92 research outputs found
Changes of Reporting Rates in the Southern California Earthquake Catalog, Introduced by a New Definition of M_L
Starting January 2008, local magnitudes M_L for southern California are determined by a new calibration that provides various improvements for determining M_L for small earthquakes. Magnitudes for the previous years are being recalculated and the catalog continuously updated, with the first year of overlapping data now being available. Recalibrating a magnitude scale can cause a break in homogeneity of reporting and often produces artifacts in the catalog statistics that can influence a wide range of seismicity studies. To search for such a break, we compare the old M_L and the new M_L catalogs for 2007. We find (1) the two magnitude values differ for 96% of the M_L events, and hand-determined magnitudes are also revised; (2) the magnitude differences are irregular from magnitude increases of up to 1.5 units to reductions by as much as 2.3 units, with an average change of -0.13 units; (3) the number of events above M 1.8 decreases by 32% for the new magnitude scale; (4) the completeness magnitude apparently drops by 0.3 units from 1.6 to 1.3; (5) the b-value reduces by approximately 0.2 units, dropping from 1.16 to 0.95; (6) the new magnitude calibration produces a more stable b-value estimate and can therefore be regarded as the better scaling.
We document selected examples of how the change in magnitude calibration may affect seismicity- and hazard-related analyses that are based on the Southern California Seismic Network (SCSN) catalog. Especially the change of the b-value from ~1.1 to ~0.9 has potentially major implications for hazard related applications
Spatial distribution and energy release of nonvolcanic tremor at Parkfield, California
Nonvolcanic tremors (NVTs) are observed in transition zones between freely slipping andlocked sections of faults and normally occur below the seismogenic zone. Based on NVT recordings in theParkfield region of the San Andreas Fault, we provide a novel approach to assess the energy release of theseevents and assign magnitudes (Me) that are compatible with size estimates of small earthquakes in the sameregion. To assess the energy magnitude of a detected tremor, we refine the estimate of its duration andperform a spectral analysis that accounts for local attenuation. For the 218 NVTs that we were able to process,we resolveMevalues in the range of 0.67 to 0.84. For events, which we could not process using the spectralanalysis technique, we propose a statistical model to estimateMevalues using observable characteristics,such as peak amplitude, spectral velocity at the source corner frequency, and duration. We furthermoreprovide seismic moment and moment magnitude estimates and calculate stress drops in a range of 3–10 kPa.As a result of our spectral analyses, wefind strong indications regarding the ongoing debate aboutpotential NVT location hypotheses: the Parkfield NVTs have a higher probability to be located in the proposedthree-dimensional cloud-like cluster than in any other suggested location distributi
Generic dependence of the frequency-size distribution of earthquakes on depth and its relation to the strength profile of the crust
[1] We explore the idea that the relative size distribution of earthquakes, quantified using the so-called b-value, is negatively correlated with differential stress. Because the maximum possible differential stress increases linearly in the brittle upper crust, we expect to find a decrease of b with depth. We test this expectation for seven continental areas around the world, each of which is described by a regional earthquake catalog. We find a monotonic decrease in b-value between 5 and 15 km depth. The decrease stops near the brittle-ductile transition. We specifically focus on the high-quality catalogs of earthquakes in California to perform a sensitivity test with respect to depth uncertainty; we also estimate the probability-depth gradient for the occurrence of a target magnitude event and study the behavior of b with depth in near- and off-fault zones. We also translate the observed b-depth gradients into b-differential stress gradients. Our findings suggest that b-values are negatively correlated with differential stress and hus have the potential to act as stress meters in the Earth\u27s crust
Size distribution of Parkfield's microearthquakes reflects changes in surface creep rate
The nucleation area of the series of M6 events in Parkfield has been shown to be characterized by low b-values throughout the seismic cycle. Since low b-values represent high differential stresses, the asperity structure seems to be always stably stressed and even unaffected by the latest main shock in 2004. However, because fault loading rates and applied shear stress vary with time, some degree of temporal variability of the b-value within stable blocks is to be expected. We discuss in this study adequate techniques and uncertainty treatment for a detailed analysis of the temporal evolution of b-values. We show that the derived signal for the Parkfield asperity correlates with changes in surface creep, suggesting a sensitive time resolution of the b-value stress meter, and confirming near-critical loading conditions within the Parkfield asperit
The frequency-size scaling of non-volcanic tremors beneath the San Andreas Fault at Parkfield: Possible implications for seismic energy release
© 2019 Elsevier B.V. We analyse the frequency-size-distribution of non-volcanic tremors observed along the Parkfield section of the San Andreas Fault. We suggest that these non-volcanic tremors follow a power-law scaling typical of scale-invariant, stick slip tectonic earthquakes, but with an unusually high scaling exponent of more than 2.0 and a systematic depth-dependency. While each individual non-volcanic tremor releases only a minuscule amount of energy and slip, this is more than compensated by their sheer numbers. Consequently, the integrated contribution of this largely ‘invisible’ seismicity (non-volcanic tremors and nano-earthquakes) is non-negligible and could potentially account in selected patches along the San Andreas fault for up to 100% of the plate motion
Simultaneous Dependence of the Earthquake-Size Distribution on Faulting Style and Depth
We analyze two high-quality Southern Californian earthquake catalogues, one with focal mechanisms, to statistically model and test for dependencies of the earthquake-size distribution, the b values, on both faulting style and depth. In our null hypothesis, b is assumed constant. We then develop and calibrate one model based only on faulting style, another based only on depth dependence and two models that assume a simultaneous dependence on both parameters. We develop a new maximum-likelihood estimator corrected for the degrees of freedom to assess models' performances. Our results show that all models significantly reject the null hypothesis. The best performing is the one that simultaneously takes account of depth and faulting style. Our results suggest that differential stress variations in the Earth's crust systematically influence b values and that this variability should be considered for contemporary seismic hazard studies
Generic dependence of the frequency-size distribution of earthquakes on depth and its relation to the strength profile of the crust
Bilinearity in the Gutenberg-Richter Relation Based on M-L for Magnitudes Above and Below 2, From Systematic Magnitude Assessments in Parkfield (California)
Several studies have shown that local magnitude, M L, and moment magnitude, M , scale differently for small earthquakes (M < ~2) than for moderate to large earthquakes. Consequently, frequency‐magnitude relations based on one or the other magnitude type cannot obey a power law with a single exponent over the entire magnitude range. Since this has serious consequences for seismic hazard assessments, it is important to establish for which magnitude type the assumption of a constant exponent is valid and for which it is not. Based on independently determined M , M L and duration magnitude, M d, estimates for 5,304 events near Parkfield, we confirm the theoretically expected difference in scaling between the magnitude types, and we show that the frequency‐magnitude distribution based on M and M d follows a Gutenberg‐Richter relation with a constant slope, whereas for M L it is bilinear. Thus, seismic hazard estimates based on M L of small earthquakes are likely to overestimate the occurrence probability of large earthquakes
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