Blocking and its response to climate change

Purpose of review: Atmospheric blocking events represent some of the most high-impact weather patterns in the mid-latitudes, yet they have often been a cause for concern in future climate projections. There has been low confidence in predicted future changes in blocking, despite relatively good agreement between climate models on a decline in blocking. This is due to the lack of a comprehensive theory of blocking and a pervasive underestimation of blocking occurrence by models. This paper reviews the state of knowledge regarding blocking under climate change, with the aim of providing an overview for those working in related fields. Recent Findings: Several avenues have been identified by which blocking can be improved in numerical models, though a fully reliable simulation remains elusive (at least, beyond a few days lead time). Models are therefore starting to provide some useful information on how blocking and its impacts may change in the future, although deeper understanding of the processes at play will be needed to increase confidence in model projections. There are still major uncertainties regarding the processes most important to the onset, maintenance and decay of blocking and advances in our understanding of atmospheric dynamics, for example in the role of diabatic processes, continue to inform the modelling and prediction efforts. Summary: The term ‘blocking’ covers a diverse array of synoptic patterns, and hence a bewildering range of indices has been developed to identify events. Results are hence not considered fully trustworthy until they have been found using several different methods. Examples of such robust results are the underestimation of blocking by models, and an overall decline in future occurrence, albeit with a complex regional and seasonal variation. In contrast, hemispheric trends in blocking over the recent historical period are not supported by different methods, and natural variability will likely dominate regional variations over the next few decades

The Fukushima Daiichi Accident

The Fukushima Daiichi Accident consists of a Report by the IAEA Director General and five technical volumes. It is the result of an extensive international collaborative effort involving five working groups with about 180 experts from 42 Member States with and without nuclear power programmes and several international bodies. It provides a description of the accident and its causes, evolution and consequences, based on the evaluation of data and information from a large number of sources available at the time of writing. The set contains six printed parts and five supplementary CD-ROMs. Contents: Report by the Director General; Technical Volume 1/5, Description and Context of the Accident; Technical Volume 2/5, Safety Assessment; Technical Volume 3/5, Emergency Preparedness and Response; Technical Volume 4/5, Radiological Consequences; Technical Volume 5/5, Post-accident Recovery; Annexes. The JRC contributed to volumes 1,2 and 3, which are attached.JRC.F.5-Nuclear Reactor Safety Assessmen

Persistent anomalies of the extratropical Northern Hemisphere wintertime circulation as an initiator of El Niño/Southern Oscillation events

Climates across both hemispheres are strongly influenced by tropical Pacific variability associated with the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Conversely, extratropical variability also can affect the tropics. In particular, seasonal-mean alterations of near-surface winds associated with the North Pacific Oscillation (NPO) serve as a significant extratropical forcing agent of ENSO. However, it is still unclear what dynamical processes give rise to year-to-year shifts in these long-lived NPO anomalies. Here we show that intraseasonal variability in boreal winter pressure patterns over the Central North Pacific (CNP) imparts a significant signature upon the seasonal-mean circulations characteristic of the NPO. Further we show that the seasonal-mean signature results in part from year-to-year variations in persistent, quasi-stationary low-pressure intrusions into the subtropics of the CNP, accompanied by the establishment of persistent, quasi-stationary high-pressure anomalies over high latitudes of the CNP. Overall, we find that the frequency of these persistent extratropical anomalies (PEAs) during a given winter serves as a key modulator of intraseasonal variability in extratropical North Pacific circulations and, through their influence on the seasonal-mean circulations in and around the southern lobe of the NPO, the state of the equatorial Pacific 9–12 months later

Zirconium(IV) Metallocavitands As Blue-Emitting Materials

A series of zirconium-carboxylate metallocavitands with the general formula [(CpZr)3(μ-κ2,O′,O″CR)3(μ3-O)(μ2-OH)3]Cl (Cp = cyclopentadienyl; R = C5H4N (5), C6H7N (6), C18H14N (7), and C18H12N (8)) were synthesized in moderate to high yields (40–83%) by reacting the corresponding carboxylic acids 1–4 with Cp2ZrCl2 in a self-assembly procedure at room temperature. The metallocavitands were characterized using 1H and 13C NMR spectroscopy and by single-crystal X-ray diffraction. Complexes 7 and 8 exhibit efficient photoluminescence properties in solution. The photoluminescence peak of 7 was observed at 464 nm and that of 8 at 422 nm with respective quantum yields in solution of 87 and 65%

Role of Entropy and Autosolvation in Dimerization and Complexation of C 60

The supramolecular chemistry of bowl-shaped heptazinc metallocavitands templated by Schiff base macrocycles has been investigated. Dimerization thermodynamics were probed by 1H NMR spectroscopy in benzene-d6, toluene-d8, and p-xylene-d10 and revealed the process to be entropy-driven and enthalpy-opposed in each solvent. Trends in the experimentally determined enthalpy and entropy values are related to the thermodynamics of solvent autosolvation, solvent molecules being released from the monomeric metallocavitand cavity into the bulk solvent upon dimerization. The relationship established between experimentally measured dimerization thermodynamics and autosolvation data successfully predicts the absence of dimerization in CH2Cl2 and CHCl3 and was used to estimate the number of solvent molecules interacting with the monomeric metallocavitand in solution. Host–guest interactions between heptazinc metallocavitands and fullerene C60 have also been investigated. Interestingly, metallocavitand-C60 interactions are only observed in solvents that facilitate entropy-driven dimerization suggesting entropy and solvent autosolvation may be important in explaining concave-convex interactions