Biological invasions: Insights into ecology and evolution

Introductions of exotic species commonly restructure native communities, but the mechanisms driving native species responses are poorly understood. Invasion biology has focused its research on the negative impacts of invaders, yet invaders can also have positive interactions. A holistic understanding of how biological invasions can have a full range of potential responses from negative to neutral to positive. Understanding the mechanics that underlie native species responses to invasions can help elucidate those factors structuring the native communities we see today. I used a combination of experimental and observational studies in the field and laboratory to determine the effects of spotted knapweed (Centaurea stoebe) invasion on native web spiders at the species and community levels while also testing key tenets of ecological and evolutionary theory. I found that the invader trait of plant architecture could be linked to the native spider trait of web construction to explain differences in native web spider species’ population responses to C. stoebe invasion. Architectural changes associated with C. stoebe invasion favor irregular webspider populations over orb-weaver populations by providing greater release from substrate limitation. Phenotypic plasticity of web size and its relationship to fitness may also influence differences in species responses. The irregular web spider Dictyna exhibited substantial web size plasticity with larger webs linking to higher prey captures and increased reproduction, while the orb-weaving spider Aculepeira, demonstrated no plasticity in web size and showed no associated fitness benefits. Interestingly, the fitness benefits associated with web size plasticity in early stages of invasion do not persist into later stages of invasion. Plasticity was significantly reduced in later stage populations, suggesting selection for reduced web size plasticity due to increased competition for food. Lastly, I also found that C. stoebe invasion was associated with changes in host-parasitoid interactions between Dictyna and its egg sac parasitoid. Dictyna from invaded grasslands were much more likely to kill parasitoids, compared to individuals from uninvaded, native grasslands. The combination of these results show the diverse effects of invasion on native species and communities and also highlight the value in using biological invasions as natural experiments to study ecology and evolution

Costs and Cost Effectiveness of Three Approaches for Cervical Cancer Screening among HIV-Positive Women in Johannesburg, South Africa

BackgroundSouth Africa has high rates of HIV and HPV and high incidence and mortality from cervical cancer. However, cervical cancer is largely preventable when early screening and treatment are available. We estimate the costs and cost-effectiveness of conventional cytology (Pap), visual inspection with acetic acid (VIA) and HPV DNA testing for detecting cases of CIN2+ among HIV-infected women currently taking antiretroviral treatment at a public HIV clinic in Johannesburg, South Africa.MethodsMethod effectiveness was derived from a validation study completed at the clinic. Costs were estimated from the provider perspective using micro-costing between June 2013-April 2014. Capital costs were annualized using a discount rate of 3%. Two different service volume scenarios were considered. Threshold analysis was used to explore the potential for reducing the cost of HPV DNA testing.ResultsVIA was least costly in both scenarios. In the higher volume scenario, the average cost per procedure was US$3.67 for VIA, US$ 8.17 for Pap and US$54.34 for HPV DNA. Colposcopic biopsies cost on average US$ 67.71 per procedure. VIA was least sensitive but most cost-effective at US$17.05 per true CIN2+ case detected. The cost per case detected for Pap testing was US$ 130.63 using a conventional definition for positive results and US$187.52 using a more conservative definition. HPV DNA testing was US$ 320.09 per case detected. Colposcopic biopsy costs largely drove the total and per case costs. A 71% reduction in HPV DNA screening costs would make it competitive with the conservative Pap definition.ConclusionsWomen need access to services which meet their needs and address the burden of cervical dysplasia and cancer in this region. Although most cost-effective, VIA may require more frequent screening due to low sensitivity, an important consideration for an HIV-positive population with increased risk for disease progression

Olfactory testing does not predict β-amyloid, MRI measures of neurodegeneration or vascular pathology in the British 1946 birth cohort.

OBJECTIVE: To explore the value of olfactory identification deficits as a predictor of cerebral β-amyloid status and other markers of brain health in cognitively normal adults aged ~ 70 years. METHODS: Cross-sectional observational cohort study. 389 largely healthy and cognitively normal older adults were recruited from the MRC National Survey of Health and Development (1946 British Birth cohort) and investigated for olfactory identification deficits, as measured by the University of Pennsylvania Smell Identification Test. Outcome measures were imaging markers of brain health derived from 3 T MRI scanning (cortical thickness, entorhinal cortex thickness, white matter hyperintensity volumes); 18F florbetapir amyloid-PET scanning; and cognitive testing results. Participants were assessed at a single centre between March 2015 and January 2018. RESULTS: Mean (± SD) age was 70.6 (± 0.7) years, 50.8% were female. 64.5% had hyposmia and 2.6% anosmia. Olfaction showed no association with β-amyloid status, hippocampal volume, entorhinal cortex thickness, AD signature cortical thickness, white matter hyperintensity volume, or cognition. CONCLUSION AND RELEVANCE: In the early 70s, olfactory function is not a reliable predictor of a range of imaging and cognitive measures of preclinical AD. Olfactory identification deficits are not likely to be a useful means of identifying asymptomatic amyloidosis. Further studies are required to assess if change in olfaction may be a proximity marker for the development of cognitive impairment

The extraordinary linear polarisation structure of the southern Centaurus A lobe revealed by ASKAP

We present observations of linear polarisation in the southern radio lobe of Centaurus A, conducted during commissioning of the Australian Square Kilometre Array Pathfinder (ASKAP) telescope. We used 16 antennas to observe a 30 square degree region in a single 12 hour pointing over a 240 MHz band centred on 913 MHz. Our observations achieve an angular resolution of $26\times33$ arcseconds (480 parsecs), a maximum recoverable angular scale of 30 arcminutes, and a full-band sensitivity of 85 \muupJy beam$^{-1}$. The resulting maps of polarisation and Faraday rotation are amongst the most detailed ever made for radio lobes, with of order 10$^5$ resolution elements covering the source. We describe several as-yet unreported observational features of the lobe, including its detailed peak Faraday depth structure, and intricate networks of depolarised filaments. These results demonstrate the exciting capabilities of ASKAP for widefield radio polarimetry.Comment: 10 pages, 6 figures. Accepted in "The Power of Faraday Tomography" special issue of Galaxie

Amyloid ? influences the relationship between cortical thickness and vascular load.

INTRODUCTION: Cortical thickness has been proposed as a biomarker of Alzheimer's disease (AD)- related neurodegeneration, but the nature of its relationship with amyloid beta (A?) deposition and white matter hyperintensity volume (WMHV) in cognitively normal adults is unclear. METHODS: We investigated the influences of A? status (negative/positive) and WMHV on cortical thickness in 408 cognitively normal adults aged 69.2 to 71.9 years who underwent 18F-Florbetapir positron emission tomography (PET) and structural magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Two previously defined Alzheimer's disease (AD) cortical signature regions and the major cortical lobes were selected as regions of interest (ROIs) for cortical thickness. RESULTS: Higher WMHV, but not A? status, predicted lower cortical thickness across all participants, in all ROIs. Conversely, when A?-positive participants were considered alone, higher WMHV predicted higher cortical thickness in a temporal AD-signature region. DISCUSSION: WMHV may differentially influence cortical thickness depending on the presence or absence of A?, potentially reflecting different pathological mechanisms

Bridging Alone: Religious Conservatism, Marital Homogamy, and Voluntary Association Membership

This study characterizes social insularity of religiously conservative American married couples by examining patterns of voluntary associationmembership. Constructing a dataset of 3938 marital dyads from the second wave of the National Survey of Families and Households, the author investigates whether conservative religious homogamy encourages membership in religious voluntary groups and discourages membership in secular voluntary groups. Results indicate that couples’ shared affiliation with conservative denominations, paired with beliefs in biblical authority and inerrancy, increases the likelihood of religious group membership for husbands and wives and reduces the likelihood of secular group membership for wives, but not for husbands. The social insularity of conservative religious groups appears to be reinforced by homogamy—particularly by wives who share faith with husbands

Red-flag sepsis and SOFA identifies different patient population at risk of sepsis-related deaths on the general ward

Controversy exists regarding the best diagnostic and screening tool for sepsis outside the intensive care unit (ICU). Sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score has been shown to be superior to systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) criteria, however, the performance of “Red Flag sepsis criteria” has not been tested formally. The aim of the study was to investigate the ability of Red Flag sepsis criteria to identify the patients at high risk of sepsis-related death in comparison to SOFA based sepsis criteria. We also investigated the comparison of Red Flag sepsis to quick SOFA (qSOFA), SIRS, and national early warning score (NEWS) scores and factors influencing patient mortality. Patients were recruited into a 24-hour point-prevalence study on the general wards and emergency departments across all Welsh acute hospitals. Inclusion criteria were: clinical suspicion of infection and NEWS 3 or above in-line with established escalation criteria in Wales. Data on Red Flag sepsis and SOFA criteria was collected together with qSOFA and SIRS scores and 90-day mortality. 459 patients were recruited over a 24-hour period. 246 were positive for Red Flag sepsis, mortality 33.7% (83/246); 241 for SOFA based sepsis criteria, mortality 39.4% (95/241); 54 for qSOFA, mortality 57.4% (31/54), and 268 for SIRS, mortality 33.6% (90/268). 55 patients were not picked up by any criteria. We found that older age was associated with death with OR (95% CI) of 1.03 (1.02–1.04); higher frailty score 1.24 (1.11–1.40); DNA-CPR order 1.74 (1.14–2.65); ceiling of care 1.55 (1.02–2.33); and SOFA score of 2 and above 1.69 (1.16–2.47). The different clinical tools captured different subsets of the at-risk population, with similar sensitivity. SOFA score 2 or above was independently associated with increased risk of death at 90 days. The sequalae of infection-related organ dysfunction cannot be reliably captured based on routine clinical and physiological parameters alone

Associations of β-Amyloid and Vascular Burden With Rates of Neurodegeneration in Cognitively Normal Members of the 1946 British Birth Cohort

OBJECTIVE: To quantify the independent and interactive associations of amyloid-β (Aβ) and white matter hyperintensity volume (WMHV) - a marker of presumed cerebrovascular disease (CVD) - with rates of neurodegeneration, and to examine the contributions of APOE ε4 and vascular risk measured at different stages of adulthood in cognitively normal members of the 1946 British birth cohort. METHODS: Participants underwent brain MRI and florbetapir-Aβ positron emission tomography as part of Insight 46, an observational population-based study. Changes in whole brain, ventricular and hippocampal volume were directly measured from baseline and repeat volumetric T1 MRI using the Boundary Shift Integral. Linear regression was used to test associations with: baseline Aβ deposition; baseline WMHV; APOE ε4; and office-based Framingham heart study-cardiovascular risk scores (FHS-CVS) and systolic blood pressure (BP) at ages 36, 53 and 69 years. RESULTS: 346 cognitively normal participants (mean [SD] age at baseline scan 70.5 [0.6] years; 48% female) had high-quality T1 MRI data from both time-points (mean [SD] scan interval 2.4 [0.2] years). Being Aβ positive at baseline was associated with 0.87 ml/year faster whole brain atrophy (95% CI 0.03, 1.72), 0.39 ml/year greater ventricular expansion (95% CI 0.16, 0.64) and 0.016 ml/year faster hippocampal atrophy (95% CI 0.004, 0.027), while each 10 ml additional WMHV at baseline was associated with 1.07 ml/year faster whole brain atrophy (95% CI 0.47, 1.67), 0.31 ml/year greater ventricular expansion (95% CI 0.13, 0.60) and 0.014 ml/year faster hippocampal atrophy (95% CI 0.006, 0.022). These contributions were independent and there was no evidence that Aβ and WMHV interacted in their effects. There were no independent associations of APOE ε4 with rates of neurodegeneration after adjusting for Aβ status and WMHV, and no clear relationships between FHS-CVS or systolic BP and rates of neurodegeneration when assessed across the whole sample, nor any evidence that they acted synergistically with Aβ. CONCLUSIONS: Aβ and presumed CVD have distinct and additive effects on rates of neurodegeneration in cognitively normal elderly. These findings have implications for the use of MRI measures as biomarkers of neurodegeneration and emphasize the importance of risk management and early intervention targeting both pathways

Dressings and securements for the prevention of peripheral intravenous catheter failure in adults (SAVE): a pragmatic, randomised controlled, superiority trial

Background: Two billion peripheral intravenous catheters (PIVCs) are used globally each year, but optimal dressing and securement methods are not well established. We aimed to compare the efficacy and costs of three alternative approaches to standard non-bordered polyurethane dressings. Methods: We did a pragmatic, randomised controlled, parallel-group superiority trial at two hospitals in Queensland, Australia. Eligible patients were aged 18 years or older and required PIVC insertion for clinical treatment, which was expected to be required for longer than 24 h. Patients were randomly assigned (1:1:1:1) via a centralised web-based randomisation service using random block sizes, stratified by hospital, to receive tissue adhesive with polyurethane dressing, bordered polyurethane dressing, a securement device with polyurethane dressing, or polyurethane dressing (control). Randomisation was concealed before allocation. Patients, clinicians, and research staff were not masked because of the nature of the intervention, but infections were adjudicated by a physician who was masked to treatment allocation. The primary outcome was all-cause PIVC failure (as a composite of complete dislodgement, occlusion, phlebitis, and infection [primary bloodstream infection or local infection]). Analysis was by modified intention to treat. This trial is registered with the Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry, number ACTRN12611000769987. Findings: Between March 18, 2013, and Sept 9, 2014, we randomly assigned 1807 patients to receive tissue adhesive with polyurethane (n=446), bordered polyurethane (n=454), securement device with polyurethane (n=453), or polyurethane (n=454); 1697 patients comprised the modified intention-to-treat population. 163 (38%) of 427 patients in the tissue adhesive with polyurethane group (absolute risk difference −4·5% [95% CI −11·1 to 2·1%], p=0·19), 169 (40%) of 423 of patients in the bordered polyurethane group (–2·7% [–9·3 to 3·9%] p=0·44), 176 (41%) of 425 patients in the securement device with poplyurethane group (–1·2% [–7·9% to 5·4%], p=0·73), and 180 (43%) of 422 patients in the polyurethane group had PIVC failure. 17 patients in the tissue adhesive with polyurethane group, two patients in the bordered polyurethane group, eight patients in the securement device with polyurethane group, and seven patients in the polyurethane group had skin adverse events. Total costs of the trial interventions did not differ significantly between groups. Interpretation: Current dressing and securement methods are commonly associated with PIVC failure and poor durability, with simultaneous use of multiple products commonly required. Cost is currently the main factor that determines product choice. Innovations to achieve effective, durable dressings and securements, and randomised controlled trials assessing their effectiveness are urgently needed

Neuroimaging, clinical and life course correlates of normal-appearing white matter integrity in 70-year-olds

We investigate associations between normal-appearing white matter (NAWM) microstructural integrity in cognitively normal ∼70-year-olds and concurrently measured brain health and cognition, demographics, genetics and life course cardiovascular health. Participants born in the same week in March 1946 (British 1946 Birth cohort) underwent PET-MRI around age 70. Mean standardized NAWM integrity metrics (fractional anisotropy (FA), mean diffusivity (MD), neurite density index (NDI) and orientation dispersion index (ODI)) were derived from diffusion MRI. Linear regression was used to test associations between NAWM metrics and (1) concurrent measures, including whole brain volume, white matter hyperintensity volume (WMHV), PET amyloid and cognition; (2) the influence of demographic and genetic predictors, including sex, childhood cognition, education, socioeconomic position, and genetic risk for Alzheimer’s Disease (APOE-ε4); (3) systolic and diastolic blood pressure and cardiovascular health (FHS-CVS) across adulthood. Sex interactions were tested. Statistical significance included false discovery rate correction (5%). 362 participants met inclusion criteria (mean age 70 years, 49% female). Higher WMHV was associated with lower FA (b=-0.09 [95%CI:-0.11, -0.06] p<0.01), NDI (b=-0.17 [-0.22, -0.12] p<0.01), and higher MD (b=0.14 [-0.10, -0.17] p<0.01); amyloid (in men) was associated with lower FA (b=-0.04 [-0.08, -0.01] p=0.03) and higher MD (b=0.06 [0.01,0.11] p=0.02). FHS-CVS in later-life (age 69) was associated with NAWM [lower FA (b=-0.06 [-0.09, -0.02] p<0.01), NDI (b=-0.10 [-0.17, -0.03] p<0.01), and higher MD (b=0.09 [0.04,0.14] p<0.01). Significant sex interactions (p<0.05) emerged for midlife cardiovascular health (age 53) and NAWM at 70: marginal effect plots demonstrated, in women only, NAWM was associated with higher midlife FHS-CVS (lower FA and NDI), midlife systolic (lower FA, NDI, and higher MD), and diastolic (lower FA and NDI) blood pressure, and greater blood pressure change between 43 and 53 years (lower FA and NDI), independently of WMHV. In summary, poorer NAWM microstructural integrity in ∼70-year-olds was associated with measures of cerebral small vessel disease, amyloid (in males) and later-life cardiovascular health, demonstrating how NAWM can provide additional information to overt white matter disease. Our findings further show that greater midlife cardiovascular risk and higher blood pressure were associated with poorer NAWM microstructural integrity in females only, suggesting that women’s brains may be more susceptible to the effects of midlife blood pressure and cardiovascular health