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Planning Protective Action Decision-Making: Evacuate or Shelter-in-Place
Appropriate protective action recommendations or decisions (PARs/PADs) are needed to achieve maximum protection of a population at risk. The factors that affect protective action decisions are complex but fairly well documented. Protective action decisions take into account population distributions, projected or actual exposure to a chemical substance, availability of adequate shelters, evacuation time estimates, and other relevant factors. To choose in-place sheltering, there should be a reasonable assurance that the movement of people beyond their residence, workplace, or school will endanger the health and safety of the public more so than allowing them to remain in place. The decision to evacuate the public should be based on the reasonable assurance that the movement of people to an area outside of an affected area is in the best interest of their health and safety, and is of minimal risk to them. In reality, an evacuation decision is also a resource-dependent decision. The availability of transportation and other resources, including shelters, may factor heavily in the protective action decision-making process. All strategies to protect the health and safety of the public from a release of hazardous chemicals are explicitly considered during emergency decision making. Each institutional facility (such as hospitals, schools, day care centers, correctional facilities, assisted living facilities or nursing homes) in the community should be considered separately to determine what special protective actions may be necessary. Deciding whether to evacuate or to shelter-in-place is one of the most important questions facing local emergency planners responding to a toxic chemical release. That such a complex decision with such important potential consequences must be made with such urgency places tremendous responsibility on the planners and officials involved. Researchers have devoted considerable attention to the evacuation/shelter-in-place protection decision. While several decision aids have been developed, no single approach has achieved widespread acceptance based on validity, utility, and effectiveness (Ujihara 1989, Mannan and Kilpatrick 2000). In the absence of an agreed-upon methodology for making this decision, the best strategy for local emergency planners and officials is a thorough understanding of all the components affecting the decision. This paper summarizes what is currently known about the evacuation/shelter-in-place protection decision and points to available literature that more thoroughly explores the individual components of the decision. The next section summarizes the major issues in protective action decision process. This is followed by a discussion of all the factors that may bear on the protective action decision process. The final section address how to make a protective action decision
How emergency managers (mis?)interpret forecasts
Peer Reviewedhttps://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/146849/1/disa12293.pd
Creating Bell states and decoherence effects in quantum dots system
We show how to improve the efficiency for preparing Bell states in coupled
two quantum dots system. A measurement to the state of driven quantum laser
field leads to wave function collapse. This results in highly efficiency
preparation of Bell states. The effect of decoherence on the efficiency of
generating Bell states is also discussed in this paper. The results show that
the decoherence does not affect the relative weight of and in the
output state, but the efficiency of finding Bell states.Comment: 4 pages, 2figures, corrected some typo
Strangeness Enhancement in p-A Collisions: Consequences for the Interpretation of Strangeness Production in A-A Collisions
Published measurements of semi-inclusive Lambda production in p-Au collisions
at the AGS are used to estimate the yields of singly strange hadrons in
nucleus-nucleus A-A collisions. Results of a described extrapolation technique
are shown and compared to measurements of K+ production in Si-Al, Si-Au, and
Au-Au collisions at the AGS and net Lambda production in Su-Su, S-Ag, Pb-Pb,
and inclusive p-A collisions at the SPS. The extrapolations can account for
more than 75% of the measured strange particle yields in all of the studied
systems except for very central Au-Au collisions at the AGS where RQMD
comparisons suggest large re-scattering contributions.Comment: 9 pages, 4 figure
Dynamics of entanglement for coherent excitonic states in a system of two coupled quantum dots and cavity QED
The dynamics of the entanglement for coherent excitonic states in the system
of two coupled large semiconductor quantum dots () mediated by a
single-mode cavity field is investigated. Maximally entangled coherent
excitonic states can be generated by cavity field initially prepared in odd
coherent state. The entanglement of the excitonic coherent states between two
dots reaches maximum when no photon is detected in the cavity. The effects of
the zero-temperature environment on the entanglement of excitonic coherent
state are also studied using the concurrence for two subsystems of the excitonsComment: 7 pages, 6 figure
A review of the Dividend Discount Model: from deterministic to stochastic models
This chapter presents a review of the dividend discount models starting from
the basic models (Williams 1938, Gordon and Shapiro 1956) to more recent and
complex models (Ghezzi and Piccardi 2003, Barbu et al. 2017, D'Amico and De
Blasis 2018) with a focus on the modelling of the dividend process rather than
the discounting factor, that is assumed constant in most of the models. The
Chapter starts with an introduction of the basic valuation model with some
general aspects to consider when performing the computation. Then, Section 1.3
presents the Gordon growth model (Gordon 1962) with some of its extensions
(Malkiel 1963, Fuller and Hsia 1984, Molodovsky et al. 1965, Brooks and Helms
1990, Barsky and De Long 1993), and reports some empirical evidence. Extended
reviews of the Gordon stock valuation model and its extensions can be found in
Kamstra (2003) and Damodaran (2012). In Section 1.4, the focus is directed to
more recent advancements which make us of the Markov chain to model the
dividend process (Hurley and Johnson 1994, Yao 1997, Hurley and Johnson 1998,
Ghezzi and Piccardi 2003, Barbu et al. 2017, D'Amico and De Blasis 2018). The
advantage of these models is the possibility to obtain a different valuation
that depends on the state of the dividend series, allowing the model to be
closer to reality. In addition, these models permit to obtain a measure of the
risk of the single stock or a portfolio of stocks
Functional diversity of chemokines and chemokine receptors in response to viral infection of the central nervous system.
Encounters with neurotropic viruses result in varied outcomes ranging from encephalitis, paralytic poliomyelitis or other serious consequences to relatively benign infection. One of the principal factors that control the outcome of infection is the localized tissue response and subsequent immune response directed against the invading toxic agent. It is the role of the immune system to contain and control the spread of virus infection in the central nervous system (CNS), and paradoxically, this response may also be pathologic. Chemokines are potent proinflammatory molecules whose expression within virally infected tissues is often associated with protection and/or pathology which correlates with migration and accumulation of immune cells. Indeed, studies with a neurotropic murine coronavirus, mouse hepatitis virus (MHV), have provided important insight into the functional roles of chemokines and chemokine receptors in participating in various aspects of host defense as well as disease development within the CNS. This chapter will highlight recent discoveries that have provided insight into the diverse biologic roles of chemokines and their receptors in coordinating immune responses following viral infection of the CNS
Single Spin Asymmetry in Polarized Proton-Proton Elastic Scattering at GeV
We report a high precision measurement of the transverse single spin
asymmetry at the center of mass energy GeV in elastic
proton-proton scattering by the STAR experiment at RHIC. The was measured
in the four-momentum transfer squared range \GeVcSq, the region of a significant interference between the
electromagnetic and hadronic scattering amplitudes. The measured values of
and its -dependence are consistent with a vanishing hadronic spin-flip
amplitude, thus providing strong constraints on the ratio of the single
spin-flip to the non-flip amplitudes. Since the hadronic amplitude is dominated
by the Pomeron amplitude at this , we conclude that this measurement
addresses the question about the presence of a hadronic spin flip due to the
Pomeron exchange in polarized proton-proton elastic scattering.Comment: 12 pages, 6 figure
Longitudinal double-spin asymmetry and cross section for inclusive neutral pion production at midrapidity in polarized proton collisions at sqrt(s) = 200 GeV
We report a measurement of the longitudinal double-spin asymmetry A_LL and
the differential cross section for inclusive Pi0 production at midrapidity in
polarized proton collisions at sqrt(s) = 200 GeV. The cross section was
measured over a transverse momentum range of 1 < p_T < 17 GeV/c and found to be
in good agreement with a next-to-leading order perturbative QCD calculation.
The longitudinal double-spin asymmetry was measured in the range of 3.7 < p_T <
11 GeV/c and excludes a maximal positive gluon polarization in the proton. The
mean transverse momentum fraction of Pi0's in their parent jets was found to be
around 0.7 for electromagnetically triggered events.Comment: 6 pages, 3 figures, submitted to Phys. Rev. D (RC
High non-photonic electron production in + collisions at = 200 GeV
We present the measurement of non-photonic electron production at high
transverse momentum ( 2.5 GeV/) in + collisions at
= 200 GeV using data recorded during 2005 and 2008 by the STAR
experiment at the Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider (RHIC). The measured
cross-sections from the two runs are consistent with each other despite a large
difference in photonic background levels due to different detector
configurations. We compare the measured non-photonic electron cross-sections
with previously published RHIC data and pQCD calculations. Using the relative
contributions of B and D mesons to non-photonic electrons, we determine the
integrated cross sections of electrons () at 3 GeV/10 GeV/ from bottom and charm meson decays to be = 4.0({\rm
stat.})({\rm syst.}) nb and =
6.2({\rm stat.})({\rm syst.}) nb, respectively.Comment: 17 pages, 17 figure
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