cold) and analysed the growth changes over time. The warm marginal areas, which predominate near the geographical margin of beech distribution with a sub-Mediterranean climatic regime, were most affected by growth decline, threatening the survival of beech populations in the area. In contrast, cold marginal areas, mainly at high elevations in the Alps, where beech growth had previously been limited by low temperatures, turned out to be the only ones where growth of beech increased under prevailing warming conditions. Consequently, high elevation regions harbour climatic potential for increased beech growth performance, and may represent areas of future expansion of the specie