Intercomparison of the northern hemisphere winter mid-latitude atmospheric variability of the IPCC models

We compare, for the overlapping time frame 1962-2000, the estimate of the northern hemisphere (NH) mid-latitude winter atmospheric variability within the XX century simulations of 17 global climate models (GCMs) included in the IPCC-4AR with the NCEP and ECMWF reanalyses. We compute the Hayashi spectra of the 500hPa geopotential height fields and introduce an integral measure of the variability observed in the NH on different spectral sub-domains. Only two high-resolution GCMs have a good agreement with reanalyses. Large biases, in most cases larger than 20%, are found between the wave climatologies of most GCMs and the reanalyses, with a relative span of around 50%. The travelling baroclinic waves are usually overestimated, while the planetary waves are usually underestimated, in agreement with previous studies performed on global weather forecasting models. When comparing the results of various versions of similar GCMs, it is clear that in some cases the vertical resolution of the atmosphere and, somewhat unexpectedly, of the adopted ocean model seem to be critical in determining the agreement with the reanalyses. The GCMs ensemble is biased with respect to the reanalyses but is comparable to the best 5 GCMs. This study suggests serious caveats with respect to the ability of most of the presently available GCMs in representing the statistics of the global scale atmospheric dynamics of the present climate and, a fortiori, in the perspective of modelling climate change.Comment: 39 pages, 8 figures, 2 table

Open weather and climate science in the digital era

The need for open science has been recognized by the communities of meteorology and climate science. While these domains are mature in terms of applying digital technologies, the implementation of open science methodologies is less advanced. In a session on “Weather and Climate Science in the Digital Era” at the 14th IEEE International eScience Conference domain specialists and data and computer scientists discussed the road towards open weather and climate science. Roughly 80 % of the studies presented in the conference session showed the added value of open data and software. These studies included open datasets from disparate sources in their analyses or developed tools and approaches that were made openly available to the research community. Furthermore, shared software is a prerequisite for the studies which presented systems like a model coupling framework or digital collaboration platform. Although these studies showed that sharing code and data is important, the consensus among the participants was that this is not sufficient to achieve open weather and climate science and that there are important issues to address. At the level of technology, the application of the findable, accessible, interoperable, and reusable (FAIR) principles to many datasets used in weathe

MED-CORDEX initiative for Mediterranean Climate studies.

International audienceThe Mediterranean is expected to be one of the most prominent and vulnerable climate change “hot spots” of the 21st century, and the physical mechanisms underlying this finding are still not clear. Furthermore complex interactions and feedbacks involving ocean-atmosphere-land-biogeochemical processes play a prominent role in modulating the climate and environment of the Mediterranean region on a range of spatial and temporal scales. Therefore it is critical to provide robust climate change information for use in Vulnerability/Impact/Adaptation assessment studies considering the Mediterranean as a fully coupled environmental system. The Med-CORDEX initiative aims at coordinating the Mediterranean climate modeling community towards the development of fully coupled regional climate simulations, improving all relevant components of the system, from atmosphere and ocean dynamics to land surface, hydrology and biogeochemical processes. The primary goals of Med-CORDEX are to improve understanding of past climate variability and trends, and to provide more accurate and reliable future projections, assessing in a quantitative and robust way the added value of using high resolution and coupled regional climate models. The coordination activities and the scientific outcomes of Med-CORDEX can produce an important framework to foster the development of regional earth system models in several key regions worldwide

MED-CORDEX initiative for Mediterranean Climate studies

Since the early' 90s, a number of research projects have focused on downscaling global climate simulations over the Euro-Mediterranean region. The Mediterranean region is considered as particularly sensitive and vulnerable to climate variability and change, in particular, because of its vulnerability to changes in the water cycle. The Mediterranean basin has a quite unique character resulting from both orographic conditions and demographic trends. The region features an enclosed sea, which is connected to the Atlantic ocean only by Gibraltar strait, surrounded by highly urbanized littorals and complex topography and coaslines, from which numerous rivers feed the Mediterranean sea. This results in many interactions and feedbacks across ocean-atmosphere-land processes that play a prominent role in determining the Mediterranean climate and, in turn, its impact on natural ecosystems and human activities. Therefore, MedCORDEX deals with a unique region where downscaling of global climate simulations needs to consider both, high fine scale forcings and the interactions across different components of the regional earth system (atmosphere, ocean, rivers, aerosols etc.). In order to describe the main features of MED-CORDEX, ehre we present illustrative examples from the first inter-comparison of several coupled and un-coupled regional simulations of present day climate over the MED-CORDEX domain. Relevant atmospheric and oceanic processes have been analyzed to provide an evaluation of the skill of Regional Climate System Models for the Mediterranean region.JRC.D.2-Water and Marine Resource